XCH

Chia · native · lstm_s6

token id: #626
symbol: XCH
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-05-06
predictions: 3,642

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

75.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1467

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0261

actual -0.0875

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.5025	1.4788	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	1.512	1.4794	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	1.5675	1.5303	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-18	oos	1.57	1.5318	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-17	oos	1.6035	1.5588	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-16	oos	1.6015	1.558	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-15	oos	1.5965	1.559	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	1.576	1.541	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	1.6315	1.5943	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	1.586	1.5523	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-11	oos	1.5905	1.5583	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-10	oos	1.5935	1.5575	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-09	oos	1.521	1.4792	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	1.469	1.4335	-2.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-07	oos	1.495	1.4588	-2.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-06	oos	1.5675	1.5266	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-05	oos	1.5835	1.5384	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-04	oos	1.5855	1.553	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-03	oos	1.5745	1.5434	-1.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	1.534	1.5078	-1.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	1.599	1.5662	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	1.625	1.585	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	1.593	1.5574	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-28	oos	1.558	1.5174	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.5795	1.5545	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-26	oos	1.649	1.6086	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-25	oos	1.6535	1.6181	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-24	oos	1.63	1.6203	-0.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	1.544	1.5397	-0.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-22	oos	1.626	1.6561	+1.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-21	oos	1.721	1.7486	+1.61%	1.5025	-12.70%	0.1320	✗	0.66
2026-09-20	oos	1.5395	1.4992	-2.61%	1.512	-1.79%	0.0034	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	1.5355	1.4936	-2.73%	1.5675	+2.08%	0.0442	✗	0.55
2026-09-18	oos	1.5045	1.4595	-2.99%	1.57	+4.35%	0.0655	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	1.4215	1.3438	-5.46%	1.6035	+12.80%	0.1459	✗	0.48
2026-09-16	oos	1.3805	1.3207	-4.34%	1.6015	+16.01%	0.1607	✗	0.47
2026-09-15	oos	1.367	1.3089	-4.25%	1.5965	+16.79%	0.1599	✗	0.47
2026-09-14	oos	1.471	1.4027	-4.64%	1.576	+7.14%	0.0989	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	1.479	1.4085	-4.77%	1.6315	+10.31%	0.1140	✗	0.42
2026-09-12	oos	1.494	1.4335	-4.05%	1.586	+6.16%	0.0778	✗	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	1.489	1.4248	-4.31%	1.5905	+6.82%	0.0775	✗	0.40
2026-09-10	oos	1.493	1.4357	-3.84%	1.5935	+6.73%	0.0700	✗	0.43
2026-09-09	oos	1.5705	1.5092	-3.90%	1.521	-3.15%	0.0134	✓	0.40
2026-09-08	oos	1.6185	1.5563	-3.84%	1.469	-9.24%	0.0741	✓	0.40
2026-09-07	oos	1.645	1.5935	-3.13%	1.495	-9.12%	0.0847	✓	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	1.4935	1.4727	-1.39%	1.5675	+4.95%	0.0309	✗	0.50
