META2

META2 · · lstm_s6

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 231

Track record at +1d

assessed

76

of 77 predictions shown

direction hit

51.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1976

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0181

actual -0.0128

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	16.221	16.1628	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-21	oos	17.9865	17.8953	-0.51%	16.221	-9.82%	0.1009	✓	1.16
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.6513	-0.54%	17.9865	+1.35%	0.0039	✓	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.5367	-0.57%	17.747	+0.63%	0.0032	✓	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.5738	-0.58%	17.6365	-0.23%	0.0059	✗	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.7144	-0.63%	17.677	-0.84%	0.0108	✓	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.5658	-0.67%	17.826	+0.80%	0.0164	✗	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.6077	-0.78%	17.685	-0.34%	0.0133	✗	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.5339	-1.11%	17.746	+0.09%	0.0041	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.6811	-1.06%	17.73	-0.78%	0.0253	✗	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.7837	-0.95%	17.87	-0.47%	0.0149	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.9876	-0.67%	17.954	-0.85%	0.0276	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.9904	-0.69%	18.108	-0.04%	0.0050	✓	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.76	-0.71%	18.116	+1.28%	0.0143	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.7331	-0.76%	17.887	+0.10%	0.0042	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.9686	-0.83%	17.869	-1.38%	0.0192	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.9318	-1.01%	18.1195	+0.02%	0.0477	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	18.0091	-0.96%	18.1155	-0.38%	0.0093	✓	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.3569	-0.75%	18.184	-6.77%	0.0501	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	19.1715	-0.79%	19.5035	+0.93%	0.0114	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	19.1549	-0.81%	19.3245	+0.06%	0.0049	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	19.25	-0.84%	19.312	-0.52%	0.0089	✗	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	19.1643	-0.91%	19.4135	+0.38%	0.0084	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.5767	-0.97%	19.34	+3.09%	0.0416	✗	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	18.2359	-1.19%	18.7595	+1.65%	0.0252	✗	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.9549	-0.82%	18.4555	+7.96%	0.1028	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.4565	-0.81%	17.0955	+3.04%	0.0373	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.7304	-0.85%	16.5905	-1.68%	0.0142	✓	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.9833	-0.89%	16.8735	-1.53%	0.0011	✓	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.5202	-0.89%	17.1355	+2.80%	0.0364	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.5529	-0.90%	16.6685	-0.21%	0.0425	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	16.131	-0.91%	16.7035	+2.61%	0.0427	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.8513	-0.92%	16.2785	+8.61%	0.0097	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	13.3279	-0.82%	14.9885	+11.53%	0.1189	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	18.9971	-1.34%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3533	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.9484	-1.42%	19.2555	+0.18%	0.0773	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	18.955	-1.48%	19.2205	-0.10%	0.0096	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	18.9291	-1.57%	19.2405	+0.05%	0.0044	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	18.9326	-1.68%	19.2305	-0.13%	0.0788	✗	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	18.9025	-1.81%	19.2555	+0.03%	0.0140	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	18.8841	-1.93%	19.2505	-0.03%	0.0306	✗	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	18.146	-2.01%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0580	✗	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	18.0182	-2.15%	18.5185	+0.57%	0.0109	✓	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	17.9709	-2.54%	18.4135	-0.14%	0.0715	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	18.1088	-2.19%	18.4385	-0.41%	0.0225	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.4817	-0.76%	18.5135	+427.68%	1.6987	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.4836	-1.13%	3.5085	-0.43%	0.0639	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	18.0722	-1.67%	3.5235	-80.83%	1.6581	✓	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.9239	-2.35%	18.3785	+357.35%	1.5362	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.8023	-5.32%	4.0185	+0.06%	0.1419	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.5853	-10.88%	4.016	-0.17%	0.1107	✓	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.2833	-18.33%	4.023	+0.07%	0.2086	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	5.3978	-11.56%	4.02	-34.14%	0.2298	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	40.6108	-0.42%	6.1035	-85.03%	1.9522	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	40.9691	-0.42%	40.783	-0.87%	0.0327	✗	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	41.0277	-0.49%	41.1425	-0.21%	0.0231	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	40.5496	-0.37%	41.2285	+1.30%	0.0474	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	27.3764	-0.45%	40.7005	+48.00%	0.3809	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	40.4106	-0.64%	27.5005	-32.38%	0.3912	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	38.7182	-0.41%	40.6705	+4.61%	0.0550	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	40.326	-0.58%	38.8775	-4.15%	0.0526	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	51.9065	-0.99%	40.5615	-22.63%	0.2553	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	30.5227	-0.36%	52.426	+71.14%	0.5573	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	30.5836	-0.60%	30.6335	-0.44%	0.0686	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	30.4952	-0.71%	30.768	+0.18%	0.0433	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	30.2843	-0.87%	30.7125	+0.54%	0.0549	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	30.2874	-1.06%	30.549	-0.20%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	30.2935	-0.84%	30.6105	+0.19%	0.0154	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	30.273	-0.99%	30.5515	-0.08%	0.0121	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	30.1915	-1.46%	30.5745	-0.21%	0.0119	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	4.4335	-14.15%	30.638	+493.30%	1.9402	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	30.3656	-1.07%	5.164	-83.18%	1.7718	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	30.3319	-1.32%	30.695	-0.14%	0.0138	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	30.4917	-1.35%	30.7365	-0.55%	0.0140	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	30.3571	-1.43%	30.9075	+0.36%	0.0325	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	30.4455	-1.38%	30.797	-0.24%	0.0124	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	30.5673	-1.06%	30.87	-0.08%	0.0096	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.