ARGUS
Argus · Arc · lstm_s7
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
69.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0974
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0060
actual -0.0397
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008324 | 0.008271 | -0.63% | – | pending | – | – | -1.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007311 | -0.29% | 0.008324 | +13.52% | 0.1249 | ✗ | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006843 | -0.22% | 0.007332 | +6.92% | 0.0925 | ✗ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005681 | -0.60% | 0.006858 | +19.99% | 0.1847 | ✗ | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.00685 | -0.24% | 0.005716 | -16.77% | 0.1688 | ✓ | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007651 | -0.16% | 0.006867 | -10.39% | 0.1105 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008687 | -0.14% | 0.007663 | -11.92% | 0.1178 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008639 | -0.12% | 0.0087 | +0.58% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007487 | -0.38% | 0.00865 | +15.10% | 0.1631 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008673 | -0.19% | 0.007515 | -13.52% | 0.1598 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.011064 | -0.32% | 0.00869 | -21.71% | 0.2182 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010634 | -0.25% | 0.0111 | +4.13% | 0.0337 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012512 | -0.54% | 0.01066 | -15.26% | 0.1646 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013504 | -0.71% | 0.01258 | -7.50% | 0.0812 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013906 | -0.74% | 0.0136 | -2.93% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.01346 | -0.66% | 0.01401 | +3.39% | 0.0669 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013863 | -0.70% | 0.01355 | -2.94% | 0.0204 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014213 | -0.71% | 0.01396 | -2.48% | 0.0091 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013239 | -0.68% | 0.014315 | +7.39% | 0.0575 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015366 | -0.80% | 0.01333 | -13.94% | 0.1450 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.014123 | -0.78% | 0.01549 | +8.82% | 0.0964 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013924 | -0.82% | 0.014235 | +1.39% | 0.0067 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014555 | -0.85% | 0.01404 | -4.36% | 0.0350 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.019016 | -0.90% | 0.01468 | -23.50% | 0.2610 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.02128 | -1.02% | 0.01919 | -10.74% | 0.0914 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023723 | -1.24% | 0.0215 | -10.49% | 0.0989 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.024415 | -1.37% | 0.02402 | -2.97% | 0.0201 | ✓ | 1.00 |