XCH

Chia · native · lstm_s7

token id: #626
symbol: XCH
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-05-06
predictions: 3,642

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

75.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1412

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0388

actual -0.0875

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.4765	1.4098	-4.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	1.512	1.456	-3.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	1.5675	1.5052	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-18	oos	1.57	1.5082	-3.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-17	oos	1.6035	1.5307	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-16	oos	1.6015	1.5262	-4.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-15	oos	1.5965	1.5273	-4.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	1.576	1.5095	-4.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	1.6315	1.5636	-4.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	1.586	1.5231	-3.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-11	oos	1.5905	1.5366	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-10	oos	1.5935	1.5374	-3.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-09	oos	1.521	1.4755	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	1.469	1.4252	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-07	oos	1.495	1.4428	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-06	oos	1.5675	1.4955	-4.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-05	oos	1.5835	1.5046	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-04	oos	1.5855	1.5229	-3.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-03	oos	1.5745	1.519	-3.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	1.534	1.483	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	1.599	1.5354	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	1.625	1.5587	-4.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	1.593	1.5315	-3.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-28	oos	1.558	1.5007	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.5795	1.5173	-3.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-26	oos	1.649	1.5541	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-25	oos	1.6535	1.565	-5.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-24	oos	1.63	1.5697	-3.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	1.544	1.5056	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-22	oos	1.626	1.6031	-1.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-21	oos	1.721	1.6798	-2.40%	1.4765	-14.21%	0.0988	✓	0.66
2026-09-20	oos	1.5395	1.4835	-3.63%	1.512	-1.79%	0.0071	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	1.5355	1.4835	-3.39%	1.5675	+2.08%	0.0510	✗	0.55
2026-09-18	oos	1.5045	1.457	-3.16%	1.57	+4.35%	0.0672	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	1.4215	1.3649	-3.98%	1.6035	+12.80%	0.1303	✗	0.48
2026-09-16	oos	1.3805	1.3263	-3.93%	1.6015	+16.01%	0.1565	✗	0.47
2026-09-15	oos	1.367	1.3043	-4.58%	1.5965	+16.79%	0.1634	✗	0.47
2026-09-14	oos	1.471	1.3878	-5.65%	1.576	+7.14%	0.1096	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	1.479	1.3952	-5.66%	1.6315	+10.31%	0.1235	✗	0.42
2026-09-12	oos	1.494	1.4219	-4.83%	1.586	+6.16%	0.0860	✗	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	1.489	1.411	-5.24%	1.5905	+6.82%	0.0872	✗	0.40
2026-09-10	oos	1.493	1.4244	-4.60%	1.5935	+6.73%	0.0779	✗	0.43
2026-09-09	oos	1.5705	1.487	-5.31%	1.521	-3.15%	0.0014	✓	0.40
2026-09-08	oos	1.6185	1.5262	-5.71%	1.469	-9.24%	0.0546	✓	0.40
2026-09-07	oos	1.645	1.5568	-5.36%	1.495	-9.12%	0.0614	✓	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	1.4935	1.4473	-3.09%	1.5675	+4.95%	0.0483	✗	0.50
