LIGHTER

? · · lstm_s6

token id: #154
symbol: LIGHTER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +7d

assessed

264

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

48.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1221

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0207

actual +0.0181

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	3.422	3.347	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-20	oos	3.382	3.3132	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	3.095	3.0411	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-18	oos	3.074	3.0258	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-17	oos	3.116	3.0676	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	3.176	3.1302	-1.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	3.0255	2.9943	-1.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	3.085	3.0517	-1.08%	3.422	+10.92%	0.0965	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	3.3505	3.2959	-1.63%	3.382	+0.94%	0.0283	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	3.3745	3.3178	-1.68%	3.095	-8.28%	0.0711	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	3.838	3.7563	-2.13%	3.074	-19.91%	0.1739	✓	1.32
2026-10-10	oos	3.637	3.5668	-1.93%	3.116	-14.32%	0.1094	✓	1.38
2026-10-09	oos	3.628	3.5627	-1.80%	3.176	-12.46%	0.0973	✓	1.38
2026-10-08	oos	3.607	3.5442	-1.74%	3.0255	-16.12%	0.1656	✓	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	3.574	3.5129	-1.71%	3.085	-13.68%	0.1000	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	3.818	3.7479	-1.84%	3.3505	-12.24%	0.0710	✓	1.42
2026-10-05	oos	4.019	3.9409	-1.94%	3.3745	-16.04%	0.0866	✓	1.43
2026-10-04	oos	3.665	3.6016	-1.73%	3.838	+4.72%	0.1128	✗	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	3.567	3.5085	-1.64%	3.637	+1.96%	0.0684	✗	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	3.545	3.4898	-1.56%	3.628	+2.34%	0.0740	✗	1.50
2026-10-01	oos	3.806	3.7404	-1.72%	3.607	-5.23%	0.0201	✗	1.49
2026-09-30	oos	3.948	3.8734	-1.89%	3.574	-9.47%	0.0754	✓	1.51
2026-09-29	oos	3.926	3.8525	-1.87%	3.818	-2.75%	0.0423	✓	1.48
2026-09-28	oos	4.445	4.3481	-2.18%	4.019	-9.58%	0.1199	✓	1.52
2026-09-27	oos	4.655	4.547	-2.32%	3.665	-21.27%	0.2510	✓	1.48
2026-09-26	oos	4.8445	4.7273	-2.42%	3.567	-26.37%	0.2874	✓	1.48
2026-09-25	oos	4.8545	4.7355	-2.45%	3.545	-26.97%	0.2968	✓	1.48
2026-09-24	oos	5.071	4.9369	-2.65%	3.806	-24.95%	0.2683	✓	1.48
2026-09-23	oos	5.309	5.1528	-2.94%	3.948	-25.64%	0.2519	✓	1.48
2026-09-22	oos	5.0675	4.9296	-2.72%	3.926	-22.53%	0.1810	✓	1.55
2026-09-21	oos	4.7405	4.6196	-2.55%	4.445	-6.23%	0.0145	✓	1.44
2026-09-20	oos	4.778	4.6429	-2.83%	4.655	-2.57%	0.0636	✓	1.66
2026-09-19	oos	4.8145	4.6766	-2.87%	4.8445	+0.62%	0.0285	✓	1.66
2026-09-18	oos	4.7725	4.6344	-2.89%	4.8545	+1.72%	0.0179	✓	1.65
2026-09-17	oos	4.816	4.6665	-3.11%	5.071	+5.29%	0.1003	✓	1.83
2026-09-16	oos	4.605	4.4676	-2.98%	5.309	+15.29%	0.0140	✓	1.82
2026-09-15	oos	4.0195	3.9224	-2.42%	5.0675	+26.07%	0.0172	✓	1.82
