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2021-12-20 · +7d

lstm_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0629
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
22.2%
in alpha space · 4.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SPELLSpellEthereum0.018090.01701-5.97%0.0262+44.83%0.3543✗1.0030.7M2021-12-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.53720.508077-5.42%0.8843+64.61%0.4116✗1.8310.2M2021-12-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.2190.207286-5.35%0.21-4.11%0.0776✓1.173.9M2021-12-27
MANADecentralandEthereum3.19013.0425-4.63%3.7429+17.33%0.1394✗0.8710.9M2021-12-27
HIVEHivenative1.41.3382-4.42%1.852+32.29%0.2221✗1.3212.4M2021-12-27
LRCLoopringEthereum2.01891.9341-4.20%2.2578+11.83%0.0025✓1.962.3M2021-12-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.765.5301-3.99%5.06-12.15%0.1665✓1.009.3M2021-12-27
UOSUltraEthereum1.38951.3361-3.85%1.7264+24.25%0.1791✗0.997.8M2021-12-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0358470.03455-3.62%0.037325+4.12%0.0009✓1.0115.0M2021-12-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,818.4335,487.23-3.62%31,759.20-13.74%0.1573✓0.606.2M2021-12-27
API3Api3Ethereum4.794.6222-3.50%5.13+7.10%0.0265✓1.001.8M2021-12-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.55109.6108-3.47%113.96+0.36%0.0496✓1.14164.3M2021-12-27
FTTFTXEthereum40.5739.1829-3.42%42.6+5.00%0.0006✓1.0725.2M2021-12-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.42130.407177-3.35%0.4709+11.77%0.0373✗1.391.8M2021-12-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.0932.9528-3.34%43.58+27.84%0.1436✗1.756.0M2021-12-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.3739.2195-2.85%44.44+10.08%0.0252✓1.9313.8M2021-12-27
IMXImmutableEthereum4.284.1661-2.66%5.5+28.50%0.2001✗1.002.8M2021-12-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6070.590954-2.64%0.723+19.11%0.1052✗1.243.4M2021-12-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0579810.056475-2.60%0.063833+10.09%0.0061✓1.5013.8M2021-12-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.62860.612316-2.59%0.8111+29.03%0.1860✗1.227.7M2021-12-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.23.1175-2.58%5.18+61.87%0.4301✗1.0011.9M2021-12-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.52211.4829-2.58%2.0783+36.54%0.3010✗0.478.8M2021-12-27
MOVRMoonriverBase176.9138172.4308-2.53%211.5789+19.59%0.1158✗1.141.1M2021-12-27
UMAUMAEthereum8.758.53-2.51%10.75+22.86%0.1457✗1.103.9M2021-12-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019250.018767-2.51%0.02154+11.90%0.0950✗0.5567k2021-12-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.4510.1895-2.49%12.74+21.91%0.1849✗0.504.2M2021-12-27
KCSKuCoinnative21.10320.5793-2.48%22.976+8.88%0.0237✓1.7223.4M2021-12-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.018.7864-2.48%14.16+57.16%0.4898✗-0.163.7M2021-12-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.26740.26082-2.46%0.3372+26.10%0.1584✗1.277.0M2021-12-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3122.2551-2.46%3.08+33.22%0.2406✗0.923.3M2021-12-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.114.0109-2.41%5.28+28.47%0.1723✗1.3228.7M2021-12-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000031220.000030477-2.38%0.00003905+25.08%0.1702✗1.001.9M2021-12-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19910.194475-2.32%0.2396+20.34%0.1146✗1.218.9M2021-12-27
ZENHorizenBase61.4960.0854-2.28%70.72+15.01%0.0438✗1.532.2M2021-12-27
COMPCompoundEthereum188.43184.1312-2.28%237.34+25.96%0.1714✗1.06236k2021-12-27
XECeCashnative0.000106380.000103999-2.24%0.00011859+11.48%0.0536✗1.0013.4M2021-12-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3368-2.23%2.8+17.15%0.1064✗0.964.9M2021-12-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin152.71149.36-2.19%155.78+2.01%0.0693✓1.4360.7M2021-12-27
DODODODOEthereum0.8110.79324-2.19%1.017+25.40%0.1344✗1.4710.9M2021-12-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.194660.190429-2.17%0.22849+17.38%0.0549✗1.6434k2021-12-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017280.016906-2.17%0.01876+8.56%0.0065✓1.263.6M2021-12-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.35320.345578-2.16%0.4183+18.43%0.0896✗1.306.8M2021-12-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8013.7204-2.12%4.312+13.44%0.0699✗1.003.7M2021-12-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.29781.2711-2.06%1.6631+28.15%0.1873✗1.0535.8M2021-12-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.511.4796-2.02%2.01+33.11%0.1752✗1.692.0M2021-12-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089010.087244-1.98%0.09816+10.28%0.0050✓1.456.7M2021-12-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.07991.0585-1.98%1.3793+27.72%0.1904✗0.9623.6M2021-12-27
