INIT

Initia · Initia · lstm_s6

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,614

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0977

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0190

actual -0.0067

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.12835	0.125021	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.1274	0.124084	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.12384	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.120586	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.122834	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.121104	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.122376	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.136928	-3.20%	0.12835	-9.26%	0.0790	✓	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.123321	-2.71%	0.1274	+0.51%	0.0159	✓	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.120619	-2.65%	0.1272	+2.66%	0.0543	✗	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.117548	-2.65%	0.12365	+2.40%	0.0499	✗	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.114806	-2.46%	0.12605	+7.09%	0.1056	✗	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.114728	-2.61%	0.1242	+5.43%	0.0910	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.107182	-2.30%	0.1256	+14.49%	0.1665	✗	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.111638	-2.54%	0.14145	+23.48%	0.2333	✗	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.114068	-2.51%	0.12675	+8.33%	0.1186	✗	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.110147	-2.35%	0.1239	+9.84%	0.1372	✗	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.115558	-2.65%	0.12075	+1.73%	0.0758	✗	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.114457	-2.71%	0.1177	+0.04%	0.0507	✗	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.109674	-2.81%	0.1178	+4.39%	0.0861	✗	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.107152	-2.72%	0.1097	-0.41%	0.0392	✗	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.102412	-2.51%	0.11455	+9.04%	0.1377	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.100874	-2.72%	0.117	+12.83%	0.1506	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.100001	-2.86%	0.1128	+9.57%	0.1055	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.087667	-2.27%	0.1187	+32.33%	0.2838	✗	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.087671	-2.26%	0.11765	+31.16%	0.2770	✗	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.091941	-2.40%	0.11285	+19.80%	0.2022	✗	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.097168	-2.69%	0.11015	+10.32%	0.1219	✗	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.097104	-2.80%	0.10505	+5.16%	0.0747	✗	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.086484	-2.50%	0.1037	+16.91%	0.1888	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.087842	-2.61%	0.10295	+14.14%	0.1812	✗	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.080579	-2.51%	0.0897	+8.53%	0.1380	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.071849	-2.38%	0.0897	+21.87%	0.1937	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.073854	-2.57%	0.0942	+24.27%	0.2159	✗	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.074056	-2.69%	0.09985	+31.21%	0.2707	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.073674	-3.06%	0.0999	+31.45%	0.2260	✗	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.066584	-2.51%	0.0887	+29.87%	0.2074	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.065616	-2.36%	0.0902	+34.23%	0.2185	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.068008	-2.43%	0.08265	+18.58%	0.1190	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.063548	-1.86%	0.0736	+13.67%	0.1082	✗	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.068305	-2.49%	0.0758	+8.21%	0.0701	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.068473	-2.46%	0.0761	+8.40%	0.0742	✗	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.068331	-2.52%	0.076	+8.42%	0.1080	✗	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.065139	-1.38%	0.0683	+3.41%	0.0674	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.065244	-1.00%	0.0672	+1.97%	0.0577	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.066933	-0.69%	0.0697	+3.41%	0.0494	✗	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.067686	+0.20%	0.06475	-4.15%	0.0097	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.068079	+0.56%	0.07005	+3.47%	0.0532	✓	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.064321	+1.45%	0.0702	+10.73%	0.1109	✓	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.063356	+2.43%	0.0701	+13.34%	0.1478	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.062384	+1.85%	0.06605	+7.84%	0.0465	✓	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.060745	+2.35%	0.0659	+11.04%	0.0698	✓	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.060504	+2.90%	0.0674	+14.63%	0.1025	✓	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.055971	+3.08%	0.06755	+24.40%	0.1576	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.058914	+3.27%	0.0677	+18.67%	0.1211	✓	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.055404	+3.37%	0.0634	+18.28%	0.1144	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.056572	