PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s7

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +30d

assessed

139

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

63.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1952

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0264

actual +0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.577054	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.57683	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.596727	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.608095	-4.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.607032	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.58971	-4.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.623903	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.567938	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.557897	-4.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.594534	-4.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.584223	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.640277	-5.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.63947	-5.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.620295	-6.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.600448	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.617566	-6.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.617999	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.699443	-5.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.766742	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.678668	-5.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.706823	-5.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.664085	-5.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.676376	-5.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.643185	-5.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.629863	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.616668	-6.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.588002	-4.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.625017	-5.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.591593	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.556938	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.56115	-2.98%	0.59875	+3.52%	0.0781	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.55838	-2.70%	0.59595	+3.85%	0.0842	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.498458	-2.75%	0.6195	+20.87%	0.2056	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.521504	-3.15%	0.63415	+17.77%	0.1916	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.5214	-3.18%	0.6322	+17.40%	0.1852	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.494557	-4.03%	0.6148	+19.31%	0.1853	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.494773	-4.00%	0.6534	+26.78%	0.2447	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.469826	-3.56%	0.59205	+21.53%	0.1981	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.484517	-2.46%	0.58455	+17.67%	0.1709	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.463574	-2.32%	0.62335	+31.34%	0.2653	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.470692	-2.08%	0.6167	+28.29%	0.2482	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.476706	-2.72%	0.6777	+38.29%	0.3215	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.471191	-4.29%	0.67945	+38.02%	0.3370	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.469934	-1.74%	0.6611	+38.23%	0.3209	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.439321	+0.28%	0.6411	+46.34%	0.3644	✓	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.449769	+0.28%	0.6584	+46.80%	0.3643	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.425903	+0.69%	0.65775	+55.50%	0.4108	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.419925	+1.09%	0.74105	+78.39%	0.5403	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.417352	+1.37%	0.81385	+97.68%	0.6379	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.418191	+2.32%	0.71825	+75.74%	0.5251	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.412961	+1.69%	0.747	+83.94%	0.5676	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.421887	+1.93%	0.702	+69.61%	0.4836	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.425765	+3.20%	0.71695	+73.78%	0.5052	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.43236	+3.67%	0.6801	+63.07%	0.4312	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.444232	+4.51%	0.67065	+57.78%	0.3942	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.444509	+5.81%	0.6561	+56.18%	0.3672	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.452048	+8.67%	0.61765	+48.47%	0.2975	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.44293	+8.46%	0.66155	+61.99%	0.3834	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.453622	+7.99%	0.6188	+47.32%	0.2895	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.4796	+7.17%	0.5799	+29.59%	0.1731	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.430553	+5.87%	0.5784	+42.22%	0.2725	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.410155	+4.47%	0.57385	+46.17%	0.3112	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.436976	+3.89%	0.51255	+21.86%	0.1531	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.399197	+0.45%	0.53845	+35.49%	0.2891	✓	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.392275	-1.36%	0.5385	+35.40%	0.2990	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.372071	-4.08%	0.5153	+32.84%	0.3150	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.354155	-3.89%	0.5154	+39.86%	0.3598	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.351924	-4.25%	0.48715	+32.54%	0.3089	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.362387	-3.70%	0.49675	+32.01%	0.2929	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.357762	-3.10%	0.4746	+28.55%	0.2603	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.367711	-2.73%	0.4807	+27.15%	0.2517	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.368945	-2.63%	0.49005	+29.33%	0.2630	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.381723	-2.53%	0.4923	+25.70%	0.2255	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.391782	-2.24%	0.47825	+19.34%	0.1614	✗	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.39981	-2.22%	0.4381	+7.14%	0.0539	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.383567	-2.36%	0.4485	+14.17%	0.1154	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.384048	-2.33%	0.423	+7.58%	0.0665	✗	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.384679	-2.60%	0.4154	+5.18%	0.0372	✗	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.384441	-2.53%	0.4117	+4.39%	0.0193	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.391357	-2.50%	0.4087	+1.82%	0.0139	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.403254	-2.78%	0.4061	-2.10%	0.0435	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.426429	-3.13%	0.4139	-5.97%	0.0800	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.429801	-3.42%	0.41255	-7.29%	0.0912	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.422011	-3.12%	0.41705	-4.26%	0.0593	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.437599	-3.03%	0.42505	-5.81%	0.0672	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.421662	-2.90%	0.4201	-3.26%	0.0264	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.414451	-2.87%	0.416	-2.51%	0.0145	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.389857	