2022-02-03 · +7d

lstm_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 147 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3735

147 of 147 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+7.80%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

76.9%

in alpha space · 5.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+16.60%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (147 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.95	0.903159	-4.93%	1.01	+6.32%	0.0418	✓	1.00	391k	2022-02-10
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5612	0.536634	-4.38%	0.5753	+2.51%	0.1100	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-10
STX	Stacks	native	1.43	1.3733	-3.97%	1.62	+13.29%	0.0116	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-10
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04805	0.046152	-3.95%	0.04637	-3.50%	0.1489	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-10
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.748	4.5716	-3.71%	5.533	+16.53%	0.0373	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-10
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2058	1.1635	-3.51%	1.3101	+8.65%	0.0349	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-10
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0602	1.0241	-3.40%	1.1096	+4.66%	0.1567	✓	1.54	1.9M	2022-02-10
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.24	1.1979	-3.39%	1.22	-1.61%	0.2037	✓	1.44	490k	2022-02-10
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000207	0.000002	-3.36%	0.00000223	+7.73%	0.0449	✓	1.00	18.2M	2022-02-10
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.119	0.115046	-3.32%	0.124	+4.20%	0.0787	✓	1.00	118k	2022-02-10
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.01	1.9479	-3.09%	2.64	+31.34%	0.1504	✗	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.3716	0.360487	-2.99%	0.6635	+78.55%	0.3535	✗	1.67	1.8M	2022-02-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.11	3.0288	-2.61%	3.2	+2.89%	0.1706	✓	1.47	22.3M	2022-02-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0312	1.9808	-2.48%	1.874	-7.74%	0.1660	✓	0.72	3.5M	2022-02-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.66	1.6202	-2.40%	1.8	+8.43%	0.0944	✓	1.30	1.8M	2022-02-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0779	0.076047	-2.38%	0.0744	-4.49%	0.4100	✓	2.53	26.7M	2022-02-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125	122.0326	-2.37%	132.68	+6.14%	0.1180	✓	1.31	54k	2022-02-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19482	0.190202	-2.37%	0.2098	+7.69%	0.1525	✓	1.63	29k	2022-02-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.526	0.513657	-2.35%	0.562	+6.84%	0.1463	✓	1.54	4.6M	2022-02-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.27	7.1008	-2.33%	8.52	+17.19%	0.1377	✗	0.29	1.7M	2022-02-10
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4765	0.465578	-2.29%	0.5138	+7.83%	0.1970	✓	1.92	44.4M	2022-02-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.04	1.9933	-2.29%	2.07	+1.47%	0.1979	✓	1.53	3.9M	2022-02-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9279	0.907663	-2.18%	0.9488	+2.25%	0.1278	✓	1.12	14.7M	2022-02-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0321	0.031403	-2.17%	0.035	+9.03%	0.1134	✓	1.44	490k	2022-02-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.77	41.8518	-2.15%	44.55	+4.16%	0.1260	✓	1.23	35.8M	2022-02-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,620.52	23,114.71	-2.14%	24,454.91	+3.53%	0.0935	✓	0.98	13.6M	2022-02-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03949	0.038679	-2.05%	0.0397	+0.53%	0.1436	✓	1.10	9.0M	2022-02-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6813	2.627	-2.03%	3.1401	+17.11%	0.0312	✗	0.96	3.1M	2022-02-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	74.5146	73.0294	-1.99%	94.3677	+26.64%	0.0583	✗	1.29	351k	2022-02-10
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00612	0.005998	-1.99%	0.00696	+13.73%	0.2086	✓	2.33	21.3M	2022-02-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.37	19.9665	-1.98%	23.14	+13.60%	0.0373	✓	1.20	10.4M	2022-02-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	135.16	132.5149	-1.96%	140.08	+3.64%	0.1032	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-02-10
