KAIA

Kaia · native · lstm_s6

token id: #105
symbol: KAIA
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-10-30
predictions: 2,139

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

70.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1563

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0464

actual -0.0578

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04027	0.036913	-8.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.041885	0.038306	-8.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-19	oos	0.040865	0.037184	-9.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.041415	0.038009	-8.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-17	oos	0.044045	0.04047	-8.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.04206	0.038757	-7.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-15	oos	0.04226	0.039023	-7.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.04303	0.039867	-7.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.046865	0.043113	-8.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.0451	0.041655	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.05169	0.047527	-8.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.05665	0.050439	-10.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.0605	0.051467	-14.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.03702	0.034311	-7.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.0382	0.035275	-7.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.03959	0.036669	-7.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.040385	0.037562	-6.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.03753	0.035161	-6.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.03741	0.035008	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.03605	0.033834	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-01	oos	0.036805	0.034421	-6.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-30	oos	0.034525	0.032412	-6.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-29	oos	0.033875	0.03184	-6.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-28	oos	0.032585	0.030764	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.03336	0.031511	-5.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.03517	0.032979	-6.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.034845	0.032771	-5.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-24	oos	0.033055	0.031279	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.031735	0.030107	-5.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-22	oos	0.031995	0.030546	-4.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-09-21	oos	0.032695	0.031274	-4.35%	0.04027	+23.17%	0.3165	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.030345	0.028854	-4.91%	0.041885	+38.03%	0.3427	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.0305	0.028994	-4.94%	0.040865	+33.98%	0.3329	✗	1.39
2026-09-18	oos	0.02997	0.028671	-4.33%	0.041415	+38.19%	0.3485	✗	1.38
2026-09-17	oos	0.0288	0.027229	-5.46%	0.044045	+52.93%	0.3893	✗	1.44
2026-09-16	oos	0.02783	0.026512	-4.74%	0.04206	+51.13%	0.3641	✗	1.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.027105	0.026223	-3.25%	0.04226	+55.91%	0.3591	✗	1.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.02897	0.027894	-3.71%	0.04303	+48.53%	0.3743	✗	1.39
2026-09-13	oos	0.029265	0.028033	-4.21%	0.046865	+60.14%	0.4035	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.0292	0.028076	-3.85%	0.0451	+54.45%	0.3949	✗	1.40
2026-09-11	oos	0.02925	0.02809	-3.97%	0.05169	+76.72%	0.4963	✗	1.41
2026-09-10	oos	0.02735	0.026308	-3.81%	0.05665	+107.13%	0.6553	✗	1.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.03007	0.029014	-3.51%	0.0605	+101.20%	0.6632	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.03181	0.02998	-5.75%	0.03702	+16.38%	0.1555	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.031045	0.029068	-6.37%	0.0382	+23.05%	0.2017	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.03147	0.029828	-5.22%	0.03959	+25.80%	0.1945	✗	1.41
2026-09-05	oos	0.03087	0.029484	-4.49%	0.040385	+30.82%	0.2143	✗	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.03047	0.029187	-4.21%	0.03753	+23.17%	0.1407	✗	1.35
