2022-01-08 · +30d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1260

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+7.35%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

83.5%

in alpha space · 71.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+5.24%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SOL	Solana	Solana	142.17	143.9985	+1.29%	117.62	-17.27%	0.2544	✗	1.02	203.4M	2022-02-07
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.15079	0.152525	+1.15%	0.165291	+9.62%	0.0251	✓	1.08	4.6M	2022-02-07
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.065402	0.065866	+0.71%	0.068517	+4.76%	0.0082	✗	0.93	556k	2022-02-07
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,684.84	41,735.72	+0.12%	43,868.07	+5.24%	0.0012	✗	1.00	743.8M	2022-02-07
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1327	0.132589	-0.08%	0.1248	-5.95%	0.1222	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-02-07
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.84	6.8309	-0.13%	7.753	+13.35%	0.0642	✗	1.22	291k	2022-02-07
XVG	Verge	native	0.01392	0.013893	-0.19%	0.01222	-12.21%	0.1898	✓	1.20	2.1M	2022-02-07
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.04	1.0373	-0.26%	0.854	-17.88%	0.2423	✓	0.94	2.2M	2022-02-07
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	27.71	27.5848	-0.45%	21.81	-21.29%	0.3287	✓	1.84	5.4M	2022-02-07
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.75	2.7364	-0.49%	2.27	-17.45%	0.2535	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-02-07
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.5972	7.5561	-0.54%	7.4703	-1.67%	0.0809	✓	1.36	263k	2022-02-07
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	372.84	370.4974	-0.63%	343.12	-7.97%	0.1276	✓	1.00	8.8M	2022-02-07
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002775	0.000027549	-0.73%	0.00003255	+17.30%	0.1036	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-02-07
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3129	0.310617	-0.73%	0.2714	-13.26%	0.1993	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-07
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0739	0.073282	-0.84%	0.079	+6.90%	0.0225	✗	1.03	16k	2022-02-07
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24	23.7955	-0.85%	22.37	-6.79%	0.1267	✓	1.27	71.0M	2022-02-07
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,080.48	3,050.98	-0.96%	3,141.89	+1.99%	0.0233	✓	1.03	619.8M	2022-02-07
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.93	4.8779	-1.06%	4.06	-17.65%	0.2382	✓	1.07	2.1M	2022-02-07
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.604	2.5739	-1.16%	2.656	+2.00%	0.0138	✓	0.89	33k	2022-02-07
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.12	2.0947	-1.19%	1.93	-8.96%	0.1347	✓	1.03	3.6M	2022-02-07
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.07	3.0329	-1.21%	2.82	-8.14%	0.1218	✓	0.96	977k	2022-02-07
ZEN	Horizen	Base	54.36	53.6853	-1.24%	48.2	-11.33%	0.1794	✓	1.40	802k	2022-02-07
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.44	9.3208	-1.26%	7.38	-21.82%	0.2669	✓	0.65	1.2M	2022-02-07
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.23	1.2142	-1.29%	1.073	-12.76%	0.1909	✓	1.32	3.3M	2022-02-07
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1789	6.0981	-1.31%	7.3085	+18.28%	0.1409	✗	0.79	3.7M	2022-02-07
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.95	20.6759	-1.31%	16.8	-19.81%	0.2449	✓	0.73	1.2M	2022-02-07
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04885	0.048192	-1.35%	0.04657	-4.67%	0.0891	✓	1.08	16k	2022-02-07
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,892.20	41,323.93	-1.36%	43,893.50	+4.78%	0.0105	✓	0.98	9,204	2022-02-07
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.37	28.9559	-1.41%	32.66	+11.20%	0.0693	✗	1.00	3.3M	2022-02-07
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.92	14.6951	-1.51%	12.38	-17.02%	0.2358	✓	1.26	13.4M	2022-02-07
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.92	13.7077	-1.52%	10.33	-25.79%	0.3405	✓	1.13	3.4M	2022-02-07
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1827	1.1639	-1.59%	1.1991	+1.39%	0.0248	✓	1.07	97.2M	2022-02-07
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10244	0.100765	-1.64%	0.10441	+1.92%	0.0208	✓	1.10	23k	2022-02-07
