XRD

Radix · native · lstm_s6

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

68.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1183

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0203

actual -0.0501

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00018625	0.000186734	+0.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.000203563	+0.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000164821	+3.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.000161174	+3.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.000150851	+4.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.000206459	+2.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000267886	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.000297681	-1.53%	0.00018625	-38.39%	0.4569	✓	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000308744	-1.67%	0.00020335	-35.24%	0.4194	✓	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000325484	-1.84%	0.0001597	-51.84%	0.7110	✓	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.000312218	-1.42%	0.0001555	-50.90%	0.7135	✓	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000311398	-1.14%	0.000145	-53.97%	0.7783	✓	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.000304633	-0.54%	0.000202	-34.05%	0.4205	✓	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.000314388	-0.54%	0.0002698	-14.65%	0.1490	✓	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000329056	-1.10%	0.0003023	-9.14%	0.1010	✓	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000331209	-1.04%	0.000314	-6.18%	0.0763	✓	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.000344674	-1.01%	0.0003316	-4.77%	0.0773	✓	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.000355384	-0.77%	0.0003167	-11.57%	0.1422	✓	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.000352273	-0.99%	0.000315	-11.47%	0.1299	✓	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.000363599	-1.03%	0.0003063	-16.63%	0.1908	✓	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000375492	-0.95%	0.0003161	-16.62%	0.2033	✓	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.000375032	-1.15%	0.0003327	-12.31%	0.1226	✓	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.00040266	-1.26%	0.0003347	-17.93%	0.1665	✓	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.000409855	-1.32%	0.0003482	-16.17%	0.1420	✓	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.000436794	-1.22%	0.00035815	-19.01%	0.1798	✓	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000451846	-1.34%	0.0003558	-22.31%	0.2359	✓	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000431917	-1.26%	0.0003674	-16.01%	0.1579	✓	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.000463919	-1.40%	0.0003791	-19.43%	0.1975	✓	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.000489036	-1.62%	0.0003794	-23.68%	0.2617	✓	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000519532	-1.43%	0.0004078	-22.63%	0.2670	✓	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.000464932	-0.93%	0.00041535	-11.50%	0.1408	✓	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000532351	-2.52%	0.0004422	-19.03%	0.1645	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.000512622	-2.39%	0.000458	-12.80%	0.0927	✓	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000552096	-2.75%	0.00043745	-22.94%	0.2135	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.000556317	-3.43%	0.0004705	-18.33%	0.1155	✓	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.000490083	-2.65%	0.0004971	-1.25%	0.0678	✗	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.000537806	-3.21%	0.00052705	-5.15%	0.0470	✗	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.000492885	-2.37%	0.0004693	-7.04%	0.0074	✓	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.00048272	-2.11%	0.0005461	+10.75%	0.1467	✗	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.000500021	-2.10%	0.0005252	+2.83%	0.0705	✗	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.000478061	-1.33%	0.0005677	+17.17%	0.1914	✗	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000485251	-0.97%	0.0005761	+17.57%	0.1706	✗	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000468586	-0.19%	0.0005034	+7.22%	0.0613	✗	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.00047963	+0.01%	0.00055565	+15.86%	0.1339	✓	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.000437334	+0.88%	0.00050485	+16.46%	0.1398	✓	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000484273	+0.41%	0.0004931	+2.24%	0.0001	✓	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.000477538	+1.13%	0.00051075	+8.16%	0.0538	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.00050983	+1.58%	0.0004845	-3.47%	0.0624	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.000495327	+2.56%	0.00049	+1.46%	0.0312	✗	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.00058492	+2.60%	0.0004695	-17.65%	0.2190	✗	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000607886	+2.79%	0.0004796	-18.90%	0.2361	✗	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000640775	+2.90%	0.0004335	-30.38%	0.3898	✗	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000844824	+1.85%	0.0004823	-41.86%	0.5599	✗	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000884441	+1.99%	0.0004722	-45.55%	0.6276	✗	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000889081	+1.92%	0.0005019	-42.46%	