XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · lstm_s6

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

69.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1166

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0171

actual -0.0283

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31526	0.305398	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.303522	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.290531	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.290759	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.291111	-3.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.303969	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.301234	-3.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.297899	-3.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.309506	-4.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.291902	-3.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.309183	-4.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.289109	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.287325	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.279056	-3.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.299704	-4.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.318396	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.321469	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.315911	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.308226	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.302838	-4.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.311838	-4.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.303275	-4.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.299574	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.301019	-3.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.30884	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.316145	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.319386	-3.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.318871	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.313898	-3.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.335974	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.328776	-3.22%	0.31526	-7.20%	0.0060	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.335266	-4.13%	0.3131	-10.47%	0.0949	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.341606	-6.91%	0.30059	-18.09%	0.1369	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.28533	-3.45%	0.30068	+1.75%	0.0356	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.248299	-2.51%	0.30109	+18.22%	0.1250	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.247519	-2.41%	0.315885	+24.55%	0.1709	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.244028	-2.18%	0.31269	+25.35%	0.1569	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.26634	-2.38%	0.30922	+13.33%	0.1057	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.27403	-3.41%	0.32266	+13.73%	0.0809	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.25987	-2.22%	0.302825	+13.94%	0.0931	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.248696	-0.84%	0.32306	+28.81%	0.1766	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.249319	-1.54%	0.30039	+18.63%	0.1014	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.259083	-1.74%	0.298385	+13.17%	0.0856	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.249414	-0.09%	0.28889	+15.72%	0.1042	✗	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.237647	+1.05%	0.312355	+32.82%	0.2174	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.243963	+1.28%	0.333125	+38.30%	0.2432	✓	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.241692	+1.20%	0.336605	+40.95%	0.2536	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.234338	+1.76%	0.330075	+43.33%	0.2562	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.233968	+2.33%	0.32219	+40.91%	0.2752	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.220518	+1.24%	0.31591	+45.03%	0.2543	✓	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.218523	+1.94%	0.32599	+52.07%	0.2903	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.219618	+3.18%	0.316455	+48.68%	0.2953	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.219301	+3.98%	0.311915	+47.89%	0.2688	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.231194	+5.25%	0.313135	+42.56%	0.2314	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.23235	+5.28%	0.32132	+45.60%	0.2331	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.247703	+7.31%	0.32877	+42.42%	0.2268	✓	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.244993	+7.48%	0.332185	+45.73%	0.2348	✓	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.243721	+8.99%	0.33102	+48.02%	0.2254	✓	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.253314	+10.07%	0.32465	+41.07%	0.1737	✓	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.256979	+9.32%	0.34756	+47.85%	0.1850	✓	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.253885	+9.23%	0.33972	+46.16%	0.1594	✓	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.267613	+10.95%	0.3497	+44.98%	0.2277	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.229174	+3.43%	0.36697	+65.62%	0.3525	✓	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.213377	-0.62%	0.29552	+37.64%	0.1479	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.196514	-1.80%	0.25468	+27.27%	0.0659	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.195587	-1.91%	0.25363	+27.21%	0.0651	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.190535	-2.18%	0.249455	+28.06%	0.0525	✗	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.193657	-2.17%	0.272845	+37.84%	0.0902	✗	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.19242	-2.10%	0.283705	+44.34%	0.1542	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.192817	-1.99%	0.265765	+35.09%	0.0875	✗	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.190671	-1.86%	0.25081	+29.09%	0.0416	✗	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.191169	