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LIT

Lighter · Ethereum · lstm_s6

token id
#67
symbol
LIT
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-22
predictions
795
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
235
of 265 predictions shown
direction hit
47.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3400
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0674
actual +0.0936

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos3.81043.4688-8.97%–pending––1.27
2026-10-21oos3.76183.3931-9.80%–pending––1.29
2026-10-20oos3.38263.0628-9.45%–pending––1.29
2026-10-19oos3.09472.8472-8.00%–pending––1.27
2026-10-18oos3.07522.8412-7.61%–pending––1.30
2026-10-17oos3.11462.8804-7.52%–pending––1.30
2026-10-16oos3.17522.9362-7.53%–pending––1.30
2026-10-15oos3.02532.8317-6.40%–pending––1.30
2026-10-14oos3.08422.882-6.56%–pending––1.31
2026-10-13oos3.34763.085-7.84%–pending––1.29
2026-10-12oos3.37593.1107-7.86%–pending––1.31
2026-10-11oos3.83473.4922-8.93%–pending––1.31
2026-10-10oos3.63723.3365-8.27%–pending––1.38
2026-10-09oos3.62623.3325-8.10%–pending––1.38
2026-10-08oos3.60613.3291-7.68%–pending––1.38
2026-10-07oos3.57273.3165-7.17%–pending––1.44
2026-10-06oos3.81543.5323-7.42%–pending––1.42
2026-10-05oos4.01873.7187-7.46%–pending––1.43
2026-10-04oos3.66433.4393-6.14%–pending––1.47
2026-10-03oos3.56673.3613-5.76%–pending––1.48
2026-10-02oos3.55123.358-5.44%–pending––1.49
2026-10-01oos3.80483.576-6.01%–pending––1.48
2026-09-30oos3.94993.7023-6.27%–pending––1.50
2026-09-29oos3.93283.687-6.25%–pending––1.48
2026-09-28oos4.44134.1329-6.94%–pending––1.51
2026-09-27oos4.65474.3235-7.11%–pending––1.47
2026-09-26oos4.8444.4966-7.17%–pending––1.48
2026-09-25oos4.85224.5157-6.94%–pending––1.48
2026-09-24oos5.07294.7052-7.25%–pending––1.48
2026-09-23oos5.31964.9035-7.82%–pending––1.47
2026-09-22oos5.06674.6929-7.38%3.8104-24.80%0.1725✓1.54
2026-09-21oos4.73864.4107-6.92%3.7618-20.61%0.1159✓1.43
2026-09-20oos4.77454.3978-7.89%3.3826-29.15%0.2983✓1.66
2026-09-19oos4.80924.4319-7.85%3.0947-35.65%0.3714✓1.65
2026-09-18oos4.76874.3951-7.83%3.0752-35.51%0.3799✓1.64
2026-09-17oos4.81074.3945-8.65%3.1146-35.26%0.4608✓1.83
2026-09-16oos4.60354.2264-8.19%3.1752-31.03%0.4090✓1.81
2026-09-15oos4.01953.7429-6.88%3.0253-24.73%0.3633✓1.81
2026-09-14oos4.38854.0697-7.26%3.0842-29.72%0.3522✓1.77
2026-09-13oos4.11323.8338-6.79%3.3476-18.61%0.2728✓1.74
2026-09-12oos4.21583.931-6.76%3.3759-19.92%0.2497✓1.73
2026-09-11oos4.35184.0643-6.61%3.8347-11.88%0.1968✓1.72