2026-09-03	oos	0.030325	0.029957	-1.21%	0.03741	+23.36%	0.1646	✗	1.37
2026-09-02	oos	0.028055	0.027561	-1.76%	0.03605	+28.50%	0.1479	✗	1.35
2026-09-01	oos	0.02888	0.028256	-2.16%	0.036805	+27.44%	0.1391	✗	1.36
2026-08-31	oos	0.029425	0.028823	-2.05%	0.034525	+17.33%	0.0995	✗	1.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.02756	0.027077	-1.75%	0.033875	+22.91%	0.1293	✗	1.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.02883	0.028515	-1.09%	0.032585	+13.02%	0.0555	✗	1.21
2026-08-28	oos	0.028945	0.028768	-0.61%	0.03336	+15.25%	0.0494	✗	1.21
2026-08-27	oos	0.03171	0.031965	+0.80%	0.03517	+10.91%	0.0366	✓	1.17
2026-08-26	oos	0.032735	0.032455	-0.86%	0.034845	+6.45%	0.0027	✓	1.19
2026-08-25	oos	0.03205	0.032027	-0.07%	0.033055	+3.14%	0.0526	✓	1.17
2026-08-24	oos	0.030985	0.031526	+1.75%	0.031735	+2.42%	0.0712	✗	1.18
2026-08-23	oos	0.03155	0.031611	+0.19%	0.031995	+1.41%	0.1111	✗	1.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.031965	0.031768	-0.62%	0.032695	+2.28%	0.1105	✓	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.03001	0.030691	+2.27%	0.030345	+1.12%	0.0550	✗	1.23
2026-08-20	oos	0.02631	0.026108	-0.77%	0.0305	+15.93%	0.0362	✗	1.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.023895	0.023384	-2.14%	0.02997	+25.42%	0.0881	✗	1.04
2026-08-18	oos	0.021505	0.020602	-4.20%	0.0288	+33.92%	0.1795	✗	0.94
2026-08-17	oos	0.022885	0.022005	-3.85%	0.02783	+21.61%	0.0751	✗	0.96
2026-08-16	oos	0.022865	0.021689	-5.14%	0.027105	+18.54%	0.0423	✓	0.98
2026-08-15	oos	0.02387	0.022676	-5.00%	0.02897	+21.37%	0.0347	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.02463	0.023493	-4.62%	0.029265	+18.82%	0.0313	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.025825	0.024825	-3.87%	0.0292	+13.07%	0.0234	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.02619	0.025102	-4.15%	0.02925	+11.68%	0.0330	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.02685	0.025572	-4.76%	0.02735	+1.86%	0.1076	✓	0.94
2026-08-10	oos	0.02669	0.025333	-5.08%	0.03007	+12.66%	0.0178	✓	0.93
2026-08-09	oos	0.02702	0.025389	-6.04%	0.03181	+17.73%	0.0469	✓	0.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.02723	0.025806	-5.23%	0.031045	+14.01%	0.0008	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.02709	0.025888	-4.44%	0.03147	+16.17%	0.0081	✓	0.95
2026-08-06	oos	0.0267	0.025466	-4.62%	0.03087	+15.62%	0.0118	✓	0.94
2026-08-05	oos	0.02689	0.025579	-4.88%	0.03047	+13.31%	0.0239	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.026835	0.025818	-3.79%	0.030325	+13.01%	0.0624	✓	0.94
2026-08-03	oos	0.02633	0.025344	-3.74%	0.028055	+6.55%	0.0820	✓	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.0263	0.025298	-3.81%	0.02888	+9.81%	0.0529	✓	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.02558	0.024913	-2.61%	0.029425	+15.03%	0.0420	✓	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.025195	0.024711	-1.92%	0.02756	+9.39%	0.0876	✓	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.026255	0.025708	-2.08%	0.02883	+9.81%	0.0597	✓	0.92
2026-07-29	oos	0.02592	0.025411	-1.96%	0.028945	+11.67%	0.0477	✓	0.90
2026-07-28	oos	0.02609	0.02553	-2.15%	0.03171	+21.54%	0.0113	✓	0.90
2026-07-27	oos	0.025815	0.025064	-2.91%	0.032735	+26.81%	0.0732	✗	0.90
2026-07-26	oos	0.030265	0.028384	-6.22%	0.03205	+5.90%	0.0241	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.02982	0.028186	-5.48%	0.030985	+3.91%	0.0672	✓	0.79
2026-07-24	oos	0.03133	0.029629	-5.43%	0.03155	+0.70%	0.0894	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.031295	0.03001	-4.11%	0.031965	+2.14%	0.0718	✓	0.80
2026-07-22	oos	0.032075	0.030689	-4.32%	0.03001	-6.44%	0.1566	✓	0.79
2026-07-21	oos	0.03283	0.031279	-4.72%	0.02631	-19.86%	0.2466	✓	0.79
2026-07-20	oos	0.032295	0.030525	-5.48%	0.023895	-26.01%	0.2912	✓	0.76
2026-07-19	oos	0.03226	0.030309	-6.05%	0.021505	-33.34%	0.3432	✓	0.76
2026-07-18	oos	0.03293	0.031024	-5.79%	0.022885	-30.50%	0.3005	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.033005	0.030804	-6.67%	0.022865	-30.72%	0.2848	✓	0.80
2026-07-16	oos	0.03388	0.031791	-6.17%	0.02387	-29.55%	0.2769	✓	0.81
2026-07-15	oos	0.033825	0.032129	-5.01%	0.02463	-27.18%	0.2423	✓	0.86
