PRL

Pearl · native · lstm_s7

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +7d

assessed

196

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

49.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1653

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0130

actual -0.0304

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.09859	-1.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.097916	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.094773	-1.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.085473	-1.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.088362	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.091384	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.095053	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.097527	-1.38%	0.099715	+0.83%	0.0349	✗	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.101655	-1.51%	0.099215	-3.87%	0.0094	✓	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.10558	-1.42%	0.09595	-10.41%	0.0967	✓	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.107189	-1.63%	0.086455	-20.66%	0.2144	✓	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.111256	-1.42%	0.089395	-20.79%	0.2280	✓	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.111134	-1.49%	0.09256	-17.95%	0.1908	✓	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.111272	-1.52%	0.09638	-14.70%	0.1491	✓	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.110696	-1.56%	0.098895	-12.05%	0.1105	✓	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.111398	-1.29%	0.10321	-8.55%	0.0850	✓	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.113232	-0.93%	0.1071	-6.30%	0.0683	✓	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.114309	-0.86%	0.10897	-5.49%	0.0661	✓	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.11443	-0.71%	0.11286	-2.07%	0.0264	✓	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.115202	-1.04%	0.11281	-3.09%	0.0291	✓	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.115067	-1.06%	0.112985	-2.85%	0.0271	✓	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.116494	-1.02%	0.112445	-4.46%	0.0496	✓	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.115102	-1.31%	0.112855	-3.24%	0.0209	✓	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.114527	-1.33%	0.114295	-1.53%	0.0056	✓	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.113787	-1.38%	0.1153	-0.07%	0.0216	✗	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.120895	-1.17%	0.115245	-5.79%	0.0405	✓	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.121229	-1.19%	0.11641	-5.12%	0.0394	✓	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.119335	-1.26%	0.1163	-3.77%	0.0243	✓	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.117479	-1.18%	0.117695	-1.00%	0.0035	✓	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.112535	-1.17%	0.11663	+2.42%	0.0328	✗	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.119844	-0.81%	0.116075	-3.93%	0.0430	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.117188	-0.78%	0.115385	-2.31%	0.0279	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.113345	-1.86%	0.12233	+5.92%	0.0933	✗	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.114643	-1.91%	0.12269	+4.98%	0.0844	✗	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.112178	-1.80%	0.12086	+5.80%	0.0910	✗	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.106935	-1.80%	0.11888	+9.16%	0.1605	✗	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.107423	-1.72%	0.11387	+4.18%	0.1152	✗	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.105705	-1.61%	0.12082	+12.46%	0.2016	✗	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.111279	-1.78%	0.118115	+4.25%	0.1168	✗	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.108776	-1.65%	0.11549	+4.42%	0.0895	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.115355	-1.72%	0.11687	-0.43%	0.0409	✗	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.112683	-1.59%	0.11423	-0.24%	0.0397	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.108197	-1.33%	0.1089	-0.69%	0.0051	✓	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.11616	-1.46%	0.1093	-7.27%	0.0780	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.123767	-1.53%	0.107435	-14.53%	0.1597	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.130377	-1.64%	0.113295	-14.53%	0.1463	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.126021	-1.26%	0.110605	-13.34%	0.1504	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.124835	-1.03%	0.117375	-6.94%	0.0765	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.122644	-1.02%	0.1145	-7.59%	0.0815	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.128087	-0.79%	0.10966	-15.06%	0.1814	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.135492	-0.77%	0.117875	-13.68%	0.1360	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.148882	+0.08%	0.125695	-15.50%	0.1658	✗	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.160022	+0.88%	0.13255	-16.44%	0.1860	✗	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.176132	+1.27%	0.12763	-26.62%	0.3131	✗	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.185871	+1.94%	0.12613	-30.83%	0.3827	✗	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.19126	+2.18%	0.12391	-33.80%	0.4283	✗	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.209652	+3.40%	0.12911	-36.32%	0.4811	✗	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.210974	+3.43%	0.13655	-33.06%	0.4417	✗	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.218569	+3.02%	0.14876	-29.88%	0.3897	✗	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.226336	+2.93%	0.15862	-27.86%	0.3572	✗	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.234874	+1.59%	0.17393	-24.77%	0.3006	✗	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.232648	+1.42%	0.18234	-20.51%	0.2396	✗	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.254428	+0.84%	0.187175	-25.82%	0.3089	✗	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.249396	-2.89%	0.20275	-21.05%	0.1777	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.307649	-2.85%	0.20398	-35.59%	0.4172	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.435164	-2.89%	0.21216	-52.65%	0.8988	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.380337	-2.55%	0.219885	