BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · lstm_s6
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
36.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1137
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0115
actual +0.0275
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 2.0832 | -1.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 2.0228 | -1.00% | 2.1044 | +3.00% | 0.0352 | ✗ | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.9464 | -1.02% | 2.0432 | +3.91% | 0.0686 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.3797 | -1.47% | 1.9664 | -18.58% | 0.1939 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.3911 | -1.94% | 2.4152 | -0.95% | 0.0217 | ✗ | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.9002 | -1.43% | 2.4383 | +26.48% | 0.2471 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7963 | -1.12% | 1.9279 | +6.12% | 0.0593 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.3151 | -2.74% | 1.8166 | -23.68% | 0.2330 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 2.023 | -3.13% | 2.3803 | +13.98% | 0.1380 | ✗ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.7142 | -2.02% | 2.0884 | +19.36% | 0.2217 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.6015 | -1.49% | 1.7495 | +7.61% | 0.0543 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5658 | -1.16% | 1.6258 | +2.62% | 0.0510 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.556 | -1.22% | 1.5842 | +0.57% | 0.0244 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3789 | -1.00% | 1.5753 | +13.10% | 0.1489 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2853 | -0.95% | 1.3928 | +7.34% | 0.0516 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.2028 | -0.89% | 1.2975 | +6.93% | 0.0357 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.2207 | -1.05% | 1.2135 | -1.63% | 0.0096 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.2314 | -1.16% | 1.2336 | -0.98% | 0.0118 | ✓ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.0303 | -0.71% | 1.2458 | +20.05% | 0.2265 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3644 | -1.24% | 1.0377 | -24.89% | 0.2688 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3986 | -1.39% | 1.3815 | -2.59% | 0.0195 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.3099 | -1.43% | 1.4183 | +6.72% | 0.1076 | ✗ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3658 | -1.65% | 1.329 | -4.31% | 0.0292 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.1038 | -1.38% | 1.3887 | +24.08% | 0.2337 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.2034 | -1.41% | 1.1192 | -8.31% | 0.0963 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.989785 | -1.17% | 1.2207 | +21.88% | 0.2108 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2788 | -2.78% | 1.0015 | -23.86% | 0.2370 | ✓ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.942066 | -1.29% | 1.3154 | +37.82% | 0.3275 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0186 | -1.85% | 0.9544 | -8.04% | 0.0650 | ✓ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.88826 | -1.06% | 1.0378 | +15.59% | 0.1769 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.790649 | -1.26% | 0.8978 | +12.13% | 0.1317 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.73883 | -1.10% | 0.8007 | +7.18% | 0.0156 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.587992 | -0.39% | 0.74705 | +26.55% | 0.2403 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.62747 | -0.43% | 0.5903 | -6.33% | 0.0655 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.715375 | -0.63% | 0.6302 | -12.46% | 0.1844 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.743731 | -0.86% | 0.7199 | -4.04% | 0.0352 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.698901 | -0.87% | 0.7502 | +6.40% | 0.0634 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.578176 | -0.76% | 0.70505 | +21.02% | 0.2321 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.718047 | -2.23% | 0.5826 | -20.68% | 0.2268 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.547324 | -0.54% | 0.73445 | +33.46% | 0.3001 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.506605 | -0.43% | 0.5503 | +8.16% | 0.0820 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.497147 | -0.58% | 0.5088 | +1.75% | 0.0144 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.450028 | -0.24% | 0.50005 | +10.85% | 0.1280 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.436738 | -0.23% | 0.4511 | +3.05% | 0.0345 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.44964 | -0.31% | 0.43775 | -2.95% | 0.0186 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.446413 | -0.22% | 0.45105 | +0.82% | 0.0260 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.450731 | -0.32% | 0.4474 | -1.06% | 0.0138 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.454264 | -0.50% | 0.4522 | -0.95% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.450667 | -0.82% | 0.45655 | +0.47% | 0.0327 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.484904 | -0.96% | 0.4544 | -7.19% | 0.1149 | ✓ | 1.00 |