2026-07-14	oos	0.0341	0.032415	-4.94%	0.025825	-24.27%	0.2063	✓	0.86
2026-07-13	oos	0.033925	0.032095	-5.39%	0.02619	-22.80%	0.2199	✓	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.035005	0.033223	-5.09%	0.02685	-23.30%	0.2100	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.034775	0.033081	-4.87%	0.02669	-23.25%	0.2166	✓	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.0349	0.033417	-4.25%	0.02702	-22.58%	0.2222	✓	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.03361	0.032235	-4.09%	0.02723	-18.98%	0.1920	✓	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.033225	0.031782	-4.34%	0.02709	-18.47%	0.1955	✓	0.86
2026-07-07	oos	0.03386	0.032336	-4.50%	0.0267	-21.15%	0.2042	✓	0.86
2026-07-06	oos	0.03386	0.032411	-4.28%	0.02689	-20.58%	0.1948	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.03527	0.033554	-4.86%	0.026835	-23.92%	0.2297	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.03527	0.033778	-4.23%	0.02633	-25.35%	0.2542	✓	0.86
2026-07-03	oos	0.03542	0.033538	-5.31%	0.0263	-25.75%	0.2561	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.03445	0.032726	-5.00%	0.02558	-25.75%	0.2633	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.03365	0.031816	-5.45%	0.025195	-25.13%	0.2714	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.03491	0.03237	-7.28%	0.026255	-24.79%	0.2936	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.034985	0.0328	-6.25%	0.02592	-25.91%	0.2869	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.034205	0.031637	-7.51%	0.02609	-23.72%	0.2542	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.03374	0.031658	-6.17%	0.025815	-23.49%	0.2567	✓	0.87
2026-06-26	oos	0.034035	0.031914	-6.23%	0.030265	-11.08%	0.1267	✓	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.03287	0.030757	-6.43%	0.02982	-9.28%	0.0945	✓	0.86
2026-06-24	oos	0.033615	0.031869	-5.19%	0.03133	-6.80%	0.0609	✓	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.036615	0.034539	-5.67%	0.031295	-14.53%	0.1303	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.037115	0.034991	-5.72%	0.032075	-13.58%	0.1144	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.035715	0.033509	-6.18%	0.03283	-8.08%	0.0620	✓	0.82
2026-06-20	oos	0.03611	0.034244	-5.17%	0.032295	-10.56%	0.0708	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.03627	0.034461	-4.99%	0.03226	-11.06%	0.0811	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.036305	0.034556	-4.82%	0.03293	-9.30%	0.0722	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03752	0.035786	-4.62%	0.033005	-12.03%	0.0741	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.03773	0.036093	-4.34%	0.03388	-10.20%	0.0402	✓	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.03768	0.036095	-4.21%	0.033825	-10.23%	0.0456	✓	0.81
2026-06-14	oos	0.037605	0.035846	-4.68%	0.0341	-9.32%	0.0410	✓	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.03622	0.034288	-5.33%	0.033925	-6.34%	0.0168	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.035945	0.034087	-5.17%	0.035005	-2.62%	0.0240	✓	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0362	0.034389	-5.00%	0.034775	-3.94%	0.0085	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.03395	0.032569	-4.07%	0.0349	+2.80%	0.0368	✓	0.76
2026-06-09	oos	0.0353	0.03405	-3.54%	0.03361	-4.79%	0.0310	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.03753	0.036376	-3.08%	0.033225	-11.47%	0.0810	✓	0.73
2026-06-07	oos	0.03645	0.035372	-2.96%	0.03386	-7.11%	0.0439	✓	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.03665	0.035529	-3.06%	0.03386	-7.61%	0.0890	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.03783	0.036567	-3.34%	0.03527	-6.77%	0.0703	✓	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.04057	0.038636	-4.77%	0.03527	-13.06%	0.0822	✓	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	0.04371	0.041164	-5.82%	0.03542	-18.97%	0.1318	✓	0.77
2026-06-02	oos	0.04449	0.041786	-6.08%	0.03445	-22.57%	0.1295	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.04831	0.04513	-6.58%	0.03365	-30.35%	0.1747	✓	0.69
2026-05-31	oos	0.046525	0.043731	-6.01%	0.03491	-24.97%	0.0545	✓	0.75