2026-09-05	oos	1.4495	1.4335	-1.10%	1.5835	+9.24%	0.0638	✗	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	1.416	1.4067	-0.65%	1.5855	+11.97%	0.0719	✗	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	1.441	1.446	+0.34%	1.5745	+9.26%	0.0604	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	1.419	1.406	-0.92%	1.534	+8.10%	0.0363	✗	0.57
2026-09-01	oos	1.448	1.4504	+0.17%	1.599	+10.43%	0.0453	✓	0.57
2026-08-31	oos	1.4235	1.4352	+0.82%	1.625	+14.16%	0.0888	✓	0.57
2026-08-30	oos	1.413	1.4392	+1.85%	1.593	+12.74%	0.0531	✓	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	1.3835	1.4298	+3.35%	1.558	+12.61%	0.0472	✓	0.60
2026-08-28	oos	1.3995	1.4446	+3.22%	1.5795	+12.86%	0.0405	✓	0.60
2026-08-27	oos	1.411	1.479	+4.82%	1.649	+16.87%	0.0782	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	1.3785	1.4377	+4.29%	1.6535	+19.95%	0.1029	✓	0.60
2026-08-25	oos	1.387	1.4484	+4.43%	1.63	+17.52%	0.0733	✓	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	1.388	1.46	+5.18%	1.544	+11.24%	0.0139	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	1.495	1.5616	+4.45%	1.626	+8.76%	0.0318	✓	0.70
2026-08-22	oos	1.506	1.5812	+4.99%	1.721	+14.28%	0.0022	✓	0.71
2026-08-21	oos	1.5215	1.6196	+6.45%	1.5395	+1.18%	0.0757	✗	0.70
2026-08-20	oos	1.4405	1.4404	-0.01%	1.5355	+6.59%	0.0084	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	1.446	1.3973	-3.37%	1.5045	+4.05%	0.0519	✓	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	1.379	1.3152	-4.62%	1.4215	+3.08%	0.0564	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	1.383	1.321	-4.48%	1.3805	-0.18%	0.0957	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	1.3765	1.3093	-4.88%	1.367	-0.69%	0.1137	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	1.328	1.2704	-4.33%	1.471	+10.77%	0.0345	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	1.3045	1.2531	-3.94%	1.479	+13.38%	0.0009	✓	0.83
2026-08-13	oos	1.315	1.2626	-3.98%	1.494	+13.61%	0.0114	✓	0.79
2026-08-12	oos	1.301	1.2552	-3.52%	1.489	+14.45%	0.0089	✓	0.82
2026-08-11	oos	1.3435	1.2956	-3.57%	1.493	+11.13%	0.0106	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	1.373	1.3214	-3.76%	1.5705	+14.38%	0.0198	✓	0.75
2026-08-09	oos	1.333	1.2869	-3.46%	1.6185	+21.42%	0.0797	✗	0.79
2026-08-08	oos	1.4055	1.3511	-3.87%	1.645	+17.04%	0.0401	✗	0.79
2026-08-07	oos	1.3115	1.2776	-2.58%	1.4935	+13.88%	0.0161	✓	0.81
2026-08-06	oos	1.364	1.3267	-2.73%	1.4495	+6.27%	0.0885	✓	0.82
2026-08-05	oos	1.4595	1.4105	-3.36%	1.416	-2.98%	0.1693	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	1.5125	1.4526	-3.96%	1.441	-4.73%	0.2022	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	1.5395	1.4711	-4.44%	1.419	-7.83%	0.1984	✓	0.82
2026-08-02	oos	1.73	1.6273	-5.94%	1.448	-16.30%	0.2804	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	1.456	1.3946	-4.22%	1.4235	-2.23%	0.1446	✓	0.74
2026-07-31	oos	1.416	1.3621	-3.81%	1.413	-0.21%	0.1189	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	1.4355	1.3877	-3.33%	1.3835	-3.62%	0.1434	✓	0.74
2026-07-29	oos	1.3685	1.3245	-3.21%	1.3995	+2.27%	0.0775	✓	0.67
2026-07-28	oos	1.334	1.2931	-3.07%	1.411	+5.77%	0.0656	✓	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	1.2615	1.2292	-2.56%	1.3785	+9.27%	0.0270	✓	0.66
2026-07-26	oos	1.32	1.2946	-1.92%	1.387	+5.08%	0.0476	✓	0.63
2026-07-25	oos	1.2785	1.2505	-2.19%	1.388	+8.56%	0.0253	✓	0.63
2026-07-24	oos	1.156	1.1356	-1.76%	1.495	+29.33%	0.1568	✗	0.61
2026-07-23	oos	1.1585	1.1354	-2.00%	1.506	+30.00%	0.1788	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	1.2395	1.2166	-1.85%	1.5215	+22.75%	0.1215	✗	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	1.2055	1.1891	-1.36%	1.4405	+19.49%	0.1358	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	1.206	1.1838	-1.84%	1.446	+19.90%	0.1598	✗	0.66
2026-07-19	oos	1.2805	1.254	-2.07%	1.379	+7.69%	0.0951	✗	0.70
2026-07-18	oos	1.3235	1.298	-1.93%	1.383	+4.50%	0.0670	✗	0.71
2026-07-17	oos	1.367	1.3346	-2.37%	1.3765	+0.69%	0.0431	✗	0.73
