DUST

Dust Protocol · Ethereum · lstm_s6

token id: #962
symbol: DUST
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb5b1b659da79a2507c27aad509f15b4874edc0cc
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-09-20
predictions: 504

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

165

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

61.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1245

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0072

actual -0.0341

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	1.3825	1.361	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	1.287	1.2098	-6.00%	1.3825	+7.42%	0.1312	✗	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	1.8375	1.812	-1.39%	1.287	-29.96%	0.3551	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	3.069	3.0527	-0.53%	1.8375	-40.13%	0.5210	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	3.3675	3.341	-0.79%	3.069	-8.86%	0.0828	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	3.591	3.548	-1.20%	3.3675	-6.22%	0.0599	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	11.643	11.432	-1.81%	3.591	-69.16%	1.1565	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	2.3095	2.0749	-10.16%	11.643	+404.14%	1.7324	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	2.983	2.6142	-12.36%	2.3095	-22.58%	0.1307	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	4.08	3.5604	-12.74%	2.983	-26.89%	0.1583	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	5.507	4.8686	-11.59%	4.08	-25.91%	0.1932	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	9.143	8.5219	-6.79%	5.507	-39.77%	0.4132	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	17.2505	16.8577	-2.28%	9.143	-47.00%	0.6210	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	16.7145	15.7967	-5.49%	17.2505	+3.21%	0.0836	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	17.1645	15.3374	-10.64%	16.7145	-2.62%	0.0756	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	24.5085	22.2197	-9.34%	17.1645	-29.97%	0.2390	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	43.547	42.7932	-1.73%	24.5085	-43.72%	0.5305	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	85.4585	84.8208	-0.75%	43.547	-49.04%	0.6643	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000375	0.000373297	-0.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.0003798	0.000377897	-0.50%	0.000375	-1.26%	0.0229	✗	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0002495	0.000249507	+0.00%	0.0003798	+52.22%	0.3638	✓	0.91
2026-03-02	oos	0.000269	0.000268915	-0.03%	0.0002495	-7.25%	0.0684	✓	0.91
2026-03-01	oos	0.0003089	0.00030852	-0.12%	0.000269	-12.92%	0.1821	✓	0.99
2026-02-28	oos	0.0002702	0.000270181	-0.01%	0.0003089	+14.32%	0.1514	✗	0.97
2026-02-27	oos	0.000281	0.000280966	-0.01%	0.0002702	-3.84%	0.0554	✓	0.98
2026-02-26	oos	0.0003102	0.00030986	-0.11%	0.000281	-9.41%	0.0742	✓	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.0003015	0.000301272	-0.08%	0.0003102	+2.89%	0.0364	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.0002788	0.000278861	+0.02%	0.0003015	+8.14%	0.0225	✓	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.0003029	0.000302807	-0.03%	0.0002788	-7.96%	0.0746	✓	0.92
2026-02-22	oos	0.0003044	0.000304221	-0.06%	0.0003029	-0.49%	0.0382	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.000332	0.00033142	-0.17%	0.0003044	-8.31%	0.0803	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0003075	0.000307265	-0.08%	0.000332	+7.97%	0.0778	✗	0.91
2026-02-19	oos	0.0003268	0.000326344	-0.14%	0.0003075	-5.91%	0.0734	✓	0.93
2026-02-18	oos	0.0002994	0.000299244	-0.05%	0.0003268	+9.15%	0.0806	✗	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	0.0003045	0.000304271	-0.08%	0.0002994	-1.67%	0.0008	✓	0.98
