2021-12-26 · +7d

lstm_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0683

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.46%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

35.8%

in alpha space · 79.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-6.89%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	5.75	5.2443	-8.79%	4.22	-26.61%	0.1459	✓	1.00	12.3M	2022-01-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.862	3.6349	-5.88%	3.3401	-13.51%	0.0220	✓	0.88	8.3M	2022-01-02
HIVE	Hive	native	1.7664	1.6657	-5.70%	1.7249	-2.35%	0.1295	✗	1.32	8.3M	2022-01-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	43.55	41.2333	-5.32%	40.64	-6.68%	0.1074	✗	1.71	3.7M	2022-01-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.3444	2.2277	-4.98%	2.095	-10.64%	0.0774	✗	1.94	1.8M	2022-01-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.8093	0.769816	-4.88%	0.714	-11.78%	0.0162	✓	1.28	3.8M	2022-01-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.469	0.446229	-4.86%	0.7568	+61.36%	0.6301	✗	1.43	1.1M	2022-01-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	15.17	14.4398	-4.81%	14.75	-2.77%	0.0189	✓	-0.03	5.1M	2022-01-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.73	0.695452	-4.73%	0.642	-12.05%	0.0084	✓	1.24	3.0M	2022-01-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	2.196	2.0936	-4.66%	1.5587	-29.02%	0.2473	✓	0.67	6.7M	2022-01-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3303	0.315051	-4.62%	0.3119	-5.57%	0.0814	✗	1.28	5.8M	2022-01-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	13.1	12.5122	-4.49%	13.99	+6.79%	0.1491	✗	0.52	2.1M	2022-01-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.75	5.518	-4.03%	6.05	+5.22%	0.1851	✗	1.30	28.7M	2022-01-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02201	0.021133	-3.99%	0.02402	+9.13%	0.1995	✗	1.00	34.3M	2022-01-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.6918	1.6255	-3.92%	1.5552	-8.08%	0.0266	✓	0.99	5.7M	2022-01-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.084	0.080736	-3.89%	0.079	-5.95%	0.0719	✗	1.31	2.1M	2022-01-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	2.22	2.1356	-3.80%	1.83	-17.57%	0.0318	✓	1.72	1.5M	2022-01-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	45.66	43.9302	-3.79%	41.08	-10.03%	0.0641	✗	1.84	8.5M	2022-01-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	10.41	10.017	-3.78%	9.49	-8.84%	0.0235	✓	1.08	4.1M	2022-01-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7068	0.680214	-3.76%	0.9435	+33.49%	0.4522	✗	1.75	17.7M	2022-01-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.06404	0.061662	-3.71%	0.065084	+1.63%	0.1582	✗	1.46	8.7M	2022-01-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.371	0.35745	-3.65%	0.3957	+6.66%	0.1665	✗	0.91	356k	2022-01-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.494	0.476227	-3.60%	0.417	-15.59%	0.0819	✓	0.71	45k	2022-01-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.23	5.0478	-3.48%	4.35	-16.83%	0.0773	✓	1.00	5.7M	2022-01-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08785	0.084853	-3.41%	0.08444	-3.88%	0.0808	✗	1.20	21.7M	2022-01-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.4265	0.412412	-3.30%	0.3822	-10.39%	0.0154	✓	1.28	5.3M	2022-01-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.307	4.1651	-3.29%	3.564	-17.25%	0.0844	✓	1.00	3.5M	2022-01-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.113	0.109425	-3.16%	0.1001	-11.42%	0.0084	✓	1.36	2.5M	2022-01-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		15.136	14.6618	-3.13%	14.898	-1.57%	0.0094	✓	-0.09	133k	2022-01-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.03765	0.036472	-3.13%	0.0346	-8.10%	0.0201	✓	1.02	11.0M	2022-01-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	3.19	3.0929	-3.04%	2.859	-10.38%	0.0093	✓	0.97	2.2M	2022-01-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	187.2077	181.5964	-3.00%	200.0687	+6.87%	0.1781	✗	1.14	674k	2022-01-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0806	1.049	-2.92%	1.007	-6.81%	0.0306	✗	1.00	178k	