2026-07-16	oos	1.3915	1.3562	-2.53%	1.328	-4.56%	0.0129	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	1.4815	1.4428	-2.62%	1.3045	-11.95%	0.0830	✓	0.65
2026-07-14	oos	1.4045	1.3673	-2.65%	1.315	-6.37%	0.0228	✓	0.66
2026-07-13	oos	1.4	1.3522	-3.41%	1.301	-7.07%	0.0514	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	1.427	1.3792	-3.35%	1.3435	-5.85%	0.0239	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	1.4505	1.3994	-3.52%	1.373	-5.34%	0.0205	✓	0.66
2026-07-10	oos	1.4865	1.4334	-3.57%	1.333	-10.33%	0.0801	✓	0.67
2026-07-09	oos	1.537	1.4702	-4.35%	1.4055	-8.56%	0.0636	✓	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	1.5135	1.4447	-4.54%	1.3115	-13.35%	0.1239	✓	0.65
2026-07-07	oos	1.5565	1.4982	-3.75%	1.364	-12.37%	0.1035	✓	0.66
2026-07-06	oos	1.6195	1.5595	-3.71%	1.4595	-9.88%	0.0723	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	1.601	1.544	-3.56%	1.5125	-5.53%	0.0254	✓	0.66
2026-07-04	oos	1.656	1.5981	-3.50%	1.5395	-7.04%	0.0414	✓	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	1.6795	1.6189	-3.61%	1.73	+3.01%	0.0560	✗	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	1.7305	1.6663	-3.71%	1.456	-15.86%	0.1490	✓	0.69
2026-07-01	oos	1.753	1.6802	-4.15%	1.416	-19.22%	0.2040	✓	0.71
2026-06-30	oos	1.7225	1.658	-3.74%	1.4355	-16.66%	0.2160	✓	0.71
2026-06-29	oos	1.5645	1.5143	-3.21%	1.3685	-12.53%	0.1499	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	1.617	1.5643	-3.26%	1.334	-17.50%	0.2170	✓	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	1.611	1.5694	-2.59%	1.2615	-21.69%	0.2677	✓	0.81
2026-06-26	oos	1.692	1.6457	-2.74%	1.32	-21.99%	0.2897	✓	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	1.705	1.6571	-2.81%	1.2785	-25.01%	0.3197	✓	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	1.706	1.6595	-2.73%	1.156	-32.24%	0.4048	✓	0.87
2026-06-23	oos	1.813	1.7488	-3.54%	1.1585	-36.10%	0.4427	✓	0.82
2026-06-22	oos	1.902	1.8222	-4.20%	1.2395	-34.83%	0.4118	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	1.9005	1.8244	-4.01%	1.2055	-36.57%	0.4550	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	1.889	1.8124	-4.05%	1.206	-36.16%	0.4200	✓	0.83
2026-06-19	oos	1.9255	1.8451	-4.17%	1.2805	-33.50%	0.3810	✓	0.83
2026-06-18	oos	1.999	1.9065	-4.62%	1.3235	-33.79%	0.3903	✓	0.84
2026-06-17	oos	2.022	1.9236	-4.87%	1.367	-32.39%	0.3343	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	2.0645	1.9586	-5.13%	1.3915	-32.60%	0.3176	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	2.088	1.9831	-5.02%	1.4815	-29.05%	0.2697	✓	0.92
2026-06-14	oos	2.1335	2.0169	-5.46%	1.4045	-34.17%	0.3520	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	2.164	2.0397	-5.75%	1.4	-35.30%	0.3436	✓	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	2.022	1.9398	-4.06%	1.427	-29.43%	0.3100	✓	0.93
2026-06-11	oos	2.037	1.9572	-3.92%	1.4505	-28.79%	0.3027	✓	0.94
2026-06-10	oos	2.0015	1.9281	-3.67%	1.4865	-25.73%	0.3008	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	2.0585	1.9974	-2.97%	1.537	-25.33%	0.2847	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	2.193	2.0989	-4.29%	1.5135	-30.98%	0.3147	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	2.216	2.1328	-3.75%	1.5565	-29.76%	0.3153	✓	0.92
2026-06-06	oos	2.026	1.9808	-2.23%	1.6195	-20.06%	0.2425	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	2.179	2.1257	-2.45%	1.601	-26.53%	0.3159	✓	0.79
2026-06-04	oos	2.201	2.1339	-3.05%	1.656	-24.76%	0.2441	✓	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	2.203	2.148	-2.50%	1.6795	-23.76%	0.2256	✓	0.85
2026-06-02	oos	2.25	2.1775	-3.22%	1.7305	-23.09%	0.1584	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	2.469	2.3574	-4.52%	1.753	-29.00%	0.1500	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	2.3375	2.2633	-3.17%	1.7225	-26.31%	0.0636	✓	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	2.356	2.2824	-3.12%	1.5645	-33.60%	0.1976	✓	0.88