-2.16%	0.4084	+2.50%	0.0252	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.371946	-1.63%	0.42005	+11.09%	0.0940	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.379314	-1.71%	0.4475	+15.96%	0.1328	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.379712	-1.49%	0.4067	+5.51%	0.0385	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.375378	-1.23%	0.3926	+3.30%	0.0164	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.361502	-0.73%	0.4206	+15.50%	0.1182	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.339177	-0.62%	0.3974	+16.44%	0.1390	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.321879	-0.76%	0.3977	+22.61%	0.2016	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.347153	-0.79%	0.3879	+10.86%	0.1110	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.363502	-0.83%	0.3685	+0.53%	0.0146	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.389665	-1.30%	0.36755	-6.90%	0.0547	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.389697	-0.99%	0.3763	-4.40%	0.0323	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.384535	-0.70%	0.3692	-4.66%	0.0342	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.381715	-0.62%	0.37805	-1.58%	0.0038	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.38788	-0.73%	0.3789	-3.03%	0.0283	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.412794	-0.70%	0.39165	-5.79%	0.0518	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.414573	-0.61%	0.40075	-3.92%	0.0344	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.411874	-0.56%	0.4089	-1.28%	0.0098	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.390902	-0.53%	0.39285	-0.04%	0.0002	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.398611	-0.22%	0.3932	-1.58%	0.0219	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.413815	-0.17%	0.39495	-4.72%	0.0494	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.403921	-0.41%	0.3944	-2.76%	0.0257	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.387568	-0.88%	0.4014	+2.66%	0.0338	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.41507	-1.20%	0.4148	-1.26%	0.0019	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.419545	-1.14%	0.4402	+3.72%	0.0449	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.411822	-1.09%	0.445	+6.88%	0.0738	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.412442	-0.86%	0.4356	+4.71%	0.0467	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.414587	-0.70%	0.45125	+8.08%	0.0681	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.451146	-0.80%	0.43425	-4.52%	0.0435	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.454462	-1.18%	0.4267	-7.22%	0.0694	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.454819	-1.09%	0.39845	-13.35%	0.1379	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.42343	-1.02%	0.3781	-11.62%	0.1201	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.429387	-1.20%	0.3859	-11.21%	0.1128	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.451985	-1.51%	0.38545	-16.01%	0.1616	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.492625	-1.88%	0.38005	-24.30%	0.2579	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.529113	-2.30%	0.36415	-32.76%	0.3705	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.537323	-2.48%	0.3413	-38.06%	0.4492	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.544197	-2.56%	0.32435	-41.92%	0.5160	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.550424	-2.43%	0.3499	-37.98%	0.4512	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.581412	-3.58%	0.36655	-39.21%	0.4596	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.536418	-2.81%	0.3948	-28.47%	0.3061	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.540202	-3.15%	0.3936	-29.43%	0.3151	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.562671	-3.78%	0.38725	-33.78%	0.3727	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.558221	-4.17%	0.3841	-34.06%	0.3735	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.5658	-4.57%	0.39075	-34.10%	0.3688	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.582521	-5.56%	0.4157	-32.60%	0.3376	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.531218	-4.04%	0.4171	-24.66%	0.2420	✓	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.559189	-4.64%	0.4142	-29.37%	0.3071	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.555197	-4.62%	0.393	-32.49%	0.3493	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.569396	-5.53%	0.3995	-33.71%	0.3526	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.593695	-6.67%	0.4145	-34.84%	0.3593	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.603127	-6.36%	0.4056	-37.03%	0.4054	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.604131	-6.60%	0.391	-39.55%	0.4420	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.576971	-5.94%	0.4201	-31.51%	0.3128	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.574776	-5.71%	0.4244	-30.38%	0.2939	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.569232	-5.99%	0.41635	-31.24%	0.2724	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.587342	-7.02%	0.416	-34.15%	0.2559	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.581631	-7.02%	0.4175	-33.26%	0.1716	✓	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.576437	-6.74%	0.4548	-26.42%	0.0931	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.569551	-6.49%	0.4599	-24.49%	0.0713	✓	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.585075	-6.60%	0.45985	-26.59%	0.1025	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.596063	-6.72%	0.4278	-33.05%	0.1178	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.568249	-6.65%	0.4346	-28.60%	0.0291	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.576593	-6.61%	0.4589	-25.67%	0.0081	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.57575	-6.73%	0.50205	-18.67%	0.0690	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.609077	-6.64%	0.54155	-16.99%	0.0636	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.594321	-6.95%	0.551	-13.73%	0.1008	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.615151	-6.82%	0.5585	-15.40%	0.0919	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.584734	-7.42%	0.56415	-10.68%	0.1635	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.525539	-8.59%	0.603	+4.89%	0.3371	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.584843	-7.86%	0.5519	-13.05%	0.1193	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.671754	-6.99%	0.55775	-22.77%	0.0207	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.712193	-6.66%	0.58475	-23.36%	0.0329	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.663727	-6.75%	0.5825	-18.17%	0.0544	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.692542	-6.45%	0.5929	-19.91%	0.0745	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.654527	-6.82%	0.6168	-12.19%	0.1621	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.71651	-6.57%	0.5536	-27.81%	0.0219	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.747534	-6.60%	0.5864	-26.74%	0.0424	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.838754	-7.91%	0.5821	-36.09%	0.0782	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.8812	-12.16%	0.6027	-39.92%	0.1338	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.769731	-11.15%	0.6361	-26.57%	0.0458	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.582198	-7.91%	0.6441	+1.88%	0.3747	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.