2022-01-08 · +30d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0462

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-5.33%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

48.2%

in alpha space · 51.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+5.24%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.0767	0.067645	-11.81%	0.038389	-49.95%	0.6176	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-02-07
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.81	3.4592	-9.21%	3.79	-0.52%	0.0555	✓	0.70	848k	2022-02-07
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6336	0.57845	-8.70%	0.602	-4.99%	0.0504	✓	1.77	40.0M	2022-02-07
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4941	0.453086	-8.30%	0.6257	+26.63%	0.2506	✗	1.41	650k	2022-02-07
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0944	0.086844	-8.00%	0.0901	-4.56%	0.0142	✓	1.00	33.0M	2022-02-07
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	66.84	61.6474	-7.77%	59.48	-11.01%	0.0868	✓	1.00	7.2M	2022-02-07
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01469	0.013581	-7.55%	0.00701	-52.28%	0.7831	✓	2.38	27.8M	2022-02-07
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.6022	1.4894	-7.04%	1.9987	+24.75%	0.2487	✗	0.89	922k	2022-02-07
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8854	0.824797	-6.84%	1.2268	+38.56%	0.3460	✗	1.00	137k	2022-02-07
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17662	0.164902	-6.63%	0.22724	+28.66%	0.2404	✗	1.57	5,957	2022-02-07
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7251	3.4863	-6.41%	3.7993	+1.99%	0.0478	✓	0.75	4,332	2022-02-07
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.06	2.868	-6.27%	2.38	-22.22%	0.2493	✓	1.23	3.2M	2022-02-07
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3208	1.2506	-5.31%	1.2317	-6.75%	0.0864	✓	1.39	4.8M	2022-02-07
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.42	3.2491	-5.00%	2.86	-16.37%	0.1991	✓	1.40	2.5M	2022-02-07
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.76	10.2839	-4.42%	9.06	-15.80%	0.1323	✓	0.11	2.8M	2022-02-07
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.01	0.968684	-4.09%	0.95	-5.94%	0.1092	✓	1.76	1.7M	2022-02-07
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	35.87	34.4858	-3.86%	31.63	-11.82%	0.1334	✓	0.92	45.6M	2022-02-07
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	70.29	67.794	-3.55%	68.32	-2.80%	0.0449	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-02-07
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.815	2.7203	-3.37%	2.945	+4.62%	0.0001	✓	1.56	1.3M	2022-02-07
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.52	3.4139	-3.01%	2.26	-35.80%	0.4752	✓	1.23	10.4M	2022-02-07
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.369	-2.91%	4.96	-24.39%	0.3160	✓	1.29	18.2M	2022-02-07
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.933	2.849	-2.87%	3.2878	+12.10%	0.0919	✗	1.01	5.5M	2022-02-07
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.839	10.5383	-2.77%	8.971	-17.23%	0.1636	✓	0.05	68k	2022-02-07
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04346	0.042369	-2.51%	0.03323	-23.54%	0.2899	✓	0.92	8.2M	2022-02-07
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.61	4.4997	-2.39%	3.56	-22.78%	0.3061	✓	1.41	30.4M	2022-02-07
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.604	2.5461	-2.22%	2.656	+2.00%	0.0034	✓	0.89	33k	2022-02-07
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01623	0.015881	-2.15%	0.01354	-16.57%	0.1943	✓	0.68	30k	2022-02-07
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09231	0.090446	-2.02%	0.08985	-2.66%	0.0417	✓	0.69	52k	2022-02-07
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.47	9.2854	-1.95%	7.41	-21.75%	0.2220	✓	-0.07	1.8M	2022-02-07
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3854	1.3595	-1.87%	1.0706	-22.72%	0.2971	✓	1.14	30.5M	2022-02-07
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.875	2.8219	-1.85%	3.4602	+20.35%	0.1449	✗	1.16	2.6M	2022-02-07
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.515	1.4872	-1.83%	1.3981	-7.72%	0.1053	✓	0.85	663k	2022-02-07
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.088	7.9445	-1.77%	6.962	-13.92%	0.1649	✓	0.64	231k	2022-02-07
