AVA

AVA (Travala) · Ethereum · lstm_s7

token id: #60
symbol: AVA
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xa6c0c097741d55ecd9a3a7def3a8253fd022ceb9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-14
predictions: 459

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

152

of 153 predictions shown

direction hit

53.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0364

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0061

actual +0.0023

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.37325	0.370259	-0.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.38
2026-10-21	oos	0.3753	0.371192	-1.09%	0.37325	-0.55%	0.0047	✓	0.38
2026-10-20	oos	0.3432	0.339164	-1.18%	0.3753	+9.35%	0.0964	✗	0.37
2026-10-19	oos	0.42285	0.412629	-2.42%	0.3432	-18.84%	0.1902	✓	0.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.3193	0.314105	-1.63%	0.42285	+32.43%	0.2983	✗	0.49
2026-10-17	oos	0.3784	0.371089	-1.93%	0.3193	-15.62%	0.1542	✓	0.51
2026-10-16	oos	0.2935	0.290589	-0.99%	0.3784	+28.93%	0.2648	✗	0.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.2846	0.281128	-1.22%	0.2935	+3.13%	0.0472	✗	0.54
2026-10-14	oos	0.26855	0.264128	-1.65%	0.2846	+5.98%	0.0710	✗	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	0.2373	0.235541	-0.74%	0.26855	+13.17%	0.1428	✗	0.63
2026-10-12	oos	0.2321	0.230952	-0.49%	0.2373	+2.24%	0.0169	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.22825	0.227226	-0.45%	0.2321	+1.69%	0.0362	✗	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.2325	0.23148	-0.44%	0.22825	-1.83%	0.0201	✓	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.2387	0.23767	-0.43%	0.2325	-2.60%	0.0249	✓	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.23205	0.231146	-0.39%	0.2387	+2.87%	0.0253	✗	0.66
2026-10-07	oos	0.22615	0.225364	-0.35%	0.23205	+2.61%	0.0423	✗	0.68
2026-10-06	oos	0.23255	0.231737	-0.35%	0.22615	-2.75%	0.0064	✓	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.24515	0.244188	-0.39%	0.23255	-5.14%	0.0472	✓	0.67
2026-10-04	oos	0.2621	0.260835	-0.48%	0.24515	-6.47%	0.0561	✓	0.67
2026-10-03	oos	0.26635	0.264965	-0.52%	0.2621	-1.60%	0.0249	✓	0.68
2026-10-02	oos	0.26025	0.259021	-0.47%	0.26635	+2.34%	0.0260	✗	0.68
2026-10-01	oos	0.25855	0.257364	-0.46%	0.26025	+0.66%	0.0139	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.2456	0.24459	-0.41%	0.25855	+5.27%	0.0451	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.24525	0.244213	-0.42%	0.2456	+0.14%	0.0063	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.2432	0.242128	-0.44%	0.24525	+0.84%	0.0113	✗	0.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.2525	0.251213	-0.51%	0.2432	-3.68%	0.0242	✓	0.69
2026-09-26	oos	0.2456	0.244337	-0.51%	0.2525	+2.81%	0.0325	✗	0.69
2026-09-25	oos	0.26395	0.262307	-0.62%	0.2456	-6.95%	0.0685	✓	0.69
2026-09-24	oos	0.2556	0.253978	-0.63%	0.26395	+3.27%	0.0409	✗	0.70
2026-09-23	oos	0.253	0.251206	-0.71%	0.2556	+1.03%	0.0173	✗	0.70
2026-09-22	oos	0.25725	0.25502	-0.87%	0.253	-1.65%	0.0071	✓	0.70
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.245722	-0.86%	0.25725	+3.79%	0.0492	✗	0.73
2026-09-20	oos	0.2389	0.236183	-1.14%	0.24785	+3.75%	0.0011	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.2257	0.223296	-1.07%	0.2389	+5.85%	0.0682	✗	0.76
2026-09-18	oos	0.2356	0.231473	-1.75%	0.2257	-4.20%	0.0287	✓	0.78
2026-09-17	oos	0.2631	0.256977	-2.33%	0.2356	-10.45%	0.1473	✓	1.05
