DUST

Dust Protocol · Ethereum · lstm_s7

token id: #962
symbol: DUST
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb5b1b659da79a2507c27aad509f15b4874edc0cc
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-09-20
predictions: 504

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

165

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

61.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1236

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0098

actual -0.0341

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	1.3825	1.3114	-5.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	1.287	1.2089	-6.07%	1.3825	+7.42%	0.1319	✗	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	1.8375	1.74	-5.30%	1.287	-29.96%	0.3146	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	3.069	2.9628	-3.46%	1.8375	-40.13%	0.4911	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	3.3675	3.2296	-4.09%	3.069	-8.86%	0.0489	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	3.591	3.4161	-4.87%	3.3675	-6.22%	0.0220	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	11.643	11.0928	-4.73%	3.591	-69.16%	1.1264	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	2.3095	2.1567	-6.62%	11.643	+404.14%	1.6938	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	2.983	2.7823	-6.73%	2.3095	-22.58%	0.1930	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	4.08	3.8035	-6.78%	2.983	-26.89%	0.2243	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	5.507	5.1393	-6.68%	4.08	-25.91%	0.2473	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	9.143	8.5789	-6.17%	5.507	-39.77%	0.4199	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	17.2505	16.424	-4.79%	9.143	-47.00%	0.5950	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	16.7145	15.7735	-5.63%	17.2505	+3.21%	0.0851	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	17.1645	16.126	-6.05%	16.7145	-2.62%	0.0255	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	24.5085	23.1954	-5.36%	17.1645	-29.97%	0.2819	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	43.547	42.0788	-3.37%	24.5085	-43.72%	0.5137	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	85.4585	83.8112	-1.93%	43.547	-49.04%	0.6523	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000375	0.000373684	-0.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.0003798	0.000378085	-0.45%	0.000375	-1.26%	0.0224	✗	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0002495	0.000248967	-0.21%	0.0003798	+52.22%	0.3659	✗	0.91
2026-03-02	oos	0.000269	0.000268407	-0.22%	0.0002495	-7.25%	0.0665	✓	0.91
2026-03-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000308263	-0.21%	0.000269	-12.92%	0.1812	✓	0.99
2026-02-28	oos	0.0002702	0.000269672	-0.20%	0.0003089	+14.32%	0.1533	✗	0.97
2026-02-27	oos	0.000281	0.000280481	-0.18%	0.0002702	-3.84%	0.0537	✓	0.98
2026-02-26	oos	0.0003102	0.000309503	-0.22%	0.000281	-9.41%	0.0730	✓	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.0003015	0.000300824	-0.22%	0.0003102	+2.89%	0.0379	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.0002788	0.000278345	-0.16%	0.0003015	+8.14%	0.0243	✗	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.0003029	0.000302365	-0.18%	0.0002788	-7.96%	0.0732	✓	0.92
2026-02-22	oos	0.0003044	0.000303776	-0.20%	0.0003029	-0.49%	0.0397	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.000332	0.000331182	-0.25%	0.0003044	-8.31%	0.0796	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0003075	0.00030682	-0.22%	0.000332	+7.97%	0.0793	✗	0.91
2026-02-19	oos	0.0003268	0.000326004	-0.24%	0.0003075	-5.91%	0.0724	✓	0.93
2026-02-18	oos	0.0002994	0.000298802	-0.20%	0.0003268	+9.15%	0.0821	✗	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	0.0003045	0.000303846	-0.21%	0.0002994	-1.67%	0.0006	✓	0.98