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.93	4.8544	-1.53%	4.06	-17.65%	0.2351	✓	1.10	2.1M	2022-02-07
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	25.31	24.9831	-1.29%	18.88	-25.40%	0.3416	✓	1.20	69.2M	2022-02-07
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1998	1.1848	-1.25%	1.3002	+8.37%	0.0416	✗	1.01	3.4M	2022-02-07
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.4	8.3001	-1.19%	6	-28.57%	0.3702	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-07
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.44	9.3304	-1.16%	7.38	-21.82%	0.2684	✓	0.66	1.2M	2022-02-07
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0197	1.0089	-1.06%	0.96686	-5.18%	0.1335	✓	1.78	1.0M	2022-02-07
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.377	1.3625	-1.05%	1.495	+8.57%	0.0237	✗	1.35	5.2M	2022-02-07
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.9606	0.950529	-1.05%	0.7902	-17.74%	0.2560	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-07
XYM	Symbol	native	0.185	0.183112	-1.02%	0.1916	+3.57%	0.0122	✗	0.65	441k	2022-02-07
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	32.9	32.5732	-0.99%	24.04	-26.93%	0.3751	✓	1.40	24.8M	2022-02-07
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.95	20.7453	-0.98%	16.8	-19.81%	0.2641	✓	1.04	1.2M	2022-02-07
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	35.22	34.9252	-0.84%	47.22	+34.07%	0.2464	✗	1.08	20.0M	2022-02-07
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.02	4.9783	-0.83%	5.9	+17.53%	0.1112	✗	1.15	3.3M	2022-02-07
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.81	7.7452	-0.83%	6.79	-13.06%	0.1703	✓	0.76	771k	2022-02-07
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.257	2.2384	-0.82%	2.094	-7.22%	0.1218	✓	1.08	1.8M	2022-02-07
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.946	18.803	-0.76%	20.309	+7.19%	0.0059	✓	1.63	13.6M	2022-02-07
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04885	0.048537	-0.64%	0.04657	-4.67%	0.0989	✓	1.13	16k	2022-02-07
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01326	0.013176	-0.64%	0.01211	-8.67%	0.1342	✓	0.98	764k	2022-02-07
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.77	9.7091	-0.62%	10.4	+6.45%	0.0312	✗	0.74	1.1M	2022-02-07
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0739	0.073447	-0.61%	0.079	+6.90%	0.0185	✗	1.07	16k	2022-02-07
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0509	2.039	-0.58%	1.9231	-6.23%	0.1150	✓	1.11	90k	2022-02-07
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5755	0.572154	-0.58%	0.535	-7.04%	0.1361	✓	1.35	2.8M	2022-02-07
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.12	2.1088	-0.53%	1.93	-8.96%	0.1435	✓	1.08	3.6M	2022-02-07
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.613	4.59	-0.50%	4.576	-0.80%	0.0355	✓	0.63	488k	2022-02-07
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	35	34.8257	-0.50%	32.06	-8.40%	0.1658	✓	1.63	2.8M	2022-02-07
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,684.84	41,493.92	-0.46%	43,868.07	+5.24%	0.0046	✓	1.00	743.8M	2022-02-07
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.79	141.1879	-0.42%	115.9	-18.26%	0.2607	✓	1.24	1.9M	2022-02-07
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3129	0.311669	-0.39%	0.2714	-13.26%	0.2027	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-07
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009632	0.000095948	-0.39%	0.00009007	-6.49%	0.1142	✓	1.00	6.8M	2022-02-07
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	189.37	188.7203	-0.34%	145.96	-22.92%	0.3163	✓	1.16	195k	2022-02-07
XMR	Monero	Monero	183.67	183.0458	-0.34%	185.08	+0.77%	0.0411	✓	1.02	3.0M	2022-02-07
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.55	6.5282	-0.33%	5.62	-14.20%	0.1822	✓	0.63	686k	2022-02-07
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.92	14.8793	-0.27%	12.38	-17.02%	0.2496	✓	1.29	13.4M	2022-02-07
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10244	0.102228	-0.21%	0.10441	+1.92%	0.0363	✓	1.12	23k	2022-02-07
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01495	0.014922	-0.19%	0.01584	+5.95%	0.0065	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-02-07