+3.52%	0.06185	+13.17%	0.0783	✓	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.056625	+3.52%	0.06125	+11.97%	0.0983	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.05558	+3.50%	0.05935	+10.52%	0.0788	✓	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.056283	+3.37%	0.0588	+7.99%	0.0489	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.058609	+3.18%	0.0543	-4.40%	0.0755	✗	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.057089	+2.96%	0.05705	+2.89%	0.0159	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.059305	+2.69%	0.0536	-7.19%	0.0950	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.055519	+1.22%	0.05465	-0.36%	0.1131	✗	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.052546	-1.51%	0.0547	+2.53%	0.1021	✓	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.049911	-2.42%	0.0537	+4.99%	0.1511	✓	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.050103	-2.43%	0.05445	+6.04%	0.1528	✓	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.049616	-2.52%	0.0568	+11.59%	0.1161	✓	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.050171	-2.58%	0.05545	+7.67%	0.1372	✓	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.049829	-2.68%	0.05775	+12.79%	0.1096	✓	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.050218	-2.68%	0.05485	+6.30%	0.0787	✓	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.049816	-2.70%	0.05335	+4.20%	0.0393	✓	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.050888	-2.89%	0.05115	-2.39%	0.0159	✓	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.050987	-2.97%	0.05135	-2.28%	0.0034	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.051939	-3.28%	0.0509	-5.21%	0.0167	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.051254	-3.48%	0.0515	-3.01%	0.0394	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.04949	-3.15%	0.0512	+0.20%	0.0675	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.049164	-3.32%	0.0516	+1.47%	0.0634	✗	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.048967	-3.32%	0.0512	+1.09%	0.0656	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.047736	-3.37%	0.0524	+6.07%	0.1018	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.048097	-3.42%	0.05255	+5.52%	0.0809	✗	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.048336	-3.52%	0.0537	+7.19%	0.0822	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.049483	-3.73%	0.0531	+3.31%	0.0333	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.04755	-3.65%	0.0511	+3.55%	0.0362	✓	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.04673	-3.45%	0.05085	+5.06%	0.0926	✗	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.04642	-3.49%	0.05065	+5.30%	0.0748	✗	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.047566	-3.62%	0.0494	+0.10%	0.0342	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.049051	-3.63%	0.0498	-2.16%	0.0192	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.05243	-3.62%	0.0501	-7.90%	0.0144	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.053243	-3.89%	0.0514	-7.22%	0.0088	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.052912	-3.97%	0.04935	-10.44%	0.0479	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.053526	-4.08%	0.0484	-13.26%	0.0951	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.053495	-3.79%	0.0481	-13.49%	0.0700	✓	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.053278	-3.39%	0.04935	-10.52%	0.0324	✓	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.052083	-3.55%	0.0509	-5.74%	0.0016	✓	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.050811	-2.94%	0.0544	+3.92%	0.0579	✗	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.051203	-2.84%	0.0554	+5.12%	0.0870	✗	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.05105	-2.85%	0.0551	+4.85%	0.0731	✗	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.05149	-2.85%	0.0558	+5.28%	0.0594	✗	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.052986	-2.78%	0.0556	+2.02%	0.0258	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.053381	-2.68%	0.05515	+0.55%	0.0076	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.05185	-2.90%	0.054	+1.12%	0.0108	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.053652	-2.80%	0.05235	-5.16%	0.0408	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.054675	-2.80%	0.0527	-6.31%	0.0541	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.055404	-2.72%	0.05255	-7.73%	0.0488	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.053993	-2.72%	0.053	-4.50%	0.0290	✓	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.053224	-2.70%	0.0545	-0.37%	0.0205	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.053647	-2.46%	0.05485	-0.27%	0.0071	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.055951	-2.44%	0.0534	-6.89%	0.0160	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.056548	-2.50%	0.0552	-4.83%	0.0266	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.056909	-2.55%	0.05625	-3.68%	0.0226	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.056853	-2.48%	0.05695	-2.32%	0.0231	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.055827	-2.23%	0.0555	-2.80%	0.0322	✓	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.056212	-2.07%	0.0547	-4.70%	0.0643	