2022-01-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	99.78	96.9803	-2.81%	89.35	-10.45%	0.0105	✓	1.00	4.9M	2022-01-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.01937	0.018839	-2.74%	0.01767	-8.78%	0.0210	✓	1.19	2.8M	2022-01-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.1705	1.1389	-2.70%	1.265	+8.07%	0.2117	✗	1.49	2.3M	2022-01-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7893	0.768095	-2.69%	0.727	-7.89%	0.0343	✗	1.25	7.3M	2022-01-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	115.07	111.9836	-2.68%	113.21	-1.62%	0.0916	✗	1.13	127.7M	2022-01-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20968	0.204062	-2.68%	0.2038	-2.80%	0.1140	✗	1.61	22k	2022-01-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.59	41.4764	-2.61%	40.16	-5.71%	0.0432	✗	1.06	20.7M	2022-01-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003825	0.000037285	-2.52%	0.00003405	-10.98%	0.0193	✓	1.00	2.2M	2022-01-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.79	4.6694	-2.52%	4.34	-9.39%	0.0017	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-01-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	10.61	10.3515	-2.44%	11.14	+5.00%	0.1409	✗	0.94	1.6M	2022-01-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.81	3.7175	-2.43%	3.78	-0.79%	0.0898	✗	1.02	787k	2022-01-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	235.5	230.1051	-2.29%	211.43	-10.22%	0.0060	✓	1.10	236k	2022-01-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.72	4.613	-2.27%	4.96	+5.08%	0.1440	✗	1.00	2.5M	2022-01-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1438	0.140681	-2.17%	0.1368	-4.87%	0.0477	✗	1.06	376k	2022-01-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09987	0.097776	-2.10%	0.09233	-7.55%	0.0472	✗	1.46	4.8M	2022-01-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00012144	0.000118904	-2.09%	0.00011334	-6.67%	0.0227	✗	0.99	11.0M	2022-01-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.8179	6.6769	-2.07%	6.29	-7.74%	0.0251	✗	1.19	764k	2022-01-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	1.002	0.981602	-2.04%	0.923	-7.88%	0.0436	✗	1.47	8.9M	2022-01-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.24	0.23512	-2.03%	0.2121	-11.62%	0.0157	✓	1.22	6.1M	2022-01-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.76	2.7048	-2.00%	2.56	-7.25%	0.0176	✓	1.02	4.1M	2022-01-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.898	22.4414	-1.99%	22.624	-1.20%	0.1280	✗	1.68	19.5M	2022-01-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	70.3	68.9246	-1.96%	65.06	-7.45%	0.0500	✗	1.51	1.3M	2022-01-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.6079	1.5765	-1.95%	1.6739	+4.10%	0.1367	✗	1.07	31.7M	2022-01-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.66	3.5911	-1.88%	3.1749	-13.25%	0.0337	✓	1.25	3.1M	2022-01-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01668	0.016369	-1.87%	0.01618	-3.00%	0.0550	✗	0.93	1.3M	2022-01-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	322.4	316.6276	-1.79%	295.23	-8.43%	0.0088	✓	1.10	1.5M	2022-01-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01958	0.019235	-1.76%	0.0208	+6.23%	0.1201	✗	0.59	46k	2022-01-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3907	1.3664	-1.75%	1.3723	-1.32%	0.0790	✗	1.05	22.8M	2022-01-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	155.96	153.3141	-1.70%	151.2	-3.05%	0.0851	✗	1.39	54.4M	2022-01-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2011	0.197699	-1.69%	0.2121	+5.47%	0.1515	✗	1.14	3.9M	2022-01-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	37.29	36.688	-1.61%	35.76	-4.10%	0.0469	✗	1.01	22.1M	2022-01-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05082	0.050024	-1.57%	0.04899	-3.60%	0.0446	✗	0.92	10.6M	2022-01-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	31.34	30.8542	-1.55%	29.7	-5.23%	0.0518	✗	1.26	77.1M	2022-01-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	149.09	146.8173	-1.52%	141.99	-4.76%	0.0569	✗	1.26	2.0M	2022-01-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11329	0.111568	-1.52%	0.11531	