FOLD
The Interfold · Ethereum · lstm_s7
- token id
- #290
- symbol
- FOLD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 147
Track record at +1d
assessed
48
of 49 predictions shown
direction hit
58.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0471
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0065
actual -0.0051
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.04772 | 0.04757 | -0.31% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04858 | 0.048431 | -0.31% | 0.04772 | -1.77% | 0.0123 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.04751 | 0.047388 | -0.26% | 0.04858 | +2.25% | 0.0137 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.04779 | 0.047674 | -0.24% | 0.04751 | -0.59% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.05113 | 0.050957 | -0.34% | 0.04779 | -6.53% | 0.0707 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.05269 | 0.052489 | -0.38% | 0.05113 | -2.96% | 0.0250 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.05285 | 0.052648 | -0.38% | 0.05269 | -0.30% | 0.0074 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.05383 | 0.053609 | -0.41% | 0.05285 | -1.82% | 0.0202 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.060215 | 0.059886 | -0.55% | 0.05383 | -10.60% | 0.0921 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.059405 | 0.059075 | -0.56% | 0.060215 | +1.36% | 0.0065 | ✗ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.06681 | 0.066355 | -0.68% | 0.059405 | -11.08% | 0.0957 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.06538 | 0.064964 | -0.64% | 0.06681 | +2.19% | 0.0222 | ✗ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.064485 | 0.064087 | -0.62% | 0.06538 | +1.39% | 0.0172 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06178 | 0.061413 | -0.59% | 0.064485 | +4.38% | 0.0426 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.064415 | 0.064012 | -0.63% | 0.06178 | -4.09% | 0.0245 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06901 | 0.068539 | -0.68% | 0.064415 | -6.66% | 0.0487 | ✓ | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07369 | 0.073095 | -0.81% | 0.06901 | -6.35% | 0.0563 | ✓ | 0.48 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0701 | 0.069592 | -0.72% | 0.07369 | +5.12% | 0.0619 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.072825 | 0.072171 | -0.90% | 0.0701 | -3.74% | 0.0409 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.06417 | 0.063739 | -0.67% | 0.072825 | +13.49% | 0.1317 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.067655 | 0.06714 | -0.76% | 0.06417 | -5.15% | 0.0430 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069015 | 0.068394 | -0.90% | 0.067655 | -1.97% | 0.0195 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066025 | 0.065491 | -0.81% | 0.069015 | +4.53% | 0.0530 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.061035 | 0.060602 | -0.71% | 0.066025 | +8.18% | 0.0845 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.06903 | 0.068373 | -0.95% | 0.061035 | -11.58% | 0.1078 | ✓ | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.066875 | 0.066263 | -0.91% | 0.06903 | +3.22% | 0.0406 | ✗ | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058715 | 0.058281 | -0.74% | 0.066875 | +13.90% | 0.1358 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0597 | 0.059244 | -0.76% | 0.058715 | -1.65% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05971 | 0.059239 | -0.79% | 0.0597 | -0.02% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.060325 | 0.059864 | -0.76% | 0.05971 | -1.02% | 0.0188 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.06106 | 0.060577 | -0.79% | 0.060325 | -1.20% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.062015 | 0.061359 | -1.06% | 0.06106 | -1.54% | 0.0697 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.07045 | 0.069415 | -1.47% | 0.062015 | -11.97% | 0.1118 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.066755 | 0.065786 | -1.45% | 0.07045 | +5.54% | 0.0641 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0641 | 0.063058 | -1.63% | 0.066755 | +4.14% | 0.0006 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.05471 | 0.054113 | -1.09% | 0.0641 | +17.16% | 0.1667 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.043735 | 0.043627 | -0.25% | 0.05471 | +25.09% | 0.2190 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.049085 | 0.048838 | -0.50% | 0.043735 | -10.90% | 0.0767 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04818 | 0.047987 | -0.40% | 0.049085 | +1.88% | 0.0049 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050545 | 0.050311 | -0.46% | 0.04818 | -4.68% | 0.0373 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.051095 | 0.050877 | -0.43% | 0.050545 | -1.08% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.05233 | 0.052088 | -0.46% | 0.051095 | -2.36% | 0.0280 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.05138 | 0.051192 | -0.37% | 0.05233 | +1.85% | 0.0446 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.053269 | -0.41% | 0.05138 | -3.94% | 0.0340 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.05533 | 0.055096 | -0.42% | 0.05349 | -3.33% | 0.0214 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05607 | 0.055856 | -0.38% | 0.05533 | -1.32% | 0.0062 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.055135 | 0.05492 | -0.39% | 0.05607 | +1.70% | 0.0144 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05539 | 0.055179 | -0.38% | 0.055135 | -0.46% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.059025 | 0.058827 | -0.34% | 0.05539 | -6.16% | 0.0405 | ✓ | 1.00 |