0.5718	✗	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000832906	+2.52%	0.00048295	-40.55%	0.5457	✗	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.000837222	+2.20%	0.0005701	-30.41%	0.3830	✗	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.000920518	+1.87%	0.0005914	-34.55%	0.4413	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.000943973	+1.81%	0.0006227	-32.84%	0.4155	✗	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000895525	+1.41%	0.0008295	-6.07%	0.0765	✗	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.000800175	+1.19%	0.0008672	+9.66%	0.0799	✓	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000931894	+1.16%	0.0008723	-5.31%	0.0662	✗	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.000918196	-0.63%	0.0008124	-12.08%	0.1182	✓	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000945334	-2.18%	0.0008192	-15.23%	0.1468	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.001009	-2.95%	0.0009036	-13.07%	0.1509	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000869217	-2.43%	0.0009272	+4.07%	0.0309	✗	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.000901818	-2.66%	0.0008831	-4.68%	0.0651	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000934006	-2.77%	0.0007908	-17.68%	0.2079	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.00089525	-2.63%	0.0009212	+0.20%	0.0163	✓	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.000913883	-2.66%	0.000924	-1.59%	0.0181	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.000952882	-2.82%	0.0009664	-1.44%	0.0051	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000902574	-2.61%	0.00104	+12.16%	0.1376	✗	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000885255	-2.52%	0.0008909	-1.89%	0.0045	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.000896831	-2.49%	0.0009265	+0.74%	0.0391	✗	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.00090902	-2.53%	0.0009606	+3.00%	0.0613	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.000902714	-2.51%	0.0009194	-0.71%	0.0243	✓	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000890156	-2.52%	0.0009389	+2.81%	0.0559	✗	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000937033	-2.68%	0.0009805	+1.84%	0.0489	✗	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000921047	-2.67%	0.0009268	-2.06%	0.0078	✓	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000953648	-2.85%	0.0009081	-7.49%	0.0504	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.000955629	-2.87%	0.0009197	-6.53%	0.0425	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000922843	-2.80%	0.0009326	-1.77%	0.0040	✓	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.000936594	-2.85%	0.000926	-3.95%	0.0177	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.00093586	-2.73%	0.0009132	-5.08%	0.0231	✓	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000937145	-2.81%	0.0009628	-0.15%	0.0248	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.000949978	-2.87%	0.0009463	-3.24%	0.0045	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.000965211	-2.95%	0.0009816	-1.30%	0.0176	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.000992005	-2.93%	0.0009839	-3.73%	0.0025	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.000963255	-2.94%	0.0009494	-4.33%	0.0099	✓	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.001068	-3.83%	0.0009641	-13.19%	0.0981	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.000809892	-1.95%	0.0009621	+16.48%	0.1740	✗	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.000815109	-1.75%	0.0009642	+16.22%	0.1796	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000798557	-1.50%	0.000978	+20.64%	0.2171	✗	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.000817397	-1.88%	0.0009945	+19.37%	0.2049	✗	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.000827132	-2.01%	0.001022	+21.08%	0.2077	✗	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.000844612	-2.06%	0.0009924	+15.07%	0.1641	✗	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.000873377	-2.30%	0.001111	+24.24%	0.2392	✗	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.000856598	-2.20%	0.000826	-5.70%	0.0438	✓	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.000846869	-2.01%	0.0008296	-4.00%	0.0297	✓	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000834891	-1.88%	0.0008107	-4.72%	0.0395	✓	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000827138	-2.15%	0.0008331	-1.44%	0.0137	✓	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.000903403	-2.35%	0.0008441	-8.76%	0.0737	✓	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.000839172	-2.05%	0.0008624	+0.67%	0.0204	✓	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000870825	-2.14%	0.0008939	+0.45%	0.0277	✗	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.000889428	-2.31%	0.0008759	-3.80%	0.0193	✓	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.000896342	-2.41%	0.0008642	-5.91%	0.0527	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000881372	-2.25%	0.0008509	-5.63%	0.0462	✓	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.000890836	-2.22%	0.0008453	-7.22%	0.0408	✓	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.000910327	-2.35%	0.0009251	-0.76%	0.0152	✓	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000877947	-2.25%	0.0008567	-4.62%	0.0283	✓	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000861136	