2026-05-29	oos	2.447	2.3697	-3.16%	1.617	-33.92%	0.1933	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	2.33	2.2734	-2.43%	1.611	-30.86%	0.1596	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	2.5915	2.4986	-3.58%	1.692	-34.71%	0.2082	✓	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	2.707	2.6007	-3.93%	1.705	-37.02%	0.2237	✓	0.83
2026-05-25	oos	2.9605	2.8215	-4.70%	1.706	-42.37%	0.3018	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	2.755	2.6418	-4.11%	1.813	-34.19%	0.1977	✓	0.87
2026-05-23	oos	2.946	2.808	-4.68%	1.902	-35.44%	0.2295	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	2.939	2.8088	-4.43%	1.9005	-35.34%	0.2348	✓	0.88
2026-05-21	oos	3.3705	3.1849	-5.51%	1.889	-43.95%	0.3709	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	3.6355	3.3961	-6.59%	1.9255	-47.04%	0.4074	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	3.3495	3.1415	-6.21%	1.999	-40.32%	0.2959	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	2.8305	2.7082	-4.32%	2.022	-28.56%	0.1465	✓	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	2.6575	2.5667	-3.42%	2.0645	-22.31%	0.0812	✓	0.83
2026-05-16	oos	2.614	2.5366	-2.96%	2.088	-20.12%	0.0579	✓	0.83
2026-05-15	oos	2.3905	2.337	-2.24%	2.1335	-10.75%	0.0709	✗	0.88
2026-05-14	oos	2.5435	2.4746	-2.71%	2.164	-14.92%	0.0656	✗	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	2.524	2.4265	-3.86%	2.022	-19.89%	0.0114	✓	0.87
2026-05-12	oos	2.214	2.1596	-2.46%	2.037	-7.99%	0.1657	✗	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	2.32	2.284	-1.55%	2.0015	-13.73%	0.1348	✗	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	2.433	2.4082	-1.02%	2.0585	-15.39%	0.1070	✗	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	2.34	2.3172	-0.98%	2.193	-6.28%	0.1697	✗	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	2.404	2.3632	-1.70%	2.216	-7.82%	0.1480	✗	0.90
2026-05-07	oos	2.1825	2.1634	-0.87%	2.026	-7.17%	0.1735	✗	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	2.1115	2.1148	+0.16%	2.179	+3.20%	0.2788	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	2.1215	2.1081	-0.63%	2.201	+3.75%	0.2246	✗	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	2.115	2.1008	-0.67%	2.203	+4.16%	0.2133	✗	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	2.138	2.1042	-1.58%	2.25	+5.24%	0.1904	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	2.148	2.1074	-1.89%	2.469	+14.94%	0.2321	✗	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	2.174	2.128	-2.12%	2.3375	+7.52%	0.1402	✗	0.75
2026-04-30	oos	2.2595	2.1929	-2.95%	2.356	+4.27%	0.0977	✗	0.77
2026-04-29	oos	2.269	2.1859	-3.66%	2.447	+7.84%	0.1375	✗	0.77
2026-04-28	oos	2.262	2.2011	-2.69%	2.33	+3.01%	0.0855	✗	0.76
2026-04-27	oos	2.2705	2.2504	-0.89%	2.5915	+14.14%	0.1718	✗	0.76
2026-04-26	oos	2.366	2.3641	-0.08%	2.707	+14.41%	0.1635	✗	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	2.354	2.3675	+0.57%	2.9605	+25.76%	0.2275	✓	0.77
2026-04-24	oos	2.456	2.5026	+1.90%	2.755	+12.17%	0.1010	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	2.5985	2.6798	+3.13%	2.946	+13.37%	0.1110	✓	0.77
2026-04-22	oos	2.781	2.8601	+2.84%	2.939	+5.68%	0.0551	✓	0.77
2026-04-21	oos	2.5855	2.5807	-0.18%	3.3705	+30.36%	0.2552	✗	0.76
2026-04-20	oos	2.4755	2.4651	-0.42%	3.6355	+46.86%	0.3727	✗	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	2.393	2.3458	-1.97%	3.3495	+39.97%	0.3274	✗	0.74
2026-04-18	oos	2.4445	2.4391	-0.22%	2.8305	+15.79%	0.1371	✗	0.74
2026-04-17	oos	2.288	2.336	+2.10%	2.6575	+16.15%	0.1259	✓	0.76
2026-04-16	oos	2.315	2.3027	-0.53%	2.614	+12.92%	0.0974	✗	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	2.1945	2.186	-0.39%	2.3905	+8.93%	0.0477	✗	0.76
2026-04-14	oos	2.156	2.1487	-0.34%	2.5435	+17.97%	0.1009	✗	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	2.2415	2.2384	-0.14%	2.524	+12.60%	0.0722	✗	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	2.2345	2.2009	-1.50%	2.214	-0.92%	0.0955	✓	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	2.3175	2.2825	-1.51%	2.32	+0.11%	0.0711	✓	0.78