2026-02-16	oos	0.000321	0.000320553	-0.14%	0.0003045	-5.14%	0.0310	✓	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.0003145	0.000314066	-0.14%	0.000321	+2.07%	0.0208	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.0004106	0.000407071	-0.86%	0.0003145	-23.40%	0.2433	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	0.0003676	0.000365696	-0.52%	0.0004106	+11.70%	0.1023	✗	0.96
2026-02-12	oos	0.0003237	0.000322803	-0.28%	0.0003676	+13.56%	0.0964	✗	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0003279	0.000326827	-0.33%	0.0003237	-1.28%	0.0001	✓	0.78
2026-02-10	oos	0.0002921	0.000291538	-0.19%	0.0003279	+12.26%	0.1395	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.0002267	0.000226884	+0.08%	0.0002921	+28.85%	0.2691	✓	0.88
2026-02-08	oos	0.0002387	0.000238892	+0.08%	0.0002267	-5.03%	0.0501	✗	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	0.0002066	0.000207246	+0.31%	0.0002387	+15.54%	0.1288	✓	0.84
2026-02-06	oos	0.0002125	0.000213208	+0.33%	0.0002066	-2.78%	0.0155	✗	0.87
2026-02-05	oos	0.0002125	0.00021353	+0.48%	0.0002125	+0.00%	0.1263	✗	1.05
2026-02-04	oos	0.0002217	0.000222554	+0.39%	0.0002125	-4.15%	0.1943	✓	1.60
2026-02-03	oos	0.0002649	0.000265549	+0.24%	0.0002217	-16.31%	0.1252	✗	1.54
2026-02-02	oos	0.0002687	0.000269309	+0.23%	0.0002649	-1.41%	0.0463	✓	1.61
2026-02-01	oos	0.0002536	0.000254537	+0.37%	0.0002687	+5.95%	0.0217	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.0002719	0.000272785	+0.33%	0.0002536	-6.73%	0.0358	✗	1.65
2026-01-30	oos	0.0003096	0.000309993	+0.13%	0.0002719	-12.18%	0.0146	✗	1.73
2026-01-29	oos	0.0003448	0.000344992	+0.06%	0.0003096	-10.21%	0.1001	✗	1.71
2026-01-28	oos	0.0004135	0.000412963	-0.13%	0.0003448	-16.61%	0.0948	✓	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.0003523	0.00035233	+0.01%	0.0004135	+17.37%	0.1593	✓	1.59
2026-01-26	oos	0.0003453	0.000345515	+0.06%	0.0003523	+2.03%	0.0047	✓	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.0003455	0.000345934	+0.13%	0.0003453	-0.06%	0.0315	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.0003931	0.000393123	+0.01%	0.0003455	-12.11%	0.0865	✗	1.49
2026-01-23	oos	0.0004106	0.000410571	-0.01%	0.0003931	-4.26%	0.0367	✓	1.54
2026-01-22	oos	0.0004048	0.000404929	+0.03%	0.0004106	+1.43%	0.0137	✓	1.54
2026-01-21	oos	0.0003609	0.000361428	+0.15%	0.0004048	+12.16%	0.1117	✓	1.49
2026-01-20	oos	0.0004058	0.000406245	+0.11%	0.0003609	-11.06%	0.1387	✗	1.72
2026-01-19	oos	0.0004472	0.000447251	+0.01%	0.0004058	-9.26%	0.0179	✗	1.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.0005101	0.000509826	-0.05%	0.0004472	-12.33%	0.1103	✓	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.000523	0.000522641	-0.07%	0.0005101	-2.47%	0.0023	✗	1.70
2026-01-16	oos	0.0005419	0.00054145	-0.08%	0.000523	-3.49%	0.0276	✓	1.70
2026-01-15	oos	0.0005259	0.000525572	-0.06%	0.0005419	+3.04%	0.0320	✗	1.66
2026-01-14	oos	0.000571	0.00057039	-0.11%	0.0005259	-7.90%	0.0577	✓	1.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.000582	0.000581343	-0.11%	0.000571	-1.89%	0.0440	✓	1.59
2026-01-12	oos	0.00055	0.00054974	-0.05%	0.000582	+5.82%	0.0270	✓	1.87
2026-01-11	oos	0.0006007	0.000600135	-0.09%	0.00055	-8.44%	0.0937	✓	1.88
2026-01-10	oos	0.0006509	0.000649896	-0.15%	0.0006007	-7.71%	0.0889	✓	1.86
2026-01-09	oos	0.0005548	0.000554653	-0.03%	0.0006509	+17.32%	0.1632	✗	2.04
2026-01-08	oos	0.0005809	0.000580639	-0.04%	0.0005548	-4.49%	0.0340	✓	2.04
2026-01-07	oos	0.0005789	0.00057867	-0.04%	0.0005809	+0.35%	0.0095	✗	2.04
2026-01-06	oos	0.0006551	0.00065425	-0.13%	0.0005789	-11.63%	0.0693	✓	2.01
2026-01-05	oos	0.0006891	0.000687867	-0.18%	0.0006551	-4.93%	0.0456	✓	2.01
2026-01-04	oos	0.0006673	0.000666326	-0.15%	0.0006891	+3.27%	0.0179	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0006284	0.000627777	-0.10%	0.0006673	+6.19%	0.0415	✗	1.99
