2022-01-03 · +30d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1567

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+27.49%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

72.5%

in alpha space · 78.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-20.53%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02216	0.019276	-13.02%	0.00607	-72.61%	0.9257	✓	1.00	29.0M	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	13.72	11.9699	-12.76%	7.54	-45.04%	0.4626	✓	-0.00	3.7M	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6303	1.4237	-12.67%	0.9455	-42.00%	0.0924	✓	1.38	5.5M	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.81	11.2159	-12.44%	5.77	-54.96%	0.5263	✓	0.60	1.3M	2022-02-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.89	3.4165	-12.17%	1.9	-51.16%	0.2828	✓	1.32	11.2M	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.64	0.563013	-12.03%	0.5361	-16.23%	0.2707	✗	1.39	650k	2022-02-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8413	0.741554	-11.86%	0.4666	-44.54%	0.0695	✓	1.71	31.9M	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.53	5.8043	-11.11%	3.11	-52.37%	0.3134	✓	1.35	29.3M	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.29	10.0671	-10.83%	5.22	-53.76%	0.4641	✓	0.84	1.2M	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1235	0.110219	-10.75%	0.0786	-36.36%	0.1084	✓	1.00	35.9M	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	88.92	79.3941	-10.71%	47.6	-46.47%	0.2819	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.13	3.7191	-9.95%	3.4	-17.68%	0.1400	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.17	3.7675	-9.65%	2.18	-47.72%	0.3173	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.57	4.1291	-9.65%	3.03	-33.70%	0.0798	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7949	1.6285	-9.27%	0.9235	-48.55%	0.3118	✓	1.11	30.0M	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.605	4.1998	-8.80%	3.3042	-28.25%	0.0809	✓	0.69	18k	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19941	0.182132	-8.66%	0.19118	-4.13%	0.4086	✗	1.57	6,519	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0025	0.918038	-8.43%	0.8666	-13.56%	0.1721	✗	1.00	146k	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.29	36.2402	-7.76%	26.33	-32.99%	0.1109	✓	0.91	43.4M	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.467	3.1982	-7.75%	2.582	-25.53%	0.1527	✗	1.60	1.9M	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.84	38.7199	-7.46%	26.55	-36.54%	0.0015	✓	1.65	2.8M	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.374	0.346715	-7.30%	0.278	-25.67%	0.0076	✓	0.99	293k	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5394	1.4278	-7.25%	1.0423	-32.29%	0.0964	✓	0.95	3.7M	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.14	1.0586	-7.14%	0.64	-43.86%	0.2735	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6942	0.645126	-7.07%	0.4277	-38.39%	0.1066	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.94026	0.875917	-6.84%	0.5718	-39.19%	0.1696	✓	1.12	2.8M	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.381	3.1566	-6.64%	2.235	-33.90%	0.1511	✓	0.85	41k	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2506	3.0361	-6.60%	2.537	-21.95%	0.0367	✓	0.94	5.9M	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.23	36.6994	-6.45%	18.01	-54.09%	0.2988	✓	1.80	5.7M	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1352	0.12684	-6.18%	0.0794	-41.27%	0.2220	✓	1.07	310k	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05248	0.049268	-6.12%	0.02927	-44.23%	0.3149	✓	0.90	8.2M	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.02023	0.019069	-5.74%	0.0126	-37.72%	0.2660	✓	0.65	36k	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01573	0.014827	-5.74%	0.00983	-37.51%	0.1916	✓	0.96	817k	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.363	21.091	-5.69%	17.776	-20.51%	0.2043	✗	1.63	14.1M	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11092	0.104726	-5.58%	0.07379	-33.47%	0.2029	✓	0.64	55k	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2437	1.1743	-5.58%	0.6281	-49.50%	0.3043	✓	1.40	1.9M	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.56	10.9342	-5.41%	6.53	-43.51%	0.5539	✓	-0.17	2.3M	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3019	1.2321	-5.36%	0.81012	-37.77%	0.0143	✓	1.76	1.3M	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8521	1.7544	-5.27%	1.1125	-39.93%	0.2710	✓	0.80	689k	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.57	3.3869	-5.13%	2.46	-31.09%	0.0711	✓	1.08	626k	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003307	0.000031398	-5.06%	0.00002064	-37.59%	0.1333	✓	1.25	1.7M	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	7.19	6.8269	-5.05%	5.33	-25.87%	0.0141	✓	1.14	3.3M	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.796	2.6689	-4.55%	1.696	-39.34%	0.2185	✓	1.02	1.9M	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	94.38	90.0887	-4.55%	49.12	-47.96%	0.3856	✓	0.96	6.3M	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.7	23.5779	