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.051682	-1.37%	0.055	+4.96%	0.0102	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.05286	-1.29%	0.05735	+7.10%	0.0244	✗	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.051488	-1.08%	0.058	+11.43%	0.0597	✗	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.051968	-1.01%	0.0584	+11.24%	0.0715	✗	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.054639	-0.93%	0.0583	+5.71%	0.0286	✗	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.051322	-0.83%	0.0571	+10.34%	0.0811	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.052965	-0.81%	0.0574	+7.49%	0.0958	✗	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.058643	-0.94%	0.0524	-11.49%	0.0578	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.057996	-0.86%	0.05355	-8.46%	0.0304	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.055254	-0.80%	0.05205	-6.55%	0.0115	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.056505	-0.78%	0.0525	-7.81%	0.0177	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.057384	-0.81%	0.05515	-4.67%	0.0059	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.059155	-0.83%	0.05175	-13.24%	0.0908	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.05927	-0.89%	0.0534	-10.70%	0.0582	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.059711	-0.98%	0.0592	-1.82%	0.0310	✗	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.058122	-0.98%	0.0585	-0.34%	0.0389	✗	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.05905	-1.09%	0.0557	-6.70%	0.0239	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.058191	-1.12%	0.05695	-3.23%	0.0188	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.059428	-1.36%	0.05785	-3.98%	0.0260	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.057348	-1.12%	0.05965	+2.84%	0.0489	✗	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.053944	-1.02%	0.0598	+9.72%	0.0633	✗	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.056289	-1.16%	0.0603	+5.88%	0.0174	✗	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.057505	-1.02%	0.0587	+1.03%	0.0213	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.053776	-0.78%	0.0597	+10.15%	0.0724	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.052981	-0.41%	0.05885	+10.62%	0.0566	✗	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.055164	-0.43%	0.06025	+8.75%	0.0537	✗	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.058147	-0.77%	0.058	-1.02%	0.0007	✓	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.064242	-1.17%	0.0545	-16.15%	0.1346	✓	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.063051	-1.33%	0.05695	-10.88%	0.0441	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.069363	-3.66%	0.0581	-19.31%	0.1236	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.071037	-4.00%	0.0542	-26.76%	0.2082	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.066699	-2.91%	0.0532	-22.56%	0.1342	✓	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.061931	-1.38%	0.0554	-11.78%	0.0213	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.062432	-1.22%	0.0586	-7.28%	0.0047	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.066101	-1.56%	0.065	-3.20%	0.0516	✗	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.075684	-2.66%	0.0639	-17.81%	0.1201	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.079369	-2.85%	0.072	-11.87%	0.0714	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.079188	-2.60%	0.074	-8.98%	0.0526	✓	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.0809	-2.53%	0.0687	-17.23%	0.1492	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.079184	-2.12%	0.0628	-22.37%	0.2214	✓	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.083995	-2.33%	0.0632	-26.51%	0.2662	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.083271	-2.03%	0.06715	-21.00%	0.2011	✓	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.081525	-1.84%	0.07775	-6.38%	0.0433	✓	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.082843	-1.73%	0.0817	-3.08%	0.0154	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.082888	-1.62%	0.0813	-3.50%	0.0170	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.083962	-1.51%	0.083	-2.64%	0.0035	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.087168	-1.45%	0.0809	-8.54%	0.0629	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.093437	-1.59%	0.086	-9.43%	0.0735	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.095899	-1.84%	0.085	-13.00%	0.1161	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.102025	-2.09%	0.08305	-20.30%	0.1977	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.100196	-1.77%	0.0843	-17.35%	0.1649	✓	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.103226	-1.88%	0.08425	-19.91%	0.1953	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.108053	-2.48%	0.08525	-23.06%	0.2320	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.100197	-2.15%	0.08845	-13.62%	0.1228	✓	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.106876	-2.80%	0.09495	-13.64%	0.1200	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.098281	-1.57%	0.0977	-2.15%	0.0043	✓	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.089778	-0.91%	0.1042	+15.01%	0.1521	✗	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.089049	