-43.66%	0.7306	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.386282	-2.85%	0.2312	-41.85%	0.7157	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.343383	-3.16%	0.2294	-35.30%	0.5943	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.342426	-2.37%	0.25231	-28.07%	0.5135	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.29404	-2.05%	0.25681	-14.45%	0.2769	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.317002	-2.11%	0.31667	-2.21%	0.0990	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.322857	-2.20%	0.44811	+35.74%	0.3087	✗	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.298658	-2.00%	0.39028	+28.06%	0.2581	✗	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.269499	-1.93%	0.39762	+44.69%	0.4249	✗	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.294813	-1.98%	0.354585	+17.89%	0.2185	✗	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.278475	-1.95%	0.35075	+23.49%	0.2630	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.274426	-1.89%	0.300195	+7.33%	0.1040	✗	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.266776	-1.87%	0.323825	+19.12%	0.2140	✗	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.252254	-1.88%	0.330115	+28.41%	0.2775	✗	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.253106	-2.06%	0.304755	+17.92%	0.1785	✗	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.259684	-2.19%	0.2748	+3.50%	0.0343	✗	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.237018	-2.01%	0.300765	+24.35%	0.2031	✗	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.240009	-2.49%	0.284025	+15.40%	0.1346	✗	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.240901	-2.54%	0.279705	+13.16%	0.1569	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.20816	-1.72%	0.27185	+28.35%	0.2572	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.179391	-1.02%	0.257085	+41.85%	0.3572	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.178443	-1.30%	0.25844	+42.95%	0.3735	✗	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.188526	-1.58%	0.2655	+38.60%	0.3650	✗	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.179615	-0.58%	0.24187	+33.89%	0.3111	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.178798	-0.54%	0.24613	+36.91%	0.3312	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.171204	-0.43%	0.24718	+43.76%	0.3704	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.169657	-0.42%	0.2118	+24.31%	0.2426	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.175892	-0.56%	0.18124	+2.47%	0.0544	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.172929	-0.54%	0.180795	+3.98%	0.0588	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.171424	-0.49%	0.19156	+11.20%	0.1048	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.171701	-0.58%	0.180655	+4.61%	0.0566	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.169321	-0.47%	0.17977	+5.67%	0.0579	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.168275	-0.35%	0.17194	+1.82%	0.0049	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.168784	-0.39%	0.170375	+0.55%	0.0047	✓	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.174222	-0.49%	0.176875	+1.02%	0.0026	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.164654	-0.38%	0.17387	+5.20%	0.0209	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.170139	-0.50%	0.17227	+0.75%	0.0020	✓	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.168492	-0.42%	0.1727	+2.06%	0.0157	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.173095	-0.52%	0.17012	-2.23%	0.0156	✓	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.168882	-0.44%	0.168865	-0.45%	0.0045	✓	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.171517	-0.39%	0.16945	-1.59%	0.0300	✓	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.188066	-0.82%	0.175085	-7.67%	0.0819	✓	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.188276	-0.91%	0.165275	-13.01%	0.1195	✓	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.171554	-0.55%	0.170995	-0.87%	0.0041	✓	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.182654	-0.79%	0.16921	-8.10%	0.0805	✓	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.177997	-0.67%	0.173995	-2.90%	0.0348	✓	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.166942	-0.61%	0.16962	+0.99%	0.0032	✓	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.164916	-0.61%	0.172195	+3.78%	0.0257	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.158106	-0.61%	0.18963	+19.21%	0.1451	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.162185	-0.65%	0.19	+16.39%	0.1303	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.153239	-0.61%	0.172495	+11.88%	0.0970	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.149969	-0.57%	0.184115	+22.06%	0.1927	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.143358	-0.52%	0.17919	+24.34%	0.2135	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.143465	-0.50%	0.167965	+16.50%	0.1508	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.138056	-0.46%	0.16593	+19.63%	0.1921	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.141126	-0.50%	0.15907	+12.15%	0.1376	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.137962	-0.50%	0.16325	+17.74%	0.1853	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.141824	-0.49%	0.154175	+8.18%	0.1013	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.144125	-0.46%	0.150835	+4.18%	0.0652	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.143905	-0.37%	0.14411	-0.23%	0.0175	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.150613	-0.36%	0.14418	-4.61%	0.0281	✓	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.156638	-0.51%	0.1387	-11.90%	0.1063	✓	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.163724	-0.63%	0.14184	-13.91%	0.1316	✓	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.181762	-1.33%	0.13865	-24.73%	0.2626	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.187005	-1.65%	0.14252	-25.05%	0.2626	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.192267	-1.87%	0.14479	-26.10%	0.2828	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.188676	-1.56%	0.144445	-24.64%	0.2669	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.194646	-2.09%	0.151155	-23.97%	0.2501	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.174546	-0.71%	0.15744	-10.44%	0.1091	