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.5246	1.4994	-1.66%	1.1664	-23.49%	0.3482	✓	1.90	1.3M	2022-02-07
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009632	0.000094701	-1.68%	0.00009007	-6.49%	0.1006	✓	0.99	6.8M	2022-02-07
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.708399	0.695987	-1.75%	0.67955	-4.07%	0.0795	✓	1.09	2.8M	2022-02-07
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07317	0.071833	-1.83%	0.04107	-43.87%	0.6212	✓	1.22	19.5M	2022-02-07
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018696	0.018346	-1.87%	0.01721	-7.95%	0.1267	✓	1.23	2.5M	2022-02-07
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7737	3.6942	-2.11%	4.8233	+27.81%	0.2708	✗	-0.08	364k	2022-02-07
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.55	6.4094	-2.15%	5.62	-14.20%	0.1637	✓	0.63	686k	2022-02-07
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.742	0.725274	-2.25%	0.583	-21.43%	0.2898	✓	1.40	7.7M	2022-02-07
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.946	18.5157	-2.27%	20.309	+7.19%	0.0105	✓	1.61	13.6M	2022-02-07
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0811	0.07925	-2.28%	0.0915	+12.82%	0.0732	✗	1.38	1.2M	2022-02-07
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0541	2.9842	-2.29%	2.3627	-22.64%	0.2886	✓	1.08	710k	2022-02-07
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	29.46	28.7829	-2.30%	24.52	-16.77%	0.2133	✓	1.04	21.2M	2022-02-07
XMR	Monero	Monero	183.67	179.4315	-2.31%	185.08	+0.77%	0.0177	✓	0.95	3.0M	2022-02-07
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.4	8.2041	-2.33%	6	-28.57%	0.3585	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-07
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.86	8.6525	-2.34%	6.61	-25.40%	0.3183	✓	0.96	4.3M	2022-02-07
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.377	1.344	-2.40%	1.495	+8.57%	0.0382	✗	1.34	5.2M	2022-02-07
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.94	27.2518	-2.46%	28.02	+0.29%	0.0061	✓	0.66	385k	2022-02-07
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01495	0.014581	-2.47%	0.01584	+5.95%	0.0178	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-02-07
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3573	5.2231	-2.50%	5.4029	+0.85%	0.0241	✓	1.13	457k	2022-02-07
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.257	2.2001	-2.52%	2.094	-7.22%	0.1035	✓	1.06	1.8M	2022-02-07
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.85	7.6513	-2.53%	6.65	-15.29%	0.1709	✓	0.60	788k	2022-02-07
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.886	1.8382	-2.53%	1.868	-0.95%	0.0419	✓	1.14	2.4M	2022-02-07
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.01	0.984327	-2.54%	0.95	-5.94%	0.1253	✓	1.76	1.7M	2022-02-07
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	189.37	184.5331	-2.55%	145.96	-22.92%	0.2922	✓	1.13	195k	2022-02-07
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01326	0.01292	-2.57%	0.01211	-8.67%	0.1141	✓	0.97	764k	2022-02-07
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.515	0.501753	-2.57%	0.384	-25.44%	0.3321	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-02-07
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.84	28.0888	-2.60%	25.54	-11.44%	0.1693	✓	1.45	1.0M	2022-02-07
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	129.51	126.1162	-2.62%	137.43	+6.12%	0.0182	✓	1.33	36.2M	2022-02-07
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	240.09	233.6899	-2.67%	198.23	-17.44%	0.2217	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-02-07
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	83.91	81.6676	-2.67%	83.23	-0.81%	0.0366	✓	1.09	115.7M	2022-02-07
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5732	0.557804	-2.69%	0.5065	-11.64%	0.1577	✓	1.20	12.2M	2022-02-07
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0197	0.992102	-2.71%	0.96686	-5.18%	0.1146	✓	1.74	1.0M	2022-02-07
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0509	1.9947	-2.74%	1.9231	-6.23%	0.0892	✓	1.03	90k	2022-02-07
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.875	2.7932	-2.84%	3.4602	+20.35%	0.1551	✗	1.16	2.6M	2022-02-07
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.07	1.0385	-2.94%	0.6483	-39.41%	0.5196	✓	0.95	3.7M	2022-02-07