2026-04-10	oos	2.278	2.254	-1.05%	2.433	+6.80%	0.0173	✓	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	2.3985	2.3629	-1.48%	2.34	-2.44%	0.1030	✓	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	2.3195	2.2825	-1.60%	2.404	+3.64%	0.0440	✓	0.80
2026-04-07	oos	2.3875	2.3499	-1.57%	2.1825	-8.59%	0.1586	✓	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	2.316	2.2693	-2.02%	2.1115	-8.83%	0.2039	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	2.3695	2.3153	-2.29%	2.1215	-10.47%	0.2124	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	2.3455	2.2911	-2.32%	2.115	-9.83%	0.2192	✓	0.81
2026-04-03	oos	2.391	2.3288	-2.60%	2.138	-10.58%	0.2158	✓	0.82
2026-04-02	oos	2.4115	2.3458	-2.73%	2.148	-10.93%	0.2201	✓	0.81
2026-04-01	oos	2.504	2.4474	-2.26%	2.174	-13.18%	0.2311	✓	0.81
2026-03-31	oos	2.606	2.5505	-2.13%	2.2595	-13.30%	0.2128	✓	0.82
2026-03-30	oos	2.6065	2.5526	-2.07%	2.269	-12.95%	0.2221	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	2.6315	2.5769	-2.08%	2.262	-14.04%	0.2504	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	2.673	2.6213	-1.93%	2.2705	-15.06%	0.2706	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	2.605	2.5617	-1.66%	2.366	-9.17%	0.2194	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	2.8185	2.754	-2.29%	2.354	-16.48%	0.2557	✓	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	2.842	2.7846	-2.02%	2.456	-13.58%	0.1936	✓	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	2.818	2.7614	-2.01%	2.5985	-7.79%	0.1464	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	2.7335	2.6848	-1.78%	2.781	+1.74%	0.0459	✓	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	2.6205	2.5567	-2.43%	2.5855	-1.34%	0.0852	✓	0.82
2026-03-21	oos	2.6535	2.5853	-2.57%	2.4755	-6.71%	0.1220	✓	0.82
2026-03-20	oos	2.6915	2.633	-2.17%	2.393	-11.09%	0.1333	✓	0.82
2026-03-19	oos	2.731	2.6594	-2.62%	2.4445	-10.49%	0.1499	✓	0.82
2026-03-18	oos	2.837	2.7763	-2.14%	2.288	-19.35%	0.2600	✓	0.84
2026-03-17	oos	3.1505	3.0818	-2.18%	2.315	-26.52%	0.2995	✓	0.81
2026-03-16	oos	2.982	2.9547	-0.92%	2.1945	-26.41%	0.2969	✓	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	2.779	2.7309	-1.73%	2.156	-22.42%	0.2512	✓	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	2.734	2.6699	-2.34%	2.2415	-18.01%	0.2105	✓	0.81
2026-03-13	oos	2.655	2.5836	-2.69%	2.2345	-15.84%	0.1430	✓	0.81
2026-03-12	oos	2.6	2.5472	-2.03%	2.3175	-10.87%	0.1232	✓	0.81
2026-03-11	oos	2.569	2.5224	-1.81%	2.278	-11.33%	0.1334	✓	0.81
2026-03-10	oos	2.5265	2.5046	-0.87%	2.3985	-5.07%	0.0641	✓	0.80
2026-03-09	oos	2.5375	2.5212	-0.64%	2.3195	-8.59%	0.1141	✓	0.81
2026-03-08	oos	2.558	2.5337	-0.95%	2.3875	-6.67%	0.1314	✓	0.83
2026-03-07	oos	2.5055	2.4875	-0.72%	2.316	-7.56%	0.0912	✓	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	2.6015	2.5785	-0.88%	2.3695	-8.92%	0.0955	✓	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	2.74	2.7187	-0.78%	2.3455	-14.40%	0.1044	✓	0.83
2026-03-04	oos	2.873	2.8441	-1.01%	2.391	-16.78%	0.1056	✓	0.83
2026-03-03	oos	2.694	2.6602	-1.25%	2.4115	-10.49%	0.0808	✓	0.81
2026-03-02	oos	2.6565	2.6156	-1.54%	2.504	-5.74%	0.0352	✓	0.80
2026-03-01	oos	2.6205	2.5935	-1.03%	2.606	-0.55%	0.0266	✓	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	2.7305	2.6973	-1.21%	2.6065	-4.54%	0.0313	✓	0.87
2026-02-27	oos	2.6915	2.6605	-1.15%	2.6315	-2.23%	0.0122	✓	0.87
2026-02-26	oos	2.6535	2.6377	-0.59%	2.673	+0.73%	0.0286	✗	0.88
2026-02-25	oos	2.631	2.6064	-0.94%	2.605	-0.99%	0.0209	✗	0.88
2026-02-24	oos	2.4055	2.3654	-1.67%	2.8185	+17.17%	0.1160	✗	0.84
2026-02-23	oos	2.605	2.5638	-1.58%	2.842	+9.10%	0.0224	✗	0.82
2026-02-22	oos	2.7395	2.6849	-1.99%	2.818	+2.87%	0.0139	✓	0.82
2026-02-21	oos	2.665	2.6245	-1.52%	2.7335	+2.57%	0.0063	✓	0.82