-1.73%	0.25322	+30.17%	0.0634	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.194924	-1.82%	0.26367	+32.80%	0.0648	✗	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.198736	-1.74%	0.249635	+23.43%	0.0043	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.204288	-1.80%	0.235175	+13.05%	0.0917	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.198296	-1.56%	0.24088	+19.58%	0.0585	✓	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.197234	-1.75%	0.23882	+18.97%	0.0647	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.193716	-1.51%	0.23029	+17.09%	0.0769	✓	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.194926	-1.58%	0.228645	+15.44%	0.1246	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.199199	-2.07%	0.217825	+7.09%	0.1498	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.19588	-2.15%	0.21437	+7.09%	0.1519	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.194437	-2.16%	0.21285	+7.11%	0.1818	✓	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.19648	-2.29%	0.210915	+4.88%	0.1863	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.201898	-1.74%	0.219655	+6.90%	0.1488	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.200492	-1.75%	0.22069	+8.15%	0.1428	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.203124	-1.84%	0.23084	+11.56%	0.1479	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.203533	-1.86%	0.227945	+9.91%	0.1475	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.21864	-2.05%	0.223625	+0.18%	0.1913	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.218631	-2.30%	0.230135	+2.84%	0.1859	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.22275	-2.42%	0.23508	+2.98%	0.1685	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.229295	-2.52%	0.232425	-1.19%	0.1806	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.222765	-2.02%	0.2412	+6.09%	0.1193	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.224667	-1.73%	0.22158	-3.08%	0.1230	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.223425	-2.09%	0.21471	-5.91%	0.1113	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.218682	-2.08%	0.20011	-10.40%	0.0887	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.220557	-2.11%	0.199385	-11.50%	0.0951	✓	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.217603	-2.10%	0.19479	-12.37%	0.0912	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.215757	-2.14%	0.197945	-10.21%	0.0722	✓	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.222635	-2.16%	0.196555	-13.62%	0.0930	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.226707	-2.24%	0.19673	-15.16%	0.1134	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.214872	-2.61%	0.194285	-11.94%	0.1222	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.221889	-2.20%	0.194525	-14.26%	0.1278	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.226022	-2.09%	0.198545	-14.00%	0.1321	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.23107	-2.00%	0.202255	-14.22%	0.1459	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.230083	-2.26%	0.208035	-11.63%	0.1317	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.23515	-2.66%	0.20144	-16.62%	0.2034	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.247022	-2.82%	0.200745	-21.02%	0.2244	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.244447	-2.45%	0.19668	-21.51%	0.2283	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.246013	-3.03%	0.19806	-21.93%	0.2254	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.232954	-2.58%	0.2034	-14.94%	0.1426	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.236843	-3.46%	0.200185	-18.40%	0.1859	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.209682	-2.20%	0.198725	-7.31%	0.0759	✓	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.205129	-2.20%	0.201095	-4.12%	0.0704	✓	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.198178	-2.07%	0.20547	+1.53%	0.0720	✓	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.206613	-2.41%	0.20406	-3.62%	0.0766	✓	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.20573	-2.22%	0.206925	-1.65%	0.0697	✓	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.207946	-2.21%	0.2074	-2.46%	0.0676	✓	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.211429	-2.11%	0.22322	+3.35%	0.0369	✓	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.208697	-1.91%	0.22378	+5.18%	0.0093	✓	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.21084	-1.96%	0.22828	+6.15%	0.0254	✗	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.217124	-1.75%	0.235215	+6.44%	0.0385	✗	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.224122	-1.83%	0.22736	-0.41%	0.0213	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.224921	-1.77%	0.22863	-0.15%	0.0386	✓	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.233128	-1.67%	0.22819	-3.75%	0.0379	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.239572	-2.02%	0.223335	-8.66%	0.0907	✓	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.227302	-1.63%	0.225305	-2.49%	0.0413	✓	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.241168	-1.61%	0.22228	-9.32%	0.0723	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.241646	-1.29%	0.220465	-9.94%	0.0610	✓	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.238835	-1.03%	0.22755	-5.70%	0.0234	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.237334	-0.92%	0.23189	-3.19%	0.0117	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.236627	-0.68%	0.220625	-7.40%	0.0338	✓	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.233392	-0.27%	0.22688	-3.06%	0.0317	✓	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.23375	-0.28%	0.230855	-1.51%	0.0160	✓	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.226619	-0.31%	0.23579	+3.73%	0.0058	✓	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.23719	-0.25%	0.235405	-1.00%	0.0329	✓	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.245541	-0.06%	0.241585	-1.67%	0.0023	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.245931	+0.18%	0.25418	+3.54%	