2026-01-02	oos	0.0006276	0.000627012	-0.09%	0.0006284	+0.13%	0.0119	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.0005885	0.000588219	-0.05%	0.0006276	+6.64%	0.0381	✗	1.96
2025-12-31	oos	0.0005725	0.000572404	-0.02%	0.0005885	+2.79%	0.0003	✗	1.95
2025-12-30	oos	0.0006205	0.000620131	-0.06%	0.0005725	-7.74%	0.0593	✓	2.02
2025-12-29	oos	0.0006005	0.000600371	-0.02%	0.0006205	+3.33%	0.0045	✗	1.94
2025-12-28	oos	0.0006155	0.00061531	-0.03%	0.0006005	-2.44%	0.0073	✓	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.0005888	0.000588875	+0.01%	0.0006155	+4.53%	0.0429	✓	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.0006277	0.000627667	-0.01%	0.0005888	-6.20%	0.0734	✓	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.0006123	0.000612538	+0.04%	0.0006277	+2.52%	0.0221	✓	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.0005917	0.000592222	+0.09%	0.0006123	+3.48%	0.0416	✓	1.65
2025-12-23	oos	0.0006153	0.000615877	+0.09%	0.0005917	-3.84%	0.0445	✗	2.18
2025-12-22	oos	0.0006817	0.000681894	+0.03%	0.0006153	-9.74%	0.0771	✗	2.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.000683	0.000683383	+0.06%	0.0006817	-0.19%	0.0006	✗	2.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.0006897	0.000690334	+0.09%	0.000683	-0.97%	0.0180	✗	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.0007056	0.000706488	+0.13%	0.0006897	-2.25%	0.0294	✗	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.0006154	0.000617538	+0.35%	0.0007056	+14.66%	0.0741	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.0006245	0.000626816	+0.37%	0.0006154	-1.46%	0.0013	✓	1.96
2025-12-16	oos	0.0007402	0.000742103	+0.26%	0.0006245	-15.63%	0.1362	✗	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.000814	0.000816007	+0.25%	0.0007402	-9.07%	0.1299	✗	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.000885	0.000886449	+0.16%	0.000814	-8.02%	0.0458	✗	1.97
2025-12-13	oos	0.001043	0.001044	+0.05%	0.000885	-15.15%	0.1198	✗	1.92
2025-12-12	oos	0.001028	0.001029	+0.08%	0.001043	+1.46%	0.0142	✓	1.92
2025-12-11	oos	0.001098	0.001098	+0.04%	0.001028	-6.38%	0.0182	✗	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.001227	0.001227	+0.01%	0.001098	-10.51%	0.1219	✗	1.96
2025-12-09	oos	0.001322	0.001322	-0.02%	0.001227	-7.19%	0.0606	✓	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.001345	0.001345	-0.01%	0.001322	-1.71%	0.0608	✓	1.96
2025-12-07	oos	0.001314	0.001314	+0.02%	0.001345	+2.36%	0.0177	✓	1.95
2025-12-06	oos	0.001435	0.001435	-0.02%	0.001314	-8.43%	0.1129	✓	1.98
2025-12-05	oos	0.001481	0.00148	-0.04%	0.001435	-3.11%	0.0295	✓	1.98
2025-12-04	oos	0.0015	0.001499	-0.07%	0.001481	-1.27%	0.0503	✗	2.06
2025-12-03	oos	0.001578	0.001576	-0.15%	0.0015	-4.94%	0.0188	✓	2.07
2025-12-02	oos	0.001595	0.001593	-0.15%	0.001578	-1.07%	0.0574	✓	2.08
2025-12-01	oos	0.001584	0.001583	-0.08%	0.001595	+0.69%	0.1168	✓	2.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.001536	0.001535	-0.08%	0.001584	+3.12%	0.1462	✗	2.48
2025-11-29	oos	0.001557	0.001555	-0.11%	0.001536	-1.35%	0.0001	✓	2.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.001533	0.001531	-0.11%	0.001557	+1.57%	0.0186	✗	2.48
2025-11-27	oos	0.001598	0.001595	-0.21%	0.001533	-4.07%	0.0282	✓	2.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.001618	0.001614	-0.23%	0.001598	-1.24%	0.0332	✓	2.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.001625	0.001622	-0.16%	0.001618	-0.43%	0.0922	✓	2.53
2025-11-24	oos	0.001518	0.001517	-0.04%	0.001625	+7.05%	0.0960	✗	2.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.001477	0.001477	+0.02%	0.001518	+2.78%	0.0151	✗	2.54
2025-11-22	oos	0.001585	0.001585	-0.01%	0.001477	-6.81%	0.1357	✓	2.63
