LONGXIA

? · · lstm_s6

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +1d

assessed

46

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

54.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2375

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0117

actual -0.0313

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.021876	-0.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021232	+0.18%	0.02189	+3.28%	0.0345	✓	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020417	+0.31%	0.021195	+4.13%	0.0196	✓	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.02095	+0.34%	0.020355	-2.51%	0.0261	✗	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027507	+0.17%	0.02088	-23.96%	0.2867	✗	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.029147	+0.21%	0.02746	-5.59%	0.0575	✗	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.030075	+0.27%	0.029085	-3.03%	0.0226	✗	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.029718	+0.31%	0.029995	+1.25%	0.0004	✓	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.048337	-0.58%	0.029625	-39.07%	0.4724	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.040223	-0.18%	0.04862	+20.66%	0.1769	✗	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.043835	-0.40%	0.040295	-8.44%	0.0687	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.046112	-0.34%	0.04401	-4.88%	0.0530	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.045888	-0.24%	0.04627	+0.59%	0.0052	✗	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.051794	-0.32%	0.046	-11.47%	0.1267	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.041051	-0.26%	0.05196	+26.24%	0.2561	✗	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.065669	-0.74%	0.04116	-37.79%	0.4606	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.045121	-0.70%	0.06616	+45.60%	0.3836	✗	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.044893	-0.88%	0.04544	+0.33%	0.0151	✗	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.04961	-0.67%	0.04529	-9.32%	0.1011	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.038236	-2.43%	0.049945	+27.44%	0.2658	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.107133	-2.76%	0.03919	-64.43%	1.0053	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.03374	-6.02%	0.110175	+206.89%	1.1981	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.068681	-0.43%	0.0359	-47.95%	0.6498	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.069793	-0.61%	0.068975	-1.78%	0.0095	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.087261	-0.56%	0.070225	-19.97%	0.2327	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.103199	-0.58%	0.08775	-15.46%	0.1615	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.128895	-0.98%	0.1038	-20.26%	0.2204	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.102624	-0.79%	0.130175	+25.85%	0.2413	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.165784	-1.39%	0.10344	-38.47%	0.4718	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.138217	-0.89%	0.16812	+20.55%	0.2172	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.229778	-1.92%	0.139465	-40.47%	0.4947	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.232887	-2.27%	0.234285	-1.69%	0.0588	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.22094	-2.38%	0.238305	+5.29%	0.0766	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.216634	-2.52%	0.226335	+1.84%	0.0394	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.223341	-3.19%	0.22224	-3.66%	0.0625	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.206147	-3.26%	0.23069	+8.26%	0.1098	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.189161	-3.49%	0.21309	+8.72%	0.1117	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.156534	-2.82%	0.195995	+21.68%	0.2585	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.140278	-3.07%	0.16108	+11.30%	0.1205	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.146105	-5.49%	0.14472	-6.38%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.06999	-0.75%	0.154585	+119.21%	0.7917	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.038181	+0.24%	0.07052	+85.14%	0.6048	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.049138	-0.04%	0.03809	-22.51%	0.2321	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058751	-0.15%	0.049155	-16.46%	0.1762	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054499	-0.09%	0.05884	+7.86%	0.0848	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.073941	-0.21%	0.05455	-26.38%	0.2885	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.087345	-0.45%	0.0741	-15.55%	0.1708	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.