-2.21%	0.0008899	+1.06%	0.0237	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.000872373	-2.29%	0.0009105	+1.98%	0.0327	✗	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.000869599	-2.20%	0.0009185	+3.30%	0.0408	✗	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000838066	-1.50%	0.0009017	+5.98%	0.0463	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000844293	-1.71%	0.0009111	+6.07%	0.0549	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.000857531	-1.60%	0.0009322	+6.97%	0.0590	✗	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.00085273	-1.44%	0.0008982	+3.81%	0.0334	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000879409	-1.73%	0.0008806	-1.60%	0.0137	✓	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.000899697	-1.84%	0.0008928	-2.60%	0.0185	✓	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000925066	-2.11%	0.0008892	-5.90%	0.0323	✓	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.000950962	-2.26%	0.0008508	-12.56%	0.0815	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001031	-2.51%	0.000859	-18.81%	0.1589	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.001039	-2.55%	0.0008715	-18.25%	0.1512	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.001083	-2.65%	0.0008652	-22.19%	0.1976	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.001065	-2.64%	0.0008949	-18.20%	0.1522	✓	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.001072	-2.69%	0.0009166	-16.82%	0.1371	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.001062	-2.61%	0.000945	-13.30%	0.0959	✓	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001077	-2.64%	0.000973	-12.03%	0.0845	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.001091	-2.69%	0.001058	-5.62%	0.0170	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001084	-2.74%	0.001066	-4.39%	0.0026	✓	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.001095	-2.89%	0.001112	-1.42%	0.0162	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.001071	-2.83%	0.001094	-0.73%	0.0218	✓	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.001081	-2.91%	0.001102	-0.99%	0.0237	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.00108	-2.88%	0.00109	-1.98%	0.0093	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001093	-2.98%	0.001106	-1.82%	0.0122	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001066	-2.84%	0.001121	+2.19%	0.0299	✗	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001032	-2.55%	0.001115	+5.29%	0.0629	✗	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.001018	-1.81%	0.001128	+8.78%	0.0800	✗	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.001014	-1.52%	0.001102	+6.99%	0.0663	✗	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.001057	-2.47%	0.001113	+2.68%	0.0529	✗	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.001033	-2.13%	0.001112	+5.40%	0.0919	✗	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.000994709	-2.00%	0.001126	+10.99%	0.1642	✗	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.001015	-2.44%	0.001097	+5.48%	0.1493	✗	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001052	-2.58%	0.001059	-1.94%	0.0941	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.001043	-2.52%	0.001037	-3.08%	0.1053	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.00106	-2.56%	0.00103	-5.33%	0.0877	✗	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.001057	-2.51%	0.001084	+0.00%	0.1166	✗	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.001091	-2.61%	0.001055	-5.80%	0.0545	✗	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.001131	-2.70%	0.001015	-12.65%	0.0334	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.001089	-2.41%	0.00104	-6.81%	0.0076	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.000998484	-1.92%	0.00108	+6.09%	0.1097	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.000997302	-1.84%	0.00107	+5.31%	0.0978	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.001042	-2.11%	0.001088	+2.26%	0.0638	✗	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.001052	-1.96%	0.001084	+1.03%	0.0686	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.00106	-1.93%	0.00112	+3.61%	0.0855	✗	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.001103	-2.16%	0.001162	+3.11%	0.0616	✗	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.001123	-2.18%	0.001116	-2.79%	0.0091	✓	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001124	-2.08%	0.001018	-11.32%	0.0954	✓	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.001149	-2.04%	0.001016	-13.38%	0.1103	✓	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.001171	-1.94%	0.001064	-10.89%	0.0638	✓	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.001191	-1.57%	0.001073	-11.32%	0.0748	✓	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.001199	-1.92%	0.001081	-11.61%	0.0890	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001225	-1.74%	0.001127	-9.62%	0.0530	✓	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001232	-1.42%	0.001148	-8.16%	0.0293	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.001231	-1.24%	0.001148	-7.87%	0.0283	✓	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.001239	-1.59%	0.001173	-6.83%	0.0325	✓	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.001226	-1.56%	0.001194	-4.10%	0.0163	✓	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001241	-1.62%	0.00121	-4.04%	0.0339	