2026-05-30	oos	0.048565	0.045238	-6.85%	0.034985	-27.96%	0.1107	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0488	0.045403	-6.96%	0.034205	-29.91%	0.1323	✓	0.72
2026-05-28	oos	0.048795	0.045697	-6.35%	0.03374	-30.85%	0.1575	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.04745	0.044644	-5.91%	0.034035	-28.27%	0.1163	✓	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.048745	0.046027	-5.58%	0.03287	-32.57%	0.1648	✓	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	0.05025	0.047458	-5.56%	0.033615	-33.10%	0.1655	✓	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.05121	0.048228	-5.82%	0.036615	-28.50%	0.1192	✓	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.05229	0.049299	-5.72%	0.037115	-29.02%	0.1459	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.05241	0.049292	-5.95%	0.035715	-31.85%	0.1864	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.05381	0.050703	-5.77%	0.03611	-32.89%	0.1949	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.05157	0.049052	-4.88%	0.03627	-29.67%	0.1490	✓	0.77
2026-05-19	oos	0.0499	0.047746	-4.32%	0.036305	-27.24%	0.1224	✓	0.76
2026-05-18	oos	0.051035	0.04862	-4.73%	0.03752	-26.48%	0.1247	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.05121	0.04885	-4.61%	0.03773	-26.32%	0.1334	✓	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.04589	0.045331	-1.22%	0.03768	-17.89%	0.0559	✓	0.79
2026-05-15	oos	0.04633	0.04644	+0.24%	0.037605	-18.83%	0.0623	✗	0.80
2026-05-14	oos	0.04779	0.04812	+0.69%	0.03622	-24.21%	0.0969	✗	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	0.047315	0.046947	-0.78%	0.035945	-24.03%	0.0885	✓	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.04733	0.047241	-0.19%	0.0362	-23.52%	0.0772	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	0.048525	0.048223	-0.62%	0.03395	-30.04%	0.1322	✓	0.77
2026-05-10	oos	0.049455	0.04916	-0.60%	0.0353	-28.62%	0.1116	✓	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.04786	0.047588	-0.57%	0.03753	-21.58%	0.0512	✓	0.76
2026-05-08	oos	0.04894	0.048652	-0.59%	0.03645	-25.52%	0.1094	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.0471	0.047067	-0.07%	0.03665	-22.19%	0.0410	✓	0.76
2026-05-06	oos	0.04704	0.048168	+2.40%	0.03783	-19.58%	0.0089	✓	0.87
2026-05-05	oos	0.04714	0.048186	+2.22%	0.04057	-13.94%	0.0437	✓	0.91
2026-05-04	oos	0.04624	0.046766	+1.14%	0.04371	-5.47%	0.1306	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.04557	0.04629	+1.58%	0.04449	-2.37%	0.1102	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04565	0.046422	+1.69%	0.04831	+5.83%	0.1334	✓	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.04549	0.045799	+0.68%	0.046525	+2.28%	0.0741	✓	0.95
2026-04-30	oos	0.04543	0.044809	-1.37%	0.048565	+6.90%	0.1122	✗	0.94
2026-04-29	oos	0.04595	0.045399	-1.20%	0.0488	+6.20%	0.1023	✗	0.94
2026-04-28	oos	0.047225	0.046473	-1.59%	0.048795	+3.32%	0.0856	✗	0.98
2026-04-27	oos	0.047815	0.047905	+0.19%	0.04745	-0.76%	0.0299	✓	0.98
2026-04-26	oos	0.048465	0.049598	+2.34%	0.048745	+0.58%	0.0190	✓	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.048825	0.049384	+1.14%	0.05025	+2.92%	0.0224	✓	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.048445	0.048811	+0.75%	0.05121	+5.71%	0.0544	✓	1.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.048575	0.049669	+2.25%	0.05229	+7.65%	0.0727	✓	1.01
2026-04-22	oos	0.047775	0.049669	+3.96%	0.05241	+9.70%	0.0902	✓	1.02
2026-04-21	oos	0.04836	0.0494	+2.15%	0.05381	+11.27%	0.0695	✓	1.03
2026-04-20	oos	0.04868	0.048812	+0.27%	0.05157	+5.94%	0.0333	✓	1.03
2026-04-19	oos	0.04712	0.047273	+0.32%	0.0499	+5.90%	0.0132	✓	1.04
2026-04-18	oos	0.049175	0.049813	+1.30%	0.051035	+3.78%	0.0078	✓	1.04
2026-04-17	oos	0.051505	0.052625	+2.17%	0.05121	-0.57%	0.0314	✗	1.04
2026-04-16	oos	0.04826	0.0485	+0.50%	0.04589	-4.91%	0.0949	✗	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.047365	0.047201	-0.35%	0.04633	-2.19%	0.0751	✓	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.047	0.046723	-0.59%	0.04779	+1.68%	0.0694	✓	1.03
2026-04-13	oos	0.048025	0.047462	-1.17%	0.047315	-1.48%	0.0678	✓	1.03
2026-04-12	oos	0.046555	0.045308	-2.68%	0.04733	+1.66%	0.0914	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.04747	0.046317	-2.43%	0.048525	+2.22%	0.0707	✓	1.05