2026-09-05	oos	1.4495	1.4088	-2.81%	1.5835	+9.24%	0.0812	✗	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	1.416	1.3804	-2.52%	1.5855	+11.97%	0.0908	✗	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	1.441	1.4141	-1.87%	1.5745	+9.26%	0.0827	✗	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	1.419	1.3858	-2.34%	1.534	+8.10%	0.0508	✗	0.57
2026-09-01	oos	1.448	1.4335	-1.00%	1.599	+10.43%	0.0570	✗	0.57
2026-08-31	oos	1.4235	1.4096	-0.98%	1.625	+14.16%	0.1068	✗	0.57
2026-08-30	oos	1.413	1.427	+0.99%	1.593	+12.74%	0.0616	✓	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	1.3835	1.4225	+2.82%	1.558	+12.61%	0.0524	✓	0.60
2026-08-28	oos	1.3995	1.4351	+2.54%	1.5795	+12.86%	0.0470	✓	0.60
2026-08-27	oos	1.411	1.4627	+3.66%	1.649	+16.87%	0.0894	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	1.3785	1.4156	+2.69%	1.6535	+19.95%	0.1183	✓	0.60
2026-08-25	oos	1.387	1.4255	+2.77%	1.63	+17.52%	0.0893	✓	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	1.388	1.4369	+3.52%	1.544	+11.24%	0.0298	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	1.495	1.535	+2.67%	1.626	+8.76%	0.0146	✓	0.70
2026-08-22	oos	1.506	1.5674	+4.08%	1.721	+14.28%	0.0110	✓	0.71
2026-08-21	oos	1.5215	1.6156	+6.19%	1.5395	+1.18%	0.0733	✗	0.70
2026-08-20	oos	1.4405	1.4673	+1.86%	1.5355	+6.59%	0.0269	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	1.446	1.4029	-2.98%	1.5045	+4.05%	0.0559	✓	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	1.379	1.3181	-4.41%	1.4215	+3.08%	0.0586	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	1.383	1.3245	-4.23%	1.3805	-0.18%	0.0984	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	1.3765	1.3096	-4.86%	1.367	-0.69%	0.1139	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	1.328	1.2665	-4.63%	1.471	+10.77%	0.0313	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	1.3045	1.2457	-4.51%	1.479	+13.38%	0.0069	✓	0.83
2026-08-13	oos	1.315	1.2541	-4.63%	1.494	+13.61%	0.0182	✓	0.79
2026-08-12	oos	1.301	1.2417	-4.56%	1.489	+14.45%	0.0197	✓	0.82
2026-08-11	oos	1.3435	1.2787	-4.82%	1.493	+11.13%	0.0025	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	1.373	1.299	-5.39%	1.5705	+14.38%	0.0369	✓	0.75
2026-08-09	oos	1.333	1.2561	-5.77%	1.6185	+21.42%	0.1039	✗	0.79
2026-08-08	oos	1.4055	1.3215	-5.98%	1.645	+17.04%	0.0623	✗	0.79
2026-08-07	oos	1.3115	1.2417	-5.32%	1.4935	+13.88%	0.0125	✓	0.81
2026-08-06	oos	1.364	1.2932	-5.19%	1.4495	+6.27%	0.0629	✓	0.82
2026-08-05	oos	1.4595	1.3852	-5.09%	1.416	-2.98%	0.1512	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	1.5125	1.4315	-5.36%	1.441	-4.73%	0.1876	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	1.5395	1.4519	-5.69%	1.419	-7.83%	0.1852	✓	0.82
2026-08-02	oos	1.73	1.599	-7.57%	1.448	-16.30%	0.2629	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	1.456	1.3716	-5.80%	1.4235	-2.23%	0.1280	✓	0.74
2026-07-31	oos	1.416	1.3385	-5.47%	1.413	-0.21%	0.1015	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	1.4355	1.3719	-4.43%	1.3835	-3.62%	0.1320	✓	0.74
2026-07-29	oos	1.3685	1.3053	-4.62%	1.3995	+2.27%	0.0629	✓	0.67
2026-07-28	oos	1.334	1.271	-4.72%	1.411	+5.77%	0.0484	✓	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	1.2615	1.1986	-4.99%	1.3785	+9.27%	0.0018	✓	0.66
2026-07-26	oos	1.32	1.2677	-3.96%	1.387	+5.08%	0.0266	✓	0.63
2026-07-25	oos	1.2785	1.2248	-4.20%	1.388	+8.56%	0.0045	✓	0.63
2026-07-24	oos	1.156	1.1031	-4.58%	1.495	+29.33%	0.1859	✗	0.61
2026-07-23	oos	1.1585	1.1058	-4.55%	1.506	+30.00%	0.2052	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	1.2395	1.189	-4.08%	1.5215	+22.75%	0.1445	✗	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	1.2055	1.1513	-4.50%	1.4405	+19.49%	0.1680	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	1.206	1.1464	-4.95%	1.446	+19.90%	0.1919	✗	0.66
2026-07-19	oos	1.2805	1.2189	-4.81%	1.379	+7.69%	0.1235	✗	0.70
2026-07-18	oos	1.3235	1.2648	-4.44%	1.383	+4.50%	0.0929	✗	0.71
2026-07-17	oos	1.367	1.31	-4.17%	1.3765	+0.69%	0.0618	✗	0.73