-1.06%	0.102	+13.33%	0.1215	✗	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.087847	-1.30%	0.1052	+18.20%	0.1520	✗	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.088043	-1.19%	0.1108	+24.35%	0.2146	✗	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.089344	-1.28%	0.1024	+13.15%	0.1208	✗	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.089345	-1.71%	0.10995	+20.96%	0.1715	✗	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.089259	-1.80%	0.09985	+9.85%	0.0576	✗	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.092782	-1.97%	0.0906	-4.28%	0.0696	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.088981	-1.52%	0.09	-0.39%	0.0137	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.089738	-1.06%	0.089	-1.87%	0.0071	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.087959	-1.45%	0.0891	-0.17%	0.0024	✓	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.091245	-1.73%	0.0905	-2.53%	0.0160	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.084485	-0.72%	0.0909	+6.82%	0.0934	✗	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.087661	-0.95%	0.0909	+2.71%	0.0615	✗	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.088309	-1.77%	0.09465	+5.28%	0.0697	✗	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.092664	-2.10%	0.09035	-4.54%	0.0411	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.08647	-2.18%	0.0907	+2.60%	0.0040	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.091986	-2.25%	0.08925	-5.15%	0.0504	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.089026	-1.52%	0.09285	+2.71%	0.0382	✗	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.085201	-1.95%	0.0851	-2.07%	0.0342	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.081884	-1.88%	0.0885	+6.05%	0.0420	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.07868	-1.77%	0.0899	+12.23%	0.1102	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.078391	-1.64%	0.09465	+18.76%	0.1733	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.07496	-2.01%	0.0884	+15.56%	0.1295	✗	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.080923	-2.03%	0.0941	+13.92%	0.1219	✗	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.08196	-2.08%	0.0904	+8.00%	0.0537	✗	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.078522	-2.09%	0.0869	+8.35%	0.0645	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.080191	-2.27%	0.08345	+1.71%	0.0018	✓	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.08006	-2.25%	0.0801	-2.20%	0.0247	✓	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.082642	-2.83%	0.0797	-6.29%	0.1031	✓	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.077676	-2.54%	0.0765	-4.02%	0.0367	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.079598	-2.81%	0.0826	+0.85%	0.0342	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.080079	-2.93%	0.0837	+1.45%	0.0304	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.078007	-2.92%	0.0802	-0.19%	0.0335	✓	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.076444	-2.68%	0.08205	+4.46%	0.0333	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.073554	-2.45%	0.0819	+8.62%	0.0611	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.07493	-2.69%	0.08505	+10.45%	0.0988	✗	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.075915	-2.80%	0.0797	+2.05%	0.0082	✓	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.077218	-2.87%	0.0819	+3.02%	0.0459	✗	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.07479	-2.74%	0.0825	+7.28%	0.0900	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.081044	-2.82%	0.08035	-3.66%	0.0152	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.079893	-2.57%	0.07855	-4.21%	0.0235	✓	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.082382	-2.85%	0.0754	-11.08%	0.0589	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.078675	-2.51%	0.077	-4.58%	0.0320	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.074792	-2.49%	0.0781	+1.83%	0.0683	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.075162	-2.39%	0.0795	+3.25%	0.0901	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.077749	-2.33%	0.0769	-3.39%	0.0423	✗	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.079497	-2.46%	0.0834	+2.33%	0.0626	✗	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.08341	-2.44%	0.082	-4.09%	0.0178	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.090739	-2.22%	0.0848	-8.62%	0.0259	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.08818	-1.91%	0.0807	-10.23%	0.0390	✓	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.089722	-2.48%	0.0767	-16.63%	0.0913	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.088944	-2.79%	0.077	-15.85%	0.1134	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.082223	-2.69%	0.0796	-5.80%	0.0265	✓	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.08691	-3.00%	0.0815	-9.04%	0.0561	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.086794	-3.02%	0.0855	-4.47%	0.0289	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.082008	-2.83%	0.0928	+9.95%	0.0718	✗	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.078904	-2.95%	0.0899	+10.58%	0.0461	✗	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.078435	-3.29%	0.092	+13.44%	0.0644	✗	