2026-09-14	oos	4.3875	4.2711	-2.65%	4.7405	+8.05%	0.0769	✓	1.77
2026-09-13	oos	4.1115	4.0124	-2.41%	4.778	+16.21%	0.0783	✗	1.74
2026-09-12	oos	4.217	4.1177	-2.36%	4.8145	+14.17%	0.0694	✗	1.74
2026-09-11	oos	4.353	4.2554	-2.24%	4.7725	+9.64%	0.0345	✗	1.73
2026-09-10	oos	4.2905	4.1973	-2.17%	4.816	+12.25%	0.1418	✗	1.74
2026-09-09	oos	4.5275	4.425	-2.26%	4.605	+1.71%	0.0877	✗	1.73
2026-09-08	oos	4.826	4.7127	-2.35%	4.0195	-16.71%	0.0937	✓	1.76
2026-09-07	oos	4.7225	4.6143	-2.29%	4.3875	-7.09%	0.0295	✓	1.79
2026-09-06	oos	4.516	4.4173	-2.19%	4.1115	-8.96%	0.0071	✓	1.75
2026-09-05	oos	4.754	4.6442	-2.31%	4.217	-11.30%	0.0392	✓	1.75
2026-09-04	oos	4.823	4.6954	-2.65%	4.353	-9.74%	0.0230	✓	1.68
2026-09-03	oos	4.441	4.3292	-2.52%	4.2905	-3.39%	0.0964	✗	1.76
2026-09-02	oos	3.792	3.7144	-2.05%	4.5275	+19.40%	0.1787	✗	1.54
2026-09-01	oos	3.52	3.4584	-1.75%	4.826	+37.10%	0.3120	✗	1.58
2026-08-31	oos	3.565	3.505	-1.68%	4.7225	+32.47%	0.2888	✗	1.39
2026-08-30	oos	3.531	3.4729	-1.65%	4.516	+27.90%	0.2311	✗	0.93
2026-08-29	oos	3.554	3.4978	-1.58%	4.754	+33.76%	0.2879	✗	0.94
2026-08-28	oos	3.497	3.4441	-1.51%	4.823	+37.92%	0.3149	✗	0.94
2026-08-27	oos	3.711	3.6521	-1.59%	4.441	+19.67%	0.1844	✗	0.91
2026-08-26	oos	3.453	3.4054	-1.38%	3.792	+9.82%	0.1271	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	3.285	3.243	-1.28%	3.52	+7.15%	0.0946	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	3.401	3.3484	-1.55%	3.565	+4.82%	0.0674	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	3.578	3.5049	-2.04%	3.531	-1.31%	0.0083	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	3.187	3.1303	-1.78%	3.554	+11.52%	0.1122	✗	0.97
2026-08-21	oos	3.128	3.071	-1.82%	3.497	+11.80%	0.1360	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	2.669	2.6219	-1.76%	3.711	+39.04%	0.2683	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	2.602	2.5519	-1.92%	3.453	+32.71%	0.1692	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	2.359	2.3135	-1.93%	3.285	+39.25%	0.1616	✗	0.97
2026-08-17	oos	2.332	2.2853	-2.00%	3.401	+45.84%	0.1918	✗	1.01
2026-08-16	oos	2.276	2.2279	-2.12%	3.578	+57.21%	0.2556	✗	1.03
2026-08-15	oos	2.266	2.2189	-2.08%	3.187	+40.64%	0.1584	✗	1.01
2026-08-14	oos	2.234	2.188	-2.06%	3.128	+40.02%	0.1354	✗	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	2.271	2.2233	-2.10%	2.669	+17.53%	0.0411	✗	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	2.335	2.2826	-2.24%	2.602	+11.43%	0.0375	✗	1.05
2026-08-11	oos	2.418	2.3591	-2.44%	2.359	-2.44%	0.0186	✓	1.04
2026-08-10	oos	2.383	2.3262	-2.38%	2.332	-2.14%	0.0068	✓	1.05
2026-08-09	oos	2.304	2.254	-2.17%	2.276	-1.22%	0.0443	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	2.282	2.2326	-2.16%	2.266	-0.70%	0.0475	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	2.2975	2.2464	-2.22%	2.234	-2.76%	0.0270	✗	1.09
2026-08-06	oos	2.371	2.3103	-2.56%	2.271	-4.22%	0.0027	✓	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	2.186	2.1387	-2.16%	2.335	+6.82%	0.1086	✗	1.12
