2021-12-20 · +7d

lstm_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0629

135 of 135 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+5.49%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

22.2%

in alpha space · 4.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+8.08%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.939	3.9169	-0.56%	4.744	+20.44%	0.1276	✗	0.82	780k	2021-12-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,868.20	46,596.98	-0.58%	51,195.60	+9.23%	0.0172	✗	0.99	15k	2021-12-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.69	8.6396	-0.58%	9.33	+7.36%	0.0153	✗	0.79	838k	2021-12-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.46	8.4068	-0.63%	9.45	+11.70%	0.0649	✗	0.67	1.1M	2021-12-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,926.07	46,628.63	-0.63%	50,717.77	+8.08%	0.0064	✓	1.00	750.8M	2021-12-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.711	3.687	-0.65%	4.361	+17.52%	0.1151	✗	0.68	544k	2021-12-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.48	5.4375	-0.78%	9.15	+66.97%	0.4190	✗	1.31	12.7M	2021-12-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.671	1.6575	-0.81%	1.884	+12.75%	0.0281	✗	1.29	7.6M	2021-12-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.033	4.9911	-0.83%	5.5	+9.28%	0.0472	✗	0.64	1.0M	2021-12-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.8354	5.7852	-0.86%	6.8395	+17.21%	0.1039	✗	0.82	5.1M	2021-12-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.1249	0.123823	-0.86%	0.1391	+11.37%	0.0307	✗	1.10	202k	2021-12-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.84	14.7091	-0.88%	16.84	+13.48%	0.0458	✗	1.15	6.6M	2021-12-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.14	12.0328	-0.88%	13.03	+7.33%	0.1053	✗	-0.33	5.9M	2021-12-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	181.01	179.3932	-0.89%	277.6	+53.36%	0.3608	✗	0.98	11.0M	2021-12-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.52	14.3897	-0.90%	19.11	+31.61%	0.1841	✗	1.28	14.2M	2021-12-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.2888	3.2592	-0.90%	3.9652	+20.57%	0.1152	✗	1.04	798k	2021-12-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2037	0.201848	-0.91%	0.2194	+7.71%	0.0152	✗	0.88	756k	2021-12-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.04	2.0214	-0.91%	2.337	+14.56%	0.0585	✗	1.11	3.4M	2021-12-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	430.28	426.196	-0.95%	465.3	+8.14%	0.0062	✓	1.05	14.2M	2021-12-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		121.71	120.5515	-0.95%	127.41	+4.68%	0.0221	✓	1.00	2.5M	2021-12-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3017	0.298826	-0.95%	0.4014	+33.05%	0.1809	✗	1.47	4.9M	2021-12-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.07761	0.07685	-0.98%	0.081167	+4.58%	0.0216	✓	0.98	798k	2021-12-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0836	0.08278	-0.98%	0.0897	+7.30%	0.0061	✓	1.11	24k	2021-12-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10877	0.107661	-1.02%	0.12484	+14.77%	0.0613	✗	1.12	31k	2021-12-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.838	2.8081	-1.05%	3.267	+15.12%	0.0853	✗	0.85	104k	2021-12-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1064	4.0625	-1.07%	5.1016	+24.24%	0.1254	✗	1.32	4.7M	2021-12-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.409	1.3939	-1.07%	1.686	+19.66%	0.0877	✗	1.32	5.6M	2021-12-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1076	1.0955	-1.09%	1.3823	+24.80%	0.0949	✗	1.77	1.5M	2021-12-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0652	0.064485	-1.10%	0.0741	+13.65%	0.0334	✗	1.36	2.9M	2021-12-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,946.16	3,902.50	-1.11%	4,038.64	+2.34%	0.0499	✓	1.08	768.5M	2021-12-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.888	4.8324	-1.14%	5.2921	+8.27%	0.0161	✓	1.38	5.2M	2021-12-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.901	4.8453	-1.14%	4.9574	+1.15%	0.0372	✓	0.77	31k	