AVA

AVA (Travala) · Ethereum · lstm_s7

token id: #60
symbol: AVA
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xa6c0c097741d55ecd9a3a7def3a8253fd022ceb9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-14
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

151

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

58.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0364

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0093

actual +0.0013

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3215	0.317994	-1.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.37
2026-10-20	oos	0.3432	0.338618	-1.34%	0.3215	-6.32%	0.0508	✓	0.37
2026-10-19	oos	0.42285	0.414353	-2.01%	0.3432	-18.84%	0.1944	✓	0.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.3193	0.314594	-1.47%	0.42285	+32.43%	0.2967	✗	0.49
2026-10-17	oos	0.3784	0.371335	-1.87%	0.3193	-15.62%	0.1549	✓	0.51
2026-10-16	oos	0.2935	0.289793	-1.26%	0.3784	+28.93%	0.2676	✗	0.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.2846	0.280852	-1.32%	0.2935	+3.13%	0.0482	✗	0.54
2026-10-14	oos	0.26855	0.264964	-1.34%	0.2846	+5.98%	0.0678	✗	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	0.2373	0.235295	-0.84%	0.26855	+13.17%	0.1439	✗	0.63
2026-10-12	oos	0.2321	0.230424	-0.72%	0.2373	+2.24%	0.0192	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.22825	0.226782	-0.64%	0.2321	+1.69%	0.0381	✗	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.2325	0.230967	-0.66%	0.22825	-1.83%	0.0179	✓	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.2387	0.237041	-0.70%	0.2325	-2.60%	0.0223	✓	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.23205	0.230532	-0.65%	0.2387	+2.87%	0.0280	✗	0.66
2026-10-07	oos	0.22615	0.22483	-0.58%	0.23205	+2.61%	0.0447	✗	0.68
2026-10-06	oos	0.23255	0.231129	-0.61%	0.22615	-2.75%	0.0037	✓	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.24515	0.243441	-0.70%	0.23255	-5.14%	0.0441	✓	0.67
2026-10-04	oos	0.2621	0.260015	-0.80%	0.24515	-6.47%	0.0530	✓	0.67
2026-10-03	oos	0.26635	0.264064	-0.86%	0.2621	-1.60%	0.0215	✓	0.68
2026-10-02	oos	0.26025	0.258099	-0.83%	0.26635	+2.34%	0.0296	✗	0.68
2026-10-01	oos	0.25855	0.25642	-0.82%	0.26025	+0.66%	0.0176	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.2456	0.243684	-0.78%	0.25855	+5.27%	0.0488	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.24525	0.243311	-0.79%	0.2456	+0.14%	0.0100	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.2432	0.241299	-0.78%	0.24525	+0.84%	0.0147	✗	0.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.2525	0.250428	-0.82%	0.2432	-3.68%	0.0211	✓	0.69
2026-09-26	oos	0.2456	0.24365	-0.79%	0.2525	+2.81%	0.0353	✗	0.69
2026-09-25	oos	0.26395	0.261635	-0.88%	0.2456	-6.95%	0.0659	✓	0.69
2026-09-24	oos	0.2556	0.253302	-0.90%	0.26395	+3.27%	0.0436	✗	0.70
2026-09-23	oos	0.253	0.250577	-0.96%	0.2556	+1.03%	0.0198	✗	0.70
2026-09-22	oos	0.25725	0.254562	-1.04%	0.253	-1.65%	0.0088	✓	0.70
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.245346	-1.01%	0.25725	+3.79%	0.0507	✗	0.73
2026-09-20	oos	0.2389	0.236194	-1.13%	0.24785	+3.75%	0.0012	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.2257	0.223312	-1.06%	0.2389	+5.85%	0.0682	✗	0.76
2026-09-18	oos	0.2356	0.232521	-1.31%	0.2257	-4.20%	0.0332	✓	0.78
2026-09-17	oos	0.2631	0.258559	-1.73%	0.2356	-10.45%	0.1534	✓	1.05