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1747	0.169498	-2.98%	0.1593	-8.82%	0.1076	✓	0.89	490k	2022-02-07
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.81	7.5708	-3.06%	6.79	-13.06%	0.1459	✓	0.73	771k	2022-02-07
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1115	0.108064	-3.08%	0.0948	-14.98%	0.1875	✓	1.11	296k	2022-02-07
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6366	0.616711	-3.12%	0.6374	+0.13%	0.0298	✓	1.23	4.5M	2022-02-07
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0005	3.873	-3.19%	4.1408	+3.51%	0.0009	✓	1.33	4.7M	2022-02-07
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029005	0.02807	-3.22%	0.023054	-20.52%	0.2491	✓	1.02	6.6M	2022-02-07
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3151	0.304834	-3.26%	0.3247	+3.05%	0.0095	✓	1.42	3.8M	2022-02-07
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.088	7.8212	-3.30%	6.962	-13.92%	0.1508	✓	0.67	231k	2022-02-07
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.255091	0.246616	-3.32%	0.239623	-6.06%	0.0802	✓	1.01	24.9M	2022-02-07
XEM	NEM	native	0.1141	0.110294	-3.34%	0.1175	+2.98%	0.0117	✓	1.01	69k	2022-02-07
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.613	4.4586	-3.35%	4.576	-0.80%	0.0057	✓	0.62	488k	2022-02-07
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2557	0.247116	-3.36%	0.2345	-8.29%	0.1186	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-02-07
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.9606	0.928001	-3.39%	0.7902	-17.74%	0.2320	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-07
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.24	13.7492	-3.45%	16.23	+13.97%	0.1326	✗	0.65	1.1M	2022-02-07
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.164	0.15828	-3.49%	0.1382	-15.73%	0.1970	✓	1.20	4.5M	2022-02-07
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1998	1.1577	-3.50%	1.3002	+8.37%	0.0649	✗	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-07
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	143.63	138.558	-3.53%	128.86	-10.28%	0.1370	✓	1.26	10.6M	2022-02-07
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01623	0.015653	-3.56%	0.01354	-16.57%	0.1762	✓	0.61	30k	2022-02-07
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		107.28	103.4301	-3.59%	101.78	-5.13%	0.0636	✓	0.93	2.8M	2022-02-07
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.657	3.5255	-3.59%	3.306	-9.60%	0.0988	✓	0.68	483k	2022-02-07
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.77	9.408	-3.71%	10.4	+6.45%	0.0627	✗	0.74	1.1M	2022-02-07
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0592	0.057006	-3.71%	0.0369	-37.67%	0.5032	✓	1.34	1.5M	2022-02-07
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5755	0.554032	-3.73%	0.535	-7.04%	0.1035	✓	1.34	2.8M	2022-02-07
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.02	4.83	-3.78%	5.9	+17.53%	0.1421	✗	1.14	3.3M	2022-02-07
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.24	3.1161	-3.82%	3.09	-4.63%	0.0600	✓	1.01	715k	2022-02-07
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0756	1.0339	-3.88%	0.9985	-7.17%	0.0835	✓	0.95	21.4M	2022-02-07
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.354	0.340209	-3.90%	0.285	-19.49%	0.2133	✓	0.71	39k	2022-02-07
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17662	0.169574	-3.99%	0.22724	+28.66%	0.2136	✗	1.55	5,957	2022-02-07
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.47	9.0897	-4.02%	7.41	-21.75%	0.2010	✓	-0.07	1.8M	2022-02-07
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.42	3.2797	-4.10%	2.86	-16.37%	0.2085	✓	1.40	2.5M	2022-02-07
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	172.86	165.7121	-4.14%	154.1	-10.85%	0.1202	✓	0.93	7.7M	2022-02-07
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3854	1.328	-4.14%	1.0706	-22.72%	0.2716	✓	1.10	30.5M	2022-02-07
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	35.22	33.7514	-4.17%	47.22	+34.07%	0.2830	✗	1.03	20.0M	2022-02-07
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.059866	0.057352	-4.20%	0.042745	-28.60%	0.3586	✓	1.27	7.3M	2022-02-07
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	70.29	67.2896	-4.27%	68.32	-2.80%	0.0376	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-02-07