2025-11-21	oos	0.001778	0.001772	-0.36%	0.001585	-10.85%	0.0994	✓	2.63
2025-11-20	oos	0.0017	0.001697	-0.20%	0.001778	+4.59%	0.0931	✗	2.70
2025-11-19	oos	0.002039	0.002025	-0.68%	0.0017	-16.63%	0.0225	✓	2.76
2025-11-18	oos	0.002417	0.002392	-1.02%	0.002039	-15.64%	0.1170	✓	2.71
2025-11-17	oos	0.00163	0.001626	-0.23%	0.002417	+48.28%	0.3743	✗	2.49
2025-11-16	oos	0.001676	0.00167	-0.37%	0.00163	-2.74%	0.0334	✗	2.57
2025-11-15	oos	0.001291	0.001292	+0.10%	0.001676	+29.82%	0.2997	✓	2.77
2025-11-14	oos	0.001511	0.001511	-0.02%	0.001291	-14.56%	0.1883	✓	2.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.001375	0.001375	+0.03%	0.001511	+9.89%	0.2886	✓	3.69
2025-11-12	oos	0.001551	0.001548	-0.20%	0.001375	-11.35%	0.0436	✓	3.72
2025-11-11	oos	0.001479	0.001477	-0.11%	0.001551	+4.87%	0.1001	✗	3.84
2025-11-10	oos	0.001588	0.001583	-0.31%	0.001479	-6.86%	0.0465	✗	4.03
2025-11-09	oos	0.001697	0.00169	-0.43%	0.001588	-6.42%	0.1115	✓	4.05
2025-11-08	oos	0.001556	0.001553	-0.21%	0.001697	+9.06%	0.0030	✓	3.95
2025-11-07	oos	0.001944	0.001932	-0.62%	0.001556	-19.96%	0.1786	✓	3.89
2025-11-06	oos	0.001653	0.001647	-0.37%	0.001944	+17.60%	0.0940	✗	3.68
2025-11-05	oos	0.001835	0.001825	-0.57%	0.001653	-9.92%	0.0033	✓	3.80
2025-11-04	oos	0.001752	0.001743	-0.50%	0.001835	+4.74%	0.0358	✓	3.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.001653	0.001646	-0.43%	0.001752	+5.99%	0.3060	✗	4.98
2025-11-02	oos	0.002404	0.002382	-0.92%	0.001653	-31.24%	0.1944	✓	4.66
2025-11-01	oos	0.00152	0.001516	-0.26%	0.002404	+58.16%	0.4413	✗	4.51
2025-10-31	oos	0.001665	0.001658	-0.41%	0.00152	-8.71%	0.1074	✓	4.51
2025-10-30	oos	0.001694	0.001687	-0.41%	0.001665	-1.71%	0.0644	✓	4.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.001772	0.001764	-0.46%	0.001694	-4.40%	0.0335	✗	4.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.001665	0.001659	-0.35%	0.001772	+6.43%	0.0916	✗	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.001847	0.001838	-0.48%	0.001665	-9.85%	0.0886	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.002006	0.001995	-0.57%	0.001847	-7.93%	0.0729	✓	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.001818	0.001811	-0.38%	0.002006	+10.34%	0.0768	✗	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.001771	0.001766	-0.29%	0.001818	+2.65%	0.0235	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.00206	0.002051	-0.44%	0.001771	-14.03%	0.1552	✓	1.00
2025-10-22	oos	0.00154	0.00154	+0.02%	0.00206	+33.77%	0.2675	✓	1.00
2025-10-21	oos	0.001366	0.001368	+0.13%	0.00154	+12.74%	0.1258	✓	1.00
2025-10-20	oos	0.001893	0.001891	-0.11%	0.001366	-27.84%	0.3050	✓	1.00
2025-10-19	oos	0.00229	0.002285	-0.20%	0.001893	-17.34%	0.2056	✓	1.00
2025-10-18	oos	0.002264	0.002261	-0.15%	0.00229	+1.15%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2025-10-17	oos	0.002704	0.002698	-0.24%	0.002264	-16.27%	0.1822	✓	1.00
2025-10-16	oos	0.002872	0.002864	-0.27%	0.002704	-5.85%	0.0414	✓	1.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.002684	0.002678	-0.24%	0.002872	+7.00%	0.0939	✗	1.00
2025-10-14	oos	0.004793	0.004763	-0.63%	0.002684	-44.00%	0.5533	✓	1.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.005014	0.00498	-0.67%	0.004793	-4.41%	0.0190	✓	1.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.006481	0.006425	-0.86%	0.005014	-22.64%	0.2498	✓	1.00
2025-10-11	oos	0.005207	0.005168	-0.74%	0.006481	+24.47%	0.1882	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.001539	0.001535	-0.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.001324	0.001321	-0.22%	0.001539	+16.24%	0.1363	✗	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.001319	0.001315	-0.30%	0.001324	+0.38%	0.0327	✓	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.001722	0.001719	-0.18%	0.001319	-23.40%	0.2622	✓	1.00