2021-12-30 · +30d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3054

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+22.20%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

83.2%

in alpha space · 96.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-18.95%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SOL	Solana	Solana	172.52	172.9212	+0.23%	96.25	-44.21%	0.3850	✗	0.96	248.9M	2022-01-29
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.171183	0.17151	+0.19%	0.143169	-16.36%	0.0509	✓	1.10	5.5M	2022-01-29
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.077853	0.07743	-0.54%	0.060341	-22.49%	0.0533	✓	0.93	607k	2022-01-29
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	47,122.08	46,736.81	-0.82%	38,191.10	-18.95%	0.0082	✗	1.00	750.8M	2022-01-29
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	19.94	19.7636	-0.88%	16.24	-18.56%	0.0687	✗	1.26	69.7M	2022-01-29
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	47,186.00	46,730.87	-0.96%	38,181.60	-19.08%	0.0021	✓	0.97	9,204	2022-01-29
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.09	3.0507	-1.27%	1.92	-37.86%	0.1927	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-01-29
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.13	5.0598	-1.37%	3.51	-31.58%	0.1204	✓	1.17	2.4M	2022-01-29
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	431.58	425.0879	-1.50%	299.03	-30.71%	0.1430	✓	0.99	9.8M	2022-01-29
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0828	0.08153	-1.53%	0.0653	-21.14%	0.0017	✓	1.05	18k	2022-01-29
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.53	27.0913	-1.59%	18.75	-31.89%	0.1047	✓	1.25	75.5M	2022-01-29
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.46	2.42	-1.63%	1.72	-30.08%	0.1299	✓	1.01	4.2M	2022-01-29
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.267	1.246	-1.66%	0.731	-42.30%	0.3374	✓	0.93	2.8M	2022-01-29
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.8384	8.6896	-1.68%	5.9616	-32.55%	0.0894	✓	1.37	280k	2022-01-29
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.27	3.2145	-1.70%	2.42	-25.99%	0.0790	✓	0.97	1.1M	2022-01-29
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0549	0.053948	-1.73%	0.04089	-25.52%	0.0563	✓	1.05	15k	2022-01-29
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11126	0.109189	-1.86%	0.08979	-19.30%	0.0361	✗	1.10	29k	2022-01-29
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.91	2.8557	-1.87%	2.245	-22.85%	0.0578	✓	0.87	65k	2022-01-29
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,710.02	3,637.59	-1.95%	2,603.74	-29.82%	0.1193	✓	1.02	752.6M	2022-01-29
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.13	6.9836	-2.05%	5.16	-27.63%	0.1691	✓	0.64	1.1M	2022-01-29
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.78	24.2529	-2.13%	20.18	-18.56%	0.1115	✗	1.41	24.1M	2022-01-29
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.302	8.122	-2.17%	6.128	-26.19%	0.0245	✓	1.22	392k	2022-01-29
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08851	0.086531	-2.24%	0.06396	-27.74%	0.0032	✓	1.45	4.0M	2022-01-29
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.37	15.0236	-2.25%	8.22	-46.52%	0.3654	✓	1.13	4.7M	2022-01-29
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.57	33.7653	-2.33%	25.34	-26.70%	0.0762	✓	1.00	4.7M	2022-01-29
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	199.64	194.8797	-2.38%	123.06	-38.36%	0.2242	✓	1.12	220k	2022-01-29
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07911	0.077213	-2.40%	0.05052	-36.14%	0.1640	✓	1.24	21.7M	2022-01-29
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022142	0.021586	-2.51%	0.014518	-34.43%	0.1385	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-01-29
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.795409	0.775405	-2.51%	0.565434	-28.91%	0.0920	✓	1.06	2.8M	2022-01-29
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.533	1.493	-2.61%	0.924	-39.73%	0.2115	✓	1.28	3.8M	2022-01-29
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010959	0.000106587	-2.74%	0.00007692	-29.81%	0.1185	✓	0.99	9.0M	2022-01-29
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.8078	3.7028	-2.76%	3.4878	-8.40%	0.0853	✓	-0.12	409k	2022-01-29