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.44	1.3772	-4.36%	1.24	-13.89%	0.1894	✓	1.65	831k	2022-02-07
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.79	135.5516	-4.40%	115.9	-18.26%	0.2184	✓	1.21	1.9M	2022-02-07
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	156.3963	149.4659	-4.43%	105.8832	-32.30%	0.3944	✓	0.97	560k	2022-02-07
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09231	0.088188	-4.47%	0.08985	-2.66%	0.0165	✓	0.69	52k	2022-02-07
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3125	0.29828	-4.55%	0.3267	+4.54%	0.0401	✓	1.00	293k	2022-02-07
XYM	Symbol	native	0.185	0.176166	-4.78%	0.1916	+3.57%	0.0506	✗	0.65	441k	2022-02-07
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	212.32	202.0974	-4.81%	182.29	-14.14%	0.1602	✓	1.12	17.6M	2022-02-07
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.9971	3.8034	-4.85%	3.5646	-10.82%	0.1292	✓	1.26	4.4M	2022-02-07
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.515	1.4398	-4.97%	1.3981	-7.72%	0.0730	✓	0.85	663k	2022-02-07
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01469	0.01395	-5.04%	0.00701	-52.28%	0.8099	✓	2.38	27.8M	2022-02-07
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.933	2.7846	-5.06%	3.2878	+12.10%	0.1149	✗	1.00	5.5M	2022-02-07
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.303	4.0782	-5.22%	3.76	-12.62%	0.1206	✓	0.77	942k	2022-02-07
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7251	3.5272	-5.31%	3.7993	+1.99%	0.0393	✓	0.69	4,332	2022-02-07
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04346	0.041108	-5.41%	0.03323	-23.54%	0.2586	✓	0.90	8.2M	2022-02-07
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.839	10.2224	-5.69%	8.971	-17.23%	0.1348	✓	0.08	68k	2022-02-07
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.52	3.3141	-5.85%	2.26	-35.80%	0.4455	✓	1.23	10.4M	2022-02-07
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.1591	-6.11%	4.96	-24.39%	0.2818	✓	1.28	18.2M	2022-02-07
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.06	2.8616	-6.48%	2.38	-22.22%	0.2471	✓	1.23	3.2M	2022-02-07
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	35	32.6431	-6.73%	32.06	-8.40%	0.1009	✓	1.62	2.8M	2022-02-07
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4941	0.46066	-6.77%	0.6257	+26.63%	0.2340	✗	1.41	650k	2022-02-07
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.81	3.5457	-6.94%	3.79	-0.52%	0.0308	✓	0.70	848k	2022-02-07
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	66.84	62.1802	-6.97%	59.48	-11.01%	0.0954	✓	1.00	7.2M	2022-02-07
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.1003	0.093287	-6.99%	0.06292	-37.27%	0.4683	✓	1.46	2.5M	2022-02-07
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.815	2.6134	-7.16%	2.945	+4.62%	0.0400	✓	1.56	1.3M	2022-02-07
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3208	1.2231	-7.40%	1.2317	-6.75%	0.0630	✓	1.37	4.8M	2022-02-07
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	25.31	23.4145	-7.49%	18.88	-25.40%	0.2735	✓	1.14	69.2M	2022-02-07
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8854	0.818697	-7.53%	1.2268	+38.56%	0.3534	✗	1.00	137k	2022-02-07
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0944	0.087117	-7.72%	0.0901	-4.56%	0.0174	✓	1.00	33.0M	2022-02-07
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	32.9	30.2628	-8.02%	24.04	-26.93%	0.3005	✓	1.38	24.8M	2022-02-07
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.61	4.181	-9.31%	3.56	-22.78%	0.2311	✓	1.38	30.4M	2022-02-07
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.0767	0.069118	-9.89%	0.038389	-49.95%	0.6391	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-02-07
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.76	9.6192	-10.60%	9.06	-15.80%	0.0671	✓	0.14	2.8M	2022-02-07
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,111.98	29,566.04	-10.71%	26,559.72	-19.79%	0.1405	✓	0.65	23.0M	2022-02-07
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6336	0.563208	-11.11%	0.602	-4.99%	0.0224	✓	1.74	40.0M	2022-02-07
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	35.87	31.8685	-11.16%	31.63	-11.82%	0.0543	✓	0.92	45.6M	2022-02-07
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.6022	1.4138	-11.76%	1.9987	+24.75%	0.3011	✗	0.88	922k	2022-02-07

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.