ARGUS
Argus · Arc · lstm_s7
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +1d
assessed
27
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
66.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0992
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0040
actual -0.0341
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.009037 | 0.008977 | -0.66% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008983 | 0.008916 | -0.75% | 0.009037 | +0.60% | 0.0168 | ✗ | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007301 | -0.42% | 0.008983 | +22.51% | 0.2287 | ✗ | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006839 | -0.28% | 0.007332 | +6.92% | 0.0932 | ✗ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005701 | -0.26% | 0.006858 | +19.99% | 0.1813 | ✗ | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.006856 | -0.16% | 0.005716 | -16.77% | 0.1696 | ✓ | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007649 | -0.18% | 0.006867 | -10.39% | 0.1103 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008675 | -0.29% | 0.007663 | -11.92% | 0.1164 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008633 | -0.20% | 0.0087 | +0.58% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007502 | -0.17% | 0.00865 | +15.10% | 0.1610 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008679 | -0.13% | 0.007515 | -13.52% | 0.1605 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.011059 | -0.37% | 0.00869 | -21.71% | 0.2177 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010628 | -0.30% | 0.0111 | +4.13% | 0.0342 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.01253 | -0.40% | 0.01066 | -15.26% | 0.1660 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.01354 | -0.44% | 0.01258 | -7.50% | 0.0839 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013948 | -0.44% | 0.0136 | -2.93% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013493 | -0.42% | 0.01401 | +3.39% | 0.0644 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.0139 | -0.43% | 0.01355 | -2.94% | 0.0231 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014255 | -0.42% | 0.01396 | -2.48% | 0.0121 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013266 | -0.48% | 0.014315 | +7.39% | 0.0555 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015419 | -0.46% | 0.01333 | -13.94% | 0.1484 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.014165 | -0.49% | 0.01549 | +8.82% | 0.0935 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013967 | -0.52% | 0.014235 | +1.39% | 0.0037 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014607 | -0.50% | 0.01404 | -4.36% | 0.0386 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.019106 | -0.44% | 0.01468 | -23.50% | 0.2657 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021398 | -0.48% | 0.01919 | -10.74% | 0.0969 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023868 | -0.63% | 0.0215 | -10.49% | 0.1050 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.024563 | -0.78% | 0.02402 | -2.97% | 0.0262 | ✓ | 1.00 |