2026-08-04	oos	2.056	2.0136	-2.06%	2.418	+17.61%	0.1918	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	2.0035	1.9625	-2.05%	2.383	+18.94%	0.1867	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	2.038	1.9951	-2.11%	2.304	+13.05%	0.1211	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	2.018	1.9764	-2.06%	2.282	+13.08%	0.1079	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	2.068	2.0243	-2.11%	2.2975	+11.10%	0.0920	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	2.281	2.2282	-2.31%	2.371	+3.95%	0.0691	✗	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	2.179	2.1313	-2.19%	2.186	+0.32%	0.0147	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	2.301	2.2448	-2.44%	2.056	-10.65%	0.0909	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	2.129	2.0843	-2.10%	2.0035	-5.89%	0.0362	✓	0.93
2026-07-26	oos	2.145	2.1014	-2.03%	2.038	-4.99%	0.0045	✓	0.92
2026-07-25	oos	2.064	2.0236	-1.96%	2.018	-2.23%	0.0197	✓	0.93
2026-07-24	oos	2.0315	1.9935	-1.87%	2.068	+1.80%	0.0547	✗	0.91
2026-07-23	oos	2.1585	2.1149	-2.02%	2.281	+5.68%	0.0801	✗	0.88
2026-07-22	oos	2.305	2.2555	-2.15%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0060	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	2.344	2.2916	-2.24%	2.301	-1.83%	0.0387	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	2.179	2.1319	-2.16%	2.129	-2.29%	0.0167	✓	0.77
2026-07-19	oos	2.209	2.1595	-2.24%	2.145	-2.90%	0.0146	✓	0.77
2026-07-18	oos	2.257	2.2077	-2.19%	2.064	-8.55%	0.0614	✓	0.75
2026-07-17	oos	2.288	2.2362	-2.26%	2.0315	-11.21%	0.0985	✓	0.84
2026-07-16	oos	2.285	2.2331	-2.27%	2.1585	-5.54%	0.0514	✓	0.87
2026-07-15	oos	2.414	2.3572	-2.35%	2.305	-4.52%	0.0398	✓	0.83
2026-07-14	oos	2.595	2.528	-2.58%	2.344	-9.67%	0.0946	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	2.305	2.2485	-2.45%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0643	✓	0.71
2026-07-12	oos	2.63	2.5577	-2.75%	2.209	-16.01%	0.1557	✓	0.63
2026-07-11	oos	2.577	2.5077	-2.69%	2.257	-12.42%	0.1154	✓	0.63
2026-07-10	oos	2.688	2.612	-2.83%	2.288	-14.88%	0.1298	✓	0.70
2026-07-09	oos	2.396	2.334	-2.59%	2.285	-4.63%	0.0274	✓	0.66
2026-07-08	oos	2.3285	2.2673	-2.63%	2.414	+3.67%	0.0351	✗	0.71
2026-07-07	oos	2.459	2.3913	-2.75%	2.595	+5.53%	0.0641	✗	0.68
2026-07-06	oos	2.578	2.498	-3.10%	2.305	-10.59%	0.0614	✓	0.69
2026-07-05	oos	2.462	2.3873	-3.03%	2.63	+6.82%	0.0951	✗	0.69
2026-07-04	oos	2.199	2.1374	-2.80%	2.577	+17.19%	0.1798	✗	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	2.118	2.057	-2.88%	2.688	+26.91%	0.2508	✗	0.66
2026-07-02	oos	2.067	2.0022	-3.13%	2.396	+15.92%	0.1619	✗	0.65
2026-07-01	oos	2.074	1.9898	-4.06%	2.3285	+12.27%	0.1320	✗	0.68
2026-06-30	oos	1.85	1.7852	-3.50%	2.459	+32.92%	0.2749	✗	0.58
2026-06-29	oos	1.861	1.7983	-3.37%	2.578	+38.53%	0.3245	✗	0.58
2026-06-28	oos	1.731	1.6756	-3.20%	2.462	+42.23%	0.3452	✗	0.59
2026-06-27	oos	1.72	1.6658	-3.15%	2.199	+27.85%	0.2481	✗	0.58
2026-06-26	oos	1.825	1.7617	-3.47%	2.118	+16.05%	0.1603	✗	0.58
2026-06-25	oos	1.609	1.562	-2.92%	2.067	+28.46%	0.2636	✗	0.56