2026-09-16	oos	0.15575	0.155022	-0.47%	0.2631	+68.92%	0.5262	✗	1.03
2026-09-15	oos	0.15935	0.158527	-0.52%	0.15575	-2.26%	0.0255	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.16475	0.163776	-0.59%	0.15935	-3.28%	0.0074	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.17235	0.171139	-0.70%	0.16475	-4.41%	0.0567	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.16675	0.165985	-0.46%	0.17235	+3.36%	0.0440	✗	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.1533	0.152735	-0.37%	0.16675	+8.77%	0.0870	✗	1.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.14845	0.147967	-0.33%	0.1533	+3.27%	0.0262	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.15835	0.15778	-0.36%	0.14845	-6.25%	0.0377	✓	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.16595	0.165298	-0.39%	0.15835	-4.58%	0.0407	✓	1.09
2026-09-07	oos	0.16025	0.159761	-0.31%	0.16595	+3.56%	0.0471	✗	1.11
2026-09-06	oos	0.1657	0.165201	-0.30%	0.16025	-3.29%	0.0130	✓	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.17045	0.169881	-0.33%	0.1657	-2.79%	0.0320	✓	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.1723	0.171697	-0.35%	0.17045	-1.07%	0.0095	✓	1.11
2026-09-03	oos	0.19615	0.195163	-0.50%	0.1723	-12.16%	0.1042	✓	1.04
2026-09-02	oos	0.1842	0.183244	-0.52%	0.19615	+6.49%	0.0151	✗	1.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.1902	0.18913	-0.56%	0.1842	-3.15%	0.0251	✓	1.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.19365	0.192573	-0.56%	0.1902	-1.78%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.19105	0.189958	-0.57%	0.19365	+1.36%	0.0077	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.1997	0.198498	-0.60%	0.19105	-4.33%	0.0312	✓	0.97
2026-08-28	oos	0.202	0.20072	-0.63%	0.1997	-1.14%	0.0100	✓	0.97
2026-08-27	oos	0.2085	0.207191	-0.63%	0.202	-3.12%	0.0046	✓	0.97
2026-08-26	oos	0.21075	0.209312	-0.68%	0.2085	-1.07%	0.0192	✓	0.98
2026-08-25	oos	0.2092	0.207727	-0.70%	0.21075	+0.74%	0.0082	✗	0.99
2026-08-24	oos	0.2018	0.200495	-0.65%	0.2092	+3.67%	0.0482	✗	0.99
2026-08-23	oos	0.20705	0.205537	-0.73%	0.2018	-2.54%	0.0345	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.2035	0.201974	-0.75%	0.20705	+1.74%	0.0160	✗	1.01
2026-08-21	oos	0.2049	0.20327	-0.80%	0.2035	-0.68%	0.0176	✗	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.191	0.189474	-0.80%	0.2049	+7.28%	0.0069	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.1799	0.178554	-0.75%	0.191	+6.17%	0.0144	✗	1.02
2026-08-18	oos	0.17065	0.169383	-0.74%	0.1799	+5.42%	0.0123	✓	1.05
2026-08-17	oos	0.17415	0.172824	-0.76%	0.17065	-2.01%	0.0161	✓	1.08
2026-08-16	oos	0.17405	0.172698	-0.78%	0.17415	+0.06%	0.0202	✓	1.11
2026-08-15	oos	0.17835	0.176924	-0.80%	0.17405	-2.41%	0.0132	✓	1.11
2026-08-14	oos	0.17865	0.177188	-0.82%	0.17835	-0.17%	0.0058	✓	1.12
2026-08-13	oos	0.18025	0.178749	-0.83%	0.17865	-0.89%	0.0075	✓	1.12
2026-08-12	oos	0.18485	0.183257	-0.86%	0.18025	-2.49%	0.0168	✓	1.15
2026-08-11	oos	0.19115	0.189418	-0.91%	0.18485	-3.30%	0.0222	✓	1.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.203	0.200985	-0.99%	0.19115	-5.84%	0.0433	✓	1.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.2075	0.205322	-1.05%	0.203	-2.17%	0.0053	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.20655	0.204236	-1.12%	0.2075	+0.46%	0.0169	✗	1.14
2026-08-07	oos	0.21025	0.207591	-1.26%	0.20655	-1.76%	0.0053	✓	1.15