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.001267	-1.34%	0.001223	-4.75%	0.0120	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.001257	-1.36%	0.001247	-2.12%	0.0027	✓	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.001266	-1.60%	0.00125	-2.87%	0.0365	✓	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.001241	-1.72%	0.001246	-1.35%	0.0411	✓	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.001243	-1.64%	0.001259	-0.40%	0.0124	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.001239	-1.67%	0.001245	-1.19%	0.0204	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.001236	-2.01%	0.001261	+0.00%	0.0336	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001251	-2.15%	0.001284	+0.39%	0.0568	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001257	-2.04%	0.001274	-0.70%	0.0488	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.001302	-2.01%	0.001287	-3.16%	0.0457	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001339	-1.82%	0.001263	-7.40%	0.0569	✓	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.001325	-1.93%	0.001264	-6.44%	0.0616	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.001303	-1.78%	0.00126	-5.05%	0.0453	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001276	-1.33%	0.001261	-2.47%	0.0181	✗	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.001273	-1.29%	0.001279	-0.85%	0.0414	✗	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.001262	-1.68%	0.001283	+0.00%	0.0174	✗	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001263	-1.79%	0.001329	+3.34%	0.0271	✗	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.001266	-2.20%	0.001364	+5.41%	0.0063	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001263	-1.73%	0.001351	+5.14%	0.0405	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.001303	-1.46%	0.001327	+0.38%	0.0134	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.001221	-1.64%	0.001293	+4.19%	0.0143	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.00123	-1.69%	0.00129	+3.12%	0.0008	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.001217	-1.74%	0.001283	+3.55%	0.0221	✗	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.001208	-1.61%	0.001286	+4.72%	0.0423	✗	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001153	-2.03%	0.001294	+9.94%	0.0707	✗	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.001161	-1.74%	0.001285	+8.71%	0.0634	✗	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.001176	-1.78%	0.001322	+10.44%	0.0594	✗	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.00121	-2.00%	0.001241	+0.49%	0.0239	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001227	-2.10%	0.001251	-0.16%	0.0357	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.001242	-2.02%	0.001239	-2.29%	0.0361	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.001286	-2.37%	0.001228	-6.76%	0.1336	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.001196	-1.99%	0.001177	-3.52%	0.0439	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001163	-1.58%	0.001182	+0.00%	0.0752	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.001168	-1.31%	0.001197	+1.10%	0.0710	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.001157	-0.82%	0.001235	+5.83%	0.0130	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.001163	-0.72%	0.001253	+7.00%	0.0278	✗	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001195	-0.70%	0.001268	+5.40%	0.0018	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.001173	+0.36%	0.001317	+12.66%	0.0814	✓	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001199	+0.63%	0.00122	+2.43%	0.0318	✗	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001249	+0.28%	0.001182	-5.14%	0.0714	✗	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.001328	-0.39%	0.001184	-11.18%	0.1246	✓	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001434	-1.63%	0.001167	-19.96%	0.1764	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.001486	-1.66%	0.001171	-22.50%	0.1888	✓	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.001497	-1.68%	0.001203	-21.01%	0.1828	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.001515	-1.63%	0.001169	-24.09%	0.1940	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.001498	-1.50%	0.001191	-21.70%	0.1983	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.001553	-1.78%	0.001246	-21.19%	0.1780	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.001551	-1.60%	0.001333	-15.42%	0.0842	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.00173	-2.19%	0.001458	-17.58%	0.1526	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.001745	-2.07%	0.001511	-15.21%	0.1449	✓	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001813	-1.85%	0.001523	-17.54%	0.1207	✓	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.001834	-1.76%	0.00154	-17.51%	0.1126	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.001829	-2.05%	0.001521	-18.53%	0.1050	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.001807	-2.17%	0.001581	-14.40%	0.0963	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.00181	-2.19%	0.001576	-14.86%	0.1316	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.001777	-2.14%	0.001769	-2.59%	0.0053	✓	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001782	-2.17%	0.001782	-2.14%	0.0162	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001767	-2.15%	0.001847	+2.27%	0.0175	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.001836	