MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s7

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

159

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

72.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0815

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0140

actual -0.0435

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.042023	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.04248	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043141	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.042924	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.044312	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045786	-2.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044491	-2.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044709	-2.19%	0.04289	-6.17%	0.0629	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.043462	-2.14%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0007	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042716	-2.16%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0289	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.045645	-2.32%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0091	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042128	-2.10%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.1001	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040619	-2.05%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1614	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040171	-2.06%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.1165	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.043362	-2.22%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0829	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.045182	-2.29%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0249	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.048837	-2.41%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0420	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.047983	-2.38%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0221	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.048737	-2.48%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.0923	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.045187	-2.45%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0512	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.048817	-2.63%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.1186	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.040959	-1.94%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0842	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041161	-1.95%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0837	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.041367	-1.98%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1515	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043008	-2.03%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.0991	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.043893	-2.09%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1242	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.045479	-2.25%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0112	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.043978	-2.07%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1230	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.042774	-1.96%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0094	✓	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.045537	-2.17%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0368	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.044382	-1.97%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0058	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042134	-1.99%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0215	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041569	-1.92%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0154	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040149	-1.79%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.0877	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034757	-1.51%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1160	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034013	-1.47%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.1072	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033581	-1.46%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1586	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.03519	-1.46%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.1224	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.034939	-1.50%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1366	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036519	-1.50%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0856	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037075	-1.46%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0394	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036339	-1.43%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0259	✓	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038196	-1.16%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0639	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.041548	-1.42%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1471	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.039873	-0.74%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.0938	✓	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039569	-0.03%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0439	✓	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040219	+0.17%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0341	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038859	+0.70%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0143	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040567	+1.24%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0067	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036896	+0.56%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0277	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.03779	+0.94%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.0890	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.038543	+1.59%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0318	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.037235	+1.47%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0143	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.039087	+1.76%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0007	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.038043	+1.69%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0175	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039941	+2.07%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0135	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.040219	+1.79%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0616	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039472	+1.47%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0328	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040704	+1.28%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0631	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.043178	+0.74%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1615	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040385	+0.36%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0715	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042631	+0.36%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.1220	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037254	-1.47%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0776	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034275	-1.76%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0331	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.0315	-1.71%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0487	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031645	-1.72%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0327	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.031043	-1.61%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0363	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.03076	-1.50%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0029	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.030703	-1.44%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0299	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032122	-1.63%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0291	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032655	-1.70%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0555	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032585	-1.67%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0411	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035616	-2.15%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1129	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035239	-2.06%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0662	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035416	-2.07%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0840	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.034597	-1.94%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0628	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034844	-1.98%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0462	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035337	-2.03%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0353	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.035124	-2.00%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0466	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.035917	-2.11%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0033	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.035763	-2.05%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0241	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.035767	-2.01%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0372	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.035829	-1.95%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0618	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036294	-1.91%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0106	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.035757	-1.75%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0063	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.038709	-2.18%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0814	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.038866	-2.15%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0527	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.042317	-2.16%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.1092	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.041596	-2.19%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.0984	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042534	-2.20%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1253	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042297	-2.01%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1269	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.042884	-1.85%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1178	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.042611	-1.73%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0177	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042028	-1.76%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0241	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043265	-1.78%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0144	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.043724	-1.70%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0171	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.042591	-1.64%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0168	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045296	-1.74%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0756	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047183	-1.75%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.1058	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048167	-1.78%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1371	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.046404	-1.81%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1457	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045337	-1.64%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0501	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.045935	-1.60%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0553	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.046696	-1.55%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.0702	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047229	-1.52%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0379	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.046623	-1.49%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0275	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049517	-1.60%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0473	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.048642	-1.55%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0115	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050495	-1.61%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.0948	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051556	-1.65%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1154	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050223	-1.58%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.0946	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.048821	-1.51%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.0573	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044575	-1.25%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0091	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044715	-1.14%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0085	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047435	-1.36%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.0447	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045138	-1.21%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0385	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.046631	-1.31%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0482	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.0461	-1.31%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0466	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.04589	-1.33%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0380	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.049927	-1.51%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.0788	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.054561	-1.71%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.1023	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.054823	-1.79%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0526	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.05544	-1.84%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1142	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.053683	-1.86%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0355	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.055913	-1.98%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.1030	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.060747	-2.29%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.1932	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.055942	-2.05%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0115	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.056243	-2.17%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0614	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.058806	-2.44%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0052	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.061136	-2.76%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0168	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.061011	-2.71%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.1039	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046282	-0.79%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.2103	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.045868	-0.48%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.3186	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042652	+0.31%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2354	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047293	+0.18%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1216	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.050087	-0.03%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1264	✗	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048647	+0.34%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.2125	✓	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.044992	+0.88%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.2769	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.04653	+0.91%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0362	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.050859	+0.57%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.0950	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.05447	+0.33%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.2103	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.05467	+0.20%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0611	✗	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.058787	-0.58%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0045	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.060439	-0.87%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0126	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.062437	-0.99%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0380	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.061217	-0.66%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.0993	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.062905	-0.78%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.0767	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.066735	-1.18%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0576	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.066948	-1.11%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.0758	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.072709	-1.63%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1268	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.075994	-1.79%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.1751	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.078657	-1.86%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.1827	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.078962	-1.69%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2200	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.084931	-2.38%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2389	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.080156	-1.78%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1298	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.079737	-1.70%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1513	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.084283	-2.00%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1352	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.087882	-2.29%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1217	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.090516	-2.39%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.1028	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.097687	-2.57%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1489	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.102675	-2.57%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1211	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.10066	-2.62%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.1867	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.106871	-2.64%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2284	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.115386	-2.69%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2336	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.123401	-2.77%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2562	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.121965	-2.82%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2419	✓	1.00