ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · lstm_s6
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 282
Track record at +1d
assessed
92
of 94 predictions shown
direction hit
51.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1554
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0134
actual -0.0290
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.042282 | -0.90% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.041629 | -1.28% | 0.042665 | +1.17% | 0.0326 | ✗ | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021565 | +0.63% | 0.04217 | +96.78% | 0.6396 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.020988 | +0.66% | 0.02143 | +2.78% | 0.0256 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.027829 | +0.57% | 0.02085 | -24.65% | 0.3075 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.033254 | +0.20% | 0.02767 | -16.63% | 0.1803 | ✗ | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.029542 | +0.56% | 0.033189 | +12.98% | 0.1352 | ✓ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.033751 | +0.28% | 0.029376 | -12.72% | 0.1561 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.036189 | -0.15% | 0.033658 | -7.13% | 0.0268 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.036485 | -0.13% | 0.036243 | -0.79% | 0.0485 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.053351 | -0.80% | 0.036532 | -32.08% | 0.3336 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.060602 | -1.06% | 0.053783 | -12.19% | 0.1380 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.059131 | -1.11% | 0.061248 | +2.43% | 0.0262 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.042128 | -0.69% | 0.059795 | +40.96% | 0.3307 | ✗ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.049953 | -0.85% | 0.04242 | -15.80% | 0.1326 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.052888 | -0.96% | 0.050383 | -5.65% | 0.0095 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.066825 | -1.28% | 0.0534 | -21.12% | 0.2210 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.091717 | -2.11% | 0.067695 | -27.75% | 0.2949 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.10276 | -3.12% | 0.093694 | -11.67% | 0.1190 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.076482 | -1.93% | 0.106073 | +36.01% | 0.3234 | ✗ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.084069 | -2.54% | 0.077989 | -9.58% | 0.0710 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.087296 | -2.95% | 0.086255 | -4.11% | 0.0273 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.065618 | -1.88% | 0.089951 | +34.50% | 0.3164 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.06941 | -2.19% | 0.066876 | -5.76% | 0.0394 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.088674 | -3.48% | 0.070965 | -22.75% | 0.2108 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.071263 | -2.65% | 0.09187 | +25.50% | 0.2535 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.073419 | -3.19% | 0.073202 | -3.47% | 0.0068 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.059758 | -2.50% | 0.075834 | +23.73% | 0.2417 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.064168 | -2.94% | 0.06129 | -7.30% | 0.0460 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.059201 | -2.90% | 0.066113 | +8.43% | 0.1318 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.076078 | -4.43% | 0.06097 | -23.41% | 0.2168 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.053472 | -3.39% | 0.079604 | +43.83% | 0.3331 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.053533 | -3.99% | 0.055348 | -0.73% | 0.0343 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.038302 | -2.91% | 0.055756 | +41.33% | 0.3711 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.047994 | -4.87% | 0.039451 | -21.80% | 0.2536 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.027641 | -3.17% | 0.05045 | +76.73% | 0.5990 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015921 | -0.97% | 0.028547 | +77.56% | 0.5765 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.014108 | -0.74% | 0.016078 | +13.11% | 0.1643 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.015215 | -0.89% | 0.014214 | -7.41% | 0.0858 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.017041 | -1.13% | 0.015351 | -10.93% | 0.0984 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.01937 | -1.54% | 0.017236 | -12.39% | 0.1175 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001422 | -12.52% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 9.48e-7 | -16.15% | 0.000001625 | +43.81% | 0.5528 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 6.39e-7 | -17.04% | 0.00000113 | +46.75% | 0.5554 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001229 | -16.68% | 7.70e-7 | -47.80% | 0.4595 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010418 | -0.93% | 0.000001475 | -85.97% | 1.9558 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009344 | -0.60% | 0.000010515 | +11.86% | 0.1111 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010048 | -0.76% | 0.0000094 | -7.16% | 0.0684 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010466 | -0.79% | 0.000010125 | -4.03% | 0.0271 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010833 | -0.80% | 0.00001055 | -3.39% | 0.0289 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010929 | -0.78% | 0.00001092 | -0.86% | 0.0148 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011125 | -0.72% | 0.000011015 | -1.70% | 0.0088 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.00001256 | -0.99% | 0.000011205 | -11.67% | 0.1186 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011588 | -0.78% | 0.000012685 | +8.60% | 0.0872 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009544 | -0.16% | 0.00001168 | +22.18% | 0.1731 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010358 | -0.12% | 0.00000956 | -7.81% | 0.0719 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011686 | -0.16% | 0.00001037 | -11.41% | 0.1024 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011708 | +0.11% | 0.000011705 | +0.09% | 0.0149 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012694 | +0.19% | 0.000011695 | -7.70% | 0.0644 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013582 | +0.16% | 0.00001267 | -6.56% | 0.0493 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.00001469 | +0.13% | 0.00001356 | -7.57% | 0.0798 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015415 | +0.09% | 0.00001467 | -4.74% | 0.0278 | ✗ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.00001546 | +0.19% | 0.0000154 | -0.19% | 0.0086 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.00001571 | +0.25% | 0.00001543 | -1.53% | 0.0118 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000015034 | +0.43% | 0.00001567 | +4.68% | 0.0237 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015329 | +0.52% | 0.00001497 | -1.84% | 0.0259 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016644 | +0.57% | 0.00001525 | -7.85% | 0.0980 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016693 | +0.62% | 0.00001655 | -0.24% | 0.0079 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017554 | +0.60% | 0.00001659 | -4.93% | 0.0310 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000018028 | +0.60% | 0.00001745 | -2.62% | 0.0201 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017355 | +0.67% | 0.00001792 | +3.94% | 0.0141 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.00001983 | +0.66% | 0.00001724 | -12.49% | 0.2122 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.00002403 | +0.46% | 0.0000197 | -17.64% | 0.1515 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027769 | +0.25% | 0.00002392 | -13.65% | 0.1441 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029551 | +0.17% | 0.0000277 | -6.10% | 0.0638 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000033048 | -0.04% | 0.0000295 | -10.77% | 0.1090 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031812 | +0.13% | 0.00003306 | +4.06% | 0.0291 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033452 | +0.16% | 0.00003177 | -4.88% | 0.0870 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035907 | +0.02% | 0.0000334 | -6.96% | 0.0617 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038205 | +0.01% | 0.0000359 | -6.02% | 0.0789 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040316 | +0.04% | 0.0000382 | -5.21% | 0.0787 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040254 | +0.13% | 0.0000403 | +0.25% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000042328 | +0.07% | 0.0000402 | -4.96% | 0.0345 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000044342 | -0.13% | 0.0000423 | -4.73% | 0.0082 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000046104 | -0.21% | 0.0000444 | -3.90% | 0.0219 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000043135 | +0.08% | 0.0000462 | +7.19% | 0.0598 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000042164 | +0.15% | 0.0000431 | +2.38% | 0.0443 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000040806 | +0.26% | 0.0000421 | +3.44% | 0.0456 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039665 | +0.42% | 0.0000407 | +3.04% | 0.0148 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000041085 | +0.21% | 0.0000395 | -3.66% | 0.0133 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.00004224 | +0.10% | 0.000041 | -2.84% | 0.0097 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.00003708 | +0.22% | 0.0000422 | +14.05% | 0.1427 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000046822 | -0.17% | 0.000037 | -21.11% | 0.2070 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000055556 | -0.26% | 0.0000469 | -15.80% | 0.1816 | ✓ | 1.00 |