PROLOGUE
Prologue · Robinhood · lstm_s6
- token id
- #747
- symbol
- PROLOGUE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-30
- predictions
- 132
Track record at +1d
assessed
43
of 44 predictions shown
direction hit
37.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1157
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
+0.0005
actual -0.0441
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001409 | 0.00142 | +0.71% | – | pending | – | – | 3.56 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.001988 | 0.002003 | +0.73% | 0.001409 | -29.10% | 0.3410 | ✗ | 3.49 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003266 | 0.003285 | +0.59% | 0.001988 | -39.13% | 0.5538 | ✗ | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003638 | 0.003656 | +0.50% | 0.003266 | -10.21% | 0.1048 | ✗ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003952 | 0.00397 | +0.44% | 0.003638 | -7.96% | 0.1170 | ✗ | 3.88 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.004829 | 0.004834 | +0.08% | 0.003952 | -18.17% | 0.1957 | ✗ | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.005071 | 0.005072 | +0.02% | 0.004829 | -4.76% | 0.0197 | ✗ | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004854 | 0.004864 | +0.21% | 0.005071 | +4.47% | 0.0155 | ✓ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004327 | 0.004348 | +0.48% | 0.004854 | +12.18% | 0.1862 | ✓ | 4.08 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004935 | 0.004951 | +0.33% | 0.004327 | -12.32% | 0.2048 | ✗ | 4.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005705 | 0.005707 | +0.02% | 0.004935 | -13.50% | 0.0471 | ✗ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.004834 | 0.004857 | +0.48% | 0.005705 | +18.04% | 0.1231 | ✓ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.005 | +0.50% | 0.004834 | -2.84% | 0.0521 | ✗ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005437 | 0.005461 | +0.43% | 0.004975 | -8.51% | 0.1367 | ✗ | 4.20 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005456 | 0.005479 | +0.44% | 0.005437 | -0.33% | 0.0752 | ✓ | 4.32 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005941 | 0.005959 | +0.30% | 0.005456 | -8.18% | 0.0300 | ✓ | 4.41 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005721 | 0.005746 | +0.43% | 0.005941 | +3.85% | 0.0443 | ✓ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005961 | 0.005985 | +0.40% | 0.005721 | -4.03% | 0.0060 | ✗ | 4.44 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005959 | 0.005984 | +0.43% | 0.005961 | +0.04% | 0.0974 | ✗ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006944 | 0.006957 | +0.18% | 0.005959 | -14.18% | 0.1676 | ✗ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007509 | 0.007515 | +0.08% | 0.006944 | -7.52% | 0.0607 | ✗ | 4.52 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008083 | 0.008084 | +0.01% | 0.007509 | -7.10% | 0.1451 | ✗ | 4.65 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007228 | 0.007238 | +0.14% | 0.008083 | +11.82% | 0.1150 | ✓ | 4.68 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00827 | 0.008271 | +0.01% | 0.007228 | -12.59% | 0.1369 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00852 | 0.008519 | -0.01% | 0.00827 | -2.93% | 0.0177 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00893 | 0.008927 | -0.04% | 0.00852 | -4.60% | 0.0472 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010942 | 0.010912 | -0.27% | 0.00893 | -18.38% | 0.2042 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01306 | 0.012974 | -0.66% | 0.010942 | -16.22% | 0.1668 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.011093 | 0.011052 | -0.37% | 0.01306 | +17.73% | 0.1669 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.010161 | 0.010138 | -0.22% | 0.011093 | +9.17% | 0.1113 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.010187 | 0.010161 | -0.26% | 0.010161 | -0.26% | 0.0046 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.008994 | 0.008973 | -0.23% | 0.010187 | +13.26% | 0.0621 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.008861 | 0.00884 | -0.24% | 0.008994 | +1.50% | 0.0182 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.00998 | 0.009932 | -0.48% | 0.008861 | -11.21% | 0.1185 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.008086 | 0.008065 | -0.26% | 0.00998 | +23.42% | 0.1554 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.007527 | 0.007514 | -0.17% | 0.008086 | +7.43% | 0.0707 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.00747 | 0.007458 | -0.16% | 0.007527 | +0.76% | 0.0018 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009209 | 0.009174 | -0.38% | 0.00747 | -18.88% | 0.1718 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.007935 | 0.007917 | -0.23% | 0.009209 | +16.06% | 0.1334 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.008396 | 0.008371 | -0.29% | 0.007935 | -5.49% | 0.0475 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.008184 | 0.008161 | -0.28% | 0.008396 | +2.59% | 0.0277 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00674 | 0.006733 | -0.11% | 0.008184 | +21.42% | 0.1864 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.007021 | 0.007014 | -0.11% | 0.00674 | -4.01% | 0.0173 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.009219 | 0.009195 | -0.26% | 0.007021 | -23.84% | 0.2676 | ✓ | 1.00 |