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2022-08-25 · +7d

lstm_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0980
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-7.09%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.5%
in alpha space · 89.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.62%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000131320.000124822-4.95%0.00027606+110.22%0.8496✗0.82340k2022-09-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4217.6223-4.33%17.1-7.17%0.0177✓0.701.4M2022-09-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.04e-77.70e-7-4.27%8.97e-7+11.60%0.2085✗0.80192k2022-09-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.1435.5912-4.17%32.92-11.36%0.0202✓1.4316.0M2022-09-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7214.5264-4.12%3.853-18.39%0.0958✓0.95225k2022-09-01
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1302-4.06%1.178+0.00%0.1594✗1.723.6M2022-09-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.576373-3.94%0.527-12.17%0.0149✓1.09102k2022-09-01
FLOWFlownative2.1372.0563-3.78%2.047-4.21%0.0846✗1.301.2M2022-09-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,795.519,429.29-3.74%9,216.45-5.91%0.0701✗1.367.3M2022-09-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.181.1359-3.74%1.1541-2.19%0.1177✗1.484.9M2022-09-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084050.080969-3.67%0.08-4.82%0.0059✓0.09637k2022-09-01
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017620.0017-3.53%0.00149-15.44%0.0702✓0.90590k2022-09-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.71975.5185-3.52%6.7053+17.23%0.2053✗0.155.0M2022-09-01
QNTQuantEthereum106.79103.054-3.50%95.02-11.02%0.0236✓0.843.5M2022-09-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.613.1257-3.49%13.45-1.10%0.1007✗1.111.9M2022-09-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015250.001472-3.48%0.001346-11.76%0.0367✓0.772.0M2022-09-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.57665.3832-3.47%7.8225+40.27%0.3861✗0.183.5M2022-09-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069790.067433-3.38%0.06427-7.91%0.0277✓1.112.4M2022-09-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.8936.6236-3.34%21.47-43.34%0.4738✓0.881.8M2022-09-01
MOVRMoonriverBase13.461513.0164-3.31%12.1573-9.69%0.0033✓0.9539k2022-09-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.865.6665-3.30%5.79-1.19%0.0473✗0.382.9M2022-09-01
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21790.210747-3.28%0.2038-6.47%0.0350✗1.00149k2022-09-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.22450.217187-3.26%0.2143-4.54%0.0417✗0.802.6M2022-09-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.86213.4121-3.25%12.927-6.75%0.0081✓0.423.8M2022-09-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.38941.3447-3.22%1.1439-17.67%0.0988✓0.921.5M2022-09-01
COMPCompoundEthereum51.4849.8254-3.21%48.03-6.70%0.0469✗1.2215k2022-09-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38010.36819-3.13%0.3184-16.23%0.0590✓1.26152k2022-09-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.811.7534-3.13%1.533-15.30%0.0527✓1.19103k2022-09-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3566.1578-3.12%5.77-9.22%0.0074✓0.8410.1M2022-09-01
KSMKusamaHydration48.5447.0331-3.10%47.43-2.29%0.0758✗0.98607k2022-09-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5411.4941-3.04%1.461-5.19%0.0574✗1.16138k2022-09-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.054.8964-3.04%4.79-5.15%0.0065✓0.411.3M2022-09-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.26920.261076-3.02%0.2309-14.23%0.0556✓0.98109k2022-09-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.86.5962-3.00%6.87+1.03%0.0663✗0.372.7M2022-09-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81970.79524-2.98%0.8971+9.44%0.2207✗1.46205k2022-09-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.041110.039885-2.98%0.03497-14.94%0.0642✓0.9828k2022-09-01
HIVEHivenative0.56910.552264-2.96%0.5486-3.60%0.0540✗0.881.7M2022-09-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3974-2.96%1.53+6.25%0.0865✗-0.06115k2022-09-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.846.6403-2.92%6.91+1.02%0.0656✗0.382.1M2022-09-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6824.5454-2.92%4.31-7.95%0.0313✓0.321.9M2022-09-01
STXStacksnative0.39980.388411-2.85%0.3628-9.25%0.0109✓1.15470k2022-09-01
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.2543-2.83%2.24-3.45%0.0482✗0.80520k2022-09-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50980.495378-2.83%0.5023-1.47%0.0697✗0.81625k2022-09-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0233430.022686-2.82%0.026903+15.25%0.1777✗0.11250k2022-09-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0144820.014075-2.81%0.013315-8.06%0.0125✓0.631.4M2022-09-01