MINAMina Protocolnative3.163.0979-1.96%3.86+22.15%0.1437✗0.98821k2021-12-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.62220.609988-1.96%0.7375+18.53%0.0944✗1.2314.9M2021-12-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.0823.6213-1.90%30.97+28.61%0.1740✗1.2575.1M2021-12-27
KSMKusamaHydration263.85258.8594-1.89%322.27+22.14%0.1333✗1.101.5M2021-12-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.115.0163-1.83%6.44+26.03%0.1662✗1.085.5M2021-12-27
DASHDashDash127.33125.0006-1.83%151.04+18.62%0.0921✗1.252.2M2021-12-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.31750.311732-1.82%0.3756+18.30%0.1183✗0.88693k2021-12-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.86295.7568-1.81%6.874+17.24%0.0853✗1.18833k2021-12-27
XVGVergenative0.016640.016343-1.79%0.01908+14.66%0.0630✗1.183.1M2021-12-27
SCSiacoinnative0.014930.014666-1.77%0.01713+14.74%0.0844✗0.911.9M2021-12-27
RADRadworksEthereum9.539.3641-1.74%11.09+16.37%0.0947✗0.962.0M2021-12-27
XLMStellarStellar0.258390.25391-1.73%0.300288+16.22%0.0909✗0.9940.4M2021-12-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.1741-1.73%3.6+11.46%0.0489✗0.991.3M2021-12-27
SOLSolanaSolana174.06171.0738-1.72%195.74+12.46%0.0556✗1.02281.0M2021-12-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054060.053133-1.72%0.05816+7.58%0.0026✓1.1322k2021-12-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.8634.264-1.71%39.2+12.45%0.0545✗1.0321.2M2021-12-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.947.8071-1.67%8.01+0.88%0.0264✓0.671.1M2021-12-27
ADACardanoCardano1.23811.2175-1.66%1.5164+22.48%0.1393✗1.03131.8M2021-12-27
ZECZcashZcash157.02154.4383-1.64%169.76+8.11%0.0129✓1.3813.6M2021-12-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.04831.0313-1.62%1.3056+24.54%0.1179✗1.523.4M2021-12-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum92.6391.1265-1.62%107.04+15.56%0.0870✗0.9510.6M2021-12-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.315.0518-1.62%16.81+9.87%0.0565✗0.691.6M2021-12-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0950.093474-1.61%0.1161+22.21%0.1111✗1.363.4M2021-12-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.7521.4011-1.60%28.24+29.84%0.1741✗1.3320.8M2021-12-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.1711-1.59%1.32+10.92%0.0420✗1.002.3M2021-12-27
QNTQuantEthereum174.01171.2823-1.57%206.05+18.41%0.1157✗0.8912.3M2021-12-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13030.128295-1.54%0.1453+11.51%0.0398✗1.09603k2021-12-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.3829.9135-1.54%39.59+30.32%0.1630✗1.511.6M2021-12-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66920.658961-1.53%0.7943+18.69%0.0935✗1.207.8M2021-12-27
XMRMoneroMonero188.84185.9569-1.53%220.72+16.88%0.0953✗0.982.9M2021-12-27
GITCOINGITCOIN8.9558.8193-1.52%14.106+57.52%0.4867✗-0.22119k2021-12-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3490.343716-1.51%0.466+33.52%0.2467✗0.7454k2021-12-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.24110.0861-1.51%9.799-4.32%0.0804✓0.66388k2021-12-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.046640.045937-1.51%0.05341+14.52%0.0767✗0.9515.8M2021-12-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1951.1772-1.49%1.325+10.88%0.0412✗0.994.6M2021-12-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.9931.5196-1.47%34.59+8.13%0.0417✗0.66754k2021-12-27
LSKLiskEthereum2.25632.2234-1.46%2.5471+12.89%0.0439✗1.18169k2021-12-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.659.5107-1.44%11.16+15.65%0.1028✗0.741.9M2021-12-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.5434.0554-1.40%37.61+8.89%0.0171✗1.066.5M2021-12-27
QTUMQtumQtum8.97188.8469-1.39%9.9988+11.45%0.0080✓1.47356k2021-12-27
XYMSymbolnative0.24050.23717-1.38%0.2391-0.58%0.0277✓0.46434k2021-12-27