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.081823	-3.28%	0.0915	+8.16%	0.0568	✗	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.084108	-3.44%	0.0845	-2.99%	0.0335	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.079144	-2.29%	0.0896	+10.62%	0.1291	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.077436	-1.86%	0.0895	+13.43%	0.1794	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.08151	-2.62%	0.0844	+0.84%	0.0089	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.078604	-2.11%	0.0813	+1.25%	0.0401	✗	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.07424	-1.54%	0.0811	+7.56%	0.0852	✗	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.078197	-1.82%	0.0846	+6.21%	0.0740	✗	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.079497	-1.85%	0.0871	+7.53%	0.0545	✗	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.080123	-1.93%	0.081	-0.86%	0.0432	✓	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.080312	-1.76%	0.0789	-3.49%	0.0913	✓	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.080539	-1.66%	0.0837	+2.20%	0.0374	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.083548	-2.28%	0.0803	-6.08%	0.1132	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.087295	-2.74%	0.0754	-15.99%	0.1141	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.091367	-3.06%	0.07965	-15.49%	0.1202	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.097165	-3.37%	0.081	-19.44%	0.1451	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.097421	-3.59%	0.0817	-19.15%	0.1850	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.09782	-3.91%	0.08175	-19.70%	0.2075	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.107979	-4.78%	0.0819	-27.78%	0.2203	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.118639	-6.80%	0.0855	-32.84%	0.2603	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.102325	-6.30%	0.08975	-17.81%	0.1130	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.069581	-1.65%	0.09425	+33.22%	0.3330	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.068328	-1.33%	0.10055	+45.20%	0.3998	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.070233	-1.22%	0.10105	+42.12%	0.3505	✗	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.069914	-1.11%	0.1018	+43.99%	0.3861	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.065214	-0.81%	0.1134	+72.47%	0.5761	✗	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.065988	-0.84%	0.1273	+91.28%	0.6779	✗	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.067369	-0.71%	0.1092	+60.94%	0.5082	✗	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.070347	-0.64%	0.07075	-0.07%	0.0036	✓	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.069088	-0.59%	0.06925	-0.36%	0.0316	✗	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.061543	+0.64%	0.0711	+16.27%	0.0805	✓	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.071742	-0.50%	0.0707	-1.94%	0.0990	✗	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.077411	-0.88%	0.06575	-15.81%	0.0397	✓	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.079889	-1.68%	0.06655	-18.09%	0.0318	✓	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.080714	-1.69%	0.06785	-17.36%	0.0546	✓	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.085116	-2.61%	0.0708	-18.99%	0.0108	✓	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.103488	-3.46%	0.0695	-35.17%	0.1906	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.086233	-2.56%	0.06115	-30.90%	0.0095	✓	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.094598	-2.98%	0.0721	-26.05%	0.0448	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.089519	-2.70%	0.0781	-15.11%	0.0545	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.087133	-2.75%	0.08125	-9.32%	0.0630	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.087471	-3.13%	0.0821	-9.08%	0.0756	✗	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.087068	-2.72%	0.0874	-2.35%	0.1543	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.079717	-2.07%	0.1072	+31.70%	0.3710	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.07893	-1.95%	0.0885	+9.94%	0.1831	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.079244	-1.93%	0.0975	+20.67%	0.2101	✗	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.077719	-1.75%	0.092	+16.31%	0.1576	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.083464	-2.04%	0.0896	+5.16%	0.1287	✗	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.0916	-2.34%	0.0903	-3.73%	0.0811	✗	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.09044	-2.23%	0.0895	-3.24%	0.0695	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.09364	-2.36%	0.0814	-15.12%	0.0600	✓	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.092473	-2.76%	0.0805	-15.35%	0.0573	✓	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.090552	-2.21%	0.0808	-12.74%	0.0123	✓	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.088159	-2.26%	0.0791	-12.31%	0.0126	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.080056	-2.25%	0.0852	+4.03%	0.0444	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.084358	-2.70%	0.0938	+8.19%	0.0695	✗	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.086838	-2.43%	0.0925	+3.93%	0.0002	✓	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.089048	