TOLLY
Tolly · Arc · lstm_s7
- token id
- #737
- symbol
- TOLLY
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xbc43ce8dec648ea298c4275559b81d6261c90b67
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +7d
assessed
21
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
85.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3899
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0430
actual -0.3931
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.0017 | 0.001627 | -4.30% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001688 | 0.001612 | -4.47% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.001677 | 0.001601 | -4.51% | – | pending | – | – | -1.70 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001597 | 0.001529 | -4.27% | – | pending | – | – | -1.80 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001213 | 0.001167 | -3.83% | – | pending | – | – | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.001311 | 0.001262 | -3.77% | – | pending | – | – | -1.67 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.001335 | 0.001283 | -3.92% | – | pending | – | – | -1.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.001447 | 0.00139 | -3.92% | 0.0017 | +17.48% | 0.1759 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.001505 | 0.001445 | -3.96% | 0.001688 | +12.16% | 0.1255 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.001563 | 0.001496 | -4.26% | 0.001677 | +7.29% | 0.1160 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.001742 | 0.001674 | -3.93% | 0.001597 | -8.32% | 0.0480 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.002234 | 0.002146 | -3.92% | 0.001213 | -45.70% | 0.5505 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.002289 | 0.0022 | -3.91% | 0.001311 | -42.74% | 0.4991 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.002722 | 0.002608 | -4.20% | 0.001335 | -50.96% | 0.6568 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.002247 | 0.002156 | -4.06% | 0.001447 | -35.60% | 0.4039 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.002574 | 0.002466 | -4.18% | 0.001505 | -41.53% | 0.4732 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.002262 | 0.002143 | -5.25% | 0.001563 | -30.90% | 0.2868 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.002414 | 0.002285 | -5.36% | 0.001742 | -27.84% | 0.2233 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.003086 | 0.00295 | -4.42% | 0.002234 | -27.61% | 0.2446 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.003156 | 0.003011 | -4.58% | 0.002289 | -27.46% | 0.2522 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.003975 | 0.003815 | -4.02% | 0.002722 | -31.52% | 0.3141 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.003762 | 0.0036 | -4.31% | 0.002247 | -40.27% | 0.4334 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.003846 | 0.003676 | -4.43% | 0.002574 | -33.07% | 0.3529 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.003944 | 0.003769 | -4.44% | 0.002262 | -42.65% | 0.5330 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.005021 | 0.004833 | -3.75% | 0.002414 | -51.92% | 0.7212 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.005559 | 0.00536 | -3.57% | 0.003086 | -44.49% | 0.5761 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006251 | 0.006022 | -3.66% | 0.003156 | -49.51% | 0.6500 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.007163 | 0.006866 | -4.14% | 0.003975 | -44.51% | 0.5515 | ✓ | 1.00 |