0.0327	✓	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.245702	+0.50%	0.250595	+2.51%	0.0339	✗	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.245639	+0.98%	0.25371	+4.30%	0.0109	✗	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.278138	+0.04%	0.239125	-13.99%	0.1403	✗	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.294367	-0.69%	0.245335	-17.23%	0.1595	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.291685	-0.89%	0.2144	-27.15%	0.2278	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.312704	-1.67%	0.209745	-34.04%	0.2369	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.322217	-1.75%	0.202365	-38.29%	0.2511	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.325239	-2.07%	0.211725	-36.25%	0.2456	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.300513	-1.36%	0.21039	-30.94%	0.1677	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.305262	-1.46%	0.212635	-31.36%	0.1789	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.313235	-1.68%	0.215985	-32.21%	0.1817	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.32595	-1.75%	0.21275	-35.87%	0.2170	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.328811	-1.51%	0.21506	-35.58%	0.2057	✓	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.329651	-1.66%	0.22099	-34.07%	0.2093	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.338951	-1.81%	0.22829	-33.87%	0.2308	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.328604	-1.78%	0.22898	-31.56%	0.2017	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.343846	-1.66%	0.23709	-32.19%	0.2035	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.336097	-1.44%	0.24452	-28.29%	0.1392	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.32966	-1.28%	0.23106	-30.81%	0.1772	✓	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.337973	-1.16%	0.245115	-28.32%	0.1626	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.336691	-1.02%	0.244805	-28.03%	0.1713	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.352751	-1.30%	0.24131	-32.48%	0.2348	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.360123	-1.32%	0.23954	-34.36%	0.2418	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.373883	-1.06%	0.238245	-36.96%	0.2437	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.369039	-1.56%	0.234035	-37.57%	0.2583	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.379888	-1.32%	0.234405	-39.11%	0.2759	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.393376	-1.00%	0.22732	-42.79%	0.3010	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.397352	-0.80%	0.23779	-40.63%	0.2642	✓	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.382679	-1.07%	0.24568	-36.48%	0.2316	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.388995	-1.40%	0.24549	-37.77%	0.2588	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.372643	-0.75%	0.24447	-34.89%	0.1885	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.382954	-0.03%	0.24326	-36.49%	0.2130	✓	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.375025	+0.01%	0.27802	-25.86%	0.0813	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.362428	+0.15%	0.2964	-18.10%	0.0020	✗	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.361472	-0.37%	0.2943	-18.88%	0.0590	✓	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.365085	-0.33%	0.318	-13.19%	0.0498	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.364948	-0.31%	0.32795	-10.42%	0.0520	✓	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.36107	-1.16%	0.3321	-9.09%	0.0528	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.366135	-1.32%	0.30465	-17.90%	0.1545	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.379879	-1.30%	0.3098	-19.51%	0.1697	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.376533	-0.49%	0.3186	-15.80%	0.1302	✓	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.373819	+0.84%	0.33175	-10.51%	0.0853	✗	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.370616	+0.32%	0.33385	-9.64%	0.0997	✗	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.373315	+0.26%	0.3352	-9.98%	0.1019	✗	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.380113	+1.51%	0.3452	-7.81%	0.0768	✗	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.376146	+1.02%	0.33455	-10.15%	0.0838	✗	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.36585	-0.22%	0.34965	-4.64%	0.0597	✓	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.36537	-0.28%	0.341	-6.93%	0.0887	✓	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.350918	-0.90%	0.33395	-5.69%	0.0871	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.365481	+0.10%	0.34195	-6.34%	0.0816	✗	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.382082	+0.59%	0.34015	-10.45%	0.1201	✗	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.374838	-0.48%	0.3574	-5.11%	0.0843	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.361316	+0.12%	0.36495	+1.12%	0.0423	✗	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.34664	+0.13%	0.3779	+9.16%	0.0022	✓	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.35558	+0.16%	0.3749	+5.61%	0.0062	✗	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.337685	-1.23%	0.38495	+12.59%	0.0078	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.351871	-0.55%	0.39735	+12.31%	0.0149	✗	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.355939	-0.77%	0.40055	+11.67%	0.0050	✓	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.349282	-1.15%	0.3868	+9.47%	0.0088	✓	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.347353	-1.29%	0.3945	+12.11%	0.0125	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.357041	-1.15%	0.37545	+3.95%	0.0512	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.335696	-1.74%	0.38305	+12.12%	0.0274	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.33869	-1.77%	0.375	+8.76%	0.0495	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.341607	-2.06%	0.3619	+3.76%	0.1073	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.342075	-2.19%	0.3628	+3.73%	0.0957	