2021-12-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022282	0.022026	-1.15%	0.024165	+8.45%	0.0030	✓	1.23	1.9M	2021-12-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6264	1.6076	-1.16%	2.0541	+26.30%	0.1949	✗	0.65	1.4M	2021-12-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.77	2.7376	-1.17%	3.39	+22.38%	0.1141	✗	1.28	3.0M	2021-12-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.239	1.2245	-1.17%	1.415	+14.21%	0.0604	✗	1.08	1.6M	2021-12-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06558	0.064811	-1.17%	0.08443	+28.74%	0.1874	✗	0.99	22.6M	2021-12-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.167179	0.165176	-1.20%	0.187814	+12.34%	0.0418	✗	1.12	5.3M	2021-12-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	21.53	21.2704	-1.21%	29.68	+37.85%	0.2688	✗	0.83	42.5M	2021-12-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.78	18.5532	-1.21%	23.02	+22.58%	0.1158	✗	1.29	69.7M	2021-12-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09914	0.097905	-1.25%	0.11486	+15.86%	0.1188	✗	0.53	143k	2021-12-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1667	3.1268	-1.26%	3.6103	+14.01%	0.0481	✗	1.23	4.7M	2021-12-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.411	7.3164	-1.28%	10.034	+35.39%	0.2112	✗	1.35	635k	2021-12-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.755084	0.745187	-1.31%	0.876137	+16.03%	0.0784	✗	1.07	4.8M	2021-12-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5742	3.5269	-1.32%	3.4608	-3.17%	0.0114	✓	-0.10	372k	2021-12-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	23.75	23.4306	-1.34%	26.71	+12.46%	0.0486	✗	1.06	2.9M	2021-12-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.06	4.991	-1.36%	5.87	+16.01%	0.0705	✗	1.18	2.8M	2021-12-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2405	0.23717	-1.38%	0.2391	-0.58%	0.0277	✓	0.46	434k	2021-12-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.9718	8.8469	-1.39%	9.9988	+11.45%	0.0080	✓	1.47	356k	2021-12-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.54	34.0554	-1.40%	37.61	+8.89%	0.0171	✗	1.06	6.5M	2021-12-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.65	9.5107	-1.44%	11.16	+15.65%	0.1028	✗	0.74	1.9M	2021-12-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.2563	2.2234	-1.46%	2.5471	+12.89%	0.0439	✗	1.18	169k	2021-12-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.99	31.5196	-1.47%	34.59	+8.13%	0.0417	✗	0.66	754k	2021-12-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.195	1.1772	-1.49%	1.325	+10.88%	0.0412	✗	0.99	4.6M	2021-12-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04664	0.045937	-1.51%	0.05341	+14.52%	0.0767	✗	0.95	15.8M	2021-12-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.241	10.0861	-1.51%	9.799	-4.32%	0.0804	✓	0.66	388k	2021-12-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.349	0.343716	-1.51%	0.466	+33.52%	0.2467	✗	0.74	54k	2021-12-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.955	8.8193	-1.52%	14.106	+57.52%	0.4867	✗	-0.22	119k	2021-12-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	188.84	185.9569	-1.53%	220.72	+16.88%	0.0953	✗	0.98	2.9M	2021-12-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6692	0.658961	-1.53%	0.7943	+18.69%	0.0935	✗	1.20	7.8M	2021-12-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	30.38	29.9135	-1.54%	39.59	+30.32%	0.1630	✗	1.51	1.6M	2021-12-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1303	0.128295	-1.54%	0.1453	+11.51%	0.0398	✗	1.09	603k	2021-12-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	174.01	171.2823	-1.57%	206.05	+18.41%	0.1157	✗	0.89	12.3M	2021-12-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.19	1.1711	-1.59%	1.32	+10.92%	0.0420	✗	1.00	2.3M	2021-12-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	21.75	21.4011	-1.60%	28.24	+29.84%	0.1741	✗	1.33	20.8M	2021-12-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.095	0.093474	-1.61%	0.1161	+22.21%	0.1111	✗	1.36	3.4M	2021-12-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.3	