2026-07-16	oos	1.3915	1.3364	-3.96%	1.328	-4.56%	0.0019	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	1.4815	1.4306	-3.43%	1.3045	-11.95%	0.0746	✓	0.65
2026-07-14	oos	1.4045	1.3587	-3.26%	1.315	-6.37%	0.0165	✓	0.66
2026-07-13	oos	1.4	1.3479	-3.72%	1.301	-7.07%	0.0482	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	1.427	1.3785	-3.40%	1.3435	-5.85%	0.0234	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	1.4505	1.397	-3.69%	1.373	-5.34%	0.0187	✓	0.66
2026-07-10	oos	1.4865	1.4316	-3.69%	1.333	-10.33%	0.0788	✓	0.67
2026-07-09	oos	1.537	1.4613	-4.93%	1.4055	-8.56%	0.0576	✓	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	1.5135	1.4208	-6.12%	1.3115	-13.35%	0.1072	✓	0.65
2026-07-07	oos	1.5565	1.4758	-5.18%	1.364	-12.37%	0.0885	✓	0.66
2026-07-06	oos	1.6195	1.5376	-5.06%	1.4595	-9.88%	0.0582	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	1.601	1.5239	-4.81%	1.5125	-5.53%	0.0123	✓	0.66
2026-07-04	oos	1.656	1.587	-4.17%	1.5395	-7.04%	0.0344	✓	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	1.6795	1.6146	-3.87%	1.73	+3.01%	0.0587	✗	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	1.7305	1.6678	-3.62%	1.456	-15.86%	0.1499	✓	0.69
2026-07-01	oos	1.753	1.6824	-4.03%	1.416	-19.22%	0.2053	✓	0.71
2026-06-30	oos	1.7225	1.6568	-3.81%	1.4355	-16.66%	0.2153	✓	0.71
2026-06-29	oos	1.5645	1.4982	-4.24%	1.3685	-12.53%	0.1392	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	1.617	1.5511	-4.08%	1.334	-17.50%	0.2085	✓	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	1.611	1.5569	-3.36%	1.2615	-21.69%	0.2598	✓	0.81
2026-06-26	oos	1.692	1.6371	-3.24%	1.32	-21.99%	0.2845	✓	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	1.705	1.6472	-3.39%	1.2785	-25.01%	0.3137	✓	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	1.706	1.6481	-3.40%	1.156	-32.24%	0.3979	✓	0.87
2026-06-23	oos	1.813	1.7461	-3.69%	1.1585	-36.10%	0.4412	✓	0.82
2026-06-22	oos	1.902	1.828	-3.89%	1.2395	-34.83%	0.4150	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	1.9005	1.8228	-4.09%	1.2055	-36.57%	0.4541	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	1.889	1.806	-4.39%	1.206	-36.16%	0.4164	✓	0.83
2026-06-19	oos	1.9255	1.8483	-4.01%	1.2805	-33.50%	0.3827	✓	0.83
2026-06-18	oos	1.999	1.9305	-3.43%	1.3235	-33.79%	0.4027	✓	0.84
2026-06-17	oos	2.022	1.9538	-3.37%	1.367	-32.39%	0.3499	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	2.0645	1.9907	-3.58%	1.3915	-32.60%	0.3338	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	2.088	2.0029	-4.08%	1.4815	-29.05%	0.2796	✓	0.92
2026-06-14	oos	2.1335	2.024	-5.13%	1.4045	-34.17%	0.3555	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	2.164	2.0395	-5.75%	1.4	-35.30%	0.3435	✓	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	2.022	1.9278	-4.66%	1.427	-29.43%	0.3037	✓	0.93
2026-06-11	oos	2.037	1.9372	-4.90%	1.4505	-28.79%	0.2924	✓	0.94
2026-06-10	oos	2.0015	1.8987	-5.14%	1.4865	-25.73%	0.2854	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	2.0585	1.9666	-4.46%	1.537	-25.33%	0.2692	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	2.193	2.075	-5.38%	1.5135	-30.98%	0.3033	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	2.216	2.1041	-5.05%	1.5565	-29.76%	0.3017	✓	0.92
2026-06-06	oos	2.026	1.933	-4.59%	1.6195	-20.06%	0.2181	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	2.179	2.0653	-5.22%	1.601	-26.53%	0.2871	✓	0.79
2026-06-04	oos	2.201	2.0715	-5.88%	1.656	-24.76%	0.2144	✓	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	2.203	2.0711	-5.99%	1.6795	-23.76%	0.1891	✓	0.85
2026-06-02	oos	2.25	2.0984	-6.74%	1.7305	-23.09%	0.1214	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	2.469	2.2944	-7.07%	1.753	-29.00%	0.1228	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	2.3375	2.1792	-6.77%	1.7225	-26.31%	0.0258	✓	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	2.356	2.1879	-7.14%	1.5645	-33.60%	0.1553	✓	0.88