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.335276	-2.11%	0.3663	+6.95%	0.0683	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.344924	-1.95%	0.3661	+4.06%	0.0749	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.345514	-1.95%	0.3653	+3.66%	0.0532	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.339327	-2.15%	0.37105	+6.99%	0.0344	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.333257	-1.93%	0.3849	+13.27%	0.0006	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.339388	-1.94%	0.3784	+9.33%	0.0426	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.342875	-1.95%	0.3707	+6.01%	0.0897	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.361681	-2.25%	0.36945	-0.15%	0.0976	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.381112	-2.00%	0.37235	-4.26%	0.1041	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.390457	-2.41%	0.37445	-6.41%	0.1442	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.384269	-2.36%	0.37235	-5.39%	0.1282	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.368277	-2.73%	0.36665	-3.16%	0.1205	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.37894	-2.46%	0.3664	-5.69%	0.1280	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.394941	-2.08%	0.3541	-12.21%	0.1541	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.381434	-2.05%	0.3651	-6.24%	0.1215	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.386728	-1.70%	0.37985	-3.44%	0.0948	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.394276	-0.64%	0.37665	-5.08%	0.0620	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.399725	-0.24%	0.3609	-9.93%	0.1015	✓	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.383323	-0.92%	0.3462	-10.52%	0.1199	✓	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.372539	-1.47%	0.355	-6.11%	0.0918	✓	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.368243	-1.35%	0.3419	-8.41%	0.0716	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.362323	-1.57%	0.3538	-3.88%	0.0591	✓	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.358821	-1.69%	0.3587	-1.73%	0.0391	✓	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.357031	-1.70%	0.35335	-2.71%	0.0362	✓	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.354841	-2.33%	0.3519	-3.14%	0.0465	✓	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.348997	-2.81%	0.3612	+0.58%	0.0529	✓	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.352479	-2.55%	0.34165	-5.54%	0.0550	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.361733	-2.47%	0.3448	-7.04%	0.0612	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.378129	-1.63%	0.3488	-9.26%	0.0280	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.387254	-0.86%	0.34975	-10.46%	0.0184	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.366109	-2.68%	0.3425	-8.96%	0.0445	✓	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.366372	-2.51%	0.3518	-6.39%	0.0296	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.358356	-3.43%	0.3524	-5.04%	0.0550	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.370401	-3.67%	0.3468	-9.80%	0.0623	✓	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.368478	-3.87%	0.3398	-11.35%	0.0825	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.377291	-3.75%	0.3461	-11.71%	0.0682	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.38149	-3.66%	0.3497	-11.69%	0.0617	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.354755	-3.10%	0.37	+1.07%	0.0301	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.357568	-3.08%	0.3889	+5.41%	0.0145	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.367594	-3.02%	0.4001	+5.55%	0.0420	✗	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.37678	-3.05%	0.39355	+1.26%	0.0009	✓	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.381056	-2.89%	0.3786	-3.52%	0.0044	✓	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.371584	-2.92%	0.3885	+1.50%	0.0158	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.37331	-2.99%	0.40335	+4.82%	0.0174	✓	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.383312	-2.96%	0.3894	-1.42%	0.0200	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.389139	-2.53%	0.3934	-1.47%	0.0234	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.388352	-2.42%	0.3968	-0.30%	0.0512	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.412012	-2.64%	0.4007	-5.32%	0.0988	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.396753	-2.37%	0.3869	-4.80%	0.0821	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.391417	-2.18%	0.3781	-5.51%	0.1093	✓	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.387718	-1.63%	0.3733	-5.29%	0.0949	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.395185	-1.81%	0.3681	-8.54%	0.0960	✓	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.404768	-1.44%	0.365	-11.13%	0.1049	✓	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.408037	-1.03%	0.3632	-11.91%	0.1118	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.419692	-0.49%	0.3633	-13.86%	0.1322	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.42807	-0.41%	0.3591	-16.46%	0.1089	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.399226	+1.46%	0.3617	-8.08%	0.1713	✗	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.457782	-2.11%	0.3709	-20.69%	0.1354	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.462207	-2.30%	0.3844	-18.75%	0.1171	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.464872	-2.91%	0.3906	-18.42%	0.0904	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.452506	-2.01%	0.3762	-18.54%	0.0635	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.456223	-2.14%	0.3758	-19.39%	0.0513	✓	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.489812	-3.12%	0.3711	-26.60%	0.0190	✓	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.492852	-3.10%	0.3845	-24.40%	0.0041	✓	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.519763	-3.03%	0.3833	-28.49%	0.0156	✓	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.551765	-3.32%	0.392	-31.31%	0.0439	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.546404	