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30774.1871-2.80%4.8782+13.24%0.2213✗1.00171k2022-09-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.118.857-2.78%9.54+4.72%0.1036✗0.432.4M2022-09-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0212.939-2.71%2.931-2.98%0.1054✗1.584.0M2022-09-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075880.073824-2.71%0.07449-1.83%0.0904✗1.1929k2022-09-01
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.137004-2.70%0.1272-9.66%0.0091✓0.951.9M2022-09-01
FTTFTXEthereum27.9427.1872-2.69%26.91-3.69%0.0549✗0.957.5M2022-09-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.374470.364411-2.69%0.3455-7.74%0.0101✓0.93321k2022-09-01
BTTCBTTC9.20e-78.95e-7-2.68%8.90e-7-3.26%0.0485✗0.792.4M2022-09-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.25274.1387-2.68%4.1452-2.53%0.0383✗0.542.9M2022-09-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9980.97147-2.66%1.059+6.11%0.1700✗1.221.3M2022-09-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.127452-2.63%0.124-5.27%0.0420✗1.0135k2022-09-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3526.1862-2.61%6.313-0.61%0.0832✗0.925.2M2022-09-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.05480.053388-2.58%0.0506-7.66%0.0142✓0.99256k2022-09-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49610.483421-2.56%0.4685-5.56%0.0449✗1.11400k2022-09-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.840180.818869-2.54%0.78027-7.13%0.0141✓0.91507k2022-09-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.725174-2.53%0.668-10.22%0.0194✓0.92322k2022-09-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4580.44643-2.53%0.414-9.61%0.0074✓0.998,8922022-09-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.4175-2.52%2.28-8.06%0.0244✓1.21299k2022-09-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016660.016248-2.47%0.01325-20.47%0.1582✓0.67173k2022-09-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9230.90048-2.44%0.974+5.53%0.1078✗0.434.2M2022-09-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.84712.535-2.43%12.73-0.91%0.0909✗1.1010.4M2022-09-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1550.151266-2.41%0.141-9.03%0.0042✓0.96668k2022-09-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.3958-2.39%1.32-7.69%0.0092✓0.95182k2022-09-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.288939-2.39%0.276-6.76%0.0034✓0.72826k2022-09-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.8679-2.38%7.62-5.46%0.0435✗1.10638k2022-09-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.47713.3943-2.38%3.1819-8.49%0.0031✓0.9930k2022-09-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7114.6002-2.35%4.485-4.80%0.0195✓0.092.4M2022-09-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015970.00156-2.34%0.001534-3.94%0.0322✗0.719,9742022-09-01
METISMetisEthereum35.2334.4106-2.33%30.57-13.23%0.0096✓1.87365k2022-09-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42470.414826-2.32%0.4267+0.47%0.1046✗1.1189k2022-09-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009140.008929-2.31%0.00869-4.92%0.0249✗0.766.4M2022-09-01
ZENHorizenBase17.1916.7938-2.30%15.87-7.68%0.0188✓1.10130k2022-09-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5496.3992-2.29%6.087-7.05%0.0283✓0.325.3M2022-09-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7240.707649-2.26%0.669-7.60%0.0035✓0.87253k2022-09-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0042.9362-2.26%2.946-1.93%0.0466✗0.63669k2022-09-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3950.386095-2.25%0.3534-10.53%0.0136✓1.09174k2022-09-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37170.363352-2.25%0.3074-17.30%0.0896✓1.13111k2022-09-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0225110.022006-2.24%0.021111-6.22%0.0143✓0.8113k2022-09-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2892.2377-2.24%2.05-10.44%0.0093✓1.1460k2022-09-01
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0236.8668-2.22%6.315-10.08%0.0045✓1.2910.3M2022-09-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023030.022522-2.21%0.02281-0.96%0.0678✗0.80419k2022-09-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5710.558491-2.19%0.514-9.98%0.0061✓1.1288k2022-09-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023910.023386-2.19%0.02063-13.72%0.0668✓0.8613.4M2022-09-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7340.717968-2.18%0.674-8.17%0.0282✗1.335.0M2022-09-01
