ARX
Arcium · Solana · lstm_s6
- token id
- #310
- symbol
- ARX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- ARXwZkNAtzPfdcoqQiduJn8EPv9fKiDfGn2KyggyDrFs
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-22
- predictions
- 342
Track record at +1d
assessed
113
of 114 predictions shown
direction hit
51.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0427
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0054
actual -0.0013
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.2378 | 0.236046 | -0.74% | – | pending | – | – | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2364 | 0.234854 | -0.65% | 0.2378 | +0.59% | 0.0108 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.23045 | 0.228978 | -0.64% | 0.2364 | +2.58% | 0.0230 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.22725 | 0.225952 | -0.57% | 0.23045 | +1.41% | 0.0110 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.23265 | 0.231392 | -0.54% | 0.22725 | -2.32% | 0.0168 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.23705 | 0.23584 | -0.51% | 0.23265 | -1.86% | 0.0186 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.23935 | 0.238126 | -0.51% | 0.23705 | -0.96% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2303 | 0.229276 | -0.44% | 0.23935 | +3.93% | 0.0478 | ✗ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2421 | 0.240854 | -0.51% | 0.2303 | -4.87% | 0.0492 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.25125 | 0.249717 | -0.61% | 0.2421 | -3.64% | 0.0194 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2508 | 0.248991 | -0.72% | 0.25125 | +0.18% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2821 | 0.279893 | -0.78% | 0.2508 | -11.10% | 0.0988 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.2784 | 0.276176 | -0.80% | 0.2821 | +1.33% | 0.0171 | ✗ | 0.44 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.25605 | 0.254311 | -0.68% | 0.2784 | +8.73% | 0.0885 | ✗ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.26245 | 0.260546 | -0.73% | 0.25605 | -2.44% | 0.0221 | ✓ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.27185 | 0.269753 | -0.77% | 0.26245 | -3.46% | 0.0192 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.27005 | 0.268024 | -0.75% | 0.27185 | +0.67% | 0.0258 | ✗ | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2923 | 0.289751 | -0.87% | 0.27005 | -7.61% | 0.0693 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2751 | 0.272959 | -0.78% | 0.2923 | +6.25% | 0.0731 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2819 | 0.279694 | -0.78% | 0.2751 | -2.41% | 0.0276 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2895 | 0.287068 | -0.84% | 0.2819 | -2.63% | 0.0197 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.284 | 0.281667 | -0.82% | 0.2895 | +1.94% | 0.0297 | ✗ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2786 | 0.276223 | -0.85% | 0.284 | +1.94% | 0.0197 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.27045 | 0.268012 | -0.90% | 0.2786 | +3.01% | 0.0393 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.25885 | 0.25626 | -1.00% | 0.27045 | +4.48% | 0.0529 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2513 | 0.248259 | -1.21% | 0.25885 | +3.00% | 0.0484 | ✗ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2266 | 0.225079 | -0.67% | 0.2513 | +10.90% | 0.1099 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.2494 | 0.247306 | -0.84% | 0.2266 | -9.14% | 0.0898 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2518 | 0.24928 | -1.00% | 0.2494 | -0.95% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2311 | 0.229186 | -0.83% | 0.2518 | +8.96% | 0.0940 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.2222 | 0.220315 | -0.85% | 0.2311 | +4.01% | 0.0622 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.20055 | 0.19909 | -0.73% | 0.2222 | +10.80% | 0.1136 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.19665 | 0.19508 | -0.80% | 0.20055 | +1.98% | 0.0239 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.19445 | 0.192664 | -0.92% | 0.19665 | +1.13% | 0.0212 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1914 | 0.189596 | -0.94% | 0.19445 | +1.59% | 0.0218 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1731 | 0.171809 | -0.75% | 0.1914 | +10.57% | 0.0683 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1693 | 0.168012 | -0.76% | 0.1731 | +2.24% | 0.0280 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.1623 | 0.161217 | -0.67% | 0.1693 | +4.31% | 0.0439 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.16235 | 0.161405 | -0.58% | 0.1623 | -0.03% | 0.0297 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.15375 | 0.152959 | -0.51% | 0.16235 | +5.59% | 0.0473 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.15455 | 0.153761 | -0.51% | 0.15375 | -0.52% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.1391 | 0.138651 | -0.32% | 0.15455 | +11.11% | 0.1081 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.13475 | 0.134289 | -0.34% | 0.1391 | +3.23% | 0.0291 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1473 | 0.146622 | -0.46% | 0.13475 | -8.52% | 0.0700 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1524 | 0.151358 | -0.68% | 0.1473 | -3.35% | 0.0258 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.14595 | 0.145413 | -0.37% | 0.1524 | +4.42% | 0.0523 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1413 | 0.141173 | -0.09% | 0.14595 | +3.29% | 0.0441 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1321 | 0.132198 | +0.07% | 0.1413 | +6.96% | 0.0622 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1363 | 0.136494 | +0.14% | 0.1321 | -3.08% | 0.0341 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.129 | 0.129343 | +0.27% | 0.1363 | +5.66% | 0.0672 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1263 | 0.12655 | +0.20% | 0.129 | +2.14% | 0.0184 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1232 | 0.123542 | +0.28% | 0.1263 | +2.52% | 0.0230 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.12885 | 0.129267 | +0.32% | 0.1232 | -4.38% | 0.0369 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.11945 | 0.119791 | +0.29% | 0.12885 | +7.87% | 0.0646 | ✓ | 0.72 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.12315 | 0.123478 | +0.27% | 0.11945 | -3.00% | 0.0279 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1217 | 0.121953 | +0.21% | 0.12315 | +1.19% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.132 | 0.132188 | +0.14% | 0.1217 | -7.80% | 0.0625 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1292 | 0.129276 | +0.06% | 0.132 | +2.17% | 0.0108 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.13065 | 0.130587 | -0.05% | 0.1292 | -1.11% | 0.0147 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.13355 | 0.133321 | -0.17% | 0.13065 | -2.17% | 0.0165 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.1465 | 0.146142 | -0.24% | 0.13355 | -8.84% | 0.1010 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.1243 | 0.124059 | -0.19% | 0.1465 | +17.86% | 0.1606 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.1294 | 0.129157 | -0.19% | 0.1243 | -3.94% | 0.0280 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.117 | 0.116754 | -0.21% | 0.1294 | +10.60% | 0.0760 | ✗ | 0.38 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.1163 | 0.115762 | -0.46% | 0.117 | +0.60% | 0.0088 | ✓ | 0.37 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.1134 | 0.11273 | -0.59% | 0.1163 | +2.56% | 0.0118 | ✗ | 0.28 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.1128 | 0.112172 | -0.56% | 0.1134 | +0.53% | 0.0100 | ✗ | 0.28 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.1097 | 0.109255 | -0.41% | 0.1128 | +2.83% | 0.0271 | ✗ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.10755 | 0.107235 | -0.29% | 0.1097 | +2.00% | 0.0233 | ✗ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.11125 | 0.110863 | -0.35% | 0.10755 | -3.33% | 0.0305 | ✓ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.1114 | 0.111064 | -0.30% | 0.11125 | -0.13% | 0.0032 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.1143 | 0.113921 | -0.33% | 0.1114 | -2.54% | 0.0224 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.11885 | 0.11836 | -0.41% | 0.1143 | -3.83% | 0.0345 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.1269 | 0.126218 | -0.54% | 0.11885 | -6.34% | 0.0591 | ✓ | 0.18 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.1266 | 0.125983 | -0.49% | 0.1269 | +0.24% | 0.0104 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.13015 | 0.129476 | -0.52% | 0.1266 | -2.73% | 0.0223 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.14055 | 0.139643 | -0.65% | 0.13015 | -7.40% | 0.0705 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.1461 | 0.145016 | -0.74% | 0.14055 | -3.80% | 0.0335 | ✓ | 0.23 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.15025 | 0.149044 | -0.80% | 0.1461 | -2.76% | 0.0188 | ✓ | 0.23 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.14175 | 0.140787 | -0.68% | 0.15025 | +6.00% | 0.0636 | ✗ | 0.17 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.1479 | 0.146775 | -0.76% | 0.14175 | -4.16% | 0.0366 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.1524 | 0.151176 | -0.80% | 0.1479 | -2.95% | 0.0218 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.16225 | 0.16065 | -0.99% | 0.1524 | -6.07% | 0.0556 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.15805 | 0.156623 | -0.90% | 0.16225 | +2.66% | 0.0355 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.1536 | 0.152405 | -0.78% | 0.15805 | +2.90% | 0.0485 | ✗ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.156 | 0.154716 | -0.82% | 0.1536 | -1.54% | 0.0125 | ✓ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.1527 | 0.151535 | -0.76% | 0.156 | +2.16% | 0.0287 | ✗ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.1502 | 0.149169 | -0.69% | 0.1527 | +1.66% | 0.0224 | ✗ | 0.40 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.16 | 0.158767 | -0.77% | 0.1502 | -6.12% | 0.0477 | ✓ | 0.30 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.1795 | 0.177559 | -1.08% | 0.16 | -10.86% | 0.1119 | ✓ | 0.48 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.1715 | 0.169823 | -0.98% | 0.1795 | +4.66% | 0.0539 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.17255 | 0.170908 | -0.95% | 0.1715 | -0.61% | 0.0109 | ✗ | 0.50 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.16805 | 0.166603 | -0.86% | 0.17255 | +2.68% | 0.0446 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.1516 | 0.150648 | -0.63% | 0.16805 | +10.85% | 0.1158 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.15445 | 0.153498 | -0.62% | 0.1516 | -1.85% | 0.0322 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.1477 | 0.146962 | -0.50% | 0.15445 | +4.57% | 0.0415 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.1512 | 0.15048 | -0.48% | 0.1477 | -2.31% | 0.0169 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.1625 | 0.161531 | -0.60% | 0.1512 | -6.95% | 0.0801 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.161225 | -0.60% | 0.1625 | +0.18% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.16265 | 0.161834 | -0.50% | 0.1622 | -0.28% | 0.0170 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.16555 | 0.164721 | -0.50% | 0.16265 | -1.75% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.1726 | 0.171717 | -0.51% | 0.16555 | -4.08% | 0.0794 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.1679 | 0.167113 | -0.47% | 0.1726 | +2.80% | 0.0557 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.1814 | 0.180467 | -0.51% | 0.1679 | -7.44% | 0.0717 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.1783 | 0.177483 | -0.46% | 0.1814 | +1.74% | 0.0274 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.17915 | 0.178496 | -0.37% | 0.1783 | -0.47% | 0.0161 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.18075 | 0.180237 | -0.28% | 0.17915 | -0.89% | 0.0210 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.1964 | 0.195575 | -0.42% | 0.18075 | -7.97% | 0.0615 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.2184 | 0.217248 | -0.53% | 0.1964 | -10.07% | 0.0902 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.2388 | 0.23716 | -0.69% | 0.2184 | -8.54% | 0.0890 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.2062 | 0.205314 | -0.43% | 0.2388 | +15.81% | 0.1432 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.2145 | 0.213531 | -0.45% | 0.2062 | -3.87% | 0.0440 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.224556 | -0.46% | 0.2145 | -4.92% | 0.0625 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.2228 | 0.221907 | -0.40% | 0.2256 | +1.26% | 0.0086 | ✓ | 1.00 |