2026-06-24	oos	1.697	1.6397	-3.37%	2.074	+22.22%	0.2443	✗	0.55
2026-06-23	oos	1.504	1.464	-2.66%	1.85	+23.01%	0.2830	✗	0.72
2026-06-22	oos	1.611	1.562	-3.04%	1.861	+15.52%	0.2165	✗	0.68
2026-06-21	oos	1.567	1.5209	-2.94%	1.731	+10.47%	0.1703	✗	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	1.558	1.5135	-2.86%	1.72	+10.40%	0.1725	✗	0.64
2026-06-19	oos	1.544	1.5019	-2.73%	1.825	+18.20%	0.2337	✗	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	1.613	1.5675	-2.82%	1.609	-0.25%	0.0627	✗	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	1.72	1.6681	-3.02%	1.697	-1.34%	0.0525	✗	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	1.734	1.681	-3.06%	1.504	-13.26%	0.0814	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	1.688	1.6375	-2.99%	1.611	-4.56%	0.0085	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	1.684	1.6339	-2.98%	1.567	-6.95%	0.0164	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	1.629	1.583	-2.83%	1.558	-4.36%	0.0137	✓	0.69
2026-06-12	oos	1.537	1.4978	-2.55%	1.544	+0.46%	0.0310	✗	0.65
2026-06-11	oos	1.558	1.5187	-2.52%	1.613	+3.53%	0.0673	✗	0.65
2026-06-10	oos	1.392	1.362	-2.15%	1.72	+23.56%	0.2069	✗	0.56
2026-06-09	oos	1.584	1.5441	-2.52%	1.734	+9.47%	0.0815	✗	0.56
2026-06-08	oos	1.467	1.4336	-2.28%	1.688	+15.06%	0.1332	✗	0.61
2026-06-07	oos	1.433	1.401	-2.23%	1.684	+17.52%	0.1609	✗	0.62
2026-06-06	oos	1.425	1.3941	-2.17%	1.629	+14.32%	0.1204	✗	0.62
2026-06-05	oos	1.503	1.4626	-2.69%	1.537	+2.26%	0.0230	✓	0.66
2026-06-04	oos	1.466	1.4267	-2.68%	1.558	+6.28%	0.0908	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	1.781	1.6925	-4.97%	1.392	-21.84%	0.1646	✓	0.75
2026-06-02	oos	1.606	1.5393	-4.15%	1.584	-1.37%	0.1031	✗	0.96
2026-06-01	oos	1.336	1.305	-2.32%	1.467	+9.81%	0.2915	✗	1.42
2026-05-31	oos	1.377	1.3422	-2.53%	1.433	+4.07%	0.2820	✗	1.44
2026-05-30	oos	1.3695	1.3316	-2.77%	1.425	+4.05%	0.3297	✗	1.36
2026-05-29	oos	1.262	1.2265	-2.81%	1.503	+19.10%	0.4510	✗	1.35
2026-05-28	oos	1.174	1.1487	-2.15%	1.466	+24.87%	0.4351	✗	1.35
2026-05-27	oos	1.128	1.1057	-1.98%	1.781	+57.89%	0.6820	✗	1.38
2026-05-26	oos	1.184	1.16	-2.02%	1.606	+35.64%	0.5019	✗	1.37
2026-05-25	oos	1.384	1.3468	-2.69%	1.336	-3.47%	0.0895	✗	1.22
2026-05-24	oos	1.295	1.2589	-2.79%	1.377	+6.33%	0.1441	✗	1.21
2026-05-23	oos	1.2265	1.1939	-2.65%	1.3695	+11.66%	0.1826	✗	1.19
2026-05-22	oos	1.186	1.1498	-3.05%	1.262	+6.41%	0.1262	✗	1.18
2026-05-21	oos	1.431	1.3516	-5.55%	1.174	-17.96%	0.0832	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	1.278	1.2119	-5.17%	1.128	-11.74%	0.0264	✓	1.09
2026-05-19	oos	1.134	1.0861	-4.23%	1.184	+4.41%	0.0996	✗	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.954	0.928751	-2.65%	1.384	+45.07%	0.3945	✗	1.12
2026-05-17	oos	0.8635	0.848162	-1.78%	1.295	+49.97%	0.4296	✗	1.15
2026-05-16	oos	0.8775	0.862333	-1.73%	1.2265	+39.77%	0.3740	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.857	0.84382	-1.54%	1.186	+38.39%	0.3942	✗	1.15
2026-05-14	oos	0.915	0.900684	-1.56%	1.431	+56.39%	0.5137	✗	1.14