15.0518	-1.62%	16.81	+9.87%	0.0565	✗	0.69	1.6M	2021-12-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	92.63	91.1265	-1.62%	107.04	+15.56%	0.0870	✗	0.95	10.6M	2021-12-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0483	1.0313	-1.62%	1.3056	+24.54%	0.1179	✗	1.52	3.4M	2021-12-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	157.02	154.4383	-1.64%	169.76	+8.11%	0.0129	✓	1.38	13.6M	2021-12-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2381	1.2175	-1.66%	1.5164	+22.48%	0.1393	✗	1.03	131.8M	2021-12-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.94	7.8071	-1.67%	8.01	+0.88%	0.0264	✓	0.67	1.1M	2021-12-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	34.86	34.264	-1.71%	39.2	+12.45%	0.0545	✗	1.03	21.2M	2021-12-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05406	0.053133	-1.72%	0.05816	+7.58%	0.0026	✓	1.13	22k	2021-12-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	174.06	171.0738	-1.72%	195.74	+12.46%	0.0556	✗	1.02	281.0M	2021-12-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.23	3.1741	-1.73%	3.6	+11.46%	0.0489	✗	0.99	1.3M	2021-12-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.25839	0.25391	-1.73%	0.300288	+16.22%	0.0909	✗	0.99	40.4M	2021-12-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	9.53	9.3641	-1.74%	11.09	+16.37%	0.0947	✗	0.96	2.0M	2021-12-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01493	0.014666	-1.77%	0.01713	+14.74%	0.0844	✗	0.91	1.9M	2021-12-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.01664	0.016343	-1.79%	0.01908	+14.66%	0.0630	✗	1.18	3.1M	2021-12-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.8629	5.7568	-1.81%	6.874	+17.24%	0.0853	✗	1.18	833k	2021-12-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3175	0.311732	-1.82%	0.3756	+18.30%	0.1183	✗	0.88	693k	2021-12-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	127.33	125.0006	-1.83%	151.04	+18.62%	0.0921	✗	1.25	2.2M	2021-12-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.11	5.0163	-1.83%	6.44	+26.03%	0.1662	✗	1.08	5.5M	2021-12-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	263.85	258.8594	-1.89%	322.27	+22.14%	0.1333	✗	1.10	1.5M	2021-12-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24.08	23.6213	-1.90%	30.97	+28.61%	0.1740	✗	1.25	75.1M	2021-12-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6222	0.609988	-1.96%	0.7375	+18.53%	0.0944	✗	1.23	14.9M	2021-12-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.16	3.0979	-1.96%	3.86	+22.15%	0.1437	✗	0.98	821k	2021-12-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0799	1.0585	-1.98%	1.3793	+27.72%	0.1904	✗	0.96	23.6M	2021-12-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08901	0.087244	-1.98%	0.09816	+10.28%	0.0050	✓	1.45	6.7M	2021-12-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.51	1.4796	-2.02%	2.01	+33.11%	0.1752	✗	1.69	2.0M	2021-12-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.2978	1.2711	-2.06%	1.6631	+28.15%	0.1873	✗	1.05	35.8M	2021-12-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.801	3.7204	-2.12%	4.312	+13.44%	0.0699	✗	1.00	3.7M	2021-12-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3532	0.345578	-2.16%	0.4183	+18.43%	0.0896	✗	1.30	6.8M	2021-12-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01728	0.016906	-2.17%	0.01876	+8.56%	0.0065	✓	1.26	3.6M	2021-12-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19466	0.190429	-2.17%	0.22849	+17.38%	0.0549	✗	1.64	34k	2021-12-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.811	0.79324	-2.19%	1.017	+25.40%	0.1344	✗	1.47	10.9M	2021-12-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	152.71	149.36	-2.19%	155.78	+2.01%	0.0693	✓	1.43	60.7M	2021-12-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.39	2.3368	-2.23%	2.8	+17.15%	0.1064	✗	0.96	4.9M	2021-12-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010638	0.000103999	-2.24%	0.00011859	+11.48%	0.0536	✗	1.00	13.4M	2021-12-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	188.43	184.1312	-2.28%	237.34	+25.96%	