2026-02-16	oos	0.000321	0.000320162	-0.26%	0.0003045	-5.14%	0.0297	✓	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.0003145	0.000313635	-0.28%	0.000321	+2.07%	0.0222	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.0004106	0.000407699	-0.71%	0.0003145	-23.40%	0.2448	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	0.0003676	0.00036546	-0.58%	0.0004106	+11.70%	0.1030	✗	0.96
2026-02-12	oos	0.0003237	0.000322156	-0.48%	0.0003676	+13.56%	0.0984	✗	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0003279	0.000326074	-0.56%	0.0003237	-1.28%	0.0022	✓	0.78
2026-02-10	oos	0.0002921	0.000291016	-0.37%	0.0003279	+12.26%	0.1412	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.0002267	0.000226588	-0.05%	0.0002921	+28.85%	0.2704	✗	0.88
2026-02-08	oos	0.0002387	0.000238591	-0.05%	0.0002267	-5.03%	0.0489	✓	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	0.0002066	0.000207257	+0.32%	0.0002387	+15.54%	0.1288	✓	0.84
2026-02-06	oos	0.0002125	0.000213188	+0.32%	0.0002066	-2.78%	0.0154	✗	0.87
2026-02-05	oos	0.0002125	0.000214244	+0.82%	0.0002125	+0.00%	0.1296	✗	1.05
2026-02-04	oos	0.0002217	0.000222447	+0.34%	0.0002125	-4.15%	0.1948	✓	1.60
2026-02-03	oos	0.0002649	0.000264977	+0.03%	0.0002217	-16.31%	0.1231	✗	1.54
2026-02-02	oos	0.0002687	0.000268361	-0.13%	0.0002649	-1.41%	0.0498	✗	1.61
2026-02-01	oos	0.0002536	0.000253956	+0.14%	0.0002687	+5.95%	0.0240	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.0002719	0.000271919	+0.01%	0.0002536	-6.73%	0.0326	✗	1.65
2026-01-30	oos	0.0003096	0.000308609	-0.32%	0.0002719	-12.18%	0.0101	✓	1.73
2026-01-29	oos	0.0003448	0.000343697	-0.32%	0.0003096	-10.21%	0.0963	✓	1.71
2026-01-28	oos	0.0004135	0.00041192	-0.38%	0.0003448	-16.61%	0.0923	✓	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.0003523	0.000350724	-0.45%	0.0004135	+17.37%	0.1638	✗	1.59
2026-01-26	oos	0.0003453	0.000343763	-0.45%	0.0003523	+2.03%	0.0098	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.0003455	0.000344127	-0.40%	0.0003453	-0.06%	0.0262	✓	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.0003931	0.000391499	-0.41%	0.0003455	-12.11%	0.0824	✓	1.49
2026-01-23	oos	0.0004106	0.000408963	-0.40%	0.0003931	-4.26%	0.0328	✓	1.54
2026-01-22	oos	0.0004048	0.000403133	-0.41%	0.0004106	+1.43%	0.0182	✗	1.54
2026-01-21	oos	0.0003609	0.000359155	-0.48%	0.0004048	+12.16%	0.1180	✗	1.49
2026-01-20	oos	0.0004058	0.000404306	-0.37%	0.0003609	-11.06%	0.1339	✓	1.72
2026-01-19	oos	0.0004472	0.000445511	-0.38%	0.0004058	-9.26%	0.0140	✓	1.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.0005101	0.000508826	-0.25%	0.0004472	-12.33%	0.1083	✓	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.000523	0.000521918	-0.21%	0.0005101	-2.47%	0.0037	✗	1.70
2026-01-16	oos	0.0005419	0.000540829	-0.20%	0.000523	-3.49%	0.0265	✓	1.70
2026-01-15	oos	0.0005259	0.000524761	-0.22%	0.0005419	+3.04%	0.0336	✗	1.66
2026-01-14	oos	0.000571	0.000570173	-0.14%	0.0005259	-7.90%	0.0574	✓	1.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.000582	0.000580635	-0.23%	0.000571	-1.89%	0.0428	✓	1.59
2026-01-12	oos	0.00055	0.000548365	-0.30%	0.000582	+5.82%	0.0245	✓	1.87
2026-01-11	oos	0.0006007	0.000599148	-0.26%	0.00055	-8.44%	0.0921	✓	1.88
2026-01-10	oos	0.0006509	0.000649139	-0.27%	0.0006007	-7.71%	0.0878	✓	1.86
2026-01-09	oos	0.0005548	0.00055334	-0.26%	0.0006509	+17.32%	0.1656	✗	2.04
2026-01-08	oos	0.0005809	0.000579431	-0.25%	0.0005548	-4.49%	0.0320	✓	2.04
2026-01-07	oos	0.0005789	0.000577377	-0.26%	0.0005809	+0.35%	0.0118	✗	2.04
2026-01-06	oos	0.0006551	0.000653213	-0.29%	0.0005789	-11.63%	0.0677	✓	2.01
2026-01-05	oos	0.0006891	0.000686802	-0.33%	0.0006551	-4.93%	0.0441	✓	2.01