-4.54%	13.76	-44.29%	0.3022	✓	1.03	1.3M	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	108.09	103.4623	-4.28%	67.87	-37.21%	0.1655	✓	1.11	119.6M	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		13.612	13.0326	-4.26%	7.564	-44.43%	0.5569	✓	-0.06	98k	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3948	1.3385	-4.04%	1.8613	+33.45%	0.5824	✗	1.10	926k	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3888	0.374372	-3.71%	0.2783	-28.42%	0.0456	✗	1.49	3.4M	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	8.51	8.196	-3.69%	4.09	-51.94%	0.3945	✓	1.31	17.7M	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3842	1.3341	-3.62%	0.8404	-39.29%	0.2470	✓	0.94	21.2M	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.44	61.508	-3.05%	38.13	-39.90%	0.1317	✓	1.51	837k	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1177	3.0348	-2.66%	3.0352	-2.65%	0.2755	✗	1.20	3.1M	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.64	0.623126	-2.64%	0.316	-50.63%	0.3891	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.01731	0.016864	-2.58%	0.00978	-43.50%	0.2707	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0636	0.062092	-2.37%	0.035872	-43.60%	0.2292	✓	1.39	7.5M	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.436	9.2134	-2.36%	5.754	-39.02%	0.3305	✓	0.61	302k	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3721	0.363608	-2.28%	0.2314	-37.81%	0.1593	✓	1.27	3.4M	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	231.81	226.5355	-2.28%	145.08	-37.41%	0.2148	✓	1.00	3.2M	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4392	6.3035	-2.11%	6.8016	+5.63%	0.2693	✗	0.84	3.9M	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05659	0.05541	-2.09%	0.03913	-30.85%	0.0952	✓	1.10	15k	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	267.25	261.7479	-2.06%	151.26	-43.40%	0.2885	✓	1.13	12.6M	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.72	34.0383	-1.96%	26.29	-24.28%	0.0194	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3545	2.3084	-1.96%	1.6005	-32.02%	0.1080	✓	1.12	100k	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.086	0.084326	-1.95%	0.0643	-25.23%	0.0248	✓	1.07	20k	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.56	5.4555	-1.88%	3.37	-39.39%	0.2080	✓	1.19	2.1M	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.6	8.447	-1.78%	6.05	-29.65%	0.1585	✓	0.76	773k	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.22	39.5216	-1.74%	42.9	+6.66%	0.3243	✗	1.05	19.4M	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.43	3.377	-1.55%	2.41	-29.74%	0.1081	✓	1.00	995k	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.18	14.9461	-1.54%	14.09	-7.18%	0.0985	✗	0.69	1.2M	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.616	1.5914	-1.52%	0.883	-45.36%	0.2923	✓	1.29	3.4M	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	38,753.93	38,165.67	-1.52%	23,029.36	-40.58%	0.3666	✓	0.60	15.7M	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.290288	0.286093	-1.45%	0.193151	-33.46%	0.1593	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.47	18.2067	-1.43%	10.53	-42.99%	0.2527	✓	1.28	14.1M	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.682	1.658	-1.42%	1.279	-23.96%	0.0532	✗	1.36	6.0M	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.777	4.712	-1.36%	3.166	-33.72%	0.2231	✓	0.76	1.2M	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	139.05	137.1724	-1.35%	93.05	-33.08%	0.0969	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011648	0.000114966	-1.30%	0.00007582	-34.91%	0.1908	✓	0.98	7.4M	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0456	2.0199	-1.26%	0.8664	-57.65%	0.4151	✓	1.88	1.5M	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12106	0.11972	-1.11%	0.08941	-26.14%	0.0389	✓	1.10	26k	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2058	0.203628	-1.06%	0.1756	-14.67%	0.0110	✓	0.60	428k	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.65	286.9207	-0.94%	162.31	-43.96%	0.3134	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,766.04	3,733.58	-0.86%	2,682.66	-28.77%	0.0920	✓	1.04	654.8M	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1004	0.099569	-0.83%	0.0599	-40.34%	0.1950	✓	1.36	1.6M	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,459.56	46,116.12	-0.74%	36,923.39	-20.53%	0.0074	✗	1.00	727.0M	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	191.896	190.5178	-0.72%	73.5972	-61.65%	0.6843	✓	1.16	574k	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.72	23.5515	-0.71%	15.79	-33.43%	0.0957	✓	1.32	69.2M	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7048	0.699855	-0.70%	0.5398	-23.41%	0.0319	✗	1.27	5.3M	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.27	9.2057	-0.69%	5.49	-40.78%	0.2607	✓	1.12	3.9M	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.152	5.1181	-0.66%	3.998	-22.40%	0.1083	✓	0.60	598k	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.197	0.195754	-0.63%	0.11	-44.16%	0.3041	✓	1.19	2.4M	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.56	2.5441	