BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · lstm_s6
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 153
Track record at +7d
assessed
44
of 51 predictions shown
direction hit
18.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2778
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0385
actual +0.2213
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 1.6621 | 1.6024 | -3.59% | – | pending | – | – | -1.63 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 1.6423 | 1.5879 | -3.31% | – | pending | – | – | -1.63 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.9563 | -4.25% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.8823 | -4.28% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.2841 | -5.42% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.2889 | -6.13% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.8335 | -4.89% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7395 | -4.24% | 1.6621 | -8.51% | 0.0079 | ✓ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.2132 | -7.02% | 1.6423 | -31.00% | 0.2567 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.9318 | -7.50% | 2.0432 | -2.16% | 0.0535 | ✓ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.6491 | -5.74% | 1.9664 | +12.39% | 0.1777 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5448 | -4.98% | 2.4152 | +48.56% | 0.4175 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5113 | -4.60% | 2.4383 | +53.91% | 0.4511 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5 | -4.78% | 1.9279 | +22.38% | 0.2324 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3341 | -4.22% | 1.8166 | +30.43% | 0.3167 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.246 | -3.98% | 2.3803 | +83.45% | 0.6162 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1675 | -3.79% | 2.0884 | +72.09% | 0.5382 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1829 | -4.11% | 1.7495 | +41.82% | 0.3190 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.1908 | -4.42% | 1.6258 | +30.50% | 0.2600 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.0009 | -3.55% | 1.5842 | +52.66% | 0.4204 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3125 | -4.99% | 1.5753 | +14.02% | 0.1413 | ✗ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3431 | -5.30% | 1.3928 | -1.80% | 0.0311 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.2591 | -5.26% | 1.2975 | -2.36% | 0.0239 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3096 | -5.70% | 1.2135 | -12.62% | 0.0347 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0653 | -4.82% | 1.2336 | +10.23% | 0.1969 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1573 | -5.20% | 1.2458 | +2.06% | 0.1211 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.960276 | -4.12% | 1.0377 | +3.61% | 0.0851 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2189 | -7.33% | 1.3815 | +5.03% | 0.1346 | ✗ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.91392 | -4.24% | 1.4183 | +48.61% | 0.4495 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.979354 | -5.63% | 1.329 | +28.05% | 0.2872 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.865268 | -3.62% | 1.3887 | +54.68% | 0.5033 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.772241 | -3.55% | 1.1192 | +39.78% | 0.4080 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.720888 | -3.50% | 1.2207 | +63.40% | 0.4868 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.577116 | -2.23% | 1.0015 | +69.67% | 0.5128 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.615287 | -2.37% | 1.3154 | +108.72% | 0.7208 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.699689 | -2.81% | 0.9544 | +32.57% | 0.2104 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.726433 | -3.17% | 1.0378 | +38.34% | 0.2540 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.68432 | -2.94% | 0.8978 | +27.34% | 0.1401 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.568551 | -2.41% | 0.8007 | +37.44% | 0.2401 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.696689 | -5.14% | 0.74705 | +1.72% | 0.0146 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.538577 | -2.13% | 0.5903 | +7.27% | 0.0416 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.499224 | -1.88% | 0.6302 | +23.86% | 0.1866 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.489692 | -2.07% | 0.7199 | +43.97% | 0.3878 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.444803 | -1.40% | 0.7502 | +66.30% | 0.5504 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.431989 | -1.32% | 0.70505 | +61.06% | 0.5271 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.444967 | -1.35% | 0.5826 | +29.17% | 0.2812 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.442754 | -1.04% | 0.73445 | +64.16% | 0.5512 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.446498 | -1.26% | 0.5503 | +21.69% | 0.2417 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.449633 | -1.52% | 0.5088 | +11.44% | 0.1551 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.447448 | -1.53% | 0.50005 | +10.05% | 0.1711 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.476377 | -2.70% | 0.4511 | -7.86% | 0.0671 | ✓ | 1.00 |