+1.78%	0.0737	✗	0.57	113k	2022-01-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	26.72	26.3294	-1.46%	27.32	+2.25%	0.1367	✗	1.40	22.9M	2022-01-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	38.9	38.3326	-1.46%	35.55	-8.61%	0.0323	✗	1.51	1.3M	2022-01-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.7354	0.724725	-1.45%	0.6765	-8.01%	0.0226	✗	1.28	12.8M	2022-01-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,193.34	30,741.26	-1.45%	39,116.51	+25.40%	0.2782	✗	0.52	8.3M	2022-01-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3324	1.3132	-1.44%	1.3001	-2.42%	0.1155	✗	1.76	1.5M	2022-01-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	6.24	6.1521	-1.41%	6.24	+0.00%	0.0941	✗	1.12	4.6M	2022-01-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.25	11.0944	-1.38%	10.51	-6.58%	0.0012	✓	0.77	1.4M	2022-01-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.61	3.5605	-1.37%	3.4	-5.82%	0.0244	✗	0.99	1.2M	2022-01-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.879132	0.867207	-1.36%	0.888452	+1.06%	0.1015	✗	1.08	3.2M	2022-01-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	198	195.3175	-1.35%	176.32	-10.95%	0.0294	✓	1.02	255.1M	2022-01-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2394	0.236168	-1.35%	0.2093	-12.57%	0.0873	✓	0.47	392k	2022-01-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.4225	0.416796	-1.35%	0.3836	-9.21%	0.0256	✗	1.52	4.4M	2022-01-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	167.45	165.1986	-1.34%	153.06	-8.59%	0.0175	✗	1.31	11.8M	2022-01-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	107.53	106.0881	-1.34%	96.42	-10.33%	0.0273	✓	0.96	7.9M	2022-01-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01869	0.01844	-1.34%	0.01661	-11.13%	0.0155	✓	1.25	2.8M	2022-01-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.727	9.5983	-1.32%	10.125	+4.09%	0.0980	✗	0.62	455k	2022-01-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	32.17	31.745	-1.32%	35.54	+10.48%	0.1746	✗	0.86	39.4M	2022-01-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	9.232	9.1108	-1.31%	8.698	-5.78%	0.0488	✗	1.33	411k	2022-01-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	194.3	191.7547	-1.31%	187.33	-3.59%	0.0437	✗	0.94	11.9M	2022-01-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05866	0.057893	-1.31%	0.05753	-1.93%	0.0732	✗	1.11	16k	2022-01-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	216.57	213.7443	-1.30%	239.56	+10.62%	0.1847	✗	0.99	2.7M	2022-01-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.291987	0.288331	-1.25%	0.292273	+0.10%	0.0852	✗	1.00	34.1M	2022-01-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.28	1.2641	-1.25%	1.17	-8.59%	0.0059	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-01-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4826	3.4402	-1.22%	3.7845	+8.67%	0.0890	✗	-0.09	384k	2022-01-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	268.05	264.8224	-1.20%	265.45	-0.97%	0.0789	✗	1.07	11.4M	2022-01-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.4549	1.438	-1.16%	1.3779	-5.29%	0.0333	✗	1.06	120.2M	2022-01-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.190018	0.18785	-1.14%	0.174401	-8.22%	0.0048	✓	1.11	5.5M	2022-01-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.024422	0.024149	-1.12%	0.02233	-8.57%	0.0077	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-01-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	2.0712	2.0482	-1.11%	1.9263	-6.99%	0.0112	✓	0.70	1.2M	2022-01-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.92	16.7336	-1.10%	15.31	-9.52%	0.0398	✓	0.69	1.4M	2022-01-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	25.82	25.5401	-1.08%	24.4	-5.50%	0.0310	✗	1.07	2.2M	2022-01-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	37.92	37.5095	-1.08%	35.38	-6.70%	0.0163	✗	1.05	5.6M	2022-01-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	34.4	34.0299	-1.08%	32.18	-6.45%	0.0082	✓	0.67	572k	2022-01-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.3426	5.286	-1.06%	4.65	-12.96%	0.0314	✓	1.35	5.4M	