-0.62%	1.63	-36.33%	0.2020	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		122.18	121.4561	-0.59%	90	-26.34%	0.0807	✓	0.95	3.2M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3005	0.298759	-0.58%	0.1803	-40.00%	0.2052	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.51	10.45	-0.57%	9.36	-10.94%	0.0614	✗	0.75	1.3M	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.2052	9.1558	-0.54%	6.025	-34.55%	0.0933	✓	1.42	273k	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.127	0.126332	-0.53%	0.1015	-20.08%	0.0339	✗	1.10	115k	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	148.43	147.6538	-0.52%	108.36	-27.00%	0.0001	✓	1.35	38.3M	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.414	0.41187	-0.51%	0.25	-39.61%	0.3311	✓	0.73	41k	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.316	8.2749	-0.49%	5.883	-29.26%	0.0508	✓	1.26	354k	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.5792	3.5621	-0.48%	2.1064	-41.15%	0.2805	✓	1.07	754k	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1984	0.197541	-0.43%	0.1348	-32.06%	0.1739	✓	0.91	527k	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	434.61	433.0924	-0.35%	278	-36.03%	0.2108	✓	1.01	9.1M	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.52	15.4699	-0.32%	7.83	-49.55%	0.4156	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.64	31.5624	-0.25%	23.57	-25.51%	0.1364	✓	0.68	385k	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01736	0.017331	-0.17%	0.00952	-45.16%	0.3028	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	178.99	178.7029	-0.16%	113.54	-36.57%	0.2334	✓	0.96	8.7M	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.152	4.1465	-0.13%	3.03	-27.02%	0.1614	✓	0.66	483k	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.08	35.04	-0.11%	20.19	-42.45%	0.3122	✓	1.04	22.7M	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033837	0.033829	-0.02%	0.020246	-40.17%	0.2781	✓	1.02	7.8M	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	30.09	30.0985	+0.03%	18.76	-37.65%	0.1767	✗	1.29	72.5M	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	150.55	150.6083	+0.04%	98.35	-34.67%	0.1159	✗	1.35	10.3M	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.21	7.2163	+0.09%	5.04	-30.10%	0.2124	✗	0.64	861k	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0855	0.085593	+0.11%	0.0418	-51.11%	0.4372	✗	1.22	20.9M	2022-02-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5062	1.5082	+0.13%	0.37	-75.43%	1.2174	✗	0.82	4.5M	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.1828	6.193	+0.17%	4.6307	-25.10%	0.0148	✗	1.20	577k	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	36.41	36.4761	+0.18%	20.09	-44.82%	0.2451	✗	1.53	1.1M	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.72	1.7242	+0.24%	1.36	-20.93%	0.1578	✓	1.72	1.0M	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	222.2	222.7551	+0.25%	121.22	-45.45%	0.3453	✗	1.15	210k	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.89	8.915	+0.28%	6.02	-32.28%	0.2537	✗	0.60	869k	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7914	3.8031	+0.31%	4.1355	+9.08%	0.0582	✓	-0.11	374k	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3186	1.3239	+0.40%	1.0268	-22.13%	0.0023	✓	1.10	98.5M	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0731	0.073413	+0.43%	0.034	-53.49%	0.4485	✗	1.40	1.7M	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2052	0.206115	+0.45%	0.1092	-46.78%	0.3503	✗	1.24	4.8M	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.904	0.908232	+0.47%	0.465	-48.56%	0.3313	✗	1.47	8.1M	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.24	1.2462	+0.50%	0.719	-42.02%	0.3337	✗	0.94	2.5M	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,018.20	46,291.35	+0.59%	37,883.40	-17.68%	0.0243	✓	0.98	10k	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.265	2.2787	+0.60%	1.589	-29.85%	0.1028	✗	1.12	2.7M	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.170103	0.171396	+0.76%	0.137104	-19.40%	0.0298	✓	1.10	4.7M	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	29.28	29.5223	+0.83%	21.59	-26.26%	0.0106	✓	1.41	24.2M	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.076988	0.077626	+0.83%	0.058639	-23.83%	0.0646	✗	0.94	552k	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.8156	4.8559	+0.84%	3.7524	-22.08%	0.0488	✓	1.33	4.9M	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.25	3.281	+0.95%	1.87	-42.46%	0.2624	✗	1.30	3.0M	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.6279	4.6788	+1.10%	3.1357	-32.24%	0.1034	✗	1.29	5.0M	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022053	0.022318	+1.20%	0.014783	-32.97%	0.1351	✗	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	170.13	172.2494	+1.25%	101.99	-40.05%	0.2791	✗	1.07	217.0M	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6582	0.667836	+1.46%	0.4048	-38.50%	0.2034	✗	1.29	11.4M	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09008	0.092669	+2.87%	0.05325	-40.89%	0.2199	✗	1.45	3.0M	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.