2026-09-16	oos	0.15575	0.155122	-0.40%	0.2631	+68.92%	0.5256	✗	1.03
2026-09-15	oos	0.15935	0.158578	-0.48%	0.15575	-2.26%	0.0258	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.16475	0.163683	-0.65%	0.15935	-3.28%	0.0080	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.17235	0.170502	-1.07%	0.16475	-4.41%	0.0530	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.16675	0.166186	-0.34%	0.17235	+3.36%	0.0428	✗	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.1533	0.153033	-0.17%	0.16675	+8.77%	0.0851	✗	1.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.14845	0.148349	-0.07%	0.1533	+3.27%	0.0236	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.15835	0.158374	+0.02%	0.14845	-6.25%	0.0414	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.16595	0.166054	+0.06%	0.15835	-4.58%	0.0452	✗	1.09
2026-09-07	oos	0.16025	0.160624	+0.23%	0.16595	+3.56%	0.0417	✓	1.11
2026-09-06	oos	0.1657	0.16627	+0.34%	0.16025	-3.29%	0.0195	✗	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.17045	0.171144	+0.41%	0.1657	-2.79%	0.0394	✗	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.1723	0.173064	+0.44%	0.17045	-1.07%	0.0174	✗	1.11
2026-09-03	oos	0.19615	0.196851	+0.36%	0.1723	-12.16%	0.1128	✗	1.04
2026-09-02	oos	0.1842	0.184781	+0.32%	0.19615	+6.49%	0.0067	✓	1.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.1902	0.190811	+0.32%	0.1842	-3.15%	0.0340	✗	1.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.19365	0.194404	+0.39%	0.1902	-1.78%	0.0069	✗	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.19105	0.191794	+0.39%	0.19365	+1.36%	0.0019	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.1997	0.200335	+0.32%	0.19105	-4.33%	0.0404	✗	0.97
2026-08-28	oos	0.202	0.202541	+0.27%	0.1997	-1.14%	0.0190	✗	0.97
2026-08-27	oos	0.2085	0.209032	+0.26%	0.202	-3.12%	0.0043	✗	0.97
2026-08-26	oos	0.21075	0.210969	+0.10%	0.2085	-1.07%	0.0271	✗	0.98
2026-08-25	oos	0.2092	0.209225	+0.01%	0.21075	+0.74%	0.0010	✓	0.99
2026-08-24	oos	0.2018	0.201809	+0.00%	0.2092	+3.67%	0.0417	✓	0.99
2026-08-23	oos	0.20705	0.20666	-0.19%	0.2018	-2.54%	0.0399	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.2035	0.202929	-0.28%	0.20705	+1.74%	0.0113	✗	1.01
2026-08-21	oos	0.2049	0.204272	-0.31%	0.2035	-0.68%	0.0127	✗	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.191	0.189901	-0.58%	0.2049	+7.28%	0.0047	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.1799	0.178754	-0.64%	0.191	+6.17%	0.0133	✗	1.02
2026-08-18	oos	0.17065	0.16935	-0.76%	0.1799	+5.42%	0.0121	✓	1.05
2026-08-17	oos	0.17415	0.172768	-0.79%	0.17065	-2.01%	0.0158	✓	1.08
2026-08-16	oos	0.17405	0.172595	-0.84%	0.17415	+0.06%	0.0196	✓	1.11
2026-08-15	oos	0.17835	0.176838	-0.85%	0.17405	-2.41%	0.0127	✓	1.11
2026-08-14	oos	0.17865	0.17711	-0.86%	0.17835	-0.17%	0.0062	✓	1.12
2026-08-13	oos	0.18025	0.178687	-0.87%	0.17865	-0.89%	0.0078	✓	1.12
2026-08-12	oos	0.18485	0.18324	-0.87%	0.18025	-2.49%	0.0167	✓	1.15
2026-08-11	oos	0.19115	0.189467	-0.88%	0.18485	-3.30%	0.0225	✓	1.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.203	0.201127	-0.92%	0.19115	-5.84%	0.0440	✓	1.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.2075	0.205469	-0.98%	0.203	-2.17%	0.0046	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.20655	0.204314	-1.08%	0.2075	+0.46%	0.0165	✗	1.14
2026-08-07	oos	0.21025	0.207506	-1.31%	0.20655	-1.76%	0.0049	✓	1.15