2026-04-10	oos	0.04756	0.046173	-2.92%	0.049455	+3.98%	0.0559	✓	1.05
2026-04-09	oos	0.047155	0.045473	-3.57%	0.04786	+1.50%	0.0711	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.046845	0.045346	-3.20%	0.04894	+4.47%	0.0504	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.047935	0.046435	-3.13%	0.0471	-1.74%	0.0978	✓	1.05
2026-04-06	oos	0.046955	0.044818	-4.55%	0.04704	+0.18%	0.1308	✓	1.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.047035	0.044934	-4.47%	0.04714	+0.22%	0.1221	✓	1.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.04762	0.045272	-4.93%	0.04624	-2.90%	0.1666	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.049055	0.046522	-5.16%	0.04557	-7.10%	0.1976	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.049145	0.046492	-5.40%	0.04565	-7.11%	0.1979	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.04795	0.045491	-5.13%	0.04549	-5.13%	0.1549	✓	1.12
2026-03-31	oos	0.046625	0.04458	-4.39%	0.04543	-2.56%	0.1064	✓	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.04476	0.042809	-4.36%	0.04595	+2.66%	0.0704	✓	1.11
2026-03-29	oos	0.044945	0.04317	-3.95%	0.047225	+5.07%	0.0730	✓	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.04481	0.043073	-3.88%	0.047815	+6.71%	0.0676	✓	1.12
2026-03-27	oos	0.04618	0.044578	-3.47%	0.048465	+4.95%	0.1066	✓	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.04903	0.046715	-4.72%	0.048825	-0.42%	0.0909	✓	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.05073	0.048194	-5.00%	0.048445	-4.50%	0.0871	✓	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.051635	0.048614	-5.85%	0.048575	-5.93%	0.1175	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.051015	0.048639	-4.66%	0.047775	-6.35%	0.1281	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.050285	0.047475	-5.59%	0.04836	-3.83%	0.1162	✓	1.14
2026-03-21	oos	0.050655	0.047781	-5.67%	0.04868	-3.90%	0.0912	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.051575	0.048622	-5.73%	0.04712	-8.64%	0.0841	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.05155	0.048773	-5.39%	0.049175	-4.61%	0.0832	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.053645	0.050797	-5.31%	0.051505	-3.99%	0.0776	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.05554	0.053278	-4.07%	0.04826	-13.11%	0.1182	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	0.056025	0.054417	-2.87%	0.047365	-15.46%	0.1380	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	0.054755	0.052408	-4.29%	0.047	-14.16%	0.1308	✓	1.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.05436	0.051519	-5.23%	0.048025	-11.65%	0.1232	✓	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.05408	0.051135	-5.45%	0.046555	-13.91%	0.0906	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.054775	0.051592	-5.81%	0.04747	-13.34%	0.1261	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.0551	0.051872	-5.86%	0.04756	-13.68%	0.1337	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.055055	0.05178	-5.95%	0.047155	-14.35%	0.1247	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.05061	0.047884	-5.39%	0.046845	-7.44%	0.0670	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.049545	0.046589	-5.97%	0.047935	-3.25%	0.0743	✓	1.19
2026-03-07	oos	0.05329	0.049479	-7.15%	0.046955	-11.89%	0.0800	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	0.052835	0.049262	-6.76%	0.047035	-10.98%	0.0617	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	0.0539	0.050661	-6.01%	0.04762	-11.65%	0.0004	✓	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.05495	0.051823	-5.69%	0.049055	-10.73%	0.0436	✓	1.20
2026-03-03	oos	0.0539	0.049824	-7.56%	0.049145	-8.82%	0.0129	✓	1.25
2026-03-02	oos	0.055295	0.051134	-7.53%	0.04795	-13.28%	0.0512	✓	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.05467	0.050554	-7.53%	0.046625	-14.72%	0.1269	✓	1.26
2026-02-28	oos	0.05555	0.051364	-7.54%	0.04476	-19.42%	0.1333	✓	1.24
2026-02-27	oos	0.055635	0.051453	-7.52%	0.044945	-19.21%	0.1371	✓	1.25
2026-02-26	oos	0.056585	0.052267	-7.63%	0.04481	-20.81%	0.1320	✓	1.25
2026-02-25	oos	0.05706	0.052719	-7.61%	0.04618	-19.07%	0.1018	✓	1.25
2026-02-24	oos	0.053045	0.049118	-7.40%	0.04903	-7.57%	0.0904	✓	1.25