2026-01-04	oos	0.0006673	0.000665026	-0.34%	0.0006891	+3.27%	0.0159	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0006284	0.000626212	-0.35%	0.0006673	+6.19%	0.0440	✗	1.99
2026-01-02	oos	0.0006276	0.000625304	-0.37%	0.0006284	+0.13%	0.0091	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.0005885	0.000586229	-0.39%	0.0006276	+6.64%	0.0415	✗	1.96
2025-12-31	oos	0.0005725	0.000570164	-0.41%	0.0005885	+2.79%	0.0042	✗	1.95
2025-12-30	oos	0.0006205	0.000617928	-0.41%	0.0005725	-7.74%	0.0557	✓	2.02
2025-12-29	oos	0.0006005	0.00059791	-0.43%	0.0006205	+3.33%	0.0086	✗	1.94
2025-12-28	oos	0.0006155	0.000612719	-0.45%	0.0006005	-2.44%	0.0031	✓	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.0005888	0.000585943	-0.49%	0.0006155	+4.53%	0.0479	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.0006277	0.000624695	-0.48%	0.0005888	-6.20%	0.0687	✓	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.0006123	0.000609257	-0.50%	0.0006277	+2.52%	0.0275	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.0005917	0.00058854	-0.53%	0.0006123	+3.48%	0.0479	✗	1.65
2025-12-23	oos	0.0006153	0.000612036	-0.53%	0.0005917	-3.84%	0.0383	✓	2.18
2025-12-22	oos	0.0006817	0.000678049	-0.54%	0.0006153	-9.74%	0.0715	✓	2.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.000683	0.00067914	-0.57%	0.0006817	-0.19%	0.0056	✓	2.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.0006897	0.000685749	-0.57%	0.000683	-0.97%	0.0113	✓	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.0007056	0.000701694	-0.55%	0.0006897	-2.25%	0.0226	✓	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.0006154	0.000612329	-0.50%	0.0007056	+14.66%	0.0826	✗	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.0006245	0.00062101	-0.56%	0.0006154	-1.46%	0.0080	✗	1.96
2025-12-16	oos	0.0007402	0.000736885	-0.45%	0.0006245	-15.63%	0.1291	✓	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.000814	0.000811645	-0.29%	0.0007402	-9.07%	0.1245	✓	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.000885	0.00088223	-0.31%	0.000814	-8.02%	0.0410	✓	1.97
2025-12-13	oos	0.001043	0.00104	-0.24%	0.000885	-15.15%	0.1169	✓	1.92
2025-12-12	oos	0.001028	0.001025	-0.25%	0.001043	+1.46%	0.0174	✗	1.92
2025-12-11	oos	0.001098	0.001095	-0.23%	0.001028	-6.38%	0.0155	✓	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.001227	0.001225	-0.19%	0.001098	-10.51%	0.1199	✓	1.96
2025-12-09	oos	0.001322	0.001319	-0.19%	0.001227	-7.19%	0.0588	✓	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.001345	0.001343	-0.18%	0.001322	-1.71%	0.0591	✓	1.96
2025-12-07	oos	0.001314	0.001312	-0.17%	0.001345	+2.36%	0.0196	✗	1.95
2025-12-06	oos	0.001435	0.001433	-0.16%	0.001314	-8.43%	0.1116	✓	1.98
2025-12-05	oos	0.001481	0.001479	-0.16%	0.001435	-3.11%	0.0283	✓	1.98
2025-12-04	oos	0.0015	0.001497	-0.19%	0.001481	-1.27%	0.0515	✗	2.06
2025-12-03	oos	0.001578	0.001574	-0.23%	0.0015	-4.94%	0.0181	✓	2.07
2025-12-02	oos	0.001595	0.001592	-0.21%	0.001578	-1.07%	0.0568	✓	2.08
2025-12-01	oos	0.001584	0.001581	-0.17%	0.001595	+0.69%	0.1158	✓	2.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.001536	0.001533	-0.20%	0.001584	+3.12%	0.1474	✗	2.48
2025-11-29	oos	0.001557	0.001554	-0.22%	0.001536	-1.35%	0.0012	✓	2.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.001533	0.001529	-0.23%	0.001557	+1.57%	0.0199	✗	2.48
2025-11-27	oos	0.001598	0.001594	-0.26%	0.001533	-4.07%	0.0277	✓	2.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.001618	0.001614	-0.26%	0.001598	-1.24%	0.0328	✓	2.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.001625	0.001621	-0.25%	0.001618	-0.43%	0.0913	✓	2.53
2025-11-24	oos	0.001518	0.001514	-0.24%	0.001625	+7.05%	0.0980	✗	2.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.001477	0.001474	-0.21%	0.001518	+2.78%	0.0129	✓	2.54
2025-11-22	oos	0.001585	0.001582	-0.20%	0.001477	-6.81%	0.1337	✓	2.63