-3.36%	0.396	-29.96%	0.0458	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.543203	-3.38%	0.3661	-34.88%	0.0724	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.565641	-3.28%	0.36895	-36.91%	0.0860	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.571037	-3.08%	0.37905	-35.67%	0.1152	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.562829	-2.93%	0.38865	-32.97%	0.0816	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.577571	-2.81%	0.3924	-33.97%	0.0984	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.538556	-2.49%	0.38275	-30.70%	0.0575	✓	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.592558	-2.92%	0.3848	-36.96%	0.1132	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.568391	-2.69%	0.395	-32.37%	0.0442	✓	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.584689	-2.86%	0.39925	-33.67%	0.0711	✓	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.599912	-3.07%	0.398	-35.69%	0.0953	✓	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.56596	-2.77%	0.4232	-27.30%	0.0117	✓	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.562751	-2.64%	0.4064	-29.69%	0.0088	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.57358	-3.14%	0.40015	-32.43%	0.0028	✓	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.53678	-3.25%	0.39415	-28.96%	0.0087	✓	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.550831	-3.19%	0.40245	-29.27%	0.0376	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.563751	-3.09%	0.4107	-29.40%	0.0615	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.561825	-3.12%	0.4123	-28.90%	0.0430	✓	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.567553	-3.31%	0.42175	-28.15%	0.0152	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.550149	-3.02%	0.42985	-24.23%	0.0670	✗	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.580975	-2.98%	0.3935	-34.29%	0.0920	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.54572	-2.48%	0.46765	-16.43%	0.1462	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.529261	-2.67%	0.4731	-13.00%	0.1178	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.517802	-2.69%	0.4788	-10.02%	0.0918	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.513887	-2.75%	0.4618	-12.60%	0.0831	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.492971	-2.63%	0.4662	-7.92%	0.0885	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.48042	-2.91%	0.5056	+2.18%	0.0981	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.499215	-3.53%	0.5086	-1.72%	0.0717	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.476429	-3.01%	0.536	+9.12%	0.0906	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.48465	-3.03%	0.5707	+14.19%	0.1470	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.471417	-2.76%	0.5654	+16.63%	0.1760	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.459536	-3.34%	0.5622	+18.26%	0.2113	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.433422	-2.38%	0.5848	+31.71%	0.2750	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.432959	-2.40%	0.5892	+32.82%	0.2841	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.43305	-2.49%	0.5798	+30.56%	0.2654	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.43236	-2.38%	0.5943	+34.18%	0.3077	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.428486	-2.35%	0.5523	+25.87%	0.2581	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.44019	-2.53%	0.6104	+35.16%	0.2721	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.432891	-2.37%	0.5841	+31.73%	0.2283	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.42001	-2.48%	0.6019	+39.75%	0.2344	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.428829	-2.78%	0.6189	+40.31%	0.2464	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.446289	-3.17%	0.5821	+26.30%	0.1669	✗	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.445796	-3.49%	0.578	+25.14%	0.1241	✗	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.461498	-3.43%	0.5922	+23.92%	0.1568	✗	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.484911	-3.33%	0.5548	+10.61%	0.1226	✗	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.477223	-3.04%	0.569	+15.60%	0.1682	✗	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.493364	-2.54%	0.5817	+14.92%	0.1924	✗	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.481543	-2.46%	0.5799	+17.46%	0.2054	✗	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.486691	-2.37%	0.587	+17.75%	0.2087	✗	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.477885	-3.01%	0.5673	+15.14%	0.1634	✗	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.459488	-2.94%	0.5988	+26.49%	0.2224	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.465812	-3.00%	0.5596	+16.53%	0.1236	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.464482	-2.79%	0.5438	+13.81%	0.1294	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.484562	-2.25%	0.5321	+7.34%	0.1131	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.491871	-2.17%	0.5284	+5.09%	0.1171	✗	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.475154	-2.17%	0.5063	+4.24%	0.0975	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.457258	-2.69%	0.4948	+5.30%	0.0616	✗	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.471047	-2.63%	0.5175	+6.98%	0.1222	✗	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.480653	-2.45%	0.4912	-0.30%	0.0747	✗	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.491566	-2.61%	0.4998	-0.98%	0.0596	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.497242	-2.60%	0.4848	-5.03%	0.0244	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.496923	-2.55%	0.4754	-6.77%	0.0017	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.495359	-2.55%	0.444	-12.65%	0.1071	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.492345	-2.36%	0.4436	-12.03%	0.0943	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.480023	-1.78%	0.4441	-9.13%	0.0872	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.478601	-1.58%	0.4429	-8.92%	0.1381	✓	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.489899	