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03828	0.037535	-1.95%	0.035501	-7.26%	0.2945	✓	1.55	131k	2022-02-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020346	0.01995	-1.95%	0.023319	+14.61%	0.0030	✓	1.04	2.7M	2022-02-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	146.89	144.0534	-1.93%	179.36	+22.10%	0.0654	✗	1.00	1.7M	2022-02-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.695	1.664	-1.83%	1.987	+17.23%	0.0165	✓	1.26	1.3M	2022-02-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.09	4.9971	-1.83%	5.23	+2.75%	0.1470	✓	1.25	3.0M	2022-02-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.81	20.4302	-1.83%	21.59	+3.75%	0.1309	✓	1.21	31.5M	2022-02-10
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.71	5.6061	-1.82%	6.28	+9.98%	0.0567	✓	1.11	2.0M	2022-02-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	162.76	159.8009	-1.82%	179.15	+10.07%	0.0672	✓	1.18	1.2M	2022-02-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.456	3.3945	-1.78%	3.584	+3.70%	0.0815	✓	0.88	766k	2022-02-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.39	3.3298	-1.77%	2.59	-23.60%	0.4786	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-02-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.93	18.5959	-1.76%	20.51	+8.35%	0.1163	✓	1.39	46.2M	2022-02-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.8358	3.771	-1.69%	4.1273	+7.60%	0.1223	✓	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-10
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	18.42	18.1092	-1.69%	18.94	+2.82%	0.2369	✓	1.83	3.9M	2022-02-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.09	4.0217	-1.67%	4.41	+7.82%	0.1219	✓	1.39	8.5M	2022-02-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.72	29.2362	-1.63%	29.1	-2.09%	0.1878	✓	1.19	114.8M	2022-02-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.69	38.0738	-1.59%	45.02	+16.36%	0.0787	✓	1.60	596k	2022-02-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036103	0.03553	-1.59%	0.050395	+39.59%	0.1583	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-02-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.44	2.4016	-1.57%	2.7	+10.66%	0.0394	✓	1.02	644k	2022-02-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	68.49	67.4318	-1.55%	91.18	+33.13%	0.0917	✗	1.37	89.7M	2022-02-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.1115	4.0497	-1.50%	6.1336	+49.18%	0.4145	✗	0.00	376k	2022-02-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04063	0.040026	-1.49%	0.04451	+9.55%	0.0650	✓	1.11	28k	2022-02-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.4	3.3495	-1.48%	4.48	+31.76%	0.2550	✗	0.23	1.5M	2022-02-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.936	0.922216	-1.47%	0.9822	+4.94%	0.1169	✓	1.17	31.5M	2022-02-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.366	2.3312	-1.47%	2.505	+5.87%	0.0937	✓	1.08	22k	2022-02-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.23	50.4779	-1.47%	52.32	+2.13%	0.2299	✓	1.73	8.8M	2022-02-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.629	1.6051	-1.47%	1.719	+5.52%	0.1117	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-10
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.25	2.2171	-1.46%	2.07	-8.00%	0.2908	✓	1.45	2.5M	2022-02-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05362	0.052836	-1.46%	0.05799	+8.15%	0.1253	✓	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-10
SOL	Solana	Solana	101.93	100.4529	-1.45%	106.25	+4.24%	0.1301	✓	1.21	191.4M	2022-02-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	17.927	17.6692	-1.44%	20.473	+14.20%	0.0840	✓	1.51	10.5M	2022-02-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1064	0.104878	-1.43%	0.1163	+9.30%	0.1254	✓	1.49	1.6M	2022-02-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.085	5.9989	-1.41%	7.756	+27.46%	0.0985	✗	1.03	341k	2022-02-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000764	0.000075321	-1.41%	0.0000925	+21.07%	0.0308	✗	1.14	5.6M	2022-02-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.2104	3.1656	-1.40%	3.5527	+10.66%	0.0541	✓	1.10	2.7M	2022-02-10