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.059866	0.059758	-0.18%	0.042745	-28.60%	0.4015	✓	1.30	7.3M	2022-02-07
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		107.28	107.0921	-0.18%	101.78	-5.13%	0.0992	✓	0.95	2.8M	2022-02-07
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.24	14.2176	-0.16%	16.23	+13.97%	0.0987	✗	0.66	1.1M	2022-02-07
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1747	0.174444	-0.15%	0.1593	-8.82%	0.1374	✓	0.91	490k	2022-02-07
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	172.86	172.6281	-0.13%	154.1	-10.85%	0.1621	✓	0.95	7.7M	2022-02-07
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002775	0.000027734	-0.06%	0.00003255	+17.30%	0.0969	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-02-07
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	212.32	212.2099	-0.05%	182.29	-14.14%	0.2112	✓	1.16	17.6M	2022-02-07
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.23	1.2299	-0.01%	1.073	-12.76%	0.2043	✓	1.33	3.3M	2022-02-07
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	29.46	29.4615	+0.00%	24.52	-16.77%	0.2370	✗	1.05	21.2M	2022-02-07
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.24	3.2402	+0.01%	3.09	-4.63%	0.1004	✗	1.04	715k	2022-02-07
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	240.09	240.1165	+0.01%	198.23	-17.44%	0.2504	✗	1.15	1.3M	2022-02-07
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24	24.0054	+0.02%	22.37	-6.79%	0.1369	✗	1.30	71.0M	2022-02-07
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,080.48	3,081.25	+0.03%	3,141.89	+1.99%	0.0343	✗	1.05	619.8M	2022-02-07
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	156.3963	156.444	+0.03%	105.8832	-32.30%	0.4470	✗	1.11	560k	2022-02-07
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0811	0.081133	+0.04%	0.0915	+12.82%	0.0501	✓	1.37	1.2M	2022-02-07
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.255091	0.255204	+0.04%	0.239623	-6.06%	0.1149	✗	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-07
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0541	3.0565	+0.08%	2.3627	-22.64%	0.3136	✗	1.10	710k	2022-02-07
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.515	0.515459	+0.09%	0.384	-25.44%	0.3602	✗	1.29	2.1M	2022-02-07
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029005	0.029037	+0.11%	0.023054	-20.52%	0.2829	✗	1.02	6.6M	2022-02-07
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3573	5.3636	+0.12%	5.4029	+0.85%	0.0536	✗	1.19	457k	2022-02-07
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.85	7.8619	+0.15%	6.65	-15.29%	0.1985	✗	0.61	788k	2022-02-07
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.37	29.4163	+0.16%	32.66	+11.20%	0.0515	✓	1.04	3.3M	2022-02-07
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1789	6.1888	+0.16%	7.3085	+18.28%	0.1234	✓	0.84	3.7M	2022-02-07
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07317	0.073295	+0.17%	0.04107	-43.87%	0.6422	✗	1.23	19.5M	2022-02-07
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.86	8.8764	+0.18%	6.61	-25.40%	0.3435	✗	0.95	4.3M	2022-02-07
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.5972	7.6115	+0.19%	7.4703	-1.67%	0.0914	✗	1.42	263k	2022-02-07
ZEN	Horizen	Base	54.36	54.4657	+0.19%	48.2	-11.33%	0.1982	✗	1.49	802k	2022-02-07
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.07	3.0766	+0.22%	2.82	-8.14%	0.1373	✗	0.98	977k	2022-02-07
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.354	0.354864	+0.24%	0.285	-19.49%	0.2560	✗	0.72	39k	2022-02-07
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3125	0.313426	+0.30%	0.3267	+4.54%	0.0094	✗	1.00	293k	2022-02-07
XVG	Verge	native	0.01392	0.013967	+0.34%	0.01222	-12.21%	0.1953	✗	1.21	2.1M	2022-02-07
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.92	13.9679	+0.34%	10.33	-25.79%	0.3598	✗	1.14	3.4M	2022-02-07
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3151	0.316216	+0.35%	0.3247	+3.05%	0.0495	✗	1.49	3.8M	2022-02-07
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	83.91	84.2888	+0.45%	83.23	-0.81%	0.0713	✗	1.15	115.7M	2022-02-07
XEM	NEM	native	0.1141	0.114637	+0.47%	0.1175	+2.98%	0.0288	✗	1.05	69k	2022-02-07
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1115	0.112052	+0.50%	0.0948	-14.98%	0.2237	✗	1.11	296k	2022-02-07