-1.64%	0.4388	-11.90%	0.1660	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.496572	-2.22%	0.4516	-11.08%	0.1227	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.519968	-2.72%	0.4434	-17.04%	0.1057	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.530689	-2.72%	0.4307	-21.05%	0.0893	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.517206	-2.32%	0.4411	-16.69%	0.0643	✓	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.535781	-2.82%	0.4609	-16.41%	0.0507	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.555475	-3.02%	0.4619	-19.36%	0.0404	✓	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.541553	-2.59%	0.4779	-14.04%	0.0259	✓	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.551813	-2.74%	0.5016	-11.59%	0.0541	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.56697	-2.85%	0.4922	-15.66%	0.0381	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.575923	-2.90%	0.5062	-14.66%	0.0332	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.607118	-3.16%	0.4937	-21.25%	0.0038	✓	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.606978	-3.27%	0.4985	-20.56%	0.0123	✓	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.623561	-4.19%	0.4927	-24.29%	0.0457	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.648764	-6.88%	0.4734	-32.05%	0.1134	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.570808	-4.66%	0.4802	-19.79%	0.0091	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.522904	-2.30%	0.4778	-10.72%	0.1416	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.507758	-2.10%	0.4957	-4.42%	0.1257	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.520718	-2.23%	0.5028	-5.60%	0.1780	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.565587	-2.49%	0.4857	-16.27%	0.1530	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.563477	-2.56%	0.4699	-18.74%	0.2086	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.566255	-2.41%	0.48375	-16.63%	0.1523	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.551464	-2.43%	0.4927	-12.83%	0.1702	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.573672	-2.73%	0.50475	-14.42%	0.1765	✗	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.578785	-2.15%	0.5105	-13.69%	0.2242	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.587666	-2.10%	0.5099	-15.06%	0.2408	✗	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.598787	-2.55%	0.5083	-17.28%	0.2835	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.588796	-2.81%	0.50425	-16.76%	0.2397	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.587785	-2.59%	0.4887	-19.01%	0.2271	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.579427	-2.49%	0.4863	-18.17%	0.2636	✗	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.568056	-2.52%	0.49805	-14.53%	0.2623	✗	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.570218	-2.73%	0.50785	-13.37%	0.2617	✗	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.582121	-2.70%	0.5345	-10.66%	0.2397	✗	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.580463	-2.75%	0.54555	-8.60%	0.2016	✗	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.572325	-2.43%	0.5295	-9.73%	0.1771	✗	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.565928	-2.05%	0.55135	-4.57%	0.1785	✗	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.583646	-2.13%	0.5728	-3.95%	0.1889	✗	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.595602	-2.10%	0.55595	-8.62%	0.1962	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.615451	-2.14%	0.56735	-9.79%	0.1300	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.644377	-2.07%	0.5836	-11.31%	0.1097	✗	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.620314	-1.72%	0.59315	-6.02%	0.1352	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.571885	-1.43%	0.6269	+8.05%	0.1621	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.55575	-1.41%	0.6275	+11.32%	0.2464	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.66693	-1.61%	0.6508	-3.99%	0.2217	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.678988	-1.01%	0.6967	+1.57%	0.2769	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.671077	-1.23%	0.5987	-11.88%	0.1426	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.712402	-0.67%	0.5352	-25.38%	0.0280	✓	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.707834	-0.95%	0.51865	-27.43%	0.0322	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.686984	-0.95%	0.5326	-23.21%	0.0582	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.710274	-1.25%	0.58005	-19.36%	0.0599	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.701566	-1.52%	0.5783	-18.82%	0.0635	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.690343	-1.81%	0.58025	-17.47%	0.0590	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.653973	-2.20%	0.5652	-15.47%	0.0708	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.655565	-2.11%	0.5898	-11.93%	0.0486	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.656498	-2.56%	0.5915	-12.21%	0.1139	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.651452	-2.84%	0.6003	-10.47%	0.1433	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.661261	-2.80%	0.61445	-9.68%	0.1412	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.639985	-2.65%	0.6058	-7.85%	0.0921	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.679018	-2.74%	0.6034	-13.57%	0.0860	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.680232	-2.76%	0.59425	-15.05%	0.1082	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.680047	-2.72%	0.58275	-16.64%	0.0818	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.730702	-2.63%	0.5862	-21.88%	0.1273	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.741634	-2.53%	0.5983	-21.36%	0.1452	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.737709	-2.40%	0.59685	-21.04%	0.1167	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.7746	-2.18%	0.5866	-25.92%	0.1449	✓	1.51
2025-09-17	oos	0.78885	0.77044	-2.33%	0.57775	-26.76%	0.1513	✓	1.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.