2026-05-13	oos	0.898	0.883023	-1.67%	1.278	+42.32%	0.3976	✗	1.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.9265	0.911452	-1.62%	1.134	+22.40%	0.2749	✗	1.19
2026-05-11	oos	0.9995	0.982217	-1.73%	0.954	-4.55%	0.0415	✗	1.17
2026-05-10	oos	1.059	1.0386	-1.93%	0.8635	-18.46%	0.1141	✓	1.17
2026-05-09	oos	1.053	1.0301	-2.17%	0.8775	-16.67%	0.1224	✓	1.18
2026-05-08	oos	1.077	1.0511	-2.41%	0.857	-20.43%	0.1874	✓	1.18
2026-05-07	oos	0.989	0.969171	-2.00%	0.915	-7.48%	0.0732	✓	1.17
2026-05-06	oos	0.954	0.939289	-1.54%	0.898	-5.87%	0.0119	✓	1.23
2026-05-05	oos	0.966	0.948791	-1.78%	0.9265	-4.09%	0.0183	✓	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.906	0.892487	-1.49%	0.9995	+10.32%	0.0904	✗	0.99
2026-05-03	oos	0.923	0.906733	-1.76%	1.059	+14.73%	0.1097	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.908	0.893491	-1.60%	1.053	+15.97%	0.1391	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.903	0.889393	-1.51%	1.077	+19.27%	0.1663	✗	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.8845	0.870475	-1.59%	0.989	+11.81%	0.0788	✗	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.9475	0.928158	-2.04%	0.954	+0.69%	0.0475	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.897	0.882644	-1.60%	0.966	+7.69%	0.0244	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8635	0.852441	-1.28%	0.906	+4.92%	0.0249	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.913	0.901609	-1.25%	0.923	+1.10%	0.0251	✗	1.15
2026-04-25	oos	0.93	0.916964	-1.40%	0.908	-2.37%	0.0252	✓	1.17
2026-04-24	oos	0.9475	0.934409	-1.38%	0.903	-4.70%	0.0461	✓	1.20
2026-04-23	oos	0.9245	0.916571	-0.86%	0.8845	-4.33%	0.0050	✓	1.20
2026-04-22	oos	0.8805	0.876483	-0.46%	0.9475	+7.61%	0.1161	✗	1.20
2026-04-21	oos	0.8975	0.888245	-1.03%	0.897	-0.06%	0.0103	✓	1.21
2026-04-20	oos	0.9005	0.890561	-1.10%	0.8635	-4.11%	0.0547	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.89	0.878443	-1.30%	0.913	+2.58%	0.0377	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.976	0.963049	-1.33%	0.93	-4.71%	0.0646	✓	1.19
2026-04-17	oos	1.0495	1.0354	-1.34%	0.9475	-9.72%	0.0943	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	1.043	1.0271	-1.52%	0.9245	-11.36%	0.1538	✓	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	1.0425	1.0266	-1.52%	0.8805	-15.54%	0.2062	✓	1.19
2026-04-14	oos	1.0235	1.0078	-1.53%	0.8975	-12.31%	0.1503	✓	1.19
2026-04-13	oos	1.1435	1.1241	-1.70%	0.9005	-21.25%	0.2443	✓	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	1.094	1.073	-1.92%	0.89	-18.65%	0.2380	✓	1.20
2026-04-11	oos	1.206	1.1811	-2.07%	0.976	-19.07%	0.2328	✓	1.18
2026-04-10	oos	1.136	1.1129	-2.03%	1.0495	-7.61%	0.1231	✓	1.18
2026-04-09	oos	1.016	0.997875	-1.78%	1.043	+2.66%	0.0088	✓	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.999	0.979855	-1.92%	1.0425	+4.35%	0.0026	✓	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	1.073	1.0497	-2.17%	1.0235	-4.61%	0.0610	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	1.0245	1.0021	-2.19%	1.1435	+11.62%	0.0422	✗	1.15