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.178482	-0.83%	0.16476	-8.45%	0.0876	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.185792	-1.63%	0.18421	-2.47%	0.0131	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.175885	-1.19%	0.19015	+6.83%	0.0744	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.172463	-0.56%	0.195935	+12.98%	0.1238	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.174043	-0.50%	0.191665	+9.57%	0.0938	✗	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.184642	-1.94%	0.1988	+5.58%	0.0737	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.201635	-2.76%	0.17579	-15.22%	0.1395	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.189777	-2.57%	0.179975	-7.61%	0.0506	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.192454	-2.73%	0.18887	-4.54%	0.0212	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.19685	-3.18%	0.178	-12.45%	0.1109	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.195864	-3.49%	0.17343	-14.55%	0.1348	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.17616	-3.06%	0.17492	-3.74%	0.0247	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.172056	-3.62%	0.18829	+5.47%	0.0769	✗	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.152365	-0.98%	0.20735	+34.76%	0.3069	✗	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.158235	-1.26%	0.19479	+21.55%	0.2012	✗	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.16976	-1.69%	0.19786	+14.58%	0.1427	✗	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.176546	-1.72%	0.20331	+13.18%	0.1355	✗	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.188148	-1.83%	0.20295	+5.89%	0.0713	✗	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.185967	-1.51%	0.181715	-3.76%	0.0267	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.194099	-1.67%	0.17852	-9.56%	0.0948	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.197366	-1.58%	0.15387	-23.27%	0.2576	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.197924	-1.34%	0.16026	-20.11%	0.2136	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.204409	-1.19%	0.17268	-16.53%	0.1678	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.197897	-0.87%	0.17963	-10.02%	0.0980	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.202132	-0.73%	0.191655	-5.87%	0.0573	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.218158	-0.84%	0.18882	-14.17%	0.1578	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.249009	-0.87%	0.19739	-21.42%	0.2558	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.252333	-1.10%	0.200525	-21.40%	0.2416	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.252347	-1.02%	0.200605	-21.32%	0.2546	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.270971	-1.12%	0.206865	-24.51%	0.3083	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.268298	-1.12%	0.19963	-26.43%	0.3340	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.285759	-1.41%	0.20361	-29.76%	0.3572	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.279571	-1.50%	0.219995	-22.49%	0.2478	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.270094	-1.56%	0.2512	-8.45%	0.0649	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.26331	-1.55%	0.25513	-4.61%	0.0467	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.278301	-1.88%	0.25496	-10.11%	0.0905	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.261273	-1.59%	0.27403	+3.22%	0.0614	✗	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.248062	-1.70%	0.27135	+7.53%	0.1186	✗	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.258058	-1.75%	0.28986	+10.36%	0.1324	✗	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.248301	-1.79%	0.28383	+12.27%	0.1500	✗	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.275146	-1.95%	0.27438	-2.22%	0.0205	✗	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.305998	-2.45%	0.26746	-14.74%	0.1025	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.34027	-4.05%	0.283635	-20.02%	0.1504	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.31224	-3.96%	0.26549	-18.34%	0.1471	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.217652	-1.39%	0.25235	+14.33%	0.1480	✗	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.204854	-1.45%	0.26266	+26.36%	0.2483	✗	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.202496	-1.45%	0.25282	+23.05%	0.2218	✗	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.199294	-1.33%	0.28061	+38.94%	0.3677	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.229716	-1.65%	0.31369	+34.30%	0.3435	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.222359	-1.63%	0.35463	+56.88%	0.4672	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.216507	-1.69%	0.3251	+47.61%	0.3869	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.186847	-1.69%	0.22072	+16.14%	0.1030	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.176742	-1.84%	0.20786	+15.45%	0.1372	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.238929	-3.78%	0.205465	-17.26%	0.1556	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.280893	-5.50%	0.20197	-32.05%	0.3705	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.178383	-1.33%	0.23358	+29.21%	0.2255	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.176871	-1.42%	0.22605	+26.00%	0.2165	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.173263	-1.40%	0.22024	+25.34%	0.2210	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.181464	-2.01%	0.19005	+2.62%	0.0038	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.169456	-1.71%	0.18005	+4.43%	0.0250	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.158748	-1.86%	0.24832	+53.51%	0.3928	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.165244	-2.10%	0.29724	+76.11%	0.5413	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.170714	-2.30%	0.18078	+3.46%	0.0059	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.167571	-2.31%	0.17941	+4.59%	0.0372	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.166491	-2.72%	0.17572	+2.67%	0.0241	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.186907	-3.09%	0.18519	-3.98%	0.0343	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.16052	-2.93%	0.17241	+4.26%	0.0111	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.140253	-2.77%	0.16176	+12.14%	0.0563	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.