2026-09-10oos4.29234.0174-6.40%3.6372-15.26%0.2382✓1.74
2026-09-09oos4.52624.2292-6.56%3.6262-19.88%0.2450✓1.72
2026-09-08oos4.82974.4783-7.28%3.6061-25.33%0.2877✓1.75
2026-09-07oos4.72484.3972-6.93%3.5727-24.38%0.2999✓1.79
2026-09-06oos4.51484.2268-6.38%3.8154-15.49%0.2121✓1.75
2026-09-05oos4.75474.422-7.00%4.0187-15.48%0.2209✓1.75
2026-09-04oos4.82894.4694-7.44%3.6643-24.12%0.3361✓1.67
2026-09-03oos4.44214.1568-6.42%3.5667-19.71%0.2266✓1.75
2026-09-02oos3.79143.5708-5.82%3.5512-6.34%0.1404✓1.52
2026-09-01oos3.523.3421-5.05%3.8048+8.09%0.0134✓1.56
2026-08-31oos3.56643.4109-4.36%3.9499+10.75%0.0626✗1.37
2026-08-30oos3.52833.3691-4.51%3.9328+11.46%0.0864✗0.92
2026-08-29oos3.55373.4113-4.01%4.4413+24.97%0.2042✗0.92
2026-08-28oos3.49623.3683-3.66%4.6547+33.14%0.2481✗0.92
2026-08-27oos3.71083.6464-1.74%4.844+30.54%0.2388✗0.90
2026-08-26oos3.45183.3907-1.77%4.8522+40.57%0.3039✗0.88
2026-08-25oos3.28373.2446-1.19%5.0729+54.48%0.3848✗0.86
2026-08-24oos3.39993.3593-1.19%5.3196+56.46%0.4018✗0.88
2026-08-23oos3.57213.4429-3.62%5.0667+41.84%0.2858✗0.97
2026-08-22oos3.18943.0907-3.09%4.7386+48.58%0.3156✗0.96
2026-08-21oos3.12673.0729-1.72%4.7745+52.70%0.4062✗0.97
2026-08-20oos2.66822.5357-4.96%4.8092+80.24%0.5531✗0.81
2026-08-19oos2.60372.4438-6.14%4.7687+83.15%0.5158✗0.99
2026-08-18oos2.35882.1927-7.04%4.8107+103.95%0.6293✗0.94
2026-08-17oos2.332.1632-7.16%4.6035+97.57%0.5923✗0.98
2026-08-16oos2.27712.1074-7.45%4.0195+76.51%0.4625✗0.99
2026-08-15oos2.2622.093-7.47%4.3885+94.01%0.5293✗0.98
2026-08-14oos2.2352.069-7.43%4.1132+84.03%0.4916✗0.99
2026-08-13oos2.27132.1037-7.38%4.2158+85.61%0.5031✗0.97
2026-08-12oos2.33562.1603-7.51%4.3518+86.32%0.4997✗1.02
2026-08-11oos2.41812.2319-7.70%4.2923+77.50%0.4665✗1.01
2026-08-10oos2.38242.1987-7.71%4.5262+89.98%0.5150✗1.02
2026-08-09oos2.30352.131-7.49%4.8297+109.67%0.6150✗1.07
2026-08-08oos2.28222.1099-7.55%4.7248+107.03%0.5940✗1.07
2026-08-07oos2.29842.1167-7.90%4.5148+96.43%0.5323✗1.05
2026-08-06oos2.37442.1706-8.58%4.7547+100.25%0.5533✗1.06
2026-08-05oos2.18492.001-8.42%4.8289+121.01%0.6538✗1.08
2026-08-04oos2.05841.886-8.37%4.4421+115.80%0.6078✗1.05
2026-08-03oos2.00551.8392-8.29%3.7914+89.05%0.5195✗1.03
2026-08-02oos2.03281.8616-8.42%3.52+73.16%0.4276✗1.06
2026-08-01oos2.01721.8462-8.48%3.5664+76.80%0.4261✗1.03
2026-07-31oos2.06691.8916-8.48%3.5283+70.70%0.4036✗1.04
2026-07-30oos2.282.0838-8.61%3.5537+55.87%0.3520✗0.96
2026-07-29oos2.17811.9945-8.43%3.4962+60.52%0.3765✗0.94
2026-07-28oos2.29842.0966-8.78%3.7108+61.45%0.3615✗0.91