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	111.02	109.5019	-1.37%	134.59	+21.23%	0.0021	✓	1.36	33.8M	2022-02-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	23.46	23.143	-1.35%	28.06	+19.61%	0.0702	✗	0.80	484k	2022-02-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.254	0.25057	-1.35%	0.281	+10.63%	0.0302	✓	0.94	70k	2022-02-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1138	0.112275	-1.34%	0.1482	+30.23%	0.0722	✗	1.34	3.4M	2022-02-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.28	19.0234	-1.33%	23.69	+22.87%	0.0210	✓	1.56	422k	2022-02-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1839	0.181467	-1.32%	0.2242	+21.91%	0.0064	✓	1.33	3.6M	2022-02-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4067	0.401322	-1.32%	0.4615	+13.47%	0.0668	✓	1.34	9.7M	2022-02-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1775	0.175154	-1.32%	0.1806	+1.75%	0.0748	✓	0.69	423k	2022-02-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.57	9.4449	-1.31%	10.6	+10.76%	0.0012	✓	0.76	706k	2022-02-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.773	5.6984	-1.29%	6.466	+12.00%	0.0040	✓	0.85	115k	2022-02-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.19506	0.192552	-1.29%	0.23172	+18.79%	0.0266	✗	1.03	25.9M	2022-02-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.31	16.1024	-1.27%	17.51	+7.36%	0.1048	✓	1.23	85.9M	2022-02-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.061	1.0476	-1.26%	1.1515	+8.53%	0.0829	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-02-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.37	25.0527	-1.25%	33.86	+33.46%	0.0478	✗	1.65	2.3M	2022-02-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.89	1.8665	-1.24%	2.16	+14.29%	0.0545	✓	1.31	2.5M	2022-02-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	101.02	99.7915	-1.22%	124.85	+23.59%	0.0194	✗	1.33	6.6M	2022-02-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014662	0.014484	-1.21%	0.017169	+17.10%	0.0075	✓	1.16	2.7M	2022-02-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.5	47.9137	-1.21%	63.35	+30.62%	0.0972	✗	1.19	7.8M	2022-02-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.12	5.0586	-1.20%	5.69	+11.13%	0.0433	✓	1.05	971k	2022-02-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.32411	-1.19%	0.408	+24.39%	0.0208	✗	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01236	0.012214	-1.18%	0.01369	+10.76%	0.0203	✓	0.87	13k	2022-02-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2361	0.233334	-1.17%	0.2774	+17.49%	0.0065	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-02-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.38	3.3404	-1.17%	3.9	+15.38%	0.0373	✓	1.25	2.4M	2022-02-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.65	5.5845	-1.16%	6.43	+13.81%	0.0039	✓	0.94	832k	2022-02-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	95.23	94.1338	-1.15%	111.66	+17.25%	0.0107	✓	1.18	2.8M	2022-02-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09321	0.092139	-1.15%	0.10255	+10.02%	0.0523	✓	1.04	47k	2022-02-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0898	1.0775	-1.13%	1.2095	+10.98%	0.0796	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-10
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.13787	0.136313	-1.13%	0.151631	+9.98%	0.0562	✓	1.06	7.1M	2022-02-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.128	7.0478	-1.13%	8.495	+19.18%	0.1493	✗	0.24	40k	2022-02-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4435	0.438531	-1.12%	0.5118	+15.40%	0.0654	✓	1.43	2.1M	2022-02-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2929	0.289643	-1.11%	0.3045	+3.96%	0.1264	✓	1.15	590k	2022-02-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.17	5.1126	-1.11%	5.75	+11.22%	0.0010	✓	0.76	398k	2022-02-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	152.86	151.1626	-1.11%	175.4	+14.75%	0.0690	✓	1.42	11.9M	2022-02-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07603	0.075186	-1.11%	0.0828	+8.90%	0.0175	✓	0.74	80k	2022-02-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.45	14.2907	-1.10%	18.01	+24.64%	0.1234	✗	0.70	879k	2022-02-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8505	0.841147	-1.10%	1.0404	+22.33%	0.0681	✓	1.83	852k	2022-02-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.09	3.0568	-1.07%	3.241	+4.89%	0.0667	✓	0.82	237k	2022-02-10