DIADIAEthereum0.411010.402039-2.18%0.37505-8.75%0.0049✓0.9462k2022-09-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.109974-2.16%0.117+4.09%0.1098✗0.70250k2022-09-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.47642.4236-2.13%2.2908-7.49%0.0259✗1.2013k2022-09-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9822.4941-2.11%19.3-16.01%0.0650✓1.2924.1M2022-09-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.304110.297762-2.09%0.30195-0.71%0.0854✗1.0413k2022-09-01
SOLSolanaSolana35.2534.5167-2.08%31.62-10.30%0.0089✓1.1570.1M2022-09-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5837.4255-2.08%7.184-5.26%0.0369✗1.0214.0M2022-09-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11590.113499-2.07%0.1049-9.49%0.0055✓1.073.7M2022-09-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17415.0686-2.04%5.5317+6.91%0.0974✗0.14158k2022-09-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05290.051833-2.02%0.0486-8.13%0.0008✓0.95877k2022-09-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22890.224366-1.98%0.2105-8.04%0.0049✓1.0070k2022-09-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3811.1556-1.97%10.09-11.34%0.0194✓1.18439k2022-09-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.192.1468-1.97%1.955-10.73%0.0242✗1.72114k2022-09-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0473860.046454-1.97%0.042711-9.87%0.0481✓0.5233k2022-09-01
XEMNEMnative0.0478160.046876-1.97%0.044086-7.80%0.0037✓0.8432k2022-09-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81051.7753-1.95%1.7801-1.68%0.0751✗1.06980k2022-09-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.7639.576-1.92%9.143-6.35%0.0191✓0.951.8M2022-09-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7214.4398-1.90%14.02-4.76%0.0541✗1.221.3M2022-09-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06760.066315-1.90%0.0612-9.47%0.0033✓1.221.0M2022-09-01
ADACardanoCardano0.46420.455408-1.89%0.4576-1.42%0.0759✗1.0440.7M2022-09-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04851.0288-1.88%0.9424-10.12%0.0050✓1.211.0M2022-09-01
XECeCashnative0.000039470.000038731-1.87%0.00004614+16.90%0.2358✗0.891.7M2022-09-01
PROPropyEthereum0.730.716381-1.87%0.71-2.74%0.0160✓0.36105k2022-09-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06910.067812-1.86%0.058-16.06%0.0946✓0.90116k2022-09-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.026813-1.86%0.02463-9.85%0.0020✓1.273,4352022-09-01
XMRMoneroMonero153.94151.0918-1.85%154.26+0.21%0.0888✗0.991.2M2022-09-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365110.358358-1.85%0.31561-13.56%0.0602✓0.98435k2022-09-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30740.301734-1.84%0.2936-4.49%0.0354✗0.927.8M2022-09-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008010.007864-1.82%0.00795-0.75%0.0888✗1.14513k2022-09-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6255.5968-1.81%57.56+1.66%0.1025✗0.9913.5M2022-09-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.8561.8225-1.80%1.789-3.61%0.0471✗0.96146k2022-09-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,695.271,664.80-1.80%1,586.23-6.43%0.0428✗1.33608.4M2022-09-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.135333-1.79%0.1398+1.45%0.0701✗0.553.9M2022-09-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00680.006681-1.75%0.006401-5.87%0.0126✓0.4457k2022-09-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10980.107902-1.73%0.0996-9.29%0.0321✓0.703,6712022-09-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11160.109672-1.73%0.1013-9.23%0.0205✓0.86255k2022-09-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058560.005756-1.72%0.005808-0.83%0.0549✗0.672,6192022-09-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37540.368944-1.72%0.346-7.83%0.0204✗1.23205k2022-09-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.580.570041-1.72%0.489-15.69%0.0697✓1.222,3272022-09-01
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.3593-1.72%1.292-6.58%0.0328✗1.22534k2022-09-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1104010.108541-1.68%0.105077-4.82%0.0261✗0.857.8M2022-09-01
AAVEAaveEthereum93.3591.7884-1.67%86.42-7.42%0.0450✗1.546.7M2022-09-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.06360.062539-1.67%0.0557-12.42%0.0369✓1.15258k2022-09-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013930.000013699-1.66%0.00001229-11.77%0.0457✓0.92900k2022-09-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.9431.9109-1.65%1.693-12.87%0.0589✓0.91782k2022-09-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.137.013-1.64%6.927-2.85%0.0603✗1.0619.5M2022-09-01
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3795.2917-1.62%4.764-11.43%0.0125✓1.3510.1M2022-09-01