2026-02-23	oos	0.05339	0.048905	-8.40%	0.05073	-4.98%	0.0844	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.055435	0.050631	-8.67%	0.051635	-6.85%	0.0327	✓	1.24
2026-02-21	oos	0.05691	0.051985	-8.65%	0.051015	-10.36%	0.0709	✓	1.24
2026-02-20	oos	0.05648	0.051736	-8.40%	0.050285	-10.97%	0.0259	✓	1.24
2026-02-19	oos	0.055895	0.051337	-8.15%	0.050655	-9.37%	0.0488	✓	1.24
2026-02-18	oos	0.056555	0.052035	-7.99%	0.051575	-8.81%	0.0833	✓	1.25
2026-02-17	oos	0.05746	0.052676	-8.33%	0.05155	-10.29%	0.0656	✓	1.23
2026-02-16	oos	0.058155	0.053916	-7.29%	0.053645	-7.76%	0.0472	✓	1.24
2026-02-15	oos	0.057145	0.053304	-6.72%	0.05554	-2.81%	0.0480	✓	1.24
2026-02-14	oos	0.06086	0.056153	-7.73%	0.056025	-7.94%	0.0890	✓	1.23
2026-02-13	oos	0.05754	0.053575	-6.89%	0.054755	-4.84%	0.0474	✓	1.22
2026-02-12	oos	0.056635	0.053084	-6.27%	0.05436	-4.02%	0.0667	✓	1.24
2026-02-11	oos	0.05547	0.052343	-5.64%	0.05408	-2.51%	0.0381	✓	1.25
2026-02-10	oos	0.05428	0.050999	-6.05%	0.054775	+0.91%	0.0400	✓	1.27
2026-02-09	oos	0.055225	0.051812	-6.18%	0.0551	-0.23%	0.0596	✓	1.27
2026-02-08	oos	0.055525	0.052505	-5.44%	0.055055	-0.85%	0.0532	✓	1.27
2026-02-07	oos	0.055175	0.052885	-4.15%	0.05061	-8.27%	0.0289	✓	1.28
2026-02-06	oos	0.05691	0.054458	-4.31%	0.049545	-12.94%	0.0099	✓	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.049765	0.049499	-0.53%	0.05329	+7.08%	0.0147	✓	1.29
2026-02-04	oos	0.05809	0.054774	-5.71%	0.052835	-9.05%	0.0654	✗	1.46
2026-02-03	oos	0.05907	0.055449	-6.13%	0.0539	-8.75%	0.0681	✗	1.48
2026-02-02	oos	0.06336	0.058908	-7.03%	0.05495	-13.27%	0.0482	✓	1.49
2026-02-01	oos	0.05406	0.051712	-4.34%	0.0539	-0.30%	0.2096	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.05533	0.052846	-4.49%	0.055295	-0.06%	0.2422	✗	1.48
2026-01-30	oos	0.057685	0.054548	-5.44%	0.05467	-5.23%	0.3886	✗	1.57
2026-01-29	oos	0.057685	0.054721	-5.14%	0.05555	-3.70%	0.3810	✗	1.57
2026-01-28	oos	0.06564	0.061443	-6.39%	0.055635	-15.24%	0.3590	✗	1.51
2026-01-27	oos	0.0742	0.068522	-7.65%	0.056585	-23.74%	0.2340	✗	1.53
2026-01-26	oos	0.072245	0.066386	-8.11%	0.05706	-21.02%	0.2419	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.07789	0.069249	-11.09%	0.053045	-31.90%	0.2063	✗	1.57
2026-01-24	oos	0.09534	0.077895	-18.30%	0.05339	-44.00%	0.0906	✓	1.46
2026-01-23	oos	0.07218	0.063284	-12.33%	0.055435	-23.20%	0.2778	✗	1.46
2026-01-22	oos	0.05231	0.049725	-4.94%	0.05691	+8.79%	0.5308	✗	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	0.052375	0.050076	-4.39%	0.05648	+7.84%	0.5137	✗	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.0505	0.048632	-3.70%	0.055895	+10.68%	0.5358	✗	1.43
2026-01-19	oos	0.05454	0.052314	-4.08%	0.056555	+3.69%	0.5516	✗	1.43
2026-01-18	oos	0.05534	0.053067	-4.11%	0.05746	+3.83%	0.5449	✗	1.42
2026-01-17	oos	0.05924	0.056452	-4.71%	0.058155	-1.83%	0.4816	✗	1.40
2026-01-16	oos	0.05968	0.056917	-4.63%	0.057145	-4.25%	0.4652	✗	1.41
2026-01-15	oos	0.06045	0.057473	-4.92%	0.06086	+0.68%	0.4998	✗	1.41
2026-01-14	oos	0.06351	0.0603	-5.05%	0.05754	-9.40%	0.4341	✗	1.40
2026-01-13	oos	0.06458	0.060791	-5.87%	0.056635	-12.30%	0.4474	✗	1.42
2026-01-12	oos	0.060695	0.056813	-6.40%	0.05547	-8.61%	0.4118	✗	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.063625	0.059249	-6.88%	0.05428	-14.69%	0.3107	✗	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.06391	0.059469	-6.95%	0.055225	-13.59%	0.2924	✗	1.44
2026-01-09	oos	0.065735	0.061322	-6.71%	0.055525	-15.53%	0.2663	✗	1.44
2026-01-08	oos	0.066905	0.062372	-6.78%	0.055175	-17.53%	0.2659	✗	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.06723	0.062691	-6.75%	0.05691	-15.35%	0.3532	✗	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.07016	0.064981	-7.38%	0.049765	-29.07%	0.4336	✗	1.75
2026-01-05	oos	0.06713	0.063309	-5.69%	0.05809	-13.47%	0.3514	✗	1.74
2026-01-04	oos	0.06232	0.058031	-6.88%	0.05907	-5.22%	0.3449	✗	1.72
2026-01-03	oos	0.05887	0.055385	-5.92%	0.06336	+7.63%	0.3755	✗	1.71
2026-01-02	oos	0.05862	0.054852	-6.43%	0.05406	-7.78%	0.2525	✗	1.70
2026-01-01	oos	0.05654	0.052806	-6.60%	0.05533	-2.14%	0.2510	✗	1.69
