DUST

Dust Protocol · Ethereum · lstm_s6

token id: #962
symbol: DUST
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb5b1b659da79a2507c27aad509f15b4874edc0cc
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-09-20
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

164

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

60.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1201

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0161

actual -0.0319

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.9885	1.7903	-9.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	1.8375	1.586	-13.69%	1.9885	+8.22%	0.2291	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	3.069	2.832	-7.72%	1.8375	-40.13%	0.4459	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	3.3675	3.0582	-9.19%	3.069	-8.86%	0.0056	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	3.591	3.2109	-10.58%	3.3675	-6.22%	0.0399	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	11.643	10.6945	-8.15%	3.591	-69.16%	1.0898	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	2.3095	1.939	-16.04%	11.643	+404.14%	1.8001	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	2.983	2.4993	-16.22%	2.3095	-22.58%	0.0858	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	4.08	3.4113	-16.39%	2.983	-26.89%	0.1155	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	5.507	4.6218	-16.07%	4.08	-25.91%	0.1412	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	9.143	7.7668	-15.05%	5.507	-39.77%	0.3204	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	17.2505	15.2905	-11.36%	9.143	-47.00%	0.5235	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	16.7145	14.3974	-13.86%	17.2505	+3.21%	0.1764	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	17.1645	14.5857	-15.02%	16.7145	-2.62%	0.1259	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	24.5085	21.0303	-14.19%	17.1645	-29.97%	0.1839	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	43.547	40.0591	-8.01%	24.5085	-43.72%	0.4645	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	85.4585	83.7728	-1.97%	43.547	-49.04%	0.6518	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000375	0.000371964	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.0003798	0.000376274	-0.93%	0.000375	-1.26%	0.0272	✗	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0002495	0.000248569	-0.37%	0.0003798	+52.22%	0.3675	✗	0.91
2026-03-02	oos	0.000269	0.000267808	-0.44%	0.0002495	-7.25%	0.0643	✓	0.91
2026-03-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000307043	-0.60%	0.000269	-12.92%	0.1773	✓	0.99
2026-02-28	oos	0.0002702	0.000269006	-0.44%	0.0003089	+14.32%	0.1558	✗	0.97
2026-02-27	oos	0.000281	0.000279678	-0.47%	0.0002702	-3.84%	0.0508	✓	0.98
2026-02-26	oos	0.0003102	0.000308407	-0.58%	0.000281	-9.41%	0.0695	✓	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.0003015	0.000299848	-0.55%	0.0003102	+2.89%	0.0411	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.0002788	0.000277596	-0.43%	0.0003015	+8.14%	0.0270	✗	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.0003029	0.000301295	-0.53%	0.0002788	-7.96%	0.0696	✓	0.92
2026-02-22	oos	0.0003044	0.000302755	-0.54%	0.0003029	-0.49%	0.0430	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.000332	0.000329737	-0.68%	0.0003044	-8.31%	0.0752	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0003075	0.000305741	-0.57%	0.000332	+7.97%	0.0828	✗	0.91
2026-02-19	oos	0.0003268	0.000324555	-0.69%	0.0003075	-5.91%	0.0679	✓	0.93
2026-02-18	oos	0.0002994	0.000297808	-0.53%	0.0003268	+9.15%	0.0854	✗	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	0.0003045	0.00030279	-0.56%	0.0002994	-1.67%	0.0041	✓	0.98