2026-07-27oos2.12861.9567-8.08%3.4518+62.16%0.3744✗0.90
2026-07-26oos2.14311.9756-7.82%3.2837+53.22%0.3455✗0.88
2026-07-25oos2.06261.9057-7.61%3.3999+64.84%0.3927✗0.90
2026-07-24oos2.03191.8833-7.31%3.5721+75.80%0.4691✗0.89
2026-07-23oos2.1622.0032-7.35%3.1894+47.52%0.3203✗0.86
2026-07-22oos2.30052.1342-7.23%3.1267+35.92%0.2424✗0.82
2026-07-21oos2.34532.1707-7.45%2.6682+13.77%0.1299✗0.82
2026-07-20oos2.1792.0242-7.11%2.6037+19.49%0.2067✗0.74
2026-07-19oos2.20982.0465-7.39%2.3588+6.74%0.1420✗0.75
2026-07-18oos2.25642.091-7.33%2.33+3.26%0.1118✗0.73
2026-07-17oos2.28922.124-7.22%2.2771-0.53%0.0832✗0.81
2026-07-16oos2.28592.1235-7.11%2.262-1.05%0.0732✓0.85
2026-07-15oos2.41662.2379-7.39%2.235-7.51%0.0205✓0.80
2026-07-14oos2.59282.3887-7.87%2.2713-12.40%0.0311✓0.79
2026-07-13oos2.30422.1373-7.24%2.3356+1.36%0.0763✗0.68
2026-07-12oos2.63192.421-8.01%2.4181-8.12%0.0008✓0.59
2026-07-11oos2.57742.3757-7.83%2.3824-7.56%0.0015✓0.60
2026-07-10oos2.68962.4693-8.19%2.3035-14.36%0.0771✓0.68
2026-07-09oos2.39652.2165-7.51%2.2822-4.77%0.0120✓0.63
2026-07-08oos2.332.1575-7.40%2.2984-1.35%0.0348✓0.68
2026-07-07oos2.45752.2581-8.11%2.3744-3.38%0.0405✓0.66
2026-07-06oos2.57692.3394-9.22%2.1849-15.21%0.0746✓0.67
2026-07-05oos2.4582.2409-8.83%2.0584-16.26%0.0898✓0.67
2026-07-04oos2.2012.0235-8.07%2.0055-8.88%0.0128✓0.65
2026-07-03oos2.11361.9427-8.09%2.0328-3.82%0.0355✓0.64
2026-07-02oos2.06891.89-8.65%2.0172-2.50%0.0521✓0.63
2026-07-01oos2.07121.8753-9.46%2.0669-0.21%0.0668✓0.65
2026-06-30oos1.8491.688-8.71%2.28+23.31%0.2448✗0.55
2026-06-29oos1.86031.698-8.72%2.1781+17.08%0.2156✗0.55
2026-06-28oos1.72741.5828-8.37%2.2984+33.05%0.3324✗0.57
2026-06-27oos1.71961.5787-8.19%2.1286+23.78%0.2650✗0.56
2026-06-26oos1.82281.6615-8.85%2.1431+17.57%0.2067✗0.56
2026-06-25oos1.60911.4797-8.04%2.0626+28.18%0.2921✗0.54
2026-06-24oos1.69591.5473-8.76%2.0319+19.82%0.2461✗0.53
2026-06-23oos1.50471.3896-7.65%2.162+43.68%0.4156✗0.70
2026-06-22oos1.60941.4791-8.09%2.3005+42.95%0.4201✗0.66
2026-06-21oos1.56761.4413-8.06%2.3453+49.61%0.4542✗0.65
2026-06-20oos1.55671.4356-7.78%2.179+39.98%0.4077✗0.63
2026-06-19oos1.54561.425-7.81%2.2098+42.97%0.4260✗0.68
2026-06-18oos1.61181.4812-8.10%2.2564+39.99%0.4002✗0.69
2026-06-17oos1.72071.5724-8.62%2.2892+33.04%0.3810✗0.62
2026-06-16oos1.73351.5803-8.84%2.2859+31.87%0.3871✗0.63
2026-06-15oos1.68961.5446-8.58%2.4166+43.03%0.4638✗0.68
2026-06-14oos1.68671.5401-8.69%2.5928+53.72%0.5280✗0.65
2026-06-13oos1.63191.4927-8.53%2.3042+41.20%0.4572✗0.67
