CSPR

Casper Network · native · lstm_s6

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 255

Track record at +7d

assessed

78

of 85 predictions shown

direction hit

60.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0888

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0418

actual -0.0019

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.002272	0.002192	-3.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-21	oos	0.002269	0.002186	-3.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002168	-3.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002108	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002187	-3.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002252	-4.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002249	-4.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002218	-4.04%	0.002272	-1.70%	0.0099	✓	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002342	-4.34%	0.002269	-7.35%	0.0488	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002382	-4.32%	0.002253	-9.52%	0.0547	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002326	-4.47%	0.002189	-10.10%	0.0613	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002375	-4.35%	0.002275	-8.36%	0.0317	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002332	-4.53%	0.002348	-3.87%	0.0171	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002378	-4.78%	0.002345	-6.12%	0.0071	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002234	-4.65%	0.002311	-1.36%	0.0311	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.00232	-4.61%	0.002449	+0.71%	0.0651	✗	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002394	-4.23%	0.00249	-0.37%	0.0540	✗	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002493	-4.26%	0.002435	-6.48%	0.0003	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002478	-3.97%	0.002483	-3.79%	0.0185	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002451	-4.65%	0.002443	-4.96%	0.0077	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002417	-4.75%	0.002498	-1.56%	0.0448	✓	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002441	-4.74%	0.002343	-8.56%	0.0219	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002514	-5.05%	0.002432	-8.16%	0.0315	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002582	-4.95%	0.002499	-8.02%	0.0444	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002598	-4.87%	0.002604	-4.67%	0.0118	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002662	-4.61%	0.00258	-7.53%	0.0431	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002618	-4.55%	0.002571	-6.28%	0.0203	✓	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002584	-4.54%	0.002537	-6.26%	0.0206	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.00256	-4.27%	0.002563	-4.18%	0.0018	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002616	-4.17%	0.002648	-3.03%	0.0168	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002686	-3.65%	0.002717	-2.55%	0.0261	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002691	-3.41%	0.002731	-1.95%	0.0330	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002537	-4.29%	0.00279	+5.25%	0.0765	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002722	-4.50%	0.002743	-3.76%	0.0096	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002581	-4.29%	0.002707	+0.37%	0.0300	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002477	-4.13%	0.002674	+3.52%	0.0340	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002398	-3.72%	0.00273	+9.61%	0.0857	✗	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002481	-3.79%	0.002788	+8.13%	0.0593	✗	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002767	-4.23%	0.002786	-3.60%	0.0202	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002775	-4.35%	0.002651	-8.63%	0.0610	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002902	-4.51%	0.00285	-6.20%	0.0306	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002804	-4.38%	0.002697	-8.05%	0.0510	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002841	-4.43%	0.002583	-13.11%	0.0946	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002889	-4.27%	0.002491	-17.47%	0.1417	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002779	-3.98%	0.002579	-10.88%	0.0655	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002748	-3.72%	0.00289	+1.25%	0.0532	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002719	-3.20%	0.002902	+3.31%	0.0766	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002754	-3.20%	0.003038	+6.79%	0.1066	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.0026	-2.32%	0.002933	+10.19%	0.1288	✗	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002623	-1.28%	0.002973	+11.91%	0.1410	✗	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002597	-3.06%	0.003018	+12.66%	0.1460	✗	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002672	-3.07%	0.002894	+4.95%	0.0751	✗	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002709	-2.16%	0.002854	+3.10%	0.0501	✗	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002575	-2.14%	0.002809	+6.75%	0.0766	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002799	-2.83%	0.002845	-1.22%	0.0116	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002868	-3.17%	0.002662	-10.15%	0.0804	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002909	-0.29%	0.002657	-8.94%	0.0939	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002723	-1.36%	0.002679	-2.95%	0.0111	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002914	-4.06%	0.002757	-9.23%	0.0518	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002812	-1.52%	0.002768	-3.04%	0.0140	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002472	-0.31%	0.002631	+6.10%	0.0625	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002573	-2.43%	0.00288	+9.21%	0.1095	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002765	-2.37%	0.002962	+4.60%	0.0695	✗	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.00254	-3.90%	0.002917	+10.37%	0.1549	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002437	-4.12%	0.002761	+8.62%	0.0065	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002635	-4.78%	0.003037	+9.77%	0.0518	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002933	-5.88%	0.002855	-8.38%	0.2298	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002542	-5.37%	0.00248	-7.70%	0.2376	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002635	-5.82%	0.002637	-5.74%	0.2003	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002407	-5.36%	0.002832	+11.36%	0.0554	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002249	-5.09%	0.002643	+11.58%	0.0210	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.00212	-4.92%	0.002541	+14.00%	0.0927	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.00209	-5.01%	0.002767	+25.79%	0.2629	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001958	-4.74%	0.003116	+51.64%	0.4560	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001866	-4.51%	0.002687	+37.51%	0.3962	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001843	-4.57%	0.002798	+44.91%	0.4473	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001913	-4.91%	0.002543	+26.43%	0.3149	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001755	-4.56%	0.002369	+28.84%	0.3133	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001755	-4.63%	0.002229	+21.14%	0.2578	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.00183	-4.98%	0.0022	+14.21%	0.1921	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001796	-5.05%	0.002055	+8.63%	0.1276	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001798	-5.21%	0.001954	+2.98%	0.0619	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001823	-5.54%	0.001931	+0.06%	0.0240	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001755	-5.65%	0.002011	+8.13%	0.1040	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.00172	-6.35%	0.001839	+0.13%	0.0739	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.