2026-02-16	oos	0.000321	0.000318849	-0.67%	0.0003045	-5.14%	0.0256	✓	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.0003145	0.000312486	-0.64%	0.000321	+2.07%	0.0259	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.0004106	0.000403034	-1.84%	0.0003145	-23.40%	0.2333	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	0.0003676	0.000362782	-1.31%	0.0004106	+11.70%	0.1103	✗	0.96
2026-02-12	oos	0.0003237	0.000321285	-0.75%	0.0003676	+13.56%	0.1011	✗	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0003279	0.000325121	-0.85%	0.0003237	-1.28%	0.0051	✓	0.78
2026-02-10	oos	0.0002921	0.000290775	-0.45%	0.0003279	+12.26%	0.1421	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.0002267	0.000227272	+0.25%	0.0002921	+28.85%	0.2674	✓	0.88
2026-02-08	oos	0.0002387	0.00023932	+0.26%	0.0002267	-5.03%	0.0519	✗	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	0.0002066	0.000207748	+0.56%	0.0002387	+15.54%	0.1264	✓	0.84
2026-02-06	oos	0.0002125	0.000213706	+0.57%	0.0002066	-2.78%	0.0178	✗	0.87
2026-02-05	oos	0.0002125	0.000213912	+0.66%	0.0002125	+0.00%	0.1281	✗	1.05
2026-02-04	oos	0.0002217	0.000223008	+0.59%	0.0002125	-4.15%	0.1923	✓	1.60
2026-02-03	oos	0.0002649	0.000266031	+0.43%	0.0002217	-16.31%	0.1271	✗	1.54
2026-02-02	oos	0.0002687	0.000269769	+0.40%	0.0002649	-1.41%	0.0446	✓	1.61
2026-02-01	oos	0.0002536	0.000254997	+0.55%	0.0002687	+5.95%	0.0199	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.0002719	0.000273245	+0.49%	0.0002536	-6.73%	0.0375	✗	1.65
2026-01-30	oos	0.0003096	0.000310349	+0.24%	0.0002719	-12.18%	0.0158	✗	1.73
2026-01-29	oos	0.0003448	0.000345072	+0.08%	0.0003096	-10.21%	0.1003	✗	1.71
2026-01-28	oos	0.0004135	0.000411669	-0.44%	0.0003448	-16.61%	0.0917	✓	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.0003523	0.000352489	+0.05%	0.0004135	+17.37%	0.1588	✓	1.59
2026-01-26	oos	0.0003453	0.000346028	+0.21%	0.0003523	+2.03%	0.0032	✓	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.0003455	0.000346618	+0.32%	0.0003453	-0.06%	0.0334	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.0003931	0.000393232	+0.03%	0.0003455	-12.11%	0.0868	✗	1.49
2026-01-23	oos	0.0004106	0.000410478	-0.03%	0.0003931	-4.26%	0.0365	✓	1.54
2026-01-22	oos	0.0004048	0.000405141	+0.08%	0.0004106	+1.43%	0.0132	✓	1.54
2026-01-21	oos	0.0003609	0.000362234	+0.37%	0.0004048	+12.16%	0.1094	✓	1.49
2026-01-20	oos	0.0004058	0.000406682	+0.22%	0.0003609	-11.06%	0.1398	✗	1.72
2026-01-19	oos	0.0004472	0.000446583	-0.14%	0.0004058	-9.26%	0.0164	✓	1.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.0005101	0.000508609	-0.29%	0.0004472	-12.33%	0.1079	✓	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.000523	0.000521525	-0.28%	0.0005101	-2.47%	0.0045	✗	1.70
2026-01-16	oos	0.0005419	0.000540256	-0.30%	0.000523	-3.49%	0.0254	✓	1.70
2026-01-15	oos	0.0005259	0.000524482	-0.27%	0.0005419	+3.04%	0.0341	✗	1.66
2026-01-14	oos	0.000571	0.000569211	-0.31%	0.0005259	-7.90%	0.0557	✓	1.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.000582	0.000579833	-0.37%	0.000571	-1.89%	0.0414	✓	1.59
2026-01-12	oos	0.00055	0.000547986	-0.37%	0.000582	+5.82%	0.0238	✓	1.87
2026-01-11	oos	0.0006007	0.000597983	-0.45%	0.00055	-8.44%	0.0902	✓	1.88
2026-01-10	oos	0.0006509	0.000647309	-0.55%	0.0006007	-7.71%	0.0849	✓	1.86
2026-01-09	oos	0.0005548	0.000552807	-0.36%	0.0006509	+17.32%	0.1665	✗	2.04
2026-01-08	oos	0.0005809	0.000578632	-0.39%	0.0005548	-4.49%	0.0306	✓	2.04
2026-01-07	oos	0.0005789	0.000576699	-0.38%	0.0005809	+0.35%	0.0129	✗	2.04
2026-01-06	oos	0.0006551	0.000652063	-0.46%	0.0005789	-11.63%	0.0660	✓	2.01
2026-01-05	oos	0.0006891	0.000685494	-0.52%	0.0006551	-4.93%	0.0422	✓	2.01
2026-01-04	oos	0.0006673	0.000663752	-0.53%	0.0006891	+3.27%	0.0140	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0006284	0.0006254	-0.48%	0.0006673	+6.19%	0.0453	✗	1.99