2026-06-12oos1.53731.4141-8.02%2.6319+71.19%0.6192✗0.63
2026-06-11oos1.55811.4329-8.03%2.5774+65.42%0.5850✗0.63
2026-06-10oos1.39161.2914-7.20%2.6896+93.27%0.7106✗0.54
2026-06-09oos1.58311.4641-7.51%2.3965+51.38%0.4798✗0.54
2026-06-08oos1.47451.37-7.08%2.33+58.02%0.5387✗0.59
2026-06-07oos1.43341.3343-6.91%2.4575+71.44%0.6105✗0.60
2026-06-06oos1.43071.335-6.69%2.5769+80.11%0.6273✗0.60
2026-06-05oos1.50841.4046-6.88%2.458+62.95%0.5332✗0.64
2026-06-04oos1.45311.3562-6.67%2.201+51.47%0.4924✗0.72
2026-06-03oos1.78541.6265-8.90%2.1136+18.38%0.2798✗0.74
2026-06-02oos1.60391.478-7.85%2.0689+28.99%0.4140✗0.96
2026-06-01oos1.34381.253-6.76%2.0712+54.13%0.7467✗1.41
2026-05-31oos1.37651.2857-6.60%1.849+34.33%0.6917✗1.43
2026-05-30oos1.3691.2746-6.89%1.8603+35.89%0.6551✗1.36
2026-05-29oos1.25911.1714-6.96%1.7274+37.19%0.6709✗1.35
2026-05-28oos1.17221.0983-6.30%1.7196+46.70%0.7245✗1.35
2026-05-27oos1.13381.0653-6.04%1.8228+60.77%0.8322✗1.38
2026-05-26oos1.18321.112-6.02%1.6091+35.99%0.6979✗1.37
2026-05-25oos1.37961.2869-6.72%1.6959+22.92%0.5653✗1.22
2026-05-24oos1.29131.2008-7.01%1.5047+16.53%0.4749✗1.21
2026-05-23oos1.22751.1456-6.67%1.6094+31.11%0.5550✗1.19
2026-05-22oos1.19061.109-6.85%1.5676+31.67%0.5559✗1.19
2026-05-21oos1.4261.3037-8.58%1.5567+9.16%0.3825✗1.09
2026-05-20oos1.27641.1725-8.14%1.5456+21.09%0.4951✗1.10
2026-05-19oos1.14151.0446-8.49%1.6118+41.20%0.6495✗1.08
2026-05-18oos0.95090.88128-7.32%1.7207+80.95%0.8690✗1.13
2026-05-17oos0.863450.809061-6.30%1.7335+100.76%0.9541✗1.16
2026-05-16oos0.87980.823927-6.35%1.6896+92.04%0.9090✗1.16
2026-05-15oos0.8580.809179-5.69%1.6867+96.59%0.9494✗1.16
2026-05-14oos0.91520.862315-5.78%1.6319+78.31%0.9025✗1.15
2026-05-13oos0.8970.843741-5.94%1.5373+71.39%0.8690✗1.21
2026-05-12oos0.926550.872687-5.81%1.5581+68.16%0.8632✗1.20
2026-05-11oos0.999750.937669-6.21%1.3916+39.19%0.7315✗1.18
2026-05-10oos1.05680.991292-6.20%1.5831+49.80%0.8081✗1.18
2026-05-09oos1.05420.982461-6.81%1.4745+39.87%0.6996✗1.19
2026-05-08oos1.0811.0028-7.23%1.4334+32.60%0.6388✗1.19
2026-05-07oos0.990650.923688-6.76%1.4307+44.42%0.7623✗1.19
2026-05-06oos0.953850.898559-5.80%1.5084+58.14%0.8753✗1.24
2026-05-05oos0.966850.907995-6.09%1.4531+50.29%0.7173✗1.04
2026-05-04oos0.90290.85066-5.79%1.7854+97.74%0.9584✗0.98
2026-05-03oos0.92210.864261-6.27%1.6039+73.94%0.7832✗1.00
2026-05-02oos0.9080.852646-6.10%1.3438+48.00%0.5546✗1.01
2026-05-01oos0.90350.852753-5.62%1.3765+52.35%0.5412✗1.02
2026-04-30oos0.883750.833315-5.71%1.369+54.91%0.5312✗1.03
2026-04-29oos0.948450.886308-6.55%1.2591+32.75%0.3842✗1.03