2026-05-29	oos	2.447	2.2689	-7.28%	1.617	-33.92%	0.1498	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	2.33	2.1499	-7.73%	1.611	-30.86%	0.1038	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	2.5915	2.3858	-7.94%	1.692	-34.71%	0.1620	✓	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	2.707	2.4817	-8.32%	1.705	-37.02%	0.1768	✓	0.83
2026-05-25	oos	2.9605	2.6994	-8.82%	1.706	-42.37%	0.2576	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	2.755	2.5167	-8.65%	1.813	-34.19%	0.1492	✓	0.87
2026-05-23	oos	2.946	2.7005	-8.33%	1.902	-35.44%	0.1905	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	2.939	2.6967	-8.24%	1.9005	-35.34%	0.1941	✓	0.88
2026-05-21	oos	3.3705	3.1007	-8.01%	1.889	-43.95%	0.3441	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	3.6355	3.3195	-8.69%	1.9255	-47.04%	0.3845	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	3.3495	3.0706	-8.33%	1.999	-40.32%	0.2731	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	2.8305	2.6271	-7.19%	2.022	-28.56%	0.1161	✓	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	2.6575	2.4901	-6.30%	2.0645	-22.31%	0.0509	✓	0.83
2026-05-16	oos	2.614	2.4641	-5.74%	2.088	-20.12%	0.0288	✓	0.83
2026-05-15	oos	2.3905	2.2892	-4.24%	2.1335	-10.75%	0.0916	✗	0.88
2026-05-14	oos	2.5435	2.4529	-3.56%	2.164	-14.92%	0.0744	✗	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	2.524	2.4173	-4.23%	2.022	-19.89%	0.0152	✓	0.87
2026-05-12	oos	2.214	2.1522	-2.79%	2.037	-7.99%	0.1692	✗	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	2.32	2.2857	-1.48%	2.0015	-13.73%	0.1340	✗	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	2.433	2.3961	-1.52%	2.0585	-15.39%	0.1120	✗	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	2.34	2.306	-1.45%	2.193	-6.28%	0.1745	✗	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	2.404	2.3641	-1.66%	2.216	-7.82%	0.1477	✗	0.90
2026-05-07	oos	2.1825	2.1476	-1.60%	2.026	-7.17%	0.1808	✗	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	2.1115	2.0927	-0.89%	2.179	+3.20%	0.2893	✗	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	2.1215	2.1012	-0.96%	2.201	+3.75%	0.2279	✗	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	2.115	2.0827	-1.53%	2.203	+4.16%	0.2219	✗	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	2.138	2.1031	-1.63%	2.25	+5.24%	0.1909	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	2.148	2.1144	-1.56%	2.469	+14.94%	0.2288	✗	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	2.174	2.1254	-2.23%	2.3375	+7.52%	0.1414	✗	0.75
2026-04-30	oos	2.2595	2.1655	-4.16%	2.356	+4.27%	0.1103	✗	0.77
2026-04-29	oos	2.269	2.1541	-5.06%	2.447	+7.84%	0.1522	✗	0.77
2026-04-28	oos	2.262	2.1801	-3.62%	2.33	+3.01%	0.0951	✗	0.76
2026-04-27	oos	2.2705	2.2233	-2.08%	2.5915	+14.14%	0.1839	✗	0.76
2026-04-26	oos	2.366	2.3217	-1.87%	2.707	+14.41%	0.1816	✗	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	2.354	2.3578	+0.16%	2.9605	+25.76%	0.2316	✓	0.77
2026-04-24	oos	2.456	2.5181	+2.53%	2.755	+12.17%	0.0948	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	2.5985	2.682	+3.21%	2.946	+13.37%	0.1101	✓	0.77
2026-04-22	oos	2.781	2.8614	+2.89%	2.939	+5.68%	0.0546	✓	0.77
2026-04-21	oos	2.5855	2.6809	+3.69%	3.3705	+30.36%	0.2171	✓	0.76
2026-04-20	oos	2.4755	2.5641	+3.58%	3.6355	+46.86%	0.3333	✓	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	2.393	2.4017	+0.36%	3.3495	+39.97%	0.3038	✓	0.74
2026-04-18	oos	2.4445	2.5139	+2.84%	2.8305	+15.79%	0.1069	✓	0.74
2026-04-17	oos	2.288	2.361	+3.19%	2.6575	+16.15%	0.1153	✓	0.76
2026-04-16	oos	2.315	2.3532	+1.65%	2.614	+12.92%	0.0758	✓	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	2.1945	2.1789	-0.71%	2.3905	+8.93%	0.0510	✗	0.76
2026-04-14	oos	2.156	2.125	-1.44%	2.5435	+17.97%	0.1119	✗	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	2.2415	2.2382	-0.15%	2.524	+12.60%	0.0723	✗	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	2.2345	2.1813	-2.38%	2.214	-0.92%	0.0866	✓	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	2.3175	2.295	-0.97%	2.32	+0.11%	0.0766	✓	0.78