-2.47%	0.0959	+5.04%	0.0038	✓	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.08975	-2.45%	0.0951	+3.37%	0.0080	✓	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.090363	-2.52%	0.0926	-0.11%	0.0930	✓	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.094098	-2.39%	0.0902	-6.43%	0.0768	✓	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.095419	-2.43%	0.0819	-16.26%	0.0958	✓	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.095576	-2.67%	0.0867	-11.71%	0.0838	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.094021	-2.67%	0.089	-7.87%	0.0499	✓	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.091734	-2.72%	0.0913	-3.18%	0.0172	✓	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.0876	-2.77%	0.092	+2.11%	0.0018	✓	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.084754	-2.80%	0.0927	+6.31%	0.0060	✓	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.086641	-2.87%	0.0964	+8.07%	0.0097	✓	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.086575	-3.05%	0.0978	+9.52%	0.0254	✓	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.085478	-2.98%	0.0982	+11.46%	0.0590	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.090042	-3.49%	0.0966	+3.54%	0.0092	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.098921	-4.52%	0.0943	-8.98%	0.1072	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.087193	-4.08%	0.0901	-0.88%	0.0022	✓	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.080932	-3.31%	0.0872	+4.18%	0.0771	✗	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.080703	-3.23%	0.0892	+6.95%	0.0784	✗	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.081559	-3.25%	0.0893	+5.93%	0.1233	✗	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.081061	-3.15%	0.0881	+5.26%	0.1004	✗	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.084057	-3.49%	0.0933	+7.12%	0.1161	✗	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.081902	-3.19%	0.1036	+22.46%	0.2532	✗	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.075742	-1.51%	0.0909	+18.21%	0.1434	✗	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.080206	-1.71%	0.0837	+2.57%	0.0109	✓	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.084539	-1.93%	0.0834	-3.25%	0.0040	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.081928	-1.41%	0.0843	+1.44%	0.0197	✓	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.083764	-1.34%	0.0837	-1.41%	0.0113	✓	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.087817	-1.44%	0.0871	-2.24%	0.0350	✗	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.085365	-1.31%	0.0846	-2.20%	0.0399	✗	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.089583	-1.12%	0.0769	-15.12%	0.0067	✓	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.092632	-1.14%	0.0816	-12.91%	0.0047	✓	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.097217	-1.20%	0.0862	-12.40%	0.0125	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.092903	-1.06%	0.0831	-11.50%	0.0161	✓	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.089689	-0.90%	0.0849	-6.19%	0.0052	✓	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.098083	-1.13%	0.0891	-10.18%	0.1185	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.099411	-0.99%	0.0865	-13.84%	0.1604	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.101758	-1.01%	0.0906	-11.87%	0.1262	✓	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.101351	-1.02%	0.0937	-8.50%	0.0465	✓	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.103079	-0.89%	0.0984	-5.38%	0.0785	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.100871	-0.91%	0.0939	-7.76%	0.1838	✓	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.114818	-1.15%	0.0905	-22.08%	0.2388	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.113356	-1.17%	0.0992	-13.51%	0.0947	✓	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.115552	-1.24%	0.1004	-14.19%	0.1019	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.120128	-1.49%	0.1028	-15.70%	0.1747	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.109567	-1.02%	0.1024	-7.50%	0.1381	✓	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.106585	-0.99%	0.104	-3.39%	0.1235	✓	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.10665	-0.98%	0.1018	-5.48%	0.0040	✓	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.105818	-0.92%	0.11615	+8.75%	0.0025	✓	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.103769	-0.79%	0.1147	+9.66%	0.0629	✓	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.10976	-0.98%	0.117	+5.55%	0.0900	✓	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.126674	-1.61%	0.12195	-5.28%	0.1603	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.117969	-1.20%	0.1107	-7.29%	0.0352	✓	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.11729	-1.23%	0.10765	-9.35%	0.0768	✗	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.117387	-1.19%	0.1077	-9.34%	0.0258	✗	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.11871	-1.32%	0.1068	-11.22%	0.1100	✗	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.123216	-1.62%	0.1046	-16.49%	0.1562	✗	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.118908	-1.36%	0.11085	-8.05%	0.2082	✗	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.121838	-1.78%	