QUAI

Quai Network · native · lstm_s7

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +30d

assessed

157

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

77.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3363

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0429

actual -0.2561

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007344	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007709	-3.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008131	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008359	-3.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008637	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008651	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008754	-3.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008607	-2.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008764	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.008826	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009264	-3.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009367	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009107	-3.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009084	-3.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009029	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009619	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.00989	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010681	-3.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.010982	-4.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010564	-3.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.009974	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010097	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010455	-2.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.010932	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010539	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.010906	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010084	-1.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009917	-0.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010069	-0.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.010019	+0.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009798	+0.96%	0.00768	-20.87%	0.1983	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.00836	-2.28%	0.008005	-6.43%	0.0630	✓	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008513	-2.27%	0.00846	-2.87%	0.0129	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008508	-2.21%	0.008665	-0.40%	0.0061	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008388	-2.91%	0.008945	+3.53%	0.0056	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.00839	-3.23%	0.008945	+3.17%	0.0027	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008526	-3.50%	0.00905	+2.43%	0.0087	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008395	-3.62%	0.00887	+1.84%	0.0192	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008632	-3.29%	0.00902	+1.06%	0.0256	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009485	-3.36%	0.00913	-6.98%	0.0862	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009777	-3.29%	0.009625	-4.80%	0.0826	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010272	-3.46%	0.009735	-8.51%	0.1187	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.010974	-2.93%	0.00943	-16.59%	0.1934	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.010874	-2.39%	0.009405	-15.57%	0.1765	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012278	-4.34%	0.00934	-27.23%	0.3122	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010694	-0.84%	0.00993	-7.93%	0.1292	✓	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.0108	-0.56%	0.010215	-5.94%	0.1183	✓	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009714	-0.21%	0.01106	+13.61%	0.0603	✗	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008174	-1.76%	0.011445	+37.56%	0.2955	✗	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007114	-4.96%	0.010955	+46.36%	0.3578	✗	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.007609	-4.29%	0.01027	+29.18%	0.2234	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008286	-3.09%	0.01042	+21.87%	0.1808	✗	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008603	-2.79%	0.010775	+21.75%	0.1715	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.008797	-1.93%	0.01136	+26.64%	0.2096	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009348	-0.97%	0.01082	+14.62%	0.0880	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010848	+3.12%	0.011225	+6.70%	0.0016	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010212	+1.97%	0.01026	+2.45%	0.0342	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011385	+2.29%	0.01001	-10.06%	0.1750	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011879	+2.27%	0.01013	-12.79%	0.2029	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011854	+1.31%	0.00994	-15.04%	0.2417	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011854	+0.63%	0.009705	-17.61%	0.2738	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.012222	+2.11%	0.008555	-28.53%	0.3794	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011693	-2.97%	0.00871	-27.72%	0.3669	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011545	-4.11%	0.0087	-27.74%	0.3937	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011404	-4.81%	0.00864	-27.88%	0.4107	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011089	-4.81%	0.00867	-25.58%	0.3811	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011021	-4.82%	0.008835	-23.70%	0.3725	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.010774	-4.66%	0.00871	-22.92%	0.3898	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.010953	-4.75%	0.008925	-22.39%	0.3670	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.010993	-4.91%	0.009815	-15.10%	0.2736	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010438	-5.02%	0.01011	-8.01%	0.1848	✓	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010519	-5.57%	0.01064	-4.49%	0.1262	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011012	-5.88%	0.011305	-3.38%	0.1185	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011274	-5.46%	0.01114	-6.58%	0.1463	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011217	-5.34%	0.012835	+8.31%	0.0040	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011221	-5.39%	0.010785	-9.06%	0.1812	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011059	-5.64%	0.01086	-7.34%	0.1607	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.010835	-5.70%	0.009735	-15.27%	0.2448	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.010877	-6.44%	0.00832	-28.43%	0.4214	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.010568	-6.97%	0.007485	-34.11%	0.4698	✓	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.011405	-7.12%	0.00795	-35.26%	0.4852	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.011352	-7.33%	0.00855	-30.20%	0.4262	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.010803	-7.67%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.3334	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.011344	-7.36%	0.00897	-26.75%	0.3513	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.012272	-7.31%	0.00944	-28.70%	0.3823	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.012951	-7.42%	0.01052	-24.80%	0.3454	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.012981	-7.28%	0.010015	-28.46%	0.3876	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.01467	-6.56%	0.01113	-29.11%	0.3728	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.01416	-6.96%	0.011615	-23.69%	0.2998	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.013634	-7.76%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2441	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.015678	-7.18%	0.01178	-30.25%	0.3574	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.015764	-6.83%	0.01197	-29.26%	0.3496	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.015981	-6.57%	0.01205	-29.55%	0.3235	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.016295	-6.59%	0.01204	-30.98%	0.3319	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.015966	-6.68%	0.01198	-29.98%	0.2872	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.01729	-6.16%	0.01165	-36.77%	0.3927	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.017433	-6.07%	0.01158	