AVL
Avalon · Ethereum · lstm_s6
- token id
- #696
- symbol
- AVL
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-27
- predictions
- 141
Track record at +7d
assessed
40
of 47 predictions shown
direction hit
50.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0664
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0245
actual -0.0063
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.019479 | 0.018933 | -2.80% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.019693 | 0.019184 | -2.58% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.020678 | 0.02003 | -3.13% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.019445 | 0.018928 | -2.66% | – | pending | – | – | 1.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.020546 | 0.019946 | -2.92% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.022173 | 0.021368 | -3.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.020543 | 0.019803 | -3.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.23 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.018647 | 0.018209 | -2.35% | 0.019479 | +4.46% | 0.0509 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.019376 | 0.018938 | -2.26% | 0.019693 | +1.64% | 0.0414 | ✗ | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.018817 | 0.018438 | -2.02% | 0.020678 | +9.89% | 0.1133 | ✗ | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.020663 | 0.020156 | -2.45% | 0.019445 | -5.89% | 0.0139 | ✓ | 1.09 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.022471 | 0.021773 | -3.10% | 0.020546 | -8.56% | 0.0368 | ✓ | 1.14 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.019944 | 0.019546 | -2.00% | 0.022173 | +11.18% | 0.1403 | ✗ | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.019933 | 0.019547 | -1.94% | 0.020543 | +3.06% | 0.0439 | ✗ | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.022334 | 0.021807 | -2.36% | 0.018647 | -16.51% | 0.1356 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.02175 | 0.02135 | -1.84% | 0.019376 | -10.92% | 0.0648 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.022515 | 0.022033 | -2.14% | 0.018817 | -16.42% | 0.1047 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.022884 | 0.022369 | -2.25% | 0.020663 | -9.71% | 0.0425 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.022833 | 0.022312 | -2.28% | 0.022471 | -1.59% | 0.0317 | ✗ | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.022786 | 0.02222 | -2.48% | 0.019944 | -12.47% | 0.0816 | ✓ | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.022953 | 0.022486 | -2.03% | 0.019933 | -13.15% | 0.0778 | ✓ | 1.13 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.023642 | 0.023119 | -2.21% | 0.022334 | -5.53% | 0.0306 | ✓ | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.022532 | 0.022119 | -1.83% | 0.02175 | -3.47% | 0.0432 | ✓ | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.021848 | 0.021467 | -1.74% | 0.022515 | +3.05% | 0.0159 | ✓ | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.024924 | 0.024342 | -2.34% | 0.022884 | -8.18% | 0.0873 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.025513 | 0.024864 | -2.55% | 0.022833 | -10.50% | 0.0893 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024789 | 0.024161 | -2.54% | 0.022786 | -8.08% | 0.0635 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.024097 | 0.023534 | -2.34% | 0.022953 | -4.75% | 0.0305 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.023279 | 0.022744 | -2.30% | 0.023642 | +1.56% | 0.0485 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.024603 | 0.024006 | -2.42% | 0.022532 | -8.42% | 0.0332 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.023323 | 0.022785 | -2.31% | 0.021848 | -6.32% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.021137 | 0.020546 | -2.80% | 0.024924 | +17.92% | 0.1533 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021371 | 0.020786 | -2.73% | 0.025513 | +19.38% | 0.1665 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.0216 | 0.02102 | -2.68% | 0.024789 | +14.76% | 0.1259 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.020413 | 0.019834 | -2.83% | 0.024097 | +18.05% | 0.0946 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.020576 | 0.019996 | -2.82% | 0.023279 | +13.14% | 0.0493 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.021305 | 0.020671 | -2.98% | 0.024603 | +15.48% | 0.0427 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.020442 | 0.019898 | -2.66% | 0.023323 | +14.09% | 0.0565 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.020262 | 0.019686 | -2.85% | 0.021137 | +4.32% | 0.0159 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.021569 | 0.020799 | -3.57% | 0.021371 | -0.92% | 0.0230 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.020448 | 0.019876 | -2.79% | 0.0216 | +5.64% | 0.0368 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.018637 | 0.018171 | -2.50% | 0.020413 | +9.53% | 0.1188 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.02012 | 0.019586 | -2.66% | 0.020576 | +2.26% | 0.0770 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.020503 | 0.019981 | -2.55% | 0.021305 | +3.91% | 0.1014 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.020774 | 0.020289 | -2.34% | 0.020442 | -1.60% | 0.0192 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.020602 | 0.020196 | -1.97% | 0.020262 | -1.65% | 0.0483 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.020591 | 0.020185 | -1.97% | 0.021569 | +4.75% | 0.0990 | ✗ | 1.00 |