2026-04-10	oos	2.278	2.2436	-1.51%	2.433	+6.80%	0.0127	✓	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	2.3985	2.3655	-1.38%	2.34	-2.44%	0.1041	✓	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	2.3195	2.2725	-2.03%	2.404	+3.64%	0.0396	✓	0.80
2026-04-07	oos	2.3875	2.3436	-1.84%	2.1825	-8.59%	0.1559	✓	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	2.316	2.2472	-2.97%	2.1115	-8.83%	0.1942	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	2.3695	2.3035	-2.78%	2.1215	-10.47%	0.2073	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	2.3455	2.2618	-3.57%	2.115	-9.83%	0.2064	✓	0.81
2026-04-03	oos	2.391	2.283	-4.52%	2.138	-10.58%	0.1959	✓	0.82
2026-04-02	oos	2.4115	2.2925	-4.94%	2.148	-10.93%	0.1971	✓	0.81
2026-04-01	oos	2.504	2.4	-4.15%	2.174	-13.18%	0.2115	✓	0.81
2026-03-31	oos	2.606	2.5057	-3.85%	2.2595	-13.30%	0.1951	✓	0.82
2026-03-30	oos	2.6065	2.4997	-4.10%	2.269	-12.95%	0.2012	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	2.6315	2.516	-4.39%	2.262	-14.04%	0.2265	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	2.673	2.5589	-4.27%	2.2705	-15.06%	0.2465	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	2.605	2.4996	-4.04%	2.366	-9.17%	0.1949	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	2.8185	2.7078	-3.93%	2.354	-16.48%	0.2388	✓	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	2.842	2.7536	-3.11%	2.456	-13.58%	0.1824	✓	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	2.818	2.7244	-3.32%	2.5985	-7.79%	0.1329	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	2.7335	2.6523	-2.97%	2.781	+1.74%	0.0338	✓	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	2.6205	2.5339	-3.30%	2.5855	-1.34%	0.0763	✓	0.82
2026-03-21	oos	2.6535	2.5701	-3.14%	2.4755	-6.71%	0.1161	✓	0.82
2026-03-20	oos	2.6915	2.6072	-3.13%	2.393	-11.09%	0.1235	✓	0.82
2026-03-19	oos	2.731	2.63	-3.70%	2.4445	-10.49%	0.1388	✓	0.82
2026-03-18	oos	2.837	2.7612	-2.67%	2.288	-19.35%	0.2545	✓	0.84
2026-03-17	oos	3.1505	3.0592	-2.90%	2.315	-26.52%	0.2921	✓	0.81
2026-03-16	oos	2.982	2.9451	-1.24%	2.1945	-26.41%	0.2936	✓	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	2.779	2.7089	-2.52%	2.156	-22.42%	0.2431	✓	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	2.734	2.6265	-3.93%	2.2415	-18.01%	0.1941	✓	0.81
2026-03-13	oos	2.655	2.537	-4.45%	2.2345	-15.84%	0.1248	✓	0.81
2026-03-12	oos	2.6	2.5041	-3.69%	2.3175	-10.87%	0.1061	✓	0.81
2026-03-11	oos	2.569	2.4842	-3.30%	2.278	-11.33%	0.1181	✓	0.81
2026-03-10	oos	2.5265	2.4696	-2.25%	2.3985	-5.07%	0.0500	✓	0.80
2026-03-09	oos	2.5375	2.4839	-2.11%	2.3195	-8.59%	0.0992	✓	0.81
2026-03-08	oos	2.558	2.5002	-2.26%	2.3875	-6.67%	0.1181	✓	0.83
2026-03-07	oos	2.5055	2.446	-2.38%	2.316	-7.56%	0.0744	✓	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	2.6015	2.5466	-2.11%	2.3695	-8.92%	0.0830	✓	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	2.74	2.6939	-1.68%	2.3455	-14.40%	0.0952	✓	0.83
2026-03-04	oos	2.873	2.833	-1.39%	2.391	-16.78%	0.1016	✓	0.83
2026-03-03	oos	2.694	2.6192	-2.78%	2.4115	-10.49%	0.0653	✓	0.81
2026-03-02	oos	2.6565	2.5675	-3.35%	2.504	-5.74%	0.0167	✓	0.80
2026-03-01	oos	2.6205	2.55	-2.69%	2.606	-0.55%	0.0097	✓	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	2.7305	2.6596	-2.60%	2.6065	-4.54%	0.0172	✓	0.87
2026-02-27	oos	2.6915	2.6115	-2.97%	2.6315	-2.23%	0.0064	✓	0.87
2026-02-26	oos	2.6535	2.5893	-2.42%	2.673	+0.73%	0.0472	✗	0.88
2026-02-25	oos	2.631	2.5671	-2.43%	2.605	-0.99%	0.0361	✗	0.88
2026-02-24	oos	2.4055	2.3401	-2.72%	2.8185	+17.17%	0.1268	✗	0.84
2026-02-23	oos	2.605	2.5424	-2.40%	2.842	+9.10%	0.0307	✗	0.82
2026-02-22	oos	2.7395	2.6732	-2.42%	2.818	+2.87%	0.0182	✓	0.82
2026-02-21	oos	2.665	2.5865	-2.95%	2.7335	+2.57%	0.0209	✓	0.82