2025-11-21	oos	0.001778	0.001773	-0.28%	0.001585	-10.85%	0.1001	✓	2.63
2025-11-20	oos	0.0017	0.001696	-0.25%	0.001778	+4.59%	0.0937	✗	2.70
2025-11-19	oos	0.002039	0.002028	-0.56%	0.0017	-16.63%	0.0237	✓	2.76
2025-11-18	oos	0.002417	0.002373	-1.82%	0.002039	-15.64%	0.1089	✓	2.71
2025-11-17	oos	0.00163	0.001626	-0.27%	0.002417	+48.28%	0.3747	✗	2.49
2025-11-16	oos	0.001676	0.001671	-0.31%	0.00163	-2.74%	0.0327	✗	2.57
2025-11-15	oos	0.001291	0.001289	-0.16%	0.001676	+29.82%	0.3024	✗	2.77
2025-11-14	oos	0.001511	0.001508	-0.19%	0.001291	-14.56%	0.1867	✓	2.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.001375	0.001372	-0.24%	0.001511	+9.89%	0.2912	✗	3.69
2025-11-12	oos	0.001551	0.001546	-0.34%	0.001375	-11.35%	0.0421	✓	3.72
2025-11-11	oos	0.001479	0.001474	-0.37%	0.001551	+4.87%	0.1027	✗	3.84
2025-11-10	oos	0.001588	0.00158	-0.52%	0.001479	-6.86%	0.0486	✗	4.03
2025-11-09	oos	0.001697	0.001687	-0.60%	0.001588	-6.42%	0.1098	✓	4.05
2025-11-08	oos	0.001556	0.001549	-0.45%	0.001697	+9.06%	0.0007	✓	3.95
2025-11-07	oos	0.001944	0.001926	-0.91%	0.001556	-19.96%	0.1756	✓	3.89
2025-11-06	oos	0.001653	0.001644	-0.55%	0.001944	+17.60%	0.0958	✗	3.68
2025-11-05	oos	0.001835	0.001819	-0.87%	0.001653	-9.92%	0.0003	✓	3.80
2025-11-04	oos	0.001752	0.001739	-0.75%	0.001835	+4.74%	0.0333	✓	3.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.001653	0.00164	-0.80%	0.001752	+5.99%	0.3098	✗	4.98
2025-11-02	oos	0.002404	0.002364	-1.67%	0.001653	-31.24%	0.1868	✓	4.66
2025-11-01	oos	0.00152	0.001509	-0.74%	0.002404	+58.16%	0.4461	✗	4.51
2025-10-31	oos	0.001665	0.001651	-0.84%	0.00152	-8.71%	0.1031	✓	4.51
2025-10-30	oos	0.001694	0.00168	-0.84%	0.001665	-1.71%	0.0600	✓	4.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.001772	0.001756	-0.92%	0.001694	-4.40%	0.0381	✗	4.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.001665	0.001651	-0.86%	0.001772	+6.43%	0.0967	✗	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.001847	0.001829	-0.99%	0.001665	-9.85%	0.0833	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.002006	0.001984	-1.12%	0.001847	-7.93%	0.0673	✓	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.001818	0.001801	-0.93%	0.002006	+10.34%	0.0823	✗	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.001771	0.001756	-0.86%	0.001818	+2.65%	0.0293	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.00206	0.002039	-1.02%	0.001771	-14.03%	0.1493	✓	1.00
2025-10-22	oos	0.00154	0.00153	-0.64%	0.00206	+33.77%	0.2741	✗	1.00
2025-10-21	oos	0.001366	0.001353	-0.94%	0.00154	+12.74%	0.1365	✗	1.00
2025-10-20	oos	0.001893	0.001878	-0.79%	0.001366	-27.84%	0.2982	✓	1.00
2025-10-19	oos	0.00229	0.002272	-0.78%	0.001893	-17.34%	0.1998	✓	1.00
2025-10-18	oos	0.002264	0.002247	-0.75%	0.00229	+1.15%	0.0053	✓	1.00
2025-10-17	oos	0.002704	0.002682	-0.80%	0.002264	-16.27%	0.1766	✓	1.00
2025-10-16	oos	0.002872	0.002847	-0.86%	0.002704	-5.85%	0.0354	✓	1.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.002684	0.00266	-0.89%	0.002872	+7.00%	0.1004	✗	1.00
2025-10-14	oos	0.004793	0.004727	-1.38%	0.002684	-44.00%	0.5458	✓	1.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.005014	0.004938	-1.52%	0.004793	-4.41%	0.0104	✓	1.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.006481	0.00633	-2.33%	0.005014	-22.64%	0.2349	✓	1.00
2025-10-11	oos	0.005207	0.005099	-2.07%	0.006481	+24.47%	0.2017	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.001539	0.001514	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.001324	0.001291	-2.49%	0.001539	+16.24%	0.1593	✗	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.001319	0.00128	-2.96%	0.001324	+0.38%	0.0056	✓	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.001722	0.001684	-2.22%	0.001319	-23.40%	0.2416	✓	1.00