2026-08-06	oos	0.1902	0.188	-1.16%	0.21025	+10.54%	0.1012	✗	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.18165	0.179613	-1.12%	0.1902	+4.71%	0.0631	✗	1.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.16775	0.165923	-1.09%	0.18165	+8.29%	0.0813	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.1717	0.169429	-1.32%	0.16775	-2.30%	0.0200	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.1825	0.179761	-1.50%	0.1717	-5.92%	0.0453	✓	1.10
2026-08-01	oos	0.17155	0.168879	-1.56%	0.1825	+6.38%	0.0651	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.16075	0.158706	-1.27%	0.17155	+6.72%	0.0789	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	0.152	0.150428	-1.03%	0.16075	+5.76%	0.1008	✗	1.16
2026-07-29	oos	0.1501	0.148537	-1.04%	0.152	+1.27%	0.0082	✓	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.1533	0.151602	-1.11%	0.1501	-2.09%	0.0108	✓	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.15455	0.152761	-1.16%	0.1533	-0.81%	0.0007	✓	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.1624	0.160448	-1.20%	0.15455	-4.83%	0.0082	✓	1.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.1637	0.161546	-1.32%	0.1624	-0.79%	0.0135	✓	1.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.15435	0.152595	-1.14%	0.1637	+6.06%	0.0664	✗	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.15365	0.152064	-1.03%	0.15435	+0.46%	0.0323	✗	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1581	0.156471	-1.03%	0.15365	-2.81%	0.0001	✓	1.16
2026-07-21	oos	0.15995	0.158351	-1.00%	0.1581	-1.16%	0.0059	✓	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1559	0.154344	-1.00%	0.15995	+2.60%	0.0129	✗	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1539	0.152487	-0.92%	0.1559	+1.30%	0.0127	✗	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.15475	0.153389	-0.88%	0.1539	-0.55%	0.0054	✓	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.158	0.156547	-0.92%	0.15475	-2.06%	0.0280	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.15955	0.158124	-0.89%	0.158	-0.97%	0.0031	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.16415	0.162764	-0.84%	0.15955	-2.80%	0.0027	✓	1.17
2026-07-14	oos	0.1618	0.160559	-0.77%	0.16415	+1.45%	0.0270	✗	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.1574	0.156219	-0.75%	0.1618	+2.80%	0.0167	✓	1.21
2026-07-12	oos	0.1628	0.161641	-0.71%	0.1574	-3.32%	0.0017	✓	1.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.16735	0.166163	-0.71%	0.1628	-2.72%	0.0198	✓	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.1696	0.168439	-0.68%	0.16735	-1.33%	0.0003	✓	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.16805	0.166897	-0.69%	0.1696	+0.92%	0.0022	✓	1.22
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.165732	-0.70%	0.16805	+0.69%	0.0044	✓	1.23
2026-07-07	oos	0.1711	0.169877	-0.71%	0.1669	-2.45%	0.0035	✓	1.23
2026-07-06	oos	0.17935	0.177982	-0.76%	0.1711	-4.60%	0.0265	✓	1.22
2026-07-05	oos	0.1803	0.178858	-0.80%	0.17935	-0.53%	0.0053	✓	1.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.18395	0.182401	-0.84%	0.1803	-1.98%	0.0213	✓	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.17725	0.17574	-0.85%	0.18395	+3.78%	0.0347	✗	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.17095	0.169479	-0.86%	0.17725	+3.69%	0.0248	✗	1.20
2026-07-01	oos	0.17475	0.173266	-0.85%	0.17095	-2.17%	0.0456	✓	1.28
2026-06-30	oos	0.16145	0.160004	-0.90%	0.17475	+8.24%	0.0591	✗	1.20