-2.35%	0.001867	-0.69%	0.0860	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001795	-2.31%	0.001867	+1.63%	0.0732	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001891	-2.46%	0.001847	-4.74%	0.0887	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001891	-2.44%	0.001851	-4.49%	0.0672	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.002031	-2.47%	0.001816	-12.82%	0.1065	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.002111	-2.49%	0.001821	-15.89%	0.1099	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.00202	-2.74%	0.001806	-13.05%	0.1382	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.002164	-3.00%	0.00188	-15.73%	0.1345	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002132	-3.26%	0.001837	-16.65%	0.1522	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002399	-3.93%	0.001939	-22.35%	0.2174	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.00234	-4.05%	0.001938	-20.54%	0.2236	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.002242	-3.71%	0.002083	-10.52%	0.1255	✓	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.002245	-3.85%	0.002165	-7.28%	0.1071	✓	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.002093	-3.87%	0.002077	-4.59%	0.0752	✓	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.002296	-4.81%	0.002231	-7.50%	0.0948	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.002439	-5.25%	0.002204	-14.37%	0.0726	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.002293	-5.29%	0.002497	+3.14%	0.1005	✗	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.001789	-2.84%	0.002439	+32.48%	0.3425	✗	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001728	-2.55%	0.002328	+31.30%	0.2903	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.00171	-2.32%	0.002335	+33.35%	0.2874	✗	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.001709	-2.34%	0.002177	+24.40%	0.2931	✗	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.001573	-1.20%	0.002412	+51.51%	0.4929	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.001575	-0.88%	0.002574	+61.99%	0.5089	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.001624	-1.55%	0.002421	+46.82%	0.4271	✗	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.001737	-2.38%	0.001841	+3.49%	0.0711	✗	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.00176	-1.93%	0.001773	-1.23%	0.0052	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.001787	-2.40%	0.001751	-4.37%	0.0108	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001905	-3.43%	0.00175	-11.30%	0.0649	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.001915	-3.61%	0.001592	-19.88%	0.1666	✓	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.001968	-3.94%	0.001589	-22.45%	0.1921	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.001989	-4.14%	0.001649	-20.53%	0.1955	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.001963	-4.19%	0.001779	-13.18%	0.0729	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.001734	+0.03%	0.001795	+3.52%	0.0163	✗	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.001998	-4.38%	0.001831	-12.39%	0.0189	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.002302	-4.96%	0.001973	-18.54%	0.0871	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.002323	-4.93%	0.001987	-18.67%	0.0753	✓	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.002148	-5.04%	0.002049	-9.42%	0.0139	✓	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002316	-5.24%	0.002075	-15.10%	0.0250	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.00286	-6.47%	0.002049	-33.00%	0.2687	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002821	-6.86%	0.001734	-42.75%	0.3765	✓	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.002667	-7.05%	0.00209	-27.15%	0.1492	✓	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002416	-6.59%	0.002422	-6.34%	0.0800	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.001841	-4.59%	0.002443	+26.58%	0.3248	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.001837	-4.95%	0.002262	+17.02%	0.2517	✗	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.002262	-6.65%	0.002444	+0.87%	0.1046	✗	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002369	-7.35%	0.003058	+19.59%	0.2689	✗	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.002691	-11.26%	0.003029	-0.10%	0.1314	✗	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.002003	-7.94%	0.002869	+31.85%	0.3596	✗	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.001568	-4.25%	0.002586	+57.88%	0.4991	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.001245	-2.26%	0.00193	+51.49%	0.4592	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001217	-1.96%	0.001933	+55.76%	0.4999	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001191	-1.58%	0.002423	+100.25%	0.7424	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001231	-1.54%	0.002557	+104.56%	0.7646	✗	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001233	-1.43%	0.003032	+142.37%	0.9339	✗	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.001141	-0.86%	0.002176	+89.05%	0.6864	✗	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001077	-0.95%	0.001638	+50.69%	0.4609	✗	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.001064	-0.88%	0.001274	+18.73%	0.1722	✗	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.001047	-0.53%	0.001241	+17.85%	0.1529	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001058	