2025-12-31	oos	0.055285	0.052021	-5.90%	0.057685	+4.34%	0.1697	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.05597	0.052729	-5.79%	0.057685	+3.06%	0.1650	✗	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.05549	0.052196	-5.94%	0.06564	+18.29%	0.1909	✗	1.65
2025-12-28	oos	0.05652	0.052864	-6.47%	0.0742	+31.28%	0.3160	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	0.05792	0.054225	-6.38%	0.072245	+24.73%	0.2787	✗	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	0.055645	0.052031	-6.49%	0.07789	+39.98%	0.4171	✗	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.05553	0.052009	-6.34%	0.09534	+71.69%	0.5710	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.057815	0.05414	-6.36%	0.07218	+24.85%	0.2535	✗	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.058405	0.054744	-6.27%	0.05231	-10.44%	0.0817	✓	1.57
2025-12-22	oos	0.059805	0.056033	-6.31%	0.052375	-12.42%	0.0818	✓	1.57
2025-12-21	oos	0.05937	0.056119	-5.48%	0.0505	-14.94%	0.0997	✓	1.57
2025-12-20	oos	0.060085	0.056579	-5.84%	0.05454	-9.23%	0.1109	✓	1.58
2025-12-19	oos	0.060155	0.057116	-5.05%	0.05534	-8.00%	0.1281	✓	1.58
2025-12-18	oos	0.055325	0.052882	-4.42%	0.05924	+7.08%	0.0525	✓	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.06288	0.059549	-5.30%	0.05968	-5.09%	0.1552	✓	1.54
2025-12-16	oos	0.071135	0.066938	-5.90%	0.06045	-15.02%	0.2289	✓	1.50
2025-12-15	oos	0.07128	0.065623	-7.94%	0.06351	-10.90%	0.2070	✓	1.51
2025-12-14	oos	0.07386	0.067741	-8.28%	0.06458	-12.56%	0.1671	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	0.07598	0.070393	-7.35%	0.060695	-20.12%	0.1639	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.07473	0.069899	-6.46%	0.063625	-14.86%	0.1040	✓	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	0.07647	0.072622	-5.03%	0.06391	-16.42%	0.0915	✓	1.53
2025-12-10	oos	0.07613	0.072846	-4.31%	0.065735	-13.65%	0.0772	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	0.07899	0.075629	-4.26%	0.066905	-15.30%	0.0949	✓	1.52
2025-12-08	oos	0.07802	0.074425	-4.61%	0.06723	-13.83%	0.1121	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	0.07829	0.074642	-4.66%	0.07016	-10.38%	0.1167	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	0.078055	0.073809	-5.44%	0.06713	-14.00%	0.1719	✓	1.53
2025-12-05	oos	0.07697	0.073113	-5.01%	0.06232	-19.03%	0.1963	✓	1.54
2025-12-04	oos	0.080285	0.076471	-4.75%	0.05887	-26.67%	0.2363	✓	1.54
2025-12-03	oos	0.080975	0.077532	-4.25%	0.05862	-27.61%	0.2206	✓	1.55
2025-12-02	oos	0.07936	0.075638	-4.69%	0.05654	-28.76%	0.2466	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.0755	0.071918	-4.74%	0.055285	-26.77%	0.2856	✓	1.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.074537	-4.75%	0.05597	-28.47%	0.2500	✓	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.078775	0.074986	-4.81%	0.05549	-29.56%	0.2323	✓	1.65
2025-11-28	oos	0.07946	0.075626	-4.83%	0.05652	-28.87%	0.2355	✓	1.65
2025-11-27	oos	0.08123	0.077033	-5.17%	0.05792	-28.70%	0.2206	✓	1.65
2025-11-26	oos	0.08201	0.077902	-5.01%	0.055645	-32.15%	0.2774	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.081745	0.077583	-5.09%	0.05553	-32.07%	0.3314	✓	1.71
2025-11-24	oos	0.08123	0.077346	-4.78%	0.057815	-28.83%	0.2783	✓	1.71
2025-11-23	oos	0.07965	0.076237	-4.29%	0.058405	-26.67%	0.2786	✓	1.71
2025-11-22	oos	0.07711	0.074684	-3.15%	0.059805	-22.44%	0.2991	✓	1.72
2025-11-21	oos	0.076	0.074398	-2.11%	0.05937	-21.88%	0.2962	✓	1.72
2025-11-20	oos	0.079975	0.077147	-3.54%	0.060085	-24.87%	0.2849	✓	1.71
2025-11-19	oos	0.083305	0.07972	-4.30%	0.060155	-27.79%	0.2147	✓	1.78
2025-11-18	oos	0.085825	0.081756	-4.74%	0.055325	-35.54%	0.2415	✓	1.78
2025-11-17	oos	0.084675	0.080619	-4.79%	0.06288	-25.74%	0.1303	✓	1.79
2025-11-16	oos	0.087205	0.08254	-5.35%	0.071135	-18.43%	0.0234	✓	1.80
2025-11-15	oos	0.087915	0.083159	-5.41%	0.07128	-18.92%	0.0274	✓	1.81
2025-11-14	oos	0.086695	0.082589	-4.74%	0.07386	-14.80%	0.0138	✓	1.81
2025-11-13	oos	0.093305	0.088144	-5.53%	0.07598	-18.57%	0.0337	✓	1.85
2025-11-12	oos	0.097945	0.092126	-5.94%	0.07473	-23.70%	0.0090	✓	1.84
2025-11-11	oos	0.098925	0.093027	-5.96%	0.07647	-22.70%	0.0061	✓	1.77
2025-11-10	oos	0.104335	0.097758	-6.30%	0.07613	-27.03%	0.0007	✓	1.77
2025-11-09	oos	0.10086	0.094678	-6.13%	0.07899	-21.68%	0.0347	✓	1.77