2026-02-20	oos	2.656	2.6044	-1.94%	2.6205	-1.34%	0.0078	✓	0.81
2026-02-19	oos	2.6135	2.5745	-1.49%	2.6535	+1.53%	0.0071	✓	0.81
2026-02-18	oos	2.717	2.6617	-2.03%	2.6915	-0.94%	0.0378	✓	0.82
2026-02-17	oos	2.919	2.8728	-1.58%	2.731	-6.44%	0.0790	✓	0.79
2026-02-16	oos	2.927	2.889	-1.30%	2.837	-3.07%	0.0455	✓	0.80
2026-02-15	oos	2.9665	2.9317	-1.17%	3.1505	+6.20%	0.0143	✗	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	3.097	3.0541	-1.39%	2.982	-3.71%	0.0802	✓	0.80
2026-02-13	oos	2.907	2.8754	-1.09%	2.779	-4.40%	0.0787	✓	0.79
2026-02-12	oos	2.814	2.7803	-1.20%	2.734	-2.84%	0.0734	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	2.993	2.9529	-1.34%	2.655	-11.29%	0.1485	✓	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	3.068	3.0075	-1.97%	2.6	-15.25%	0.1639	✓	0.74
2026-02-09	oos	3.0715	3.021	-1.65%	2.569	-16.36%	0.1632	✓	0.74
2026-02-08	oos	3.255	3.1851	-2.15%	2.5265	-22.38%	0.2282	✓	0.76
2026-02-07	oos	3.4235	3.3503	-2.14%	2.5375	-25.88%	0.2690	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	3.331	3.2583	-2.18%	2.558	-23.21%	0.1869	✓	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	3.074	3.0269	-1.53%	2.5055	-18.49%	0.2472	✓	0.85
2026-02-04	oos	3.346	3.2568	-2.67%	2.6015	-22.25%	0.1447	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	3.36	3.2606	-2.96%	2.74	-18.45%	0.0999	✓	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	3.4535	3.3233	-3.77%	2.873	-16.81%	0.0540	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	3.429	3.3262	-3.00%	2.694	-21.43%	0.0691	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	3.547	3.4417	-2.97%	2.6565	-25.11%	0.0964	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	3.751	3.5998	-4.03%	2.6205	-30.14%	0.0059	✓	1.27
2026-01-29	oos	3.924	3.7829	-3.59%	2.7305	-30.42%	0.0287	✓	1.28
2026-01-28	oos	4.0465	3.8829	-4.04%	2.6915	-33.49%	0.0338	✓	1.32
2026-01-27	oos	4.2235	4.0617	-3.83%	2.6535	-37.17%	0.0545	✓	1.34
2026-01-26	oos	4.199	4.0648	-3.20%	2.631	-37.34%	0.0928	✓	1.31
2026-01-25	oos	4.0075	3.8887	-2.97%	2.4055	-39.98%	0.0887	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	4.211	4.0942	-2.77%	2.605	-38.14%	0.0370	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	4.183	4.0805	-2.45%	2.7395	-34.51%	0.0341	✓	1.30
2026-01-22	oos	4.332	4.2218	-2.54%	2.665	-38.48%	0.1036	✓	1.30
2026-01-21	oos	4.5925	4.4404	-3.31%	2.656	-42.17%	0.1604	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	4.52	4.4041	-2.56%	2.6135	-42.18%	0.1688	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	4.6155	4.5298	-1.86%	2.717	-41.13%	0.0701	✓	1.33
2026-01-18	oos	4.9	4.8076	-1.88%	2.919	-40.43%	0.0670	✓	1.32
2026-01-17	oos	4.973	4.8803	-1.86%	2.927	-41.14%	0.0896	✓	1.31
2026-01-16	oos	4.9755	4.8873	-1.77%	2.9665	-40.38%	0.0700	✓	1.31
2026-01-15	oos	5.1055	5.0597	-0.90%	3.097	-39.34%	0.0800	✓	1.31
2026-01-14	oos	5.4265	5.425	-0.03%	2.907	-46.43%	0.1771	✓	1.30
2026-01-13	oos	5.465	5.4397	-0.46%	2.814	-48.51%	0.1860	✓	1.30
2026-01-12	oos	5.2145	5.1436	-1.36%	2.993	-42.60%	0.1408	✓	1.30
2026-01-11	oos	5.5495	5.4209	-2.32%	3.068	-44.72%	0.2039	✓	1.31
2026-01-10	oos	5.079	4.986	-1.83%	3.0715	-39.53%	0.1558	✓	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	5.2175	5.1424	-1.44%	3.255	-37.61%	0.1160	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	4.982	4.8834	-1.98%	3.4235	-31.28%	0.0010	✓	1.30
2026-01-07	oos	5.072	4.9613	-2.18%	3.331	-34.33%	0.0204	✓	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	5.076	4.9929	-1.64%	3.074	-39.44%	0.1752	✗	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	5.218	5.1314	-1.66%	3.346	-35.88%	0.0137	✓	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	4.747	4.6409	-2.24%	3.36	-29.22%	0.0197	✓	1.60
2026-01-03	oos	4.73	4.6058	-2.63%	3.4535	-26.99%	0.0610	✓	1.61
2026-01-02	oos	4.828	4.6743	-3.18%	3.429	-28.98%	0.0567	✓	1.61
2026-01-01	oos	4.732	4.5855	-3.10%	3.547	-25.04%	0.0623	✓	1.61