2026-08-06	oos	0.1902	0.187914	-1.20%	0.21025	+10.54%	0.1016	✗	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.18165	0.179447	-1.21%	0.1902	+4.71%	0.0640	✗	1.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.16775	0.1657	-1.22%	0.18165	+8.29%	0.0826	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.1717	0.169114	-1.51%	0.16775	-2.30%	0.0181	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.1825	0.179518	-1.63%	0.1717	-5.92%	0.0440	✓	1.10
2026-08-01	oos	0.17155	0.168458	-1.80%	0.1825	+6.38%	0.0676	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.16075	0.158766	-1.23%	0.17155	+6.72%	0.0785	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	0.152	0.150369	-1.07%	0.16075	+5.76%	0.1012	✗	1.16
2026-07-29	oos	0.1501	0.148569	-1.02%	0.152	+1.27%	0.0080	✓	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.1533	0.151752	-1.01%	0.1501	-2.09%	0.0118	✓	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.15455	0.153029	-0.98%	0.1533	-0.81%	0.0010	✓	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.1624	0.160858	-0.95%	0.15455	-4.83%	0.0107	✓	1.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.1637	0.162116	-0.97%	0.1624	-0.79%	0.0170	✓	1.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.15435	0.153066	-0.83%	0.1637	+6.06%	0.0634	✗	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.15365	0.15252	-0.74%	0.15435	+0.46%	0.0293	✗	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1581	0.15711	-0.63%	0.15365	-2.81%	0.0040	✓	1.16
2026-07-21	oos	0.15995	0.159089	-0.54%	0.1581	-1.16%	0.0013	✓	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1559	0.155036	-0.55%	0.15995	+2.60%	0.0084	✗	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1539	0.153072	-0.54%	0.1559	+1.30%	0.0089	✗	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.15475	0.15399	-0.49%	0.1539	-0.55%	0.0014	✓	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.158	0.157228	-0.49%	0.15475	-2.06%	0.0323	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.15955	0.158828	-0.45%	0.158	-0.97%	0.0075	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.16415	0.163526	-0.38%	0.15955	-2.80%	0.0074	✓	1.17
2026-07-14	oos	0.1618	0.161278	-0.32%	0.16415	+1.45%	0.0226	✗	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.1574	0.15686	-0.34%	0.1618	+2.80%	0.0208	✓	1.21
2026-07-12	oos	0.1628	0.162302	-0.31%	0.1574	-3.32%	0.0024	✓	1.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.16735	0.166866	-0.29%	0.1628	-2.72%	0.0240	✓	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.1696	0.169096	-0.30%	0.16735	-1.33%	0.0036	✓	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.16805	0.167589	-0.27%	0.1696	+0.92%	0.0063	✓	1.22
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.166471	-0.26%	0.16805	+0.69%	0.0089	✓	1.23
2026-07-07	oos	0.1711	0.170651	-0.26%	0.1669	-2.45%	0.0010	✓	1.23
2026-07-06	oos	0.17935	0.178844	-0.28%	0.1711	-4.60%	0.0313	✓	1.22
2026-07-05	oos	0.1803	0.179777	-0.29%	0.17935	-0.53%	0.0104	✓	1.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.18395	0.183386	-0.31%	0.1803	-1.98%	0.0267	✓	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.17725	0.176659	-0.33%	0.18395	+3.78%	0.0294	✗	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.17095	0.170382	-0.33%	0.17725	+3.69%	0.0195	✗	1.20
2026-07-01	oos	0.17475	0.174241	-0.29%	0.17095	-2.17%	0.0512	✓	1.28
2026-06-30	oos	0.16145	0.161002	-0.28%	0.17475	+8.24%	0.0529	✗	1.20