2025-11-08	oos	0.1009	0.094861	-5.98%	0.07802	-22.68%	0.0222	✓	1.80
2025-11-07	oos	0.0989	0.093526	-5.43%	0.07829	-20.84%	0.0577	✗	1.77
2025-11-06	oos	0.090015	0.086535	-3.87%	0.078055	-13.29%	0.1155	✗	1.73
2025-11-05	oos	0.091255	0.087445	-4.18%	0.07697	-15.65%	0.1355	✗	1.75
2025-11-04	oos	0.085255	0.08249	-3.24%	0.080285	-5.83%	0.1403	✗	1.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.092745	0.088504	-4.57%	0.080975	-12.69%	0.1385	✗	1.73
2025-11-02	oos	0.104155	0.098227	-5.69%	0.07936	-23.81%	0.1076	✗	1.68
2025-11-01	oos	0.105	0.098841	-5.87%	0.0755	-28.10%	0.1428	✗	1.69
2025-10-31	oos	0.103525	0.098121	-5.22%	0.07825	-24.41%	0.0973	✗	1.68
2025-10-30	oos	0.101955	0.096885	-4.97%	0.078775	-22.74%	0.0896	✗	1.68
2025-10-29	oos	0.107075	0.101312	-5.38%	0.07946	-25.79%	0.0771	✗	1.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.108125	0.102581	-5.13%	0.08123	-24.87%	0.1310	✗	1.72
2025-10-27	oos	0.110265	0.104356	-5.36%	0.08201	-25.62%	0.1574	✗	1.72
2025-10-26	oos	0.111155	0.10496	-5.57%	0.081745	-26.46%	0.2162	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.108175	0.102724	-5.04%	0.08123	-24.91%	0.1747	✗	1.74
2025-10-24	oos	0.108975	0.10335	-5.16%	0.07965	-26.91%	0.1688	✗	1.74
2025-10-23	oos	0.108495	0.103105	-4.97%	0.07711	-28.93%	0.1683	✗	1.75
2025-10-22	oos	0.104775	0.100071	-4.49%	0.076	-27.46%	0.1346	✗	1.74
2025-10-21	oos	0.105805	0.101509	-4.06%	0.079975	-24.41%	0.1543	✗	1.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.10745	0.103366	-3.80%	0.083305	-22.47%	0.1224	✗	1.78
2025-10-19	oos	0.106295	0.102877	-3.22%	0.085825	-19.26%	0.0984	✗	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.103095	0.100546	-2.47%	0.084675	-17.87%	0.0986	✗	1.78
2025-10-17	oos	0.102195	0.100748	-1.42%	0.087205	-14.67%	0.0728	✗	1.77
2025-10-16	oos	0.106325	0.104047	-2.14%	0.087915	-17.31%	0.0514	✗	1.77
2025-10-15	oos	0.110215	0.107811	-2.18%	0.086695	-21.34%	0.0618	✗	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.113465	0.11143	-1.79%	0.093305	-17.77%	0.0472	✗	1.77
2025-10-13	oos	0.118965	0.116807	-1.81%	0.097945	-17.67%	0.0462	✗	1.77
2025-10-12	oos	0.11111	0.109664	-1.30%	0.098925	-10.97%	0.0903	✗	1.75
2025-10-11	oos	0.105225	0.104455	-0.73%	0.104335	-0.85%	0.0764	✗	1.76
2025-10-10	oos	0.103165	0.102082	-1.05%	0.10086	-2.23%	0.1241	✗	1.79
2025-10-09	oos	0.139145	0.134848	-3.09%	0.1009	-27.49%	0.0801	✓	1.21
2025-10-08	oos	0.143215	0.139436	-2.64%	0.0989	-30.94%	0.1333	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.142045	0.137326	-3.32%	0.090015	-36.63%	0.2092	✓	1.18
2025-10-06	oos	0.150835	0.146266	-3.03%	0.091255	-39.50%	0.2652	✓	1.13
2025-10-05	oos	0.149505	0.144649	-3.25%	0.085255	-42.98%	0.3072	✓	1.13
2025-10-04	oos	0.150845	0.144835	-3.98%	0.092745	-38.52%	0.2884	✓	1.13
2025-10-03	oos	0.154465	0.148148	-4.09%	0.104155	-32.57%	0.2377	✓	1.13
2025-10-02	oos	0.155515	0.148652	-4.41%	0.105	-32.48%	0.2428	✓	1.14
2025-10-01	oos	0.155355	0.147776	-4.88%	0.103525	-33.36%	0.2609	✓	1.19
2025-09-30	oos	0.151005	0.142227	-5.81%	0.101955	-32.48%	0.2695	✓	1.22
2025-09-29	oos	0.153365	0.144243	-5.95%	0.107075	-30.18%	0.2502	✓	1.24
2025-09-28	oos	0.154735	0.144504	-6.61%	0.108125	-30.12%	0.2980	✓	1.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.151745	0.141396	-6.82%	0.110265	-27.34%	0.3002	✓	1.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.153365	0.142345	-7.19%	0.111155	-27.52%	0.3039	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.14934	0.137828	-7.71%	0.108175	-27.56%	0.2732	✓	1.30
2025-09-24	oos	0.151035	0.141052	-6.61%	0.108975	-27.85%	0.2296	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.150805	0.140332	-6.94%	0.108495	-28.06%	0.2333	✓	1.40
2025-09-22	oos	0.151295	0.140837	-6.91%	0.104775	-30.75%	0.2325	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.162385	0.150768	-7.15%	0.105805	-34.84%	0.2732	✓	1.31
2025-09-20	oos	0.156835	0.146611	-6.52%	0.10745	-31.49%	0.2448	✓	1.44
2025-09-19	oos	0.156755	0.146589	-6.49%	0.106295	-32.19%	0.2330	✓	1.41
2025-09-18	oos	0.15924	0.149688	-6.00%	0.103095	-35.26%	0.2460	✓	1.44
2025-09-17	oos	0.160025	0.149795	-6.39%	0.102195	-36.14%	0.2570	✓	1.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.