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	34.96	33.9853	-2.79%	20.29	-41.96%	0.3004	✓	1.03	23.3M	2022-01-29
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.4868	3.387	-2.86%	2.3362	-33.00%	0.1527	✓	1.04	819k	2022-01-29
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3585	1.3188	-2.92%	1.0603	-21.95%	0.0023	✓	1.05	114.6M	2022-01-29
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.37	0.359137	-2.94%	0.2425	-34.46%	0.1235	✓	1.28	4.3M	2022-01-29
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.063	2.0012	-2.99%	1.493	-27.63%	0.0569	✓	1.12	3.2M	2022-01-29
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01653	0.01602	-3.09%	0.0104	-37.08%	0.1651	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-01-29
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.01	23.2482	-3.17%	14.12	-41.19%	0.3480	✓	0.72	1.5M	2022-01-29
DASH	Dash	Dash	133.04	128.8129	-3.18%	96.55	-27.43%	0.0268	✓	1.24	2.0M	2022-01-29
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	32.06	31.0385	-3.19%	26.24	-18.15%	0.0341	✓	0.64	518k	2022-01-29
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.863	0.83418	-3.34%	0.508	-41.14%	0.1929	✓	1.44	8.7M	2022-01-29
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.87	8.5727	-3.35%	5.93	-33.15%	0.2422	✓	0.60	1.0M	2022-01-29
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.079	4.9043	-3.44%	4.042	-20.42%	0.0712	✓	0.58	798k	2022-01-29
XEM	NEM	native	0.1255	0.121167	-3.45%	0.1047	-16.57%	0.0773	✗	1.06	158k	2022-01-29
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	17.81	17.1917	-3.47%	11.16	-37.34%	0.1660	✓	1.27	15.5M	2022-01-29
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2007	0.19371	-3.48%	0.1205	-39.96%	0.2901	✓	0.88	655k	2022-01-29
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6466	0.623762	-3.53%	0.4104	-36.53%	0.1673	✓	1.20	11.8M	2022-01-29
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	147.94	142.6894	-3.55%	110.84	-25.08%	0.0287	✓	1.34	49.4M	2022-01-29
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.624	1.5651	-3.63%	1.364	-16.01%	0.1434	✗	1.34	7.9M	2022-01-29
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	33.99	32.7529	-3.64%	20.73	-39.01%	0.1501	✓	1.46	1.3M	2022-01-29
XVG	Verge	native	0.01711	0.016477	-3.70%	0.01002	-41.44%	0.2468	✓	1.19	2.5M	2022-01-29
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	280.04	269.3367	-3.82%	171.16	-38.88%	0.2254	✓	1.08	1.5M	2022-01-29
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.268	0.257738	-3.83%	0.203491	-24.07%	0.0232	✓	1.01	29.6M	2022-01-29
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.72	8.3802	-3.90%	6.08	-30.28%	0.1684	✓	0.73	1.1M	2022-01-29
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1856	0.17829	-3.94%	0.11	-40.73%	0.2406	✓	1.15	2.9M	2022-01-29
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1771	3.0499	-4.00%	2.9824	-6.13%	0.2330	✗	1.22	3.3M	2022-01-29
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8152	6.542	-4.01%	6.7736	-0.61%	0.1973	✗	0.77	4.0M	2022-01-29
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	178.71	171.4874	-4.04%	97.51	-45.44%	0.3646	✓	0.95	9.8M	2022-01-29
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.0654	5.815	-4.13%	4.851	-20.02%	0.0582	✗	1.14	653k	2022-01-29
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3407	4.1602	-4.16%	3.0915	-28.78%	0.0222	✓	1.31	4.9M	2022-01-29
XYM	Symbol	native	0.188	0.180058	-4.22%	0.1739	-7.50%	0.0804	✗	0.55	393k	2022-01-29
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.048	3.8727	-4.33%	3.009	-25.67%	0.1154	✓	0.65	514k	2022-01-29
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		122.49	117.1835	-4.33%	92.7	-24.32%	0.0357	✓	0.95	3.7M	2022-01-29
ZEN	Horizen	Base	61.58	58.8355	-4.46%	41.64	-32.38%	0.0482	✓	1.42	1.0M	2022-01-29
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.329	8.905	-4.54%	6.001	-35.67%	0.2631	✓	0.63	368k	2022-01-29
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.55	5.2973	-4.55%	5.4	-2.70%	0.2576	✗	1.13	4.3M	2022-01-29
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3222	1.2616	-4.58%	1.7284	+30.72%	0.5380	✗	1.06	1.0M	2022-01-29