2026-04-28oos0.896050.847309-5.44%1.1722+30.81%0.3667✗1.13
2026-04-27oos0.86350.824931-4.47%1.1338+31.30%0.3637✗1.14
2026-04-26oos0.91640.884802-3.45%1.1832+29.12%0.3329✗1.14
2026-04-25oos0.92960.896441-3.57%1.3796+48.41%0.4372✗1.16
2026-04-24oos0.945550.917723-2.94%1.2913+36.57%0.3490✗1.19
2026-04-23oos0.92440.913759-1.15%1.2275+32.79%0.3204✗1.20
2026-04-22oos0.87920.874792-0.50%1.1906+35.42%0.3512✗1.19
2026-04-21oos0.8980.871309-2.97%1.426+58.80%0.4738✗1.21
2026-04-20oos0.89910.870218-3.21%1.2764+41.96%0.3577✗1.21
2026-04-19oos0.890750.856148-3.88%1.1415+28.15%0.2402✗1.21
2026-04-18oos0.978850.944987-3.46%0.9509-2.86%0.0127✓1.20
2026-04-17oos1.04881.0389-0.94%0.86345-17.67%0.1898✓1.19
2026-04-16oos1.04591.0026-4.14%0.8798-15.88%0.1766✓1.20
2026-04-15oos1.04190.997318-4.28%0.858-17.65%0.2162✓1.20
2026-04-14oos1.02570.980469-4.41%0.9152-10.78%0.1752✓1.20
2026-04-13oos1.14331.087-4.92%0.897-21.54%0.2674✓1.19
2026-04-12oos1.09261.0309-5.65%0.92655-15.20%0.2616✓1.20
2026-04-11oos1.20611.1392-5.54%0.99975-17.11%0.2626✓1.18
2026-04-10oos1.13681.07-5.87%1.0568-7.04%0.1524✓1.18
2026-04-09oos1.01450.961354-5.24%1.0542+3.91%0.0423✓1.16
2026-04-08oos0.999250.946249-5.30%1.081+8.18%0.0060✓1.16
2026-04-07oos1.07631.0134-5.85%0.99065-7.96%0.1453✓1.15
2026-04-06oos1.02480.95469-6.84%0.95385-6.92%0.1935✓1.15
2026-04-05oos1.0080.935819-7.17%0.96685-4.09%0.1499✓1.15
2026-04-04oos0.98710.905675-8.25%0.9029-8.53%0.1997✓1.15
2026-04-03oos0.989350.911226-7.90%0.9221-6.80%0.1718✓1.15
2026-04-02oos0.94860.870677-8.21%0.908-4.28%0.1441✓1.15
2026-04-01oos0.89060.823706-7.51%0.9035+1.45%0.0685✓1.16
2026-03-31oos0.87250.81105-7.04%0.88375+1.29%0.0442✓1.16
2026-03-30oos0.80730.768791-4.77%0.94845+17.48%0.0653✗1.14
2026-03-29oos0.826750.784287-5.14%0.89605+8.38%0.0343✓1.15
2026-03-28oos0.858250.807422-5.92%0.8635+0.61%0.1097✓1.15
2026-03-27oos0.88250.825727-6.43%0.9164+3.84%0.0915✓1.15
2026-03-26oos0.911650.845361-7.27%0.9296+1.97%0.0453✓1.15
2026-03-25oos0.99570.915033-8.10%0.94555-5.04%0.0614✓1.14
2026-03-24oos1.0170.929743-8.58%0.9244-9.10%0.1249✓1.14
2026-03-23oos0.9550.878384-8.02%0.8792-7.94%0.1117✓1.14
2026-03-22oos0.93910.867435-7.63%0.898-4.38%0.1026✓1.16
2026-03-21oos1.05270.955867-9.19%0.8991-14.59%0.1716✓1.15
2026-03-20oos1.06340.967792-8.99%0.89075-16.24%0.1361✓1.15
2026-03-19oos1.19281.0725-10.08%0.97885-17.94%0.1852✓1.17
2026-03-18oos1.21161.093-9.79%1.0488-13.44%0.1341✓1.18
2026-03-17oos1.29611.1872-8.40%1.0459-19.30%0.1460✓1.17
2026-03-16oos1.16271.0821-6.93%1.0419-10.39%0.0371✓1.18
