NIULAI

? · · lstm_s6

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 165

Track record at +7d

assessed

48

of 55 predictions shown

direction hit

70.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1813

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0264

actual -0.0428

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.06254	0.061707	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.061739	-1.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.057736	-0.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.058595	-0.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.059412	-0.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.064474	-0.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.066691	-1.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.068878	-1.08%	0.06254	-10.18%	0.1174	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.07346	-1.57%	0.0625	-16.25%	0.1587	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.071291	-1.07%	0.05795	-19.58%	0.2089	✓	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.077897	-1.73%	0.058765	-25.87%	0.2536	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.0787	-1.72%	0.059455	-25.75%	0.2542	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.073582	-0.82%	0.065015	-12.37%	0.1059	✓	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.073007	-0.13%	0.06738	-7.82%	0.0876	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.071853	+0.23%	0.06963	-2.87%	0.0015	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.078451	-0.79%	0.07463	-5.62%	0.0107	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.076549	-0.33%	0.07206	-6.17%	0.0048	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.081836	-0.62%	0.07927	-3.74%	0.0122	✗	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.079755	-0.44%	0.080075	-0.04%	0.0331	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.086789	-0.87%	0.07419	-15.26%	0.1258	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.098232	-1.05%	0.0731	-26.36%	0.2473	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.103562	-1.20%	0.071685	-31.61%	0.3635	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.103878	-1.19%	0.079075	-24.78%	0.3023	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.114039	-1.56%	0.0768	-33.70%	0.4305	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.102835	-1.15%	0.08235	-20.84%	0.2551	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.104533	-1.24%	0.08011	-24.31%	0.2714	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.102994	-1.26%	0.08755	-16.06%	0.1691	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.099448	-1.18%	0.09927	-1.36%	0.0093	✓	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.105885	-1.42%	0.104825	-2.41%	0.0032	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.11061	-1.53%	0.10513	-6.41%	0.0113	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.106218	-1.44%	0.115845	+7.49%	0.1356	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.099301	-1.77%	0.10403	+2.91%	0.0120	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.105605	-2.14%	0.10584	-1.92%	0.0530	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.116158	-2.89%	0.104305	-12.80%	0.1635	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.103159	-2.93%	0.10064	-5.30%	0.1248	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.097707	-2.83%	0.10741	+6.82%	0.0080	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.114393	-4.44%	0.112325	-6.17%	0.1496	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.116957	-4.33%	0.10777	-11.84%	0.1841	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.111849	-4.48%	0.10109	-13.66%	0.1564	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.126	-6.61%	0.107915	-20.02%	0.2051	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.117853	-6.29%	0.11962	-4.89%	0.0315	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.112875	-7.01%	0.10627	-12.45%	0.0578	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.076785	-2.29%	0.10055	+27.95%	0.2973	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.097579	-4.45%	0.11971	+17.22%	0.2416	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.079475	-2.66%	0.12225	+49.72%	0.4423	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.08798	-3.34%	0.11709	+28.64%	0.3309	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.112203	-6.93%	0.134925	+11.92%	0.2171	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.081485	-3.13%	0.125765	+49.51%	0.4654	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.092125	-4.35%	0.12138	+26.03%	0.3357	✗	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.075186	-3.38%	0.078585	+0.98%	0.0317	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.079817	-4.25%	0.102125	+22.51%	0.2330	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.095976	-6.70%	0.08165	-20.63%	0.1684	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.092287	-9.06%	0.09102	-10.31%	0.0477	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.054299	-1.17%	0.12056	+119.44%	0.7774	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.055348	-1.27%	0.08412	+50.05%	0.3953	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.