NES
Nesa · Ethereum · lstm_s6
- token id
- #366
- symbol
- NES
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x863F08A3d3B14fbD3D42fFD061D0e290F7dBC538
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-24
- predictions
- 333
Track record at +7d
assessed
104
of 111 predictions shown
direction hit
54.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1133
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0271
actual -0.0633
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.11832 | 0.115432 | -2.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.12079 | 0.118172 | -2.17% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.114105 | 0.111978 | -1.86% | – | pending | – | – | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.118045 | 0.115941 | -1.78% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.11967 | 0.117554 | -1.77% | – | pending | – | – | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.122125 | 0.119886 | -1.83% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.138695 | 0.135288 | -2.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.01 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.146385 | 0.142268 | -2.81% | 0.11832 | -19.17% | 0.1846 | ✓ | 0.02 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.136455 | 0.133232 | -2.36% | 0.12079 | -11.48% | 0.0980 | ✓ | 0.04 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.13391 | 0.130716 | -2.39% | 0.114105 | -14.79% | 0.1359 | ✓ | 0.03 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.14095 | 0.137589 | -2.38% | 0.118045 | -16.25% | 0.1534 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.14031 | 0.137189 | -2.22% | 0.11967 | -14.71% | 0.1375 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.13735 | 0.134602 | -2.00% | 0.122125 | -11.08% | 0.0977 | ✓ | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.13322 | 0.130984 | -1.68% | 0.138695 | +4.11% | 0.0574 | ✗ | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.137455 | 0.135061 | -1.74% | 0.146385 | +6.50% | 0.0795 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.137615 | 0.135623 | -1.45% | 0.136455 | -0.84% | 0.0042 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.14428 | 0.142012 | -1.57% | 0.13391 | -7.19% | 0.0641 | ✓ | -0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.14974 | 0.147213 | -1.69% | 0.14095 | -5.87% | 0.0490 | ✓ | -0.17 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.14604 | 0.143512 | -1.73% | 0.14031 | -3.92% | 0.0267 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.14854 | 0.145551 | -2.01% | 0.13735 | -7.53% | 0.0620 | ✓ | -0.17 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.1514 | 0.147958 | -2.27% | 0.13322 | -12.01% | 0.1111 | ✓ | -0.16 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.15126 | 0.14806 | -2.12% | 0.137455 | -9.13% | 0.0748 | ✓ | -0.15 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.16081 | 0.156848 | -2.46% | 0.137615 | -14.42% | 0.1289 | ✓ | -0.09 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.1614 | 0.157603 | -2.35% | 0.14428 | -10.61% | 0.0874 | ✓ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.16563 | 0.160923 | -2.84% | 0.14974 | -9.59% | 0.0719 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.163905 | 0.160002 | -2.38% | 0.14604 | -10.90% | 0.0912 | ✓ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.15964 | 0.156067 | -2.24% | 0.14854 | -6.95% | 0.0491 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.16505 | 0.161066 | -2.41% | 0.1514 | -8.27% | 0.0615 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.16465 | 0.160134 | -2.74% | 0.15126 | -8.13% | 0.0576 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.168615 | 0.164261 | -2.58% | 0.16081 | -4.63% | 0.0170 | ✓ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.16943 | 0.16532 | -2.43% | 0.1614 | -4.74% | 0.0188 | ✓ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.16252 | 0.157582 | -3.04% | 0.16563 | +1.91% | 0.0471 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.162175 | 0.157242 | -3.04% | 0.163905 | +1.07% | 0.0388 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.15727 | 0.152625 | -2.95% | 0.15964 | +1.51% | 0.0423 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.15382 | 0.148799 | -3.26% | 0.16505 | +7.30% | 0.1012 | ✗ | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.16251 | 0.156521 | -3.69% | 0.16465 | +1.32% | 0.0481 | ✗ | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.1658 | 0.159086 | -4.05% | 0.168615 | +1.70% | 0.0547 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15123 | 0.146681 | -3.01% | 0.16943 | +12.03% | 0.1288 | ✗ | 0.15 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.14991 | 0.145403 | -3.01% | 0.16252 | +8.41% | 0.1034 | ✗ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.15991 | 0.154335 | -3.49% | 0.162175 | +1.42% | 0.0432 | ✗ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.149955 | 0.144081 | -3.92% | 0.15727 | +4.88% | 0.0815 | ✗ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.144685 | 0.13904 | -3.90% | 0.15382 | +6.31% | 0.1013 | ✗ | 0.12 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.11554 | 0.115153 | -0.34% | 0.16251 | +40.65% | 0.3539 | ✗ | 0.34 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1225 | 0.121832 | -0.55% | 0.1658 | +35.35% | 0.3204 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.13114 | 0.13025 | -0.68% | 0.15123 | +15.32% | 0.1529 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1288 | 0.128413 | -0.30% | 0.14991 | +16.39% | 0.1697 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.12945 | 0.128939 | -0.39% | 0.15991 | +23.53% | 0.2261 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1378 | 0.137731 | -0.05% | 0.149955 | +8.82% | 0.0953 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.13944 | 0.140211 | +0.55% | 0.144685 | +3.76% | 0.0513 | ✓ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.13736 | 0.137433 | +0.05% | 0.11554 | -15.89% | 0.1775 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.14057 | 0.141074 | +0.36% | 0.1225 | -12.85% | 0.1454 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.14442 | 0.1454 | +0.68% | 0.13114 | -9.20% | 0.1053 | ✗ | 0.30 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.156 | 0.157524 | +0.98% | 0.1288 | -17.44% | 0.2124 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.15359 | 0.15538 | +1.17% | 0.12945 | -15.72% | 0.1894 | ✗ | 0.34 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.14335 | 0.144725 | +0.96% | 0.1378 | -3.87% | 0.0568 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.14355 | 0.145149 | +1.11% | 0.13944 | -2.86% | 0.0446 | ✗ | 0.37 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1493 | 0.150384 | +0.73% | 0.13736 | -8.00% | 0.0822 | ✗ | 0.