0.1714	✗	1.06	236k	2021-12-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	61.49	60.0854	-2.28%	70.72	+15.01%	0.0438	✗	1.53	2.2M	2021-12-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1991	0.194475	-2.32%	0.2396	+20.34%	0.1146	✗	1.21	8.9M	2021-12-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003122	0.000030477	-2.38%	0.00003905	+25.08%	0.1702	✗	1.00	1.9M	2021-12-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.11	4.0109	-2.41%	5.28	+28.47%	0.1723	✗	1.32	28.7M	2021-12-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.312	2.2551	-2.46%	3.08	+33.22%	0.2406	✗	0.92	3.3M	2021-12-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2674	0.26082	-2.46%	0.3372	+26.10%	0.1584	✗	1.27	7.0M	2021-12-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.01	8.7864	-2.48%	14.16	+57.16%	0.4898	✗	-0.16	3.7M	2021-12-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.103	20.5793	-2.48%	22.976	+8.88%	0.0237	✓	1.72	23.4M	2021-12-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.45	10.1895	-2.49%	12.74	+21.91%	0.1849	✗	0.50	4.2M	2021-12-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01925	0.018767	-2.51%	0.02154	+11.90%	0.0950	✗	0.55	67k	2021-12-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.75	8.53	-2.51%	10.75	+22.86%	0.1457	✗	1.10	3.9M	2021-12-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	176.9138	172.4308	-2.53%	211.5789	+19.59%	0.1158	✗	1.14	1.1M	2021-12-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5221	1.4829	-2.58%	2.0783	+36.54%	0.3010	✗	0.47	8.8M	2021-12-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.2	3.1175	-2.58%	5.18	+61.87%	0.4301	✗	1.00	11.9M	2021-12-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6286	0.612316	-2.59%	0.8111	+29.03%	0.1860	✗	1.22	7.7M	2021-12-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.057981	0.056475	-2.60%	0.063833	+10.09%	0.0061	✓	1.50	13.8M	2021-12-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.607	0.590954	-2.64%	0.723	+19.11%	0.1052	✗	1.24	3.4M	2021-12-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.28	4.1661	-2.66%	5.5	+28.50%	0.2001	✗	1.00	2.8M	2021-12-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	40.37	39.2195	-2.85%	44.44	+10.08%	0.0252	✓	1.93	13.8M	2021-12-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	34.09	32.9528	-3.34%	43.58	+27.84%	0.1436	✗	1.75	6.0M	2021-12-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4213	0.407177	-3.35%	0.4709	+11.77%	0.0373	✗	1.39	1.8M	2021-12-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.57	39.1829	-3.42%	42.6	+5.00%	0.0006	✓	1.07	25.2M	2021-12-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	113.55	109.6108	-3.47%	113.96	+0.36%	0.0496	✓	1.14	164.3M	2021-12-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.79	4.6222	-3.50%	5.13	+7.10%	0.0265	✓	1.00	1.8M	2021-12-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	36,818.43	35,487.23	-3.62%	31,759.20	-13.74%	0.1573	✓	0.60	6.2M	2021-12-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.035847	0.03455	-3.62%	0.037325	+4.12%	0.0009	✓	1.01	15.0M	2021-12-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3895	1.3361	-3.85%	1.7264	+24.25%	0.1791	✗	0.99	7.8M	2021-12-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.76	5.5301	-3.99%	5.06	-12.15%	0.1665	✓	1.00	9.3M	2021-12-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0189	1.9341	-4.20%	2.2578	+11.83%	0.0025	✓	1.96	2.3M	2021-12-27
HIVE	Hive	native	1.4	1.3382	-4.42%	1.852	+32.29%	0.2221	✗	1.32	12.4M	2021-12-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.1901	3.0425	-4.63%	3.7429	+17.33%	0.1394	✗	0.87	10.9M	2021-12-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.219	0.207286	-5.35%	0.21	-4.11%	0.0776	✓	1.17	3.9M	2021-12-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5372	0.508077	-5.42%	0.8843	+64.61%	0.4116	✗	1.83	10.2M	2021-12-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01809	0.01701	-5.97%	0.0262	+44.83%	0.3543	✗	1.00	30.7M	2021-12-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.