DASHDashDash49.1848.3976-1.59%44.79-8.93%0.0115✓0.96504k2022-09-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.9462.8994-1.58%2.735-7.16%0.0007✓0.84749k2022-09-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1910.188027-1.56%0.171-10.47%0.0222✓1.06500k2022-09-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.7910.778731-1.55%0.6827-13.69%0.0342✓1.42259k2022-09-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30560.300869-1.55%0.2842-7.00%0.0078✓0.953.4M2022-09-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.61554.7653-1.53%52.447-5.70%0.0073✓0.74332k2022-09-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039930.039326-1.51%0.03845-3.71%0.0334✗0.822,7072022-09-01
XVSVenusEthereum5.695.6041-1.51%4.91-13.71%0.0749✓0.841.6M2022-09-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23840.234823-1.50%0.2265-4.99%0.0564✗1.35133k2022-09-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034950.003443-1.50%0.002879-17.63%0.1198✓0.861.1M2022-09-01
ZECZcashZcash67.7566.7424-1.49%58.98-12.94%0.0471✓1.122.0M2022-09-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.256974-1.47%0.2187-16.14%0.1606✓0.0187k2022-09-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86580.853196-1.46%0.8299-4.15%0.0461✗1.082.2M2022-09-01
STEEMSteemnative0.24180.238293-1.45%0.2258-6.62%0.0076✓0.90510k2022-09-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9911.9621-1.45%1.803-9.44%0.0118✓1.0633k2022-09-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2621.2438-1.44%1.198-5.07%0.0296✗0.982.1M2022-09-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04070.040117-1.43%0.0367-9.83%0.0316✓0.8411k2022-09-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3216440.317055-1.43%0.297461-7.52%0.0100✓1.08743k2022-09-01
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004141-1.41%0.00402-4.29%0.0381✗0.99152k2022-09-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.951410.937987-1.41%0.8799-7.52%0.0020✓0.9613k2022-09-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.20061.1837-1.41%1.06-11.71%0.0257✓1.24981k2022-09-01
TRXTRONTron0.0654990.064578-1.41%0.063287-3.38%0.0196✗0.58151k2022-09-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04690.046244-1.40%0.0441-5.97%0.0193✗0.97182k2022-09-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047920.047253-1.39%0.0454-5.26%0.0065✓0.6816k2022-09-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691720.068235-1.36%0.062347-9.87%0.0197✓1.031.7M2022-09-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,605.6021,314.13-1.35%20,192.40-6.54%0.0111✓0.9512k2022-09-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.69128.9343-1.34%116.73-10.68%0.0231✓1.114.9M2022-09-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.13421.1194-1.31%1.047-7.69%0.0086✓0.8553k2022-09-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.007040.006948-1.31%0.00616-12.50%0.0767✓0.641.2M2022-09-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.98e-7-1.29%8.80e-7-3.30%0.0354✗0.8217k2022-09-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0080.995311-1.26%0.9574-5.02%0.0012✓0.553.6M2022-09-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.672.6367-1.25%1.97-26.22%0.2575✓0.5093k2022-09-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06030.05955-1.24%0.0569-5.64%0.0167✗0.91112k2022-09-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09090.08978-1.23%0.0821-9.68%0.0239✓0.9613k2022-09-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165330.163294-1.23%0.15694-5.07%0.1052✗2.116042022-09-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070310.069463-1.20%0.06737-4.18%0.0252✗0.819142022-09-01
XTZTezosTezos1.6691.649-1.20%1.5398-7.74%0.0061✓1.09355k2022-09-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.608460.601251-1.18%0.54872-9.82%0.0036✓1.2845k2022-09-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.170537-1.14%0.149-13.62%0.0622✓1.061,7802022-09-01
NANOnanopayBase0.9588910.947982-1.14%0.9001-6.13%0.0028✓0.8084k2022-09-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.15750.155724-1.13%0.1435-8.89%0.0133✓1.00178k2022-09-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.26260.259642-1.13%0.2424-7.69%0.0036✓0.9583k2022-09-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18370.181686-1.10%0.1809-1.52%0.0888✗1.362,2552022-09-01
XVGVergenative0.003280.003245-1.07%0.00318-3.05%0.0505✗1.03537k2022-09-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374150.370581-0.95%0.34021-9.07%0.0198✓0.9687k2022-09-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.097972-0.94%0.0925-6.47%0.0065✓0.93430k2022-09-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143260.141976-0.90%0.13757-3.97%0.0523✗1.22213k2022-09-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,561.8621,377.05-0.86%20,133.65-6.62%0.0086✗1.00485.5M2022-09-01
GTGateEthereum4.5674.5384-0.63%4.3083-5.66%0.0009✓0.77827k2022-09-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03890.038694-0.53%0.0353-9.25%0.0286✓0.9286k2022-09-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.