2026-03-15oos1.08521.0014-7.72%1.0257-5.47%0.0026✓1.16
2026-03-14oos1.10781.0161-8.28%1.1433+3.20%0.0658✓1.18
2026-03-13oos1.09861.0097-8.10%1.0926-0.55%0.0821✓1.18
2026-03-12oos1.15231.0549-8.46%1.2061+4.66%0.0917✗1.19
2026-03-11oos1.07170.990327-7.60%1.1368+6.07%0.0921✗1.18
2026-03-10oos1.05590.979719-7.21%1.0145-3.92%0.0044✓1.18
2026-03-09oos1.02040.958612-6.05%0.99925-2.07%0.0030✓1.17
2026-03-08oos1.01980.962131-5.65%1.0763+5.55%0.0092✓1.19
2026-03-07oos1.12951.056-6.50%1.0248-9.27%0.0577✓1.18
2026-03-06oos1.13861.0713-5.92%1.008-11.47%0.0763✓1.18
2026-03-05oos1.20911.1391-5.79%0.9871-18.36%0.0821✓1.18
2026-03-04oos1.37151.2959-5.51%0.98935-27.86%0.1759✓1.15
2026-03-03oos1.29821.2221-5.87%0.9486-26.93%0.2285✓1.16
2026-03-02oos1.35921.2751-6.19%0.8906-34.48%0.3466✓1.16
2026-03-01oos1.35871.2812-5.70%0.8725-35.78%0.4287✓1.21
2026-02-28oos1.38571.3142-5.16%0.8073-41.74%0.4831✓1.21
2026-02-27oos1.35681.297-4.41%0.82675-39.07%0.4521✓1.21
2026-02-26oos1.42831.3618-4.65%0.85825-39.91%0.4405✓1.21
2026-02-25oos1.45511.389-4.55%0.8825-39.35%0.4241✓1.21
2026-02-24oos1.42981.3788-3.56%0.91165-36.24%0.5047✓1.29
2026-02-23oos1.3891.3463-3.08%0.9957-28.32%0.4279✓1.28
2026-02-22oos1.44631.3891-3.95%1.017-29.69%0.3665✓1.29
2026-02-21oos1.52441.4622-4.08%0.955-37.35%0.4805✓1.30
2026-02-20oos1.53191.4689-4.12%0.9391-38.70%0.4453✓1.00
2026-02-19oos1.47661.4226-3.66%1.0527-28.71%0.3297✓1.00
2026-02-18oos1.4461.3979-3.32%1.0634-26.46%0.3331✓1.00
2026-02-17oos1.58881.5247-4.03%1.1928-24.92%0.2812✓1.00
2026-02-16oos1.68791.612-4.49%1.2116-28.22%0.3196✓1.00
2026-02-15oos1.6771.6031-4.40%1.2961-22.71%0.2847✓1.00
2026-02-14oos1.64781.5718-4.61%1.1627-29.44%0.3720✓1.00
2026-02-13oos1.59721.52-4.83%1.0852-32.06%0.3937✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.42871.37-4.11%1.1078-22.46%0.2856✓1.00
2026-02-11oos1.4161.3513-4.57%1.0986-22.42%0.2639✓1.00
2026-02-10oos1.47021.4041-4.50%1.1523-21.62%0.2224✓1.00
2026-02-09oos1.54881.4781-4.57%1.0717-30.80%0.3230✓1.00
2026-02-08oos1.61981.5341-5.29%1.0559-34.81%0.3690✓1.00
2026-02-07oos1.62611.5354-5.58%1.0204-37.25%0.3968✓1.00
2026-02-06oos1.66281.5611-6.12%1.0198-38.67%0.3590✓1.00
2026-02-05oos1.43931.3798-4.14%1.1295-21.53%0.2689✓1.00
2026-02-04oos1.57541.4808-6.00%1.1386-27.72%0.1934✓1.00
2026-02-03oos1.4811.3929-5.95%1.2091-18.36%0.0764✓1.00
2026-02-02oos1.59661.4975-6.20%1.3715-14.10%0.0088✓1.00
2026-02-01oos1.51441.4211-6.15%1.2982-14.27%0.0276✓1.00
2026-01-31oos1.56621.4676-6.30%1.3592-13.22%0.0566✓1.00