2026-06-29	oos	0.1661	0.16455	-0.93%	0.16145	-2.80%	0.0143	✗	1.21
2026-06-28	oos	0.16695	0.165347	-0.96%	0.1661	-0.51%	0.0096	✓	1.22
2026-06-27	oos	0.16885	0.167177	-0.99%	0.16695	-1.13%	0.0081	✓	1.22
2026-06-26	oos	0.1731	0.171377	-1.00%	0.16885	-2.46%	0.0135	✓	1.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.17085	0.169076	-1.04%	0.1731	+1.32%	0.0174	✗	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1746	0.172742	-1.06%	0.17085	-2.15%	0.0151	✗	1.23
2026-06-23	oos	0.18185	0.179904	-1.07%	0.1746	-3.99%	0.0030	✓	1.22
2026-06-22	oos	0.18755	0.18548	-1.10%	0.18185	-3.04%	0.0054	✓	1.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.1911	0.18898	-1.11%	0.18755	-1.86%	0.0217	✓	1.25
2026-06-20	oos	0.19835	0.196012	-1.18%	0.1911	-3.66%	0.0061	✓	1.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.19035	0.187995	-1.24%	0.19835	+4.20%	0.0394	✗	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1941	0.191468	-1.36%	0.19035	-1.93%	0.0176	✓	1.25
2026-06-17	oos	0.2037	0.201044	-1.30%	0.1941	-4.71%	0.0050	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.1998	0.197296	-1.25%	0.2037	+1.95%	0.0546	✗	1.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.1971	0.194687	-1.22%	0.1998	+1.37%	0.0386	✗	1.26
2026-06-14	oos	0.1934	0.19112	-1.18%	0.1971	+1.91%	0.0200	✗	1.25
2026-06-13	oos	0.1904	0.18819	-1.16%	0.1934	+1.58%	0.0025	✓	1.27
2026-06-12	oos	0.191	0.18866	-1.23%	0.1904	-0.31%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.19395	0.191577	-1.22%	0.191	-1.52%	0.0026	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.1754	0.173194	-1.26%	0.19395	+10.58%	0.0793	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.17575	0.173578	-1.24%	0.1754	-0.20%	0.0143	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.1836	0.181363	-1.22%	0.17575	-4.28%	0.0094	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.1835	0.181219	-1.24%	0.1836	+0.05%	0.0168	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.1772	0.17514	-1.16%	0.1835	+3.56%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.1769	0.174904	-1.13%	0.1772	+0.17%	0.0160	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.1918	0.189817	-1.03%	0.1769	-7.77%	0.0260	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.2098	0.207924	-0.89%	0.1918	-8.58%	0.0771	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.2063	0.204332	-0.95%	0.2098	+1.70%	0.0665	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.2219	0.219981	-0.86%	0.2063	-7.03%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.2223	0.220377	-0.86%	0.2219	-0.18%	0.0381	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.21885	0.216948	-0.87%	0.2223	+1.58%	0.0270	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.21825	0.216228	-0.93%	0.21885	+0.27%	0.0066	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.215	0.21296	-0.95%	0.21825	+1.51%	0.0265	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.2224	0.220277	-0.95%	0.215	-3.33%	0.0134	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.2274	0.225321	-0.91%	0.2224	-2.20%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.2333	0.231015	-0.98%	0.2274	-2.53%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.2314	0.228945	-1.06%	0.2333	+0.82%	0.0153	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.2424	0.239791	-1.08%	0.2314	-4.54%	0.0399	✓	1.00