2026-01-02	oos	0.0006276	0.000624627	-0.47%	0.0006284	+0.13%	0.0081	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.0005885	0.000586293	-0.38%	0.0006276	+6.64%	0.0413	✗	1.96
2025-12-31	oos	0.0005725	0.000570894	-0.28%	0.0005885	+2.79%	0.0029	✗	1.95
2025-12-30	oos	0.0006205	0.000618108	-0.39%	0.0005725	-7.74%	0.0560	✓	2.02
2025-12-29	oos	0.0006005	0.00059895	-0.26%	0.0006205	+3.33%	0.0069	✗	1.94
2025-12-28	oos	0.0006155	0.000613899	-0.26%	0.0006005	-2.44%	0.0050	✓	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.0005888	0.000588306	-0.08%	0.0006155	+4.53%	0.0439	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.0006277	0.000626901	-0.13%	0.0005888	-6.20%	0.0722	✓	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.0006123	0.000612496	+0.03%	0.0006277	+2.52%	0.0222	✓	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.0005917	0.000592796	+0.19%	0.0006123	+3.48%	0.0407	✓	1.65
2025-12-23	oos	0.0006153	0.000616576	+0.21%	0.0005917	-3.84%	0.0456	✗	2.18
2025-12-22	oos	0.0006817	0.000682252	+0.08%	0.0006153	-9.74%	0.0777	✗	2.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.000683	0.00068423	+0.18%	0.0006817	-0.19%	0.0018	✗	2.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.0006897	0.000691558	+0.27%	0.000683	-0.97%	0.0197	✗	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.0007056	0.000707938	+0.33%	0.0006897	-2.25%	0.0315	✗	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.0006154	0.000618873	+0.56%	0.0007056	+14.66%	0.0719	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.0006245	0.000628108	+0.58%	0.0006154	-1.46%	0.0033	✓	1.96
2025-12-16	oos	0.0007402	0.000743819	+0.49%	0.0006245	-15.63%	0.1385	✗	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.000814	0.000817716	+0.46%	0.0007402	-9.07%	0.1320	✗	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.000885	0.000888199	+0.36%	0.000814	-8.02%	0.0477	✗	1.97
2025-12-13	oos	0.001043	0.001043	+0.03%	0.000885	-15.15%	0.1196	✗	1.92
2025-12-12	oos	0.001028	0.001029	+0.12%	0.001043	+1.46%	0.0138	✓	1.92
2025-12-11	oos	0.001098	0.001097	-0.09%	0.001028	-6.38%	0.0169	✓	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.001227	0.001224	-0.28%	0.001098	-10.51%	0.1190	✓	1.96
2025-12-09	oos	0.001322	0.001317	-0.36%	0.001227	-7.19%	0.0571	✓	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.001345	0.00134	-0.38%	0.001322	-1.71%	0.0570	✓	1.96
2025-12-07	oos	0.001314	0.00131	-0.34%	0.001345	+2.36%	0.0213	✗	1.95
2025-12-06	oos	0.001435	0.001429	-0.43%	0.001314	-8.43%	0.1088	✓	1.98
2025-12-05	oos	0.001481	0.001474	-0.46%	0.001435	-3.11%	0.0252	✓	1.98
2025-12-04	oos	0.0015	0.001493	-0.46%	0.001481	-1.27%	0.0542	✗	2.06
2025-12-03	oos	0.001578	0.00157	-0.51%	0.0015	-4.94%	0.0152	✓	2.07
2025-12-02	oos	0.001595	0.001586	-0.55%	0.001578	-1.07%	0.0534	✓	2.08
2025-12-01	oos	0.001584	0.001575	-0.55%	0.001595	+0.69%	0.1120	✓	2.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.001536	0.001528	-0.50%	0.001584	+3.12%	0.1504	✗	2.48
2025-11-29	oos	0.001557	0.001549	-0.52%	0.001536	-1.35%	0.0042	✓	2.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.001533	0.001525	-0.50%	0.001557	+1.57%	0.0226	✗	2.48
2025-11-27	oos	0.001598	0.001589	-0.56%	0.001533	-4.07%	0.0246	✓	2.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.001618	0.001608	-0.59%	0.001598	-1.24%	0.0295	✓	2.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.001625	0.001615	-0.59%	0.001618	-0.43%	0.0879	✓	2.53
2025-11-24	oos	0.001518	0.001511	-0.47%	0.001625	+7.05%	0.1004	✗	2.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.001477	0.001472	-0.36%	0.001518	+2.78%	0.0113	✓	2.54
2025-11-22	oos	0.001585	0.001578	-0.43%	0.001477	-6.81%	0.1314	✓	2.63