2026-02-20	oos	2.656	2.5607	-3.59%	2.6205	-1.34%	0.0248	✓	0.81
2026-02-19	oos	2.6135	2.5345	-3.02%	2.6535	+1.53%	0.0228	✓	0.81
2026-02-18	oos	2.717	2.614	-3.79%	2.6915	-0.94%	0.0197	✓	0.82
2026-02-17	oos	2.919	2.8307	-3.03%	2.731	-6.44%	0.0642	✓	0.79
2026-02-16	oos	2.927	2.8453	-2.79%	2.837	-3.07%	0.0302	✓	0.80
2026-02-15	oos	2.9665	2.8857	-2.72%	3.1505	+6.20%	0.0301	✗	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	3.097	3.0036	-3.02%	2.982	-3.71%	0.0635	✓	0.80
2026-02-13	oos	2.907	2.8254	-2.81%	2.779	-4.40%	0.0612	✓	0.79
2026-02-12	oos	2.814	2.7316	-2.93%	2.734	-2.84%	0.0558	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	2.993	2.9111	-2.74%	2.655	-11.29%	0.1342	✓	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	3.068	2.9788	-2.91%	2.6	-15.25%	0.1543	✓	0.74
2026-02-09	oos	3.0715	2.9729	-3.21%	2.569	-16.36%	0.1471	✓	0.74
2026-02-08	oos	3.255	3.1336	-3.73%	2.5265	-22.38%	0.2119	✓	0.76
2026-02-07	oos	3.4235	3.3158	-3.15%	2.5375	-25.88%	0.2586	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	3.331	3.2415	-2.69%	2.558	-23.21%	0.1817	✓	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	3.074	3.0241	-1.62%	2.5055	-18.49%	0.2463	✓	0.85
2026-02-04	oos	3.346	3.2389	-3.20%	2.6015	-22.25%	0.1392	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	3.36	3.2238	-4.05%	2.74	-18.45%	0.0886	✓	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	3.4535	3.2767	-5.12%	2.873	-16.81%	0.0399	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	3.429	3.2918	-4.00%	2.694	-21.43%	0.0587	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	3.547	3.393	-4.34%	2.6565	-25.11%	0.0821	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	3.751	3.5392	-5.65%	2.6205	-30.14%	0.0111	✓	1.27
2026-01-29	oos	3.924	3.7206	-5.18%	2.7305	-30.42%	0.0121	✓	1.28
2026-01-28	oos	4.0465	3.8151	-5.72%	2.6915	-33.49%	0.0515	✓	1.32
2026-01-27	oos	4.2235	4.0175	-4.88%	2.6535	-37.17%	0.0435	✓	1.34
2026-01-26	oos	4.199	4.0385	-3.82%	2.631	-37.34%	0.0864	✓	1.31
2026-01-25	oos	4.0075	3.8463	-4.02%	2.4055	-39.98%	0.0777	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	4.211	4.0527	-3.76%	2.605	-38.14%	0.0268	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	4.183	4.0258	-3.76%	2.7395	-34.51%	0.0206	✓	1.30
2026-01-22	oos	4.332	4.144	-4.34%	2.665	-38.48%	0.0850	✓	1.30
2026-01-21	oos	4.5925	4.3548	-5.18%	2.656	-42.17%	0.1409	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	4.52	4.3334	-4.13%	2.6135	-42.18%	0.1526	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	4.6155	4.4558	-3.46%	2.717	-41.13%	0.0536	✓	1.33
2026-01-18	oos	4.9	4.7028	-4.02%	2.919	-40.43%	0.0450	✓	1.32
2026-01-17	oos	4.973	4.7324	-4.84%	2.927	-41.14%	0.0588	✓	1.31
2026-01-16	oos	4.9755	4.7273	-4.99%	2.9665	-40.38%	0.0367	✓	1.31
2026-01-15	oos	5.1055	4.8845	-4.33%	3.097	-39.34%	0.0447	✓	1.31
2026-01-14	oos	5.4265	5.182	-4.51%	2.907	-46.43%	0.1313	✓	1.30
2026-01-13	oos	5.465	5.1898	-5.04%	2.814	-48.51%	0.1390	✓	1.30
2026-01-12	oos	5.2145	4.9237	-5.58%	2.993	-42.60%	0.0971	✓	1.30
2026-01-11	oos	5.5495	5.1833	-6.60%	3.068	-44.72%	0.1591	✓	1.31
2026-01-10	oos	5.079	4.7957	-5.58%	3.0715	-39.53%	0.1169	✓	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	5.2175	4.9167	-5.77%	3.255	-37.61%	0.0711	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	4.982	4.7186	-5.29%	3.4235	-31.28%	0.0353	✓	1.30
2026-01-07	oos	5.072	4.8161	-5.05%	3.331	-34.33%	0.0501	✓	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	5.076	4.8579	-4.30%	3.074	-39.44%	0.2026	✗	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	5.218	4.9985	-4.21%	3.346	-35.88%	0.0125	✓	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	4.747	4.574	-3.64%	3.36	-29.22%	0.0052	✓	1.60
2026-01-03	oos	4.73	4.5675	-3.44%	3.4535	-26.99%	0.0527	✓	1.61
2026-01-02	oos	4.828	4.6566	-3.55%	3.429	-28.98%	0.0529	✓	1.61
2026-01-01	oos	4.732	4.5443	-3.97%	3.547	-25.04%	0.0533	✓	1.61