2026-04-05	oos	1.0095	0.988345	-2.10%	1.094	+8.37%	0.0728	✗	1.15
2026-04-04	oos	0.986	0.964533	-2.18%	1.206	+22.31%	0.1284	✗	1.15
2026-04-03	oos	0.989	0.965786	-2.35%	1.136	+14.86%	0.0629	✗	1.15
2026-04-02	oos	0.949	0.925592	-2.47%	1.016	+7.06%	0.0119	✓	1.15
2026-04-01	oos	0.889	0.873718	-1.72%	0.999	+12.37%	0.0843	✗	1.16
2026-03-31	oos	0.871	0.857092	-1.60%	1.073	+23.19%	0.1635	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.8075	0.800104	-0.92%	1.0245	+26.87%	0.2115	✗	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.8265	0.820425	-0.74%	1.0095	+22.14%	0.1554	✗	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.8575	0.850569	-0.81%	0.986	+14.99%	0.1310	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.8825	0.874947	-0.86%	0.989	+12.07%	0.1120	✗	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.912	0.901317	-1.17%	0.949	+4.06%	0.0835	✗	1.16
2026-03-25	oos	0.9945	0.981501	-1.31%	0.889	-10.61%	0.0468	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	1.0085	0.994496	-1.39%	0.871	-13.63%	0.0944	✓	1.15
2026-03-23	oos	0.954	0.94254	-1.20%	0.8075	-15.36%	0.0857	✓	1.15
2026-03-22	oos	0.9405	0.928735	-1.25%	0.8265	-12.12%	0.0837	✓	1.17
2026-03-21	oos	1.052	1.0356	-1.56%	0.8575	-18.49%	0.1445	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	1.064	1.049	-1.41%	0.8825	-17.06%	0.1028	✓	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	1.1945	1.1745	-1.67%	0.912	-23.65%	0.2334	✓	1.18
2026-03-18	oos	1.213	1.1926	-1.68%	0.9945	-18.01%	0.1826	✓	1.18
2026-03-17	oos	1.296	1.272	-1.85%	1.0085	-22.18%	0.1770	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	1.1645	1.1526	-1.02%	0.954	-18.08%	0.1239	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	1.087	1.0737	-1.22%	0.9405	-13.48%	0.0497	✓	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	1.107	1.0919	-1.37%	1.052	-4.97%	0.0020	✓	1.18
2026-03-13	oos	1.0995	1.0852	-1.30%	1.064	-3.23%	0.0123	✓	1.18
2026-03-12	oos	1.1525	1.1363	-1.41%	1.1945	+3.64%	0.0604	✗	1.19
2026-03-11	oos	1.0715	1.0586	-1.20%	1.213	+13.21%	0.1188	✗	1.18
2026-03-10	oos	1.055	1.0434	-1.10%	1.296	+22.84%	0.1517	✗	1.18
2026-03-09	oos	1.021	1.0125	-0.83%	1.1645	+14.05%	0.0340	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	1.019	1.0145	-0.45%	1.087	+6.67%	0.0494	✓	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	1.13	1.1151	-1.32%	1.107	-2.04%	0.0752	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	1.14	1.126	-1.23%	1.0995	-3.55%	0.0721	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	1.2085	1.1935	-1.24%	1.1525	-4.63%	0.0290	✓	1.18
2026-03-04	oos	1.373	1.3544	-1.35%	1.0715	-21.96%	0.1944	✓	1.15
2026-03-03	oos	1.301	1.2811	-1.53%	1.055	-18.91%	0.2217	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	1.357	1.3359	-1.55%	1.021	-24.76%	0.2620	✓	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	1.359	1.336	-1.69%	1.019	-25.02%	0.2746	✓	1.22
2026-02-28	oos	1.38	1.3568	-1.68%	1.13	-18.12%	0.1882	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	1.358	1.3358	-1.63%	1.14	-16.05%	0.1996	✓	1.22