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.17	6.1043	-1.07%	6.86	+11.18%	0.0061	✓	0.80	504k	2022-02-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00935	0.009252	-1.05%	0.01337	+42.99%	0.1706	✗	1.29	1.8M	2022-02-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.49	2.4643	-1.03%	2.76	+10.84%	0.0748	✓	1.22	524k	2022-02-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0916	3.0608	-1.00%	3.654	+18.19%	0.0188	✗	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6171	0.611039	-0.98%	0.7205	+16.76%	0.0716	✓	1.54	1.2M	2022-02-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.874	0.865649	-0.96%	1.029	+17.73%	0.0379	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.8263	0.818421	-0.95%	0.88264	+6.82%	0.1892	✓	1.72	378k	2022-02-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.39	10.2922	-0.94%	11.41	+9.82%	0.1034	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7256	4.6822	-0.92%	5.0692	+7.27%	0.1206	✓	1.30	364k	2022-02-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.613557	0.608009	-0.90%	0.677039	+10.35%	0.0788	✓	1.21	3.5M	2022-02-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.294	1.2823	-0.90%	1.323	+2.24%	0.1603	✓	1.25	3.5M	2022-02-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.139	0.137763	-0.89%	0.1649	+18.63%	0.0264	✗	1.00	337k	2022-02-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01026	0.010169	-0.89%	0.01138	+10.92%	0.0464	✓	1.03	572k	2022-02-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,697.59	2,673.82	-0.88%	3,074.85	+13.99%	0.0298	✓	1.10	573.1M	2022-02-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.95	13.8274	-0.88%	16.26	+16.56%	0.0087	✓	1.00	731k	2022-02-10
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.718	0.711696	-0.88%	0.845	+17.69%	0.0074	✓	1.07	1.6M	2022-02-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0772	2.0599	-0.83%	2.3689	+14.05%	0.0470	✓	1.22	888k	2022-02-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.8	89.0611	-0.82%	98.35	+9.52%	0.0452	✓	0.94	1.6M	2022-02-10
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02918	0.028943	-0.81%	0.03045	+4.35%	0.0826	✓	0.87	8.0M	2022-02-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.88	6.8246	-0.80%	7.67	+11.48%	0.0789	✗	0.25	1.1M	2022-02-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5436	0.539229	-0.80%	0.6038	+11.07%	0.0893	✓	1.32	2.7M	2022-02-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	281.46	279.2274	-0.79%	341.1	+21.19%	0.0404	✗	1.04	7.6M	2022-02-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.00994	0.009862	-0.78%	0.01219	+22.64%	0.0087	✗	1.32	1.4M	2022-02-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.136	4.1039	-0.78%	4.61	+11.46%	0.0107	✓	0.83	351k	2022-02-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8308	0.824464	-0.76%	1.3202	+58.91%	0.2494	✗	1.44	99k	2022-02-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.0981	6.0516	-0.76%	7.1425	+17.13%	0.0559	✓	1.44	174k	2022-02-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.88	27.6746	-0.74%	34.39	+23.35%	0.0505	✗	1.09	3.6M	2022-02-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6279	1.6162	-0.72%	1.8836	+15.71%	0.0148	✓	1.09	76k	2022-02-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0807	0.080139	-0.69%	0.0919	+13.88%	0.0506	✓	1.22	299k	2022-02-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0657	0.065245	-0.69%	0.076	+15.68%	0.0163	✓	1.10	21k	2022-02-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.12	6.0781	-0.68%	6.84	+11.76%	0.0158	✓	0.87	503k	2022-02-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1541	1.1463	-0.68%	1.2595	+9.13%	0.0613	✓	1.01	338k	2022-02-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,210.50	36,978.30	-0.62%	43,566.60	+17.08%	0.0103	✗	1.00	51k	2022-02-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2853	0.283658	-0.58%	0.3093	+8.41%	0.1646	✓	1.64	4.2M	2022-02-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002075	0.000020632	-0.57%	0.00003081	+48.48%	0.1860	✗	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.19	8.1437	-0.57%	9.7	+18.44%	0.0282	✓	1.32	2.5M	2022-02-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0616	0.061258	-0.55%	0.1041	+68.99%	0.3323	✗	1.29	548k	2022-02-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1027	0.102206	-0.48%	0.1139	+10.91%	0.0461	✓	1.01	41k	2022-02-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7329	6.7006	-0.48%	6.9043	+2.55%	0.1144	✓	0.94	4.1M	2022-02-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.618	2.6056	-0.47%	2.821	+7.75%	0.1508	✓	1.50	986k	2022-02-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.1745	3.1597	-0.47%	3.5386	+11.47%	0.0193	✓	0.86	26k	2022-02-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,329.91	37,162.98	-0.45%	43,527.71	+16.60%	0.0045	✗	1.00	682.8M	2022-02-10
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.05985	0.059593	-0.43%	0.068608	+14.63%	0.0008	✓	0.92	396k	2022-02-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.66	0.657592	-0.36%	1	+51.52%	0.1308	✗	1.88	1.0M	2022-02-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.