2025-12-31	oos	4.5695	4.3359	-5.11%	3.751	-17.91%	0.0820	✓	1.59
2025-12-30	oos	4.6425	4.4309	-4.56%	3.924	-15.48%	0.0500	✓	1.59
2025-12-29	oos	4.6655	4.4851	-3.87%	4.0465	-13.27%	0.1400	✓	1.59
2025-12-28	oos	4.8	4.6536	-3.05%	4.2235	-12.01%	0.1193	✓	1.59
2025-12-27	oos	5.0015	4.8262	-3.50%	4.199	-16.05%	0.1471	✓	1.57
2025-12-26	oos	4.573	4.4159	-3.43%	4.0075	-12.37%	0.0840	✓	1.54
2025-12-25	oos	4.7875	4.596	-4.00%	4.211	-12.04%	0.1209	✓	1.54
2025-12-24	oos	4.957	4.6922	-5.34%	4.183	-15.61%	0.1474	✓	1.55
2025-12-23	oos	4.8195	4.6124	-4.30%	4.332	-10.12%	0.0982	✓	1.54
2025-12-22	oos	4.836	4.6814	-3.20%	4.5925	-5.04%	0.0332	✓	1.54
2025-12-21	oos	4.821	4.6743	-3.04%	4.52	-6.24%	0.0278	✓	1.54
2025-12-20	oos	4.882	4.7203	-3.31%	4.6155	-5.46%	0.0951	✓	1.55
2025-12-19	oos	4.9075	4.7308	-3.60%	4.9	-0.15%	0.0595	✓	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	4.5095	4.3499	-3.54%	4.973	+10.28%	0.0288	✓	1.52
2025-12-17	oos	4.5915	4.4473	-3.14%	4.9755	+8.36%	0.0436	✓	1.52
2025-12-16	oos	4.8285	4.659	-3.51%	5.1055	+5.74%	0.0363	✓	1.52
2025-12-15	oos	4.872	4.6629	-4.29%	5.4265	+11.38%	0.0243	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	5.046	4.7657	-5.55%	5.465	+8.30%	0.0177	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	5.239	4.9821	-4.90%	5.2145	-0.47%	0.0300	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	5.2955	5.0711	-4.24%	5.5495	+4.80%	0.0802	✗	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	5.487	5.2356	-4.58%	5.079	-7.44%	0.0057	✓	1.52
2025-12-10	oos	5.652	5.3509	-5.33%	5.2175	-7.69%	0.0003	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	5.751	5.3867	-6.33%	4.982	-13.37%	0.0504	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	5.4915	5.1654	-5.94%	5.072	-7.64%	0.0287	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	5.517	5.1872	-5.98%	5.076	-7.99%	0.0764	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	5.589	5.2344	-6.34%	5.218	-6.64%	0.0797	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	5.5295	5.2403	-5.23%	4.747	-14.15%	0.1350	✓	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	5.752	5.4748	-4.82%	4.73	-17.77%	0.1212	✓	1.53
2025-12-03	oos	5.891	5.6183	-4.63%	4.828	-18.04%	0.0933	✓	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	6.0995	5.7477	-5.77%	4.732	-22.42%	0.1498	✓	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	5.5045	5.1763	-5.96%	4.5695	-16.99%	0.1462	✓	1.54
2025-11-30	oos	5.899	5.5017	-6.74%	4.6425	-21.30%	0.1360	✓	1.53
2025-11-29	oos	5.9695	5.6077	-6.06%	4.6655	-21.84%	0.1202	✓	1.52
2025-11-28	oos	5.8865	5.5442	-5.81%	4.8	-18.46%	0.0925	✓	1.52
2025-11-27	oos	5.9625	5.6552	-5.15%	5.0015	-16.12%	0.0634	✓	1.52
2025-11-26	oos	6.1045	5.776	-5.38%	4.573	-25.09%	0.1816	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	6.1065	5.7731	-5.46%	4.7875	-21.60%	0.1845	✓	1.51
2025-11-24	oos	6.259	5.8773	-6.10%	4.957	-20.80%	0.1590	✓	1.51
2025-11-23	oos	6.237	5.9233	-5.03%	4.8195	-22.73%	0.2172	✓	1.54
2025-11-22	oos	6.247	5.8881	-5.75%	4.836	-22.59%	0.2678	✓	1.59
2025-11-21	oos	6.4365	6.018	-6.50%	4.821	-25.10%	0.2869	✓	1.58
2025-11-20	oos	6.7905	6.3386	-6.65%	4.882	-28.11%	0.2931	✓	1.56
2025-11-19	oos	6.9525	6.4979	-6.54%	4.9075	-29.41%	0.2194	✓	1.63
2025-11-18	oos	7.2165	6.718	-6.91%	4.5095	-37.51%	0.2625	✓	1.63
2025-11-17	oos	7.2635	6.7878	-6.55%	4.5915	-36.79%	0.2831	✓	1.63
2025-11-16	oos	7.48	6.9922	-6.52%	4.8285	-35.45%	0.2582	✓	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	7.709	7.2322	-6.18%	4.872	-36.80%	0.2336	✓	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	7.9205	7.3989	-6.59%	5.046	-36.29%	0.2700	✓	1.63
2025-11-13	oos	7.9425	7.4387	-6.34%	5.239	-34.04%	0.1783	✓	1.75
2025-11-12	oos	8.0225	7.4917	-6.62%	5.2955	-33.99%	0.1378	✓	1.76
2025-11-11	oos	8.044	7.4979	-6.79%	5.487	-31.79%	0.1280	✓	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	8.6855	8.064	-7.16%	5.652	-34.93%	0.1191	✓	1.67