0.12875	+3.79%	0.4526	✗	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.123985	-1.99%	0.1194	-5.61%	0.2634	✗	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.121141	-1.79%	0.11875	-3.73%	0.2770	✗	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.129538	-2.24%	0.1188	-10.34%	0.3188	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.128951	-2.16%	0.1203	-8.73%	0.2388	✗	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.128708	-1.79%	0.12525	-4.43%	0.1743	✗	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.130757	-1.72%	0.12055	-9.39%	0.1773	✗	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.11546	-0.94%	0.12405	+6.44%	0.1194	✗	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.11811	-0.91%	0.1265	+6.12%	0.1313	✗	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.11529	-0.53%	0.12335	+6.43%	0.0241	✗	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.121355	-0.81%	0.1325	+8.30%	0.1044	✗	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.136236	-1.06%	0.1318	-4.28%	0.1322	✗	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.135348	-0.92%	0.13105	-4.06%	0.1917	✗	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.133503	-0.85%	0.13305	-1.19%	0.1787	✗	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.136019	-0.75%	0.11655	-14.96%	0.0535	✗	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.153572	-0.89%	0.1192	-23.07%	0.0752	✓	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.157615	-0.84%	0.1159	-27.08%	0.0246	✗	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.161193	-0.87%	0.12235	-24.75%	0.0631	✓	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.172418	-0.94%	0.1377	-20.88%	0.1140	✓	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.168643	-0.97%	0.1366	-19.79%	0.1647	✓	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.170664	-0.92%	0.13465	-21.83%	0.1943	✓	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.164936	-0.85%	0.13705	-17.61%	0.1328	✓	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.158601	-0.69%	0.15495	-2.97%	0.0945	✓	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.166258	-0.77%	0.15895	-5.13%	0.1756	✓	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.179258	-0.83%	0.1626	-10.04%	0.1967	✓	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.17945	-0.77%	0.17405	-3.76%	0.1946	✓	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.174095	-0.63%	0.1703	-2.80%	0.1491	✓	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.172382	-0.44%	0.17225	-0.52%	0.1313	✓	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.176499	-0.48%	0.16635	-6.20%	0.1140	✓	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.183494	-0.57%	0.1597	-13.47%	0.0458	✓	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.194806	-0.69%	0.16755	-14.58%	0.0164	✓	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.208583	-0.84%	0.18075	-14.07%	0.0121	✓	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.192134	-0.73%	0.18085	-6.56%	0.1179	✗	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.173953	-0.14%	0.1752	+0.57%	0.1089	✗	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.193569	-0.38%	0.17315	-10.89%	0.0727	✗	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.303768	-1.36%	0.17735	-42.41%	0.2663	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.317804	-1.33%	0.18455	-42.70%	0.2989	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.307953	-1.42%	0.19615	-37.21%	0.2592	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.334404	-1.36%	0.21035	-37.95%	0.2518	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.315783	-1.44%	0.19355	-39.59%	0.3009	✓	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.320302	-1.57%	0.1742	-46.47%	0.3378	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.329924	-1.97%	0.1943	-42.27%	0.3146	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.332787	-2.72%	0.30795	-9.98%	0.1022	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.317036	-2.12%	0.3221	-0.56%	0.0905	✓	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.304082	-2.21%	0.3124	+0.47%	0.1500	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.305335	-2.17%	0.339	+8.62%	0.1534	✓	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.312316	-2.42%	0.3204	+0.11%	0.2693	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.300582	-2.39%	0.3254	+5.67%	0.2609	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.304787	-2.52%	0.33655	+7.64%	0.2370	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.292551	-2.14%	0.3421	+14.43%	0.1546	✓	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.316749	-2.42%	0.3239	-0.22%	0.1226	✓	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.309873	-2.43%	0.31095	-2.09%	0.0542	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.317803	-2.44%	0.3121	-4.19%	0.0627	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.352777	-2.49%	0.32005	-11.54%	0.0138	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.359244	-2.56%	0.30795	-16.48%	0.0104	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.361678	-2.74%	0.31265	-15.92%	0.0170	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.38533	-2.80%	0.29895	-24.59%	0.0359	✓	3.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.