2026-06-29	oos	0.1661	0.165695	-0.24%	0.16145	-2.80%	0.0074	✗	1.21
2026-06-28	oos	0.16695	0.166632	-0.19%	0.1661	-0.51%	0.0173	✓	1.22
2026-06-27	oos	0.16885	0.168564	-0.17%	0.16695	-1.13%	0.0002	✓	1.22
2026-06-26	oos	0.1731	0.172867	-0.13%	0.16885	-2.46%	0.0221	✓	1.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.17085	0.170694	-0.09%	0.1731	+1.32%	0.0079	✗	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1746	0.174405	-0.11%	0.17085	-2.15%	0.0055	✗	1.23
2026-06-23	oos	0.18185	0.181546	-0.17%	0.1746	-3.99%	0.0061	✓	1.22
2026-06-22	oos	0.18755	0.187098	-0.24%	0.18185	-3.04%	0.0033	✓	1.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.1911	0.190631	-0.25%	0.18755	-1.86%	0.0304	✓	1.25
2026-06-20	oos	0.19835	0.197607	-0.37%	0.1911	-3.66%	0.0142	✓	1.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.19035	0.189492	-0.45%	0.19835	+4.20%	0.0315	✗	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1941	0.192694	-0.72%	0.19035	-1.93%	0.0240	✓	1.25
2026-06-17	oos	0.2037	0.202071	-0.80%	0.1941	-4.71%	0.0101	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.1998	0.19826	-0.77%	0.2037	+1.95%	0.0497	✗	1.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.1971	0.195582	-0.77%	0.1998	+1.37%	0.0340	✗	1.26
2026-06-14	oos	0.1934	0.192085	-0.68%	0.1971	+1.91%	0.0149	✗	1.25
2026-06-13	oos	0.1904	0.189209	-0.63%	0.1934	+1.58%	0.0029	✓	1.27
2026-06-12	oos	0.191	0.189483	-0.79%	0.1904	-0.31%	0.0091	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.19395	0.192182	-0.91%	0.191	-1.52%	0.0058	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.1754	0.174242	-0.66%	0.19395	+10.58%	0.0733	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.17575	0.174552	-0.68%	0.1754	-0.20%	0.0087	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.1836	0.181819	-0.97%	0.17575	-4.28%	0.0119	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.1835	0.181349	-1.17%	0.1836	+0.05%	0.0161	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.1772	0.176066	-0.64%	0.1835	+3.56%	0.0018	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.1769	0.175754	-0.65%	0.1772	+0.17%	0.0112	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.1918	0.189911	-0.98%	0.1769	-7.77%	0.0265	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.2098	0.208238	-0.74%	0.1918	-8.58%	0.0786	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.2063	0.204088	-1.07%	0.2098	+1.70%	0.0677	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.2219	0.220125	-0.80%	0.2063	-7.03%	0.0027	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.2223	0.220582	-0.77%	0.2219	-0.18%	0.0372	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.21885	0.217211	-0.75%	0.2223	+1.58%	0.0258	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.21825	0.216555	-0.78%	0.21885	+0.27%	0.0051	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.215	0.213343	-0.77%	0.21825	+1.51%	0.0247	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.2224	0.220627	-0.80%	0.215	-3.33%	0.0150	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.2274	0.225958	-0.63%	0.2224	-2.20%	0.0042	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.2333	0.231759	-0.66%	0.2274	-2.53%	0.0004	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.2314	0.229707	-0.73%	0.2333	+0.82%	0.0120	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.2424	0.240531	-0.77%	0.2314	-4.54%	0.0429	✓	1.00