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1605 | 0.161322 | +0.51% | 0.14057 | -12.42% | 0.1321 | ✗ | 0.39 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.13701 | 0.137741 | +0.53% | 0.14442 | +5.41% | 0.0498 | ✓ | 0.46 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.195165 | 0.196349 | +0.61% | 0.156 | -20.07% | 0.2295 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.205345 | 0.205947 | +0.29% | 0.15359 | -25.20% | 0.3033 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.220915 | 0.221644 | +0.33% | 0.14335 | -35.11% | 0.4320 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.215955 | 0.21383 | -0.98% | 0.14355 | -33.53% | 0.4603 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.207471 | -2.80% | 0.1493 | -30.05% | 0.4213 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.20579 | 0.197126 | -4.21% | 0.1605 | -22.01% | 0.3486 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.21233 | 0.20252 | -4.62% | 0.13701 | -35.47% | 0.5415 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.214555 | 0.204505 | -4.68% | 0.195165 | -9.04% | 0.2170 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.20837 | 0.19931 | -4.35% | 0.205345 | -1.45% | 0.1336 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.20957 | 0.200373 | -4.39% | 0.220915 | +5.41% | 0.0797 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.20644 | 0.197698 | -4.23% | 0.215955 | +4.61% | 0.0289 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.200645 | 0.192531 | -4.04% | 0.21345 | +6.38% | 0.0290 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.203145 | 0.194827 | -4.09% | 0.20579 | +1.30% | 0.0398 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.204145 | 0.195665 | -4.15% | 0.21233 | +4.01% | 0.0744 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.20451 | 0.196272 | -4.03% | 0.214555 | +4.91% | 0.1164 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.208985 | 0.200466 | -4.08% | 0.20837 | -0.29% | 0.0642 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.20336 | 0.19558 | -3.83% | 0.20957 | +3.05% | 0.0951 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.20365 | 0.196182 | -3.67% | 0.20644 | +1.37% | 0.0624 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.19656 | 0.190076 | -3.30% | 0.200645 | +2.08% | 0.0709 | ✗ | 0.90 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.2043 | 0.197049 | -3.55% | 0.203145 | -0.57% | 0.0380 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.20654 | 0.198905 | -3.70% | 0.204145 | -1.16% | 0.0195 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.204585 | 0.197297 | -3.56% | 0.20451 | -0.04% | 0.0161 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.211265 | 0.203544 | -3.65% | 0.208985 | -1.08% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.20703 | 0.199858 | -3.46% | 0.20336 | -1.77% | 0.0145 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.214655 | 0.207769 | -3.21% | 0.20365 | -5.13% | 0.0130 | ✓ | 0.99 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.219455 | 0.212113 | -3.35% | 0.19656 | -10.43% | 0.0874 | ✓ | 1.02 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.217385 | 0.210289 | -3.26% | 0.2043 | -6.02% | 0.0322 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.217154 | -3.38% | 0.20654 | -8.10% | 0.0464 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.241925 | 0.233427 | -3.51% | 0.204585 | -15.43% | 0.1064 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.2425 | 0.233498 | -3.71% | 0.211265 | -12.88% | 0.0781 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.253825 | 0.243391 | -4.11% | 0.20703 | -18.44% | 0.1436 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.2701 | 0.258406 | -4.33% | 0.214655 | -20.53% | 0.1804 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.270695 | 0.259862 | -4.00% | 0.219455 | -18.93% | 0.1353 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.23121 | 0.223749 | -3.23% | 0.217385 | -5.98% | 0.0121 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.22897 | 0.221447 | -3.29% | 0.22475 | -1.84% | 0.0384 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.223245 | 0.216446 | -3.05% | 0.241925 | +8.37% | 0.1011 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.225605 | 0.218737 | -3.04% | 0.2425 | +7.49% | 0.1109 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.238 | 0.229757 | -3.46% | 0.253825 | +6.65% | 0.0967 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.24992 | 0.240708 | -3.69% | 0.2701 | +8.07% | 0.0953 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.23956 | 0.231684 | -3.29% | 0.270695 | +13.00% | 0.1347 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.242325 | 0.234668 | -3.16% | 0.23121 | -4.59% | 0.0381 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.246155 | 0.236499 | -3.92% | 0.22897 | -6.98% | 0.0786 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.2359 | 0.227546 | -3.54% | 0.223245 | -5.36% | 0.0337 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.266755 | 0.254909 | -4.44% | 0.225605 | -15.43% | 0.1380 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.276415 | 0.263036 | -4.84% | 0.238 | -13.90% | 0.0964 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.273545 | 0.259412 | -5.17% | 0.24992 | -8.64% | 0.0467 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.29756 | 0.278118 | -6.53% | 0.23956 | -19.49% | 0.1883 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.27962 | 0.263305 | -5.83% | 0.242325 | -13.34% | 0.1090 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.252165 | 0.239839 | -4.89% | 0.246155 | -2.38% | 0.0535 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.27204 | 0.254665 | -6.39% | 0.2359 | -13.28% | 0.0790 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.236725 | 0.225445 | -4.76% | 0.266755 | +12.69% | 0.1574 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.22291 | 0.212997 | -4.45% | 0.276415 | +24.00% | 0.2352 | ✗ | 1.00 |