2025-11-09	oos	9.31	8.5275	-8.40%	5.751	-38.23%	0.1842	✓	1.72
2025-11-08	oos	7.776	7.4046	-4.78%	5.4915	-29.38%	0.1027	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	8.262	7.7475	-6.23%	5.517	-33.22%	0.1271	✓	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	6.3575	6.1407	-3.41%	5.589	-12.09%	0.0896	✗	1.45
2025-11-05	oos	5.9865	5.7534	-3.89%	5.5295	-7.63%	0.1884	✗	1.51
2025-11-04	oos	5.8015	5.5969	-3.53%	5.752	-0.85%	0.1749	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	6.351	6.15	-3.16%	5.891	-7.24%	0.1538	✗	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	6.8345	6.6286	-3.01%	6.0995	-10.75%	0.2007	✗	1.49
2025-11-01	oos	6.798	6.5836	-3.15%	5.5045	-19.03%	0.1852	✗	1.50
2025-10-31	oos	6.3335	6.0922	-3.81%	5.899	-6.86%	0.2535	✗	1.48
2025-10-30	oos	6.438	6.2381	-3.11%	5.9695	-7.28%	0.2186	✗	1.49
2025-10-29	oos	6.7925	6.6176	-2.58%	5.8865	-13.34%	0.1622	✗	1.46
2025-10-28	oos	6.761	6.595	-2.45%	5.9625	-11.81%	0.2174	✗	1.50
2025-10-27	oos	6.979	6.828	-2.16%	6.1045	-12.53%	0.2351	✗	1.50
2025-10-26	oos	6.848	6.69	-2.31%	6.1065	-10.83%	0.3155	✗	1.50
2025-10-25	oos	6.5785	6.3925	-2.83%	6.259	-4.86%	0.3348	✗	1.51
2025-10-24	oos	6.7495	6.5556	-2.87%	6.237	-7.59%	0.3246	✗	1.52
2025-10-23	oos	6.898	6.6816	-3.14%	6.247	-9.44%	0.3349	✗	1.53
2025-10-22	oos	6.8625	6.5935	-3.92%	6.4365	-6.21%	0.3398	✗	1.55
2025-10-21	oos	6.979	6.628	-5.03%	6.7905	-2.70%	0.3733	✗	1.55
2025-10-20	oos	7.1875	6.8645	-4.49%	6.9525	-3.27%	0.3107	✗	1.57
2025-10-19	oos	7.2525	6.9426	-4.27%	7.2165	-0.50%	0.2816	✗	1.55
2025-10-18	oos	7.099	6.7644	-4.71%	7.2635	+2.32%	0.3061	✗	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	7.1315	6.8413	-4.07%	7.48	+4.89%	0.2782	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	7.506	7.2347	-3.61%	7.709	+2.70%	0.2537	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	7.5005	7.2379	-3.50%	7.9205	+5.60%	0.3343	✗	1.53
2025-10-14	oos	7.594	7.3406	-3.34%	7.9425	+4.59%	0.2752	✗	1.55
2025-10-13	oos	7.798	7.552	-3.15%	8.0225	+2.88%	0.2581	✗	1.57
2025-10-12	oos	7.799	7.5541	-3.14%	8.044	+3.14%	0.2341	✗	1.55
2025-10-11	oos	7.0715	6.825	-3.49%	8.6855	+22.82%	0.3059	✗	1.47
2025-10-10	oos	6.5135	6.266	-3.80%	9.31	+42.93%	0.5171	✗	1.59
2025-10-09	oos	8.6805	8.473	-2.39%	7.776	-10.42%	0.0893	✗	1.01
2025-10-08	oos	8.906	8.6991	-2.32%	8.262	-7.23%	0.1317	✗	1.03
2025-10-07	oos	8.751	8.5909	-1.83%	6.3575	-27.35%	0.1272	✓	0.96
2025-10-06	oos	8.952	8.8482	-1.16%	5.9865	-33.13%	0.2054	✓	1.01
2025-10-05	oos	8.6195	8.4543	-1.92%	5.8015	-32.69%	0.1798	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	8.5425	8.3341	-2.44%	6.351	-25.65%	0.1326	✓	1.00
2025-10-03	oos	8.7265	8.4444	-3.23%	6.8345	-21.68%	0.1102	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	8.787	8.5625	-2.56%	6.798	-22.64%	0.1381	✓	1.01
2025-10-01	oos	8.6355	8.3671	-3.11%	6.3335	-26.66%	0.1971	✓	1.02
2025-09-30	oos	8.1965	7.9108	-3.49%	6.438	-21.45%	0.1548	✓	0.99
2025-09-29	oos	8.4545	8.1203	-3.95%	6.7925	-19.66%	0.1391	✓	1.02
2025-09-28	oos	8.698	8.3083	-4.48%	6.761	-22.27%	0.2129	✓	1.08
2025-09-27	oos	8.565	8.1562	-4.77%	6.979	-18.52%	0.1986	✓	1.09
2025-09-26	oos	8.7575	8.3657	-4.47%	6.848	-21.80%	0.2471	✓	1.08
2025-09-25	oos	8.533	8.1503	-4.48%	6.5785	-22.91%	0.2400	✓	1.08
2025-09-24	oos	9.082	8.6534	-4.72%	6.7495	-25.68%	0.2271	✓	1.04
2025-09-23	oos	9.0605	8.6257	-4.80%	6.898	-23.87%	0.2055	✓	1.05
2025-09-22	oos	9.1175	8.702	-4.56%	6.8625	-24.73%	0.1894	✓	1.03
2025-09-21	oos	9.628	9.1461	-5.00%	6.979	-27.51%	0.2078	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	9.532	9.0436	-5.12%	7.1875	-24.60%	0.1827	✓	1.03
2025-09-19	oos	9.596	8.9994	-6.22%	7.2525	-24.42%	0.1500	✓	1.05
2025-09-18	oos	9.864	9.1815	-6.92%	7.099	-28.03%	0.1633	✓	1.06
2025-09-17	oos	9.817	9.1743	-6.55%	7.1315	-27.36%	0.1571	✓	1.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.