BANDBandEthereum5.064.991-1.36%5.87+16.01%0.0705✗1.182.8M2021-12-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum23.7523.4306-1.34%26.71+12.46%0.0486✗1.062.9M2021-12-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.57423.5269-1.32%3.4608-3.17%0.0114✓-0.10372k2021-12-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7550840.745187-1.31%0.876137+16.03%0.0784✗1.074.8M2021-12-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4117.3164-1.28%10.034+35.39%0.2112✗1.35635k2021-12-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.16673.1268-1.26%3.6103+14.01%0.0481✗1.234.7M2021-12-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.099140.097905-1.25%0.11486+15.86%0.1188✗0.53143k2021-12-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.7818.5532-1.21%23.02+22.58%0.1158✗1.2969.7M2021-12-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos21.5321.2704-1.21%29.68+37.85%0.2688✗0.8342.5M2021-12-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1671790.165176-1.20%0.187814+12.34%0.0418✗1.125.3M2021-12-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.065580.064811-1.17%0.08443+28.74%0.1874✗0.9922.6M2021-12-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.2391.2245-1.17%1.415+14.21%0.0604✗1.081.6M2021-12-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.772.7376-1.17%3.39+22.38%0.1141✗1.283.0M2021-12-27
STORJStorjEthereum1.62641.6076-1.16%2.0541+26.30%0.1949✗0.651.4M2021-12-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0222820.022026-1.15%0.024165+8.45%0.0030✓1.231.9M2021-12-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.9014.8453-1.14%4.9574+1.15%0.0372✓0.7731k2021-12-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8884.8324-1.14%5.2921+8.27%0.0161✓1.385.2M2021-12-27
ETHEthereumEthereum3,946.163,902.50-1.11%4,038.64+2.34%0.0499✓1.08768.5M2021-12-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06520.064485-1.10%0.0741+13.65%0.0334✗1.362.9M2021-12-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.10761.0955-1.09%1.3823+24.80%0.0949✗1.771.5M2021-12-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4091.3939-1.07%1.686+19.66%0.0877✗1.325.6M2021-12-27
XTZTezosTezos4.10644.0625-1.07%5.1016+24.24%0.1254✗1.324.7M2021-12-27
CBKCobakEthereum2.8382.8081-1.05%3.267+15.12%0.0853✗0.85104k2021-12-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.108770.107661-1.02%0.12484+14.77%0.0613✗1.1231k2021-12-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08360.08278-0.98%0.0897+7.30%0.0061✓1.1124k2021-12-27
TRXTRONTron0.077610.07685-0.98%0.081167+4.58%0.0216✓0.98798k2021-12-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.30170.298826-0.95%0.4014+33.05%0.1809✗1.474.9M2021-12-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.71120.5515-0.95%127.41+4.68%0.0221✓1.002.5M2021-12-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.28426.196-0.95%465.3+8.14%0.0062✓1.0514.2M2021-12-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.042.0214-0.91%2.337+14.56%0.0585✗1.113.4M2021-12-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20370.201848-0.91%0.2194+7.71%0.0152✗0.88756k2021-12-27
NANOnanopayBase3.28883.2592-0.90%3.9652+20.57%0.1152✗1.04798k2021-12-27
UNIUniswapEthereum14.5214.3897-0.90%19.11+31.61%0.1841✗1.2814.2M2021-12-27
AAVEAaveEthereum181.01179.3932-0.89%277.6+53.36%0.3608✗0.9811.0M2021-12-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.1412.0328-0.88%13.03+7.33%0.1053✗-0.335.9M2021-12-27
XVSVenusEthereum14.8414.7091-0.88%16.84+13.48%0.0458✗1.156.6M2021-12-27
XEMNEMnative0.12490.123823-0.86%0.1391+11.37%0.0307✗1.10202k2021-12-27
GTGateEthereum5.83545.7852-0.86%6.8395+17.21%0.1039✗0.825.1M2021-12-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0334.9911-0.83%5.5+9.28%0.0472✗0.641.0M2021-12-27
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6711.6575-0.81%1.884+12.75%0.0281✗1.297.6M2021-12-27
SUSHISushiEthereum5.485.4375-0.78%9.15+66.97%0.4190✗1.3112.7M2021-12-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7113.687-0.65%4.361+17.52%0.1151✗0.68544k2021-12-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,926.0746,628.63-0.63%50,717.77+8.08%0.0064✓1.00750.8M2021-12-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.468.4068-0.63%9.45+11.70%0.0649✗0.671.1M2021-12-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.6396-0.58%9.33+7.36%0.0153✗0.79838k2021-12-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,868.2046,596.98-0.58%51,195.60+9.23%0.0172✗0.9915k2021-12-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9393.9169-0.56%4.744+20.44%0.1276✗0.82780k2021-12-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.