2025-12-31	oos	4.5695	4.4238	-3.19%	3.751	-17.91%	0.1021	✓	1.59
2025-12-30	oos	4.6425	4.5092	-2.87%	3.924	-15.48%	0.0675	✓	1.59
2025-12-29	oos	4.6655	4.5426	-2.63%	4.0465	-13.27%	0.1527	✓	1.59
2025-12-28	oos	4.8	4.6801	-2.50%	4.2235	-12.01%	0.1249	✓	1.59
2025-12-27	oos	5.0015	4.8089	-3.85%	4.199	-16.05%	0.1435	✓	1.57
2025-12-26	oos	4.573	4.4613	-2.44%	4.0075	-12.37%	0.0943	✓	1.54
2025-12-25	oos	4.7875	4.6408	-3.07%	4.211	-12.04%	0.1306	✓	1.54
2025-12-24	oos	4.957	4.7585	-4.01%	4.183	-15.61%	0.1615	✓	1.55
2025-12-23	oos	4.8195	4.6569	-3.37%	4.332	-10.12%	0.1078	✓	1.54
2025-12-22	oos	4.836	4.695	-2.92%	4.5925	-5.04%	0.0361	✓	1.54
2025-12-21	oos	4.821	4.6874	-2.77%	4.52	-6.24%	0.0306	✓	1.54
2025-12-20	oos	4.882	4.7312	-3.09%	4.6155	-5.46%	0.0974	✓	1.55
2025-12-19	oos	4.9075	4.7468	-3.28%	4.9	-0.15%	0.0628	✓	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	4.5095	4.3999	-2.43%	4.973	+10.28%	0.0403	✓	1.52
2025-12-17	oos	4.5915	4.4505	-3.07%	4.9755	+8.36%	0.0443	✓	1.52
2025-12-16	oos	4.8285	4.6525	-3.64%	5.1055	+5.74%	0.0349	✓	1.52
2025-12-15	oos	4.872	4.6644	-4.26%	5.4265	+11.38%	0.0246	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	5.046	4.7896	-5.08%	5.465	+8.30%	0.0127	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	5.239	4.9571	-5.38%	5.2145	-0.47%	0.0350	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	5.2955	5.0028	-5.53%	5.5495	+4.80%	0.0937	✗	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	5.487	5.168	-5.81%	5.079	-7.44%	0.0187	✓	1.52
2025-12-10	oos	5.652	5.2836	-6.52%	5.2175	-7.69%	0.0129	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	5.751	5.3743	-6.55%	4.982	-13.37%	0.0481	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	5.4915	5.1426	-6.35%	5.072	-7.64%	0.0243	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	5.517	5.1597	-6.48%	5.076	-7.99%	0.0711	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	5.589	5.205	-6.87%	5.218	-6.64%	0.0741	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	5.5295	5.1437	-6.98%	4.747	-14.15%	0.1164	✓	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	5.752	5.3396	-7.17%	4.73	-17.77%	0.0962	✓	1.53
2025-12-03	oos	5.891	5.4786	-7.00%	4.828	-18.04%	0.0681	✓	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	6.0995	5.6314	-7.67%	4.732	-22.42%	0.1293	✓	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	5.5045	5.2109	-5.33%	4.5695	-16.99%	0.1529	✓	1.54
2025-11-30	oos	5.899	5.5202	-6.42%	4.6425	-21.30%	0.1394	✓	1.53
2025-11-29	oos	5.9695	5.6013	-6.17%	4.6655	-21.84%	0.1191	✓	1.52
2025-11-28	oos	5.8865	5.5547	-5.64%	4.8	-18.46%	0.0944	✓	1.52
2025-11-27	oos	5.9625	5.6478	-5.28%	5.0015	-16.12%	0.0620	✓	1.52
2025-11-26	oos	6.1045	5.7845	-5.24%	4.573	-25.09%	0.1831	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	6.1065	5.834	-4.46%	4.7875	-21.60%	0.1950	✓	1.51
2025-11-24	oos	6.259	5.9521	-4.90%	4.957	-20.80%	0.1716	✓	1.51
2025-11-23	oos	6.237	5.9939	-3.90%	4.8195	-22.73%	0.2291	✓	1.54
2025-11-22	oos	6.247	6.0215	-3.61%	4.836	-22.59%	0.2902	✓	1.59
2025-11-21	oos	6.4365	6.1839	-3.92%	4.821	-25.10%	0.3141	✓	1.58
2025-11-20	oos	6.7905	6.5265	-3.89%	4.882	-28.11%	0.3223	✓	1.56
2025-11-19	oos	6.9525	6.687	-3.82%	4.9075	-29.41%	0.2481	✓	1.63
2025-11-18	oos	7.2165	6.9316	-3.95%	4.5095	-37.51%	0.2938	✓	1.63
2025-11-17	oos	7.2635	7.0207	-3.34%	4.5915	-36.79%	0.3169	✓	1.63
2025-11-16	oos	7.48	7.235	-3.27%	4.8285	-35.45%	0.2923	✓	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	7.709	7.4783	-2.99%	4.872	-36.80%	0.2670	✓	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	7.9205	7.6767	-3.08%	5.046	-36.29%	0.3069	✓	1.63
2025-11-13	oos	7.9425	7.6573	-3.59%	5.239	-34.04%	0.2073	✓	1.75
2025-11-12	oos	8.0225	7.686	-4.19%	5.2955	-33.99%	0.1634	✓	1.76
2025-11-11	oos	8.044	7.7058	-4.20%	5.487	-31.79%	0.1553	✓	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	8.6855	8.2701	-4.78%	5.652	-34.93%	0.1444	✓	1.67