-0.56%	0.00121	+13.72%	0.1055	✗	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.001274	-1.79%	0.00125	-3.62%	0.0505	✓	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.001399	-2.05%	0.001251	-12.39%	0.1425	✓	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.001414	-2.04%	0.001151	-20.24%	0.2553	✓	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001456	-1.85%	0.001087	-26.70%	0.3064	✓	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.001453	-1.81%	0.001073	-27.50%	0.2795	✓	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.001479	-2.16%	0.001053	-30.36%	0.3342	✓	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001478	-2.23%	0.001064	-29.63%	0.3267	✓	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.001479	-2.28%	0.001297	-14.28%	0.1362	✓	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001464	-2.32%	0.001428	-4.74%	0.0462	✓	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.001456	-2.35%	0.001443	-3.22%	0.0434	✓	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.001464	-2.31%	0.001483	-1.07%	0.0355	✓	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.001494	-2.42%	0.00148	-3.33%	0.0722	✓	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001516	-2.41%	0.001512	-2.64%	0.0362	✓	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001511	-2.38%	0.001512	-2.33%	0.0255	✓	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.001474	-2.26%	0.001513	+0.33%	0.0013	✓	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001483	-2.24%	0.001499	-1.19%	0.0040	✓	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.00151	-2.26%	0.001491	-3.50%	0.0117	✓	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.001471	-2.06%	0.001499	-0.20%	0.0097	✓	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001493	-2.06%	0.001531	+0.46%	0.0390	✗	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001529	-2.12%	0.001553	-0.58%	0.0227	✗	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.00152	-2.01%	0.001548	-0.19%	0.0232	✗	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.001499	-1.81%	0.001508	-1.24%	0.0132	✓	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001452	-0.98%	0.001517	+3.48%	0.0281	✗	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.001562	-1.80%	0.001545	-2.89%	0.0239	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.001545	-1.68%	0.001502	-4.39%	0.0242	✓	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.001669	-2.10%	0.001524	-10.62%	0.1115	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.001724	-2.21%	0.001562	-11.40%	0.1031	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.001738	-2.13%	0.001551	-12.67%	0.0963	✓	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001712	-2.01%	0.001527	-12.59%	0.0943	✓	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.00174	-1.93%	0.001466	-17.36%	0.1061	✓	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.001775	-2.01%	0.001591	-12.15%	0.0559	✓	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.00181	-2.03%	0.001571	-14.94%	0.0985	✓	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.00182	-2.12%	0.001705	-8.28%	0.0267	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001829	-2.11%	0.001763	-5.62%	0.0166	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001864	-2.18%	0.001776	-6.77%	0.0571	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.001909	-2.22%	0.001747	-10.50%	0.0971	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001899	-2.12%	0.001774	-8.56%	0.0721	✓	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.00186	-2.03%	0.001811	-4.58%	0.0132	✓	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.002062	-2.43%	0.001847	-12.59%	0.1242	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.001977	-2.26%	0.001859	-8.11%	0.1087	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.002037	-2.37%	0.001868	-10.49%	0.0872	✓	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.002005	-2.30%	0.001905	-7.16%	0.0348	✓	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002054	-2.38%	0.001952	-7.22%	0.0346	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.002103	-2.47%	0.00194	-10.02%	0.0886	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002184	-2.64%	0.001898	-15.38%	0.1698	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.00208	-2.23%	0.002113	-0.66%	0.0225	✓	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002068	-2.15%	0.002023	-4.26%	0.0021	✓	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.002034	-1.61%	0.002087	+0.97%	0.0096	✓	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.002035	-0.82%	0.002052	+0.00%	0.0540	✓	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.00202	-0.41%	0.002104	+3.75%	0.0184	✓	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.00209	-1.15%	0.002156	+1.99%	0.0165	✓	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.00209	-1.88%	0.002243	+5.31%	0.0819	✗	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002315	-2.69%	0.002127	-10.59%	0.0229	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.002313	-2.63%	0.002113	-11.07%	0.0484	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002441	-2.96%	0.002067	-17.81%	0.0845	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.002431	-2.92%	0.002052	-18.05%	0.0470	✓	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002424	-2.86%	0.002028	-18.72%	0.0715	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.002474	