2025-11-21	oos	0.001778	0.001765	-0.70%	0.001585	-10.85%	0.0959	✓	2.63
2025-11-20	oos	0.0017	0.00169	-0.61%	0.001778	+4.59%	0.0973	✗	2.70
2025-11-19	oos	0.002039	0.002015	-1.19%	0.0017	-16.63%	0.0173	✓	2.76
2025-11-18	oos	0.002417	0.002358	-2.46%	0.002039	-15.64%	0.1024	✓	2.71
2025-11-17	oos	0.00163	0.00162	-0.60%	0.002417	+48.28%	0.3781	✗	2.49
2025-11-16	oos	0.001676	0.001664	-0.71%	0.00163	-2.74%	0.0368	✗	2.57
2025-11-15	oos	0.001291	0.001292	+0.08%	0.001676	+29.82%	0.3000	✓	2.77
2025-11-14	oos	0.001511	0.001506	-0.32%	0.001291	-14.56%	0.1854	✓	2.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.001375	0.001373	-0.15%	0.001511	+9.89%	0.2904	✗	3.69
2025-11-12	oos	0.001551	0.001544	-0.45%	0.001375	-11.35%	0.0410	✓	3.72
2025-11-11	oos	0.001479	0.001474	-0.36%	0.001551	+4.87%	0.1026	✗	3.84
2025-11-10	oos	0.001588	0.00158	-0.50%	0.001479	-6.86%	0.0484	✗	4.03
2025-11-09	oos	0.001697	0.001687	-0.58%	0.001588	-6.42%	0.1100	✓	4.05
2025-11-08	oos	0.001556	0.00155	-0.40%	0.001697	+9.06%	0.0012	✓	3.95
2025-11-07	oos	0.001944	0.001928	-0.84%	0.001556	-19.96%	0.1764	✓	3.89
2025-11-06	oos	0.001653	0.001646	-0.44%	0.001944	+17.60%	0.0948	✗	3.68
2025-11-05	oos	0.001835	0.001822	-0.69%	0.001653	-9.92%	0.0021	✓	3.80
2025-11-04	oos	0.001752	0.001742	-0.55%	0.001835	+4.74%	0.0353	✓	3.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.001653	0.001645	-0.51%	0.001752	+5.99%	0.3069	✗	4.98
2025-11-02	oos	0.002404	0.002351	-2.20%	0.001653	-31.24%	0.1814	✓	4.66
2025-11-01	oos	0.00152	0.001517	-0.21%	0.002404	+58.16%	0.4408	✗	4.51
2025-10-31	oos	0.001665	0.001659	-0.38%	0.00152	-8.71%	0.1077	✓	4.51
2025-10-30	oos	0.001694	0.001688	-0.33%	0.001665	-1.71%	0.0652	✓	4.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.001772	0.001764	-0.43%	0.001694	-4.40%	0.0332	✗	4.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.001665	0.001661	-0.27%	0.001772	+6.43%	0.0907	✗	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.001847	0.001837	-0.53%	0.001665	-9.85%	0.0880	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.002006	0.001991	-0.77%	0.001847	-7.93%	0.0708	✓	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.001818	0.001813	-0.26%	0.002006	+10.34%	0.0755	✗	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.001771	0.00177	-0.08%	0.001818	+2.65%	0.0213	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.00206	0.002051	-0.46%	0.001771	-14.03%	0.1549	✓	1.00
2025-10-22	oos	0.00154	0.001545	+0.34%	0.00206	+33.77%	0.2643	✓	1.00
2025-10-21	oos	0.001366	0.001371	+0.39%	0.00154	+12.74%	0.1232	✓	1.00
2025-10-20	oos	0.001893	0.001893	+0.01%	0.001366	-27.84%	0.3062	✗	1.00
2025-10-19	oos	0.00229	0.002283	-0.31%	0.001893	-17.34%	0.2046	✓	1.00
2025-10-18	oos	0.002264	0.002258	-0.28%	0.00229	+1.15%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2025-10-17	oos	0.002704	0.002688	-0.60%	0.002264	-16.27%	0.1786	✓	1.00
2025-10-16	oos	0.002872	0.002849	-0.79%	0.002704	-5.85%	0.0362	✓	1.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.002684	0.002661	-0.84%	0.002872	+7.00%	0.0999	✗	1.00
2025-10-14	oos	0.004793	0.004724	-1.45%	0.002684	-44.00%	0.5451	✓	1.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.005014	0.004936	-1.56%	0.004793	-4.41%	0.0100	✓	1.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.006481	0.006352	-1.99%	0.005014	-22.64%	0.2383	✓	1.00
2025-10-11	oos	0.005207	0.005115	-1.77%	0.006481	+24.47%	0.1987	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.001539	0.001524	-1.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.001324	0.001294	-2.30%	0.001539	+16.24%	0.1574	✗	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.001319	0.001282	-2.82%	0.001324	+0.38%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.001722	0.001703	-1.11%	0.001319	-23.40%	0.2529	✓	1.00