2026-02-26	oos	1.4295	1.4048	-1.73%	1.2085	-15.46%	0.2103	✓	1.22
2026-02-25	oos	1.456	1.4285	-1.89%	1.373	-5.70%	0.1209	✓	1.22
2026-02-24	oos	1.4305	1.4042	-1.84%	1.301	-9.05%	0.1597	✓	1.29
2026-02-23	oos	1.386	1.3629	-1.67%	1.357	-2.09%	0.0858	✓	1.29
2026-02-22	oos	1.4465	1.4199	-1.84%	1.359	-6.05%	0.0078	✓	1.30
2026-02-21	oos	1.514	1.4851	-1.91%	1.38	-8.85%	0.0543	✓	1.30
2026-02-20	oos	1.532	1.503	-1.89%	1.358	-11.36%	0.0600	✓	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	1.476	1.4501	-1.75%	1.4295	-3.15%	0.0243	✓	1.30
2026-02-18	oos	1.445	1.4217	-1.61%	1.456	+0.76%	0.0065	✓	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	1.591	1.5595	-1.98%	1.4305	-10.09%	0.0196	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	1.687	1.6488	-2.27%	1.386	-17.84%	0.0922	✓	1.28
2026-02-15	oos	1.68	1.6416	-2.28%	1.4465	-13.90%	0.1044	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	1.645	1.6099	-2.13%	1.514	-7.96%	0.0272	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	1.5985	1.5673	-1.95%	1.532	-4.16%	0.0107	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	1.426	1.4164	-0.67%	1.476	+3.51%	0.0297	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	1.418	1.4107	-0.52%	1.445	+1.90%	0.0331	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	1.471	1.4566	-0.98%	1.591	+8.16%	0.1079	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	1.547	1.5249	-1.43%	1.687	+9.05%	0.1189	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	1.62	1.5931	-1.66%	1.68	+3.70%	0.0745	✗	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	1.63	1.6079	-1.36%	1.645	+0.92%	0.0150	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	1.664	1.6395	-1.47%	1.5985	-3.94%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	1.436	1.479	+3.00%	1.426	-0.70%	0.0895	✗	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	1.576	1.5604	-0.99%	1.418	-10.03%	0.0103	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	1.482	1.4712	-0.73%	1.471	-0.74%	0.0949	✗	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	1.593	1.5662	-1.68%	1.547	-2.89%	0.1029	✗	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	1.512	1.4975	-0.96%	1.62	+7.14%	0.1686	✗	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	1.564	1.5417	-1.43%	1.63	+4.22%	0.1830	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	1.723	1.6879	-2.04%	1.664	-3.42%	0.1619	✗	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	1.612	1.5819	-1.87%	1.436	-10.92%	0.2003	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	1.99	1.941	-2.46%	1.576	-20.80%	0.0083	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	1.939	1.8927	-2.39%	1.482	-23.57%	0.0809	✓	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	1.708	1.6732	-2.04%	1.593	-6.73%	0.0658	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	1.5775	1.5491	-1.80%	1.512	-4.15%	0.0942	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	1.806	1.7673	-2.14%	1.564	-13.40%	0.0024	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.