-2.95%	0.002114	-17.07%	0.0062	✓	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.002314	-2.60%	0.00213	-10.35%	0.0360	✗	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002296	-2.53%	0.002379	+0.98%	0.1528	✗	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002369	-2.58%	0.002376	-2.30%	0.1637	✗	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.002382	-2.63%	0.002515	+2.82%	0.1762	✗	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.002284	-2.43%	0.002504	+6.96%	0.1690	✗	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002296	-2.41%	0.002495	+6.03%	0.1838	✗	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.002246	-2.15%	0.002549	+11.07%	0.1455	✗	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.002267	-2.23%	0.002376	+2.46%	0.0717	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.002296	-2.14%	0.002356	+0.43%	0.0084	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.002398	-2.38%	0.002432	-1.02%	0.0206	✓	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.002499	-2.41%	0.002446	-4.49%	0.0474	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002516	-2.42%	0.002341	-9.19%	0.0211	✓	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.002476	-2.35%	0.002353	-7.22%	0.0228	✓	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.00244	-2.28%	0.002295	-8.09%	0.0221	✓	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002504	-2.30%	0.002319	-9.52%	0.0061	✓	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.002488	-2.18%	0.002346	-7.75%	0.0831	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002504	-2.14%	0.002457	-3.99%	0.0720	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002514	-2.11%	0.002561	-0.27%	0.0668	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.002486	-2.09%	0.002578	+1.54%	0.0560	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.002536	-2.11%	0.002536	-2.12%	0.0183	✓	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.002595	-2.13%	0.002497	-5.81%	0.0155	✓	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.00251	-1.61%	0.002563	+0.47%	0.0093	✓	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.002572	-1.65%	0.002543	-2.75%	0.0665	✓	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002714	-2.02%	0.002559	-7.62%	0.1007	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002708	-1.68%	0.002568	-6.75%	0.1210	✓	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.00259	-0.49%	0.002539	-2.46%	0.0713	✓	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.002577	+0.30%	0.002591	+0.86%	0.0469	✗	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.00236	+1.69%	0.002651	+14.22%	0.0928	✓	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.002623	+0.18%	0.002551	-2.56%	0.0103	✓	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002741	-0.51%	0.002615	-5.08%	0.0078	✗	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.002839	-1.04%	0.00277	-3.45%	0.0310	✗	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.002854	-0.78%	0.002754	-4.24%	0.0399	✗	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.00279	+0.55%	0.002603	-6.20%	0.0261	✗	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.003086	-1.30%	0.002569	-17.84%	0.1049	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003646	-1.60%	0.002321	-37.35%	0.3247	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.003565	-1.28%	0.002618	-27.50%	0.1825	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003502	-1.46%	0.002755	-22.48%	0.1525	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.003597	-1.06%	0.002869	-21.09%	0.1277	✓	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.003502	-1.13%	0.002876	-18.80%	0.1095	✓	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003688	-1.41%	0.002775	-25.82%	0.1603	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.003814	-1.53%	0.003127	-19.26%	0.1005	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003907	-1.80%	0.003705	-6.89%	0.0645	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.003834	-1.90%	0.003611	-7.60%	0.1074	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.003707	-1.96%	0.003554	-6.00%	0.1184	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.003712	-1.88%	0.003636	-3.89%	0.1326	✓	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.003728	-1.78%	0.003542	-6.69%	0.1774	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.003707	-1.31%	0.003741	-0.40%	0.1359	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003779	-1.39%	0.003873	+1.07%	0.1183	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.003793	-1.12%	0.003979	+3.73%	0.0843	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.003961	-1.84%	0.003908	-3.15%	0.0747	✓	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.004034	-1.87%	0.003781	-8.03%	0.0892	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.004055	-1.84%	0.003783	-8.42%	0.0888	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.004206	-1.97%	0.003796	-11.54%	0.0653	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.00415	-1.83%	0.003756	-11.14%	0.0242	✓	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.004478	-2.16%	0.003832	-16.28%	0.0841	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.004493	-2.10%	0.003836	-16.41%	0.0594	✓	1.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.004752	0.004646	-2.24%	0.004035	-15.09%	0.1043	✓	1.34

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.