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.13	1.078	-4.60%	0.66	-41.59%	0.2805	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-01-29
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.11	9.6392	-4.66%	9.17	-9.30%	0.1082	✗	0.75	1.4M	2022-01-29
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.45	14.7304	-4.66%	13.15	-14.89%	0.0281	✓	0.67	1.4M	2022-01-29
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0981	0.093372	-4.82%	0.0636	-35.17%	0.0921	✓	1.39	1.9M	2022-01-29
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.048	19.9992	-4.98%	17.542	-16.66%	0.2113	✗	1.63	17.5M	2022-01-29
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7283	0.691411	-5.07%	0.5251	-27.90%	0.0132	✓	1.25	6.2M	2022-01-29
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.208	0.197261	-5.16%	0.121	-41.83%	0.2374	✓	1.20	5.7M	2022-01-29
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4417	2.314	-5.23%	1.6081	-34.14%	0.1412	✓	1.06	147k	2022-01-29
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.403	0.381871	-5.24%	0.251	-37.72%	0.2638	✓	0.74	45k	2022-01-29
XMR	Monero	Monero	225.01	213.1241	-5.28%	153.67	-31.71%	0.1363	✓	0.91	2.9M	2022-01-29
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.89	36.825	-5.31%	41.73	+7.30%	0.3355	✗	1.00	20.7M	2022-01-29
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.061787	0.058427	-5.44%	0.039999	-35.26%	0.0895	✓	1.38	7.9M	2022-01-29
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.7081	4.4418	-5.66%	3.1573	-32.94%	0.0682	✓	1.30	5.0M	2022-01-29
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.32	8.7845	-5.75%	6.08	-34.76%	0.1319	✓	1.12	4.1M	2022-01-29
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1317	0.124077	-5.79%	0.0817	-37.97%	0.1930	✓	1.07	344k	2022-01-29
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.98	11.2814	-5.83%	6.1	-49.08%	0.4963	✓	0.56	1.4M	2022-01-29
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10085	0.094912	-5.89%	0.0727	-27.91%	0.1296	✓	0.65	74k	2022-01-29
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.643	2.487	-5.90%	1.758	-33.48%	0.1356	✓	1.01	2.2M	2022-01-29
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.04	11.3269	-5.92%	6.65	-44.77%	0.5675	✓	-0.17	3.7M	2022-01-29
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3349	0.314857	-5.98%	0.2671	-20.24%	0.0338	✓	0.94	293k	2022-01-29
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003376	0.000031705	-6.09%	0.00002166	-35.84%	0.1140	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-01-29
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	95.03	89.2241	-6.11%	49.58	-47.83%	0.3817	✓	0.98	7.4M	2022-01-29
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.6911	1.5857	-6.23%	0.4988	-70.50%	0.9750	✓	0.86	4.7M	2022-01-29
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01531	0.014351	-6.26%	0.01015	-33.70%	0.1462	✓	0.95	910k	2022-01-29
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.697	4.4016	-6.29%	3.258	-30.64%	0.1563	✓	0.69	1.0M	2022-01-29
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.2	0.187002	-6.50%	0.18677	-6.62%	0.3281	✗	1.57	9,235	2022-01-29
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.59	3.3566	-6.50%	2.31	-35.65%	0.1551	✓	1.04	787k	2022-01-29
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01945	0.018162	-6.62%	0.01347	-30.75%	0.1829	✓	0.55	43k	2022-01-29
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	185.6988	173.376	-6.64%	79.3124	-57.29%	0.5700	✓	1.01	648k	2022-01-29
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	10.83	10.1107	-6.64%	5.34	-50.69%	0.4577	✓	0.86	1.3M	2022-01-29
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.69	1.5765	-6.71%	0.85	-49.70%	0.2632	✓	1.69	1.2M	2022-01-29
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6956	0.648072	-6.83%	0.4637	-33.34%	0.0569	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-29
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.06	36.3505	-6.94%	20.07	-48.62%	0.2102	✓	1.83	6.8M	2022-01-29
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4189	0.389238	-7.08%	0.5693	+35.90%	0.6768	✗	1.41	793k	2022-01-29
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3713	0.344952	-7.10%	0.31	-16.51%	0.1875	✗	1.40	4.4M	2022-01-29