2022-01-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.9306	4.8786	-1.06%	4.5765	-7.18%	0.0109	✓	0.74	27k	2022-01-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.93	7.8464	-1.05%	8.93	+12.61%	0.2282	✗	1.38	15.1M	2022-01-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	22.99	22.7569	-1.01%	21.88	-4.83%	0.0542	✗	1.31	69.7M	2022-01-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.8982	9.799	-1.00%	9.2363	-6.69%	0.0436	✗	1.44	285k	2022-01-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.85	5.7922	-0.99%	5.28	-9.74%	0.0074	✓	1.19	2.8M	2022-01-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.317	1.304	-0.99%	1.266	-3.87%	0.0395	✗	0.97	3.4M	2022-01-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.8691	4.8211	-0.99%	4.6703	-4.08%	0.0608	✗	1.30	5.3M	2022-01-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.8689	3.8314	-0.97%	3.5764	-7.56%	0.0070	✓	1.06	798k	2022-01-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		127.5	126.2799	-0.96%	124.05	-2.71%	0.0527	✗	0.99	3.2M	2022-01-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.08	3.0506	-0.95%	3.2	+3.90%	0.1394	✗	1.28	3.0M	2022-01-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.668	1.6525	-0.93%	1.667	-0.06%	0.1019	✗	1.30	4.3M	2022-01-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.67	12.5546	-0.91%	11.71	-7.58%	0.0898	✓	-0.28	4.5M	2022-01-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	9.64	9.5571	-0.86%	8.85	-8.20%	0.0293	✓	0.67	952k	2022-01-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	4,065.91	4,031.16	-0.85%	3,828.87	-5.83%	0.0230	✗	1.04	760.7M	2022-01-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.279	3.2518	-0.83%	3.127	-4.64%	0.0209	✗	0.84	97k	2022-01-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.942	1.9259	-0.83%	1.776	-8.55%	0.0127	✗	1.31	7.9M	2022-01-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3933	1.3818	-0.83%	1.4243	+2.22%	0.1067	✗	1.07	1.3M	2022-01-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.96	7.8944	-0.82%	7.19	-9.67%	0.0485	✓	0.63	986k	2022-01-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12458	0.123583	-0.80%	0.12251	-1.66%	0.0698	✗	1.10	29k	2022-01-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0896	0.088892	-0.79%	0.088	-1.79%	0.0678	✗	1.09	18k	2022-01-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4928	2.4734	-0.78%	2.4089	-3.36%	0.0580	✗	1.18	147k	2022-01-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.219	0.217322	-0.77%	0.2055	-6.16%	0.0061	✓	0.87	748k	2022-01-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.67	18.5273	-0.76%	18.41	-1.39%	0.0879	✗	1.32	14.2M	2022-01-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.289	2.2725	-0.72%	2.225	-2.80%	0.0577	✗	1.10	3.3M	2022-01-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.081508	0.08092	-0.72%	0.077643	-4.74%	0.0272	✗	0.96	648k	2022-01-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	50,987.30	50,628.85	-0.70%	47,411.90	-7.01%	0.0045	✓	0.98	8,566	2022-01-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.487	5.4507	-0.66%	5.195	-5.32%	0.0019	✓	0.65	798k	2022-01-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	451.86	448.9633	-0.64%	447.91	-0.87%	0.0708	✗	1.02	11.4M	2022-01-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.1412	0.140325	-0.62%	0.1307	-7.44%	0.0074	✗	1.10	178k	2022-01-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	17.11	17.0082	-0.59%	16.04	-6.25%	0.0227	✗	1.14	4.8M	2022-01-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	9.4	9.3471	-0.56%	8.56	-8.94%	0.0326	✓	0.77	934k	2022-01-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.37	4.3456	-0.56%	5.012	+14.69%	0.2021	✗	0.83	719k	2022-01-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.113	4.0926	-0.50%	4.172	+1.43%	0.0703	✗	0.72	473k	2022-01-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7502	6.7169	-0.49%	6.6057	-2.14%	0.0409	✗	0.81	4.3M	2022-01-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	50,801.79	50,622.79	-0.35%	47,299.07	-6.89%	0.0035	✓	1.00	744.5M	2022-01-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.