2025-11-09	oos	9.31	8.7202	-6.34%	5.751	-38.23%	0.2066	✓	1.72
2025-11-08	oos	7.776	7.47	-3.93%	5.4915	-29.38%	0.1115	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	8.262	7.7909	-5.70%	5.517	-33.22%	0.1327	✓	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	6.3575	6.2406	-1.84%	5.589	-12.09%	0.0735	✗	1.45
2025-11-05	oos	5.9865	5.8786	-1.80%	5.5295	-7.63%	0.1669	✗	1.51
2025-11-04	oos	5.8015	5.7286	-1.26%	5.752	-0.85%	0.1517	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	6.351	6.2521	-1.56%	5.891	-7.24%	0.1373	✗	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	6.8345	6.6975	-2.00%	6.0995	-10.75%	0.1904	✗	1.49
2025-11-01	oos	6.798	6.6752	-1.81%	5.5045	-19.03%	0.1714	✗	1.50
2025-10-31	oos	6.3335	6.2393	-1.49%	5.899	-6.86%	0.2296	✗	1.48
2025-10-30	oos	6.438	6.3774	-0.94%	5.9695	-7.28%	0.1965	✗	1.49
2025-10-29	oos	6.7925	6.7161	-1.12%	5.8865	-13.34%	0.1474	✗	1.46
2025-10-28	oos	6.761	6.6913	-1.03%	5.9625	-11.81%	0.2029	✗	1.50
2025-10-27	oos	6.979	6.8969	-1.18%	6.1045	-12.53%	0.2250	✗	1.50
2025-10-26	oos	6.848	6.7632	-1.24%	6.1065	-10.83%	0.3046	✗	1.50
2025-10-25	oos	6.5785	6.5035	-1.14%	6.259	-4.86%	0.3176	✗	1.51
2025-10-24	oos	6.7495	6.6533	-1.43%	6.237	-7.59%	0.3098	✗	1.52
2025-10-23	oos	6.898	6.7665	-1.91%	6.247	-9.44%	0.3222	✗	1.53
2025-10-22	oos	6.8625	6.7262	-1.99%	6.4365	-6.21%	0.3198	✗	1.55
2025-10-21	oos	6.979	6.8077	-2.45%	6.7905	-2.70%	0.3465	✗	1.55
2025-10-20	oos	7.1875	7.0325	-2.16%	6.9525	-3.27%	0.2865	✗	1.57
2025-10-19	oos	7.2525	7.1275	-1.72%	7.2165	-0.50%	0.2553	✗	1.55
2025-10-18	oos	7.099	6.9812	-1.66%	7.2635	+2.32%	0.2745	✗	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	7.1315	7.056	-1.06%	7.48	+4.89%	0.2473	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	7.506	7.3939	-1.49%	7.709	+2.70%	0.2320	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	7.5005	7.3866	-1.52%	7.9205	+5.60%	0.3140	✗	1.53
2025-10-14	oos	7.594	7.4878	-1.40%	7.9425	+4.59%	0.2553	✗	1.55
2025-10-13	oos	7.798	7.6963	-1.30%	8.0225	+2.88%	0.2392	✗	1.57
2025-10-12	oos	7.799	7.6665	-1.70%	8.044	+3.14%	0.2194	✗	1.55
2025-10-11	oos	7.0715	6.9086	-2.30%	8.6855	+22.82%	0.2937	✗	1.47
2025-10-10	oos	6.5135	6.3877	-1.93%	9.31	+42.93%	0.4979	✗	1.59
2025-10-09	oos	8.6805	8.5707	-1.27%	7.776	-10.42%	0.0778	✗	1.01
2025-10-08	oos	8.906	8.8467	-0.67%	8.262	-7.23%	0.1148	✗	1.03
2025-10-07	oos	8.751	8.6562	-1.08%	6.3575	-27.35%	0.1348	✓	0.96
2025-10-06	oos	8.952	9.0167	+0.72%	5.9865	-33.13%	0.2242	✗	1.01
2025-10-05	oos	8.6195	8.6169	-0.03%	5.8015	-32.69%	0.1989	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	8.5425	8.4665	-0.89%	6.351	-25.65%	0.1484	✓	1.00
2025-10-03	oos	8.7265	8.5995	-1.46%	6.8345	-21.68%	0.1284	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	8.787	8.6345	-1.74%	6.798	-22.64%	0.1465	✓	1.01
2025-10-01	oos	8.6355	8.4347	-2.33%	6.3335	-26.66%	0.2051	✓	1.02
2025-09-30	oos	8.1965	7.9818	-2.62%	6.438	-21.45%	0.1638	✓	0.99
2025-09-29	oos	8.4545	8.2041	-2.96%	6.7925	-19.66%	0.1494	✓	1.02
2025-09-28	oos	8.698	8.3872	-3.57%	6.761	-22.27%	0.2224	✓	1.08
2025-09-27	oos	8.565	8.234	-3.86%	6.979	-18.52%	0.2081	✓	1.09
2025-09-26	oos	8.7575	8.4071	-4.00%	6.848	-21.80%	0.2520	✓	1.08
2025-09-25	oos	8.533	8.2107	-3.78%	6.5785	-22.91%	0.2473	✓	1.08
2025-09-24	oos	9.082	8.7117	-4.08%	6.7495	-25.68%	0.2338	✓	1.04
2025-09-23	oos	9.0605	8.6597	-4.42%	6.898	-23.87%	0.2095	✓	1.05
2025-09-22	oos	9.1175	8.6818	-4.78%	6.8625	-24.73%	0.1871	✓	1.03
2025-09-21	oos	9.628	9.1809	-4.64%	6.979	-27.51%	0.2116	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	9.532	9.0916	-4.62%	7.1875	-24.60%	0.1880	✓	1.03
2025-09-19	oos	9.596	9.1348	-4.81%	7.2525	-24.42%	0.1649	✓	1.05
2025-09-18	oos	9.864	9.3705	-5.00%	7.099	-28.03%	0.1837	✓	1.06
2025-09-17	oos	9.817	9.3568	-4.69%	7.1315	-27.36%	0.1767	✓	1.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.