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033799	0.031386	-7.14%	0.022029	-34.82%	0.1337	✓	1.05	8.9M	2022-01-29
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.634	0.588672	-7.15%	0.333	-47.48%	0.3079	✓	1.25	2.8M	2022-01-29
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1947	1.1084	-7.22%	0.84787	-29.03%	0.0985	✗	1.74	1.4M	2022-01-29
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2896	0.268619	-7.24%	0.1844	-36.33%	0.1056	✓	1.29	5.6M	2022-01-29
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.203	1.1139	-7.41%	0.5968	-50.39%	0.3281	✓	1.41	2.3M	2022-01-29
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.9975	1.848	-7.48%	0.9684	-51.52%	0.2453	✓	1.91	1.5M	2022-01-29
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	30,177.90	27,902.50	-7.54%	24,297.65	-19.49%	0.0120	✓	0.60	10.4M	2022-01-29
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.57	4.2253	-7.54%	3.0631	-32.97%	0.1801	✓	0.67	25k	2022-01-29
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04892	0.045095	-7.82%	0.03035	-37.96%	0.2086	✓	0.89	9.1M	2022-01-29
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	84.84	77.9142	-8.16%	50.93	-39.97%	0.2150	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-01-29
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9199	0.84223	-8.44%	0.9037	-1.76%	0.2806	✗	1.00	146k	2022-01-29
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.19	27.6323	-8.47%	29.1	-3.61%	0.2413	✗	0.90	41.9M	2022-01-29
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0787	0.072026	-8.48%	0.0362	-54.00%	0.3964	✓	1.39	1.7M	2022-01-29
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02166	0.01982	-8.49%	0.00723	-66.62%	0.7983	✓	1.00	34.3M	2022-01-29
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.42	4.0442	-8.50%	3.69	-16.52%	0.1185	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-01-29
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	153.9	140.5859	-8.65%	96.39	-37.37%	0.1088	✓	1.28	11.8M	2022-01-29
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.33	3.9446	-8.90%	2.34	-45.96%	0.3121	✓	1.00	3.6M	2022-01-29
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	101.73	92.5746	-9.00%	71.95	-29.27%	0.0286	✓	1.06	127.7M	2022-01-29
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2879	2.9905	-9.04%	2.372	-27.86%	0.0328	✓	0.95	7.1M	2022-01-29
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.755	1.5926	-9.26%	1.154	-34.24%	0.1547	✓	0.80	946k	2022-01-29
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.579	3.244	-9.36%	2.667	-25.48%	0.0143	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-01-29
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7299	1.5671	-9.41%	0.9693	-43.97%	0.2550	✓	1.07	31.7M	2022-01-29
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	262.93	238.0578	-9.46%	154.04	-41.41%	0.2073	✓	1.08	11.4M	2022-01-29
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.4845	1.3427	-9.55%	1.0479	-29.41%	0.0422	✓	0.98	4.8M	2022-01-29
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	40.32	36.3161	-9.93%	27.09	-32.81%	0.0574	✓	1.67	3.0M	2022-01-29
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	5.14	4.6255	-10.01%	2.83	-44.94%	0.2812	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-01-29
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.4266	1.2826	-10.10%	0.8302	-41.81%	0.2441	✓	0.91	23.6M	2022-01-29
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.11	4.57	-10.57%	2.99	-41.49%	0.1508	✓	1.30	28.7M	2022-01-29
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		12.775	11.3804	-10.92%	7.324	-42.67%	0.4541	✓	-0.06	119k	2022-01-29
HIVE	Hive	native	1.5179	1.3374	-11.89%	0.952	-37.28%	0.0515	✓	1.37	6.4M	2022-01-29
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	10.25	9.0294	-11.91%	4.19	-59.12%	0.4918	✓	1.31	16.5M	2022-01-29
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12.93	11.2959	-12.64%	7.35	-43.16%	0.4308	✓	-0.00	4.6M	2022-01-29
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	4.72	4.0822	-13.51%	2.36	-50.00%	0.3378	✓	1.00	15.2M	2022-01-29
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.9403	0.809416	-13.92%	0.6022	-35.96%	0.0559	✓	1.67	29.3M	2022-01-29

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.