-37.61%	0.4020	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.018744	-6.28%	0.0113	-43.50%	0.5011	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016226	-6.07%	0.0115	-33.43%	0.3299	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.017875	-6.56%	0.01156	-39.57%	0.4224	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.012705	-5.68%	0.01099	-18.41%	0.1457	✓	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.015962	-6.79%	0.01114	-34.95%	0.3601	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.027061	-13.41%	0.0117	-62.56%	0.8383	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.012532	-4.70%	0.011925	-9.32%	0.0500	✓	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.012833	-5.15%	0.01185	-12.42%	0.0807	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012123	-4.62%	0.01186	-6.69%	0.0203	✓	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.01146	-4.30%	0.01172	-2.13%	0.0225	✓	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012096	-4.38%	0.01149	-9.17%	0.0512	✓	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012314	-4.36%	0.011625	-9.71%	0.0575	✓	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.011856	-3.81%	0.01136	-7.83%	0.0425	✓	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011584	-3.55%	0.01228	+2.25%	0.0590	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.010725	-3.29%	0.01225	+10.46%	0.1350	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.013687	-7.46%	0.0117	-20.89%	0.1634	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.009828	-3.46%	0.012245	+20.28%	0.2393	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.008786	-3.56%	0.01324	+45.33%	0.4155	✗	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.009872	-3.50%	0.01399	+36.75%	0.3517	✗	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.00914	-3.89%	0.014	+47.21%	0.4281	✗	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009339	-3.47%	0.0157	+62.27%	0.5218	✗	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009147	-3.81%	0.01522	+60.04%	0.5118	✗	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010016	-4.15%	0.01478	+41.44%	0.3934	✗	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.010579	-3.83%	0.01689	+53.55%	0.4724	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.011669	-3.48%	0.01692	+39.95%	0.3774	✗	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.011721	-3.49%	0.017105	+40.84%	0.3872	✗	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011339	-3.08%	0.017445	+49.10%	0.4332	✗	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012177	-2.86%	0.01711	+36.50%	0.3426	✗	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.012963	-2.97%	0.018425	+37.91%	0.3550	✗	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.01198	-3.23%	0.01856	+49.92%	0.4375	✗	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.011687	-2.98%	0.02	+66.04%	0.5370	✗	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012469	-3.19%	0.017275	+34.12%	0.3253	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.012956	-3.31%	0.01913	+42.76%	0.3895	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013321	-3.08%	0.01347	-2.00%	0.0108	✓	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014428	-2.84%	0.017125	+15.32%	0.1713	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015118	-2.53%	0.03125	+101.48%	0.7260	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015049	-2.44%	0.01315	-14.75%	0.1352	✓	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.016601	-2.61%	0.01353	-20.62%	0.2046	✓	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017519	-2.51%	0.01271	-29.27%	0.3213	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017291	-2.91%	0.011975	-32.76%	0.3674	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017367	-3.14%	0.01265	-29.45%	0.3147	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.018976	-3.23%	0.012875	-34.34%	0.3861	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019357	-3.07%	0.012325	-38.28%	0.4522	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020327	-3.25%	0.01201	-42.84%	0.5279	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.020772	-3.52%	0.01109	-48.49%	0.6361	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021325	-3.29%	0.01479	-32.93%	0.4024	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.021648	-3.51%	0.01018	-54.62%	0.8111	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.020776	-3.23%	0.00911	-57.57%	0.8724	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.021657	-3.14%	0.01023	-54.25%	0.7970	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.020451	-3.08%	0.00951	-54.93%	0.8090	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.020934	-3.35%	0.009675	-55.33%	0.8207	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.02231	-3.44%	0.00951	-58.84%	0.9309	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.021418	-3.18%	0.01045	-52.76%	0.7779	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.022434	-2.99%	0.011	-52.43%	0.7641	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.021511	-3.06%	0.01209	-45.52%	0.6234	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.023686	-3.42%	0.012145	-50.48%	0.6958	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.024224	-3.30%	0.0117	-53.29%	0.7662	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.026021	-3.91%	0.012535	-53.71%	0.7722	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.025039	-3.94%	0.01336	-48.74%	0.6759	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.026526	-5.10%	0.01238	-55.71%	0.8085	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.027195	-5.08%	0.012045	-57.96%	0.8603	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.027115	-4.64%	0.01288	-54.70%	0.7886	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.027152	-4.38%	0.0134	-52.81%	0.7555	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027018	-3.95%	0.013745	-51.14%	0.7328	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.02783	-4.46%	0.01485	-49.02%	0.6721	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.027172	-3.95%	0.01551	-45.17%	0.5940	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.027262	-3.70%	0.015425	-45.51%	0.6087	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.026982	-3.32%	0.017045	-38.93%	0.4930	✓	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.028167	-3.77%	0.01797	-38.61%	0.4617	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.028213	-4.10%	0.01781	-39.46%	0.2236	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.028897	-4.63%	0.01793	-40.83%	0.2036	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.028739	-4.27%	0.01961	-34.68%	0.0938	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.028897	-4.69%	0.01997	-34.14%	0.1321	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.029188	-5.48%	0.02101	-31.96%	0.1081	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.028642	-5.72%	0.02153	-29.13%	0.1212	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.029883	-5.52%	0.02205	-30.29%	0.2057	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.030214	-5.52%	0.022435	-29.85%	0.2363	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.031467	-5.79%	0.02147	-35.72%	0.3485	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.032581	-6.48%	0.02236	-35.82%	0.3445	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.032049	-6.51%	0.0211	-38.45%	0.3805	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.032857	-6.68%	0.02166	-38.48%	0.3765	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.032672	-6.44%	0.023105	-33.83%	0.3096	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.03371	-6.50%	0.02212	-38.65%	0.4161	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.03338	-6.45%	0.023125	-35.19%	0.3607	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.034894	-6.12%	0.02219	-40.30%	0.4316	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.033739	-5.97%	0.024525	-31.65%	0.2830	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.032683	-5.94%	0.02505	-27.90%	0.2816	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.031925	-5.77%	0.02708	-20.07%	0.1856	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.033236	-5.95%	0.026065	-26.25%	0.2822	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.033284	-5.66%	0.02795	-20.78%	0.1905	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.