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.1003	0.10081	+0.51%	0.06292	-37.27%	0.5459	✗	1.46	2.5M	2022-02-07
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7737	3.7934	+0.52%	4.8233	+27.81%	0.2442	✓	-0.08	364k	2022-02-07
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.5246	1.533	+0.55%	1.1664	-23.49%	0.3717	✗	1.93	1.3M	2022-02-07
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,111.98	33,299.23	+0.57%	26,559.72	-19.79%	0.2589	✗	0.64	23.0M	2022-02-07
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6366	0.640247	+0.57%	0.6374	+0.13%	0.0684	✗	1.25	4.5M	2022-02-07
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	27.71	27.8763	+0.60%	21.81	-21.29%	0.3392	✗	1.84	5.4M	2022-02-07
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1827	1.1899	+0.61%	1.1991	+1.39%	0.0483	✗	1.10	97.2M	2022-02-07
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0756	1.0823	+0.62%	0.9985	-7.17%	0.1306	✗	0.98	21.4M	2022-02-07
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.303	4.3303	+0.63%	3.76	-12.62%	0.1813	✗	0.78	942k	2022-02-07
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.657	3.6807	+0.65%	3.306	-9.60%	0.1418	✗	0.68	483k	2022-02-07
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0592	0.059614	+0.70%	0.0369	-37.67%	0.5480	✗	1.34	1.5M	2022-02-07
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.742	0.747738	+0.77%	0.583	-21.43%	0.3222	✗	1.44	7.7M	2022-02-07
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	129.51	130.5582	+0.81%	137.43	+6.12%	0.0173	✗	1.34	36.2M	2022-02-07
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.84	6.8973	+0.84%	7.753	+13.35%	0.0526	✓	1.26	291k	2022-02-07
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2557	0.257875	+0.85%	0.2345	-8.29%	0.1622	✗	1.32	4.6M	2022-02-07
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0005	4.0358	+0.88%	4.1408	+3.51%	0.0430	✗	1.35	4.7M	2022-02-07
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.84	29.0955	+0.89%	25.54	-11.44%	0.2078	✗	1.52	1.0M	2022-02-07
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1327	0.133964	+0.95%	0.1248	-5.95%	0.1325	✗	1.21	2.1M	2022-02-07
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.15079	0.152256	+0.97%	0.165291	+9.62%	0.0263	✓	1.09	4.6M	2022-02-07
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.94	28.2419	+1.08%	28.02	+0.29%	0.0433	✗	0.69	385k	2022-02-07
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.164	0.165798	+1.10%	0.1382	-15.73%	0.2451	✗	1.24	4.5M	2022-02-07
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.708399	0.716192	+1.10%	0.67955	-4.07%	0.1105	✗	1.14	2.8M	2022-02-07
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018696	0.018914	+1.17%	0.01721	-7.95%	0.1565	✗	1.22	2.5M	2022-02-07
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	372.84	377.3281	+1.20%	343.12	-7.97%	0.1469	✗	1.02	8.8M	2022-02-07
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.9971	4.0464	+1.23%	3.5646	-10.82%	0.1912	✗	1.26	4.4M	2022-02-07
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,892.20	42,429.03	+1.28%	43,893.50	+4.78%	0.0162	✗	0.98	9,204	2022-02-07
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.75	2.7881	+1.39%	2.27	-17.45%	0.2730	✗	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-07
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.04	1.0552	+1.46%	0.854	-17.88%	0.2603	✗	0.95	2.2M	2022-02-07
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.886	1.9158	+1.58%	1.868	-0.95%	0.0839	✗	1.15	2.4M	2022-02-07
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	143.63	146.0206	+1.66%	128.86	-10.28%	0.1931	✗	1.33	10.6M	2022-02-07
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.44	1.4647	+1.71%	1.24	-13.89%	0.2525	✗	1.68	831k	2022-02-07
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5732	0.583064	+1.72%	0.5065	-11.64%	0.2070	✗	1.30	12.2M	2022-02-07
SOL	Solana	Solana	142.17	144.7899	+1.84%	117.62	-17.27%	0.2646	✗	1.11	203.4M	2022-02-07
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.065402	0.066905	+2.30%	0.068517	+4.76%	0.0246	✗	0.95	556k	2022-02-07
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.07	1.1099	+3.73%	0.6483	-39.41%	0.5842	✗	0.91	3.7M	2022-02-07

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.