ARX
Arcium · Solana · lstm_s6
- token id
- #310
- symbol
- ARX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- ARXwZkNAtzPfdcoqQiduJn8EPv9fKiDfGn2KyggyDrFs
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-22
- predictions
- 342
Track record at +1d
assessed
113
of 114 predictions shown
direction hit
49.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0425
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0050
actual -0.0013
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.2378 | 0.236404 | -0.59% | – | pending | – | – | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2364 | 0.235024 | -0.58% | 0.2378 | +0.59% | 0.0101 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.23045 | 0.229147 | -0.57% | 0.2364 | +2.58% | 0.0223 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.22725 | 0.225992 | -0.55% | 0.23045 | +1.41% | 0.0108 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.23265 | 0.231311 | -0.58% | 0.22725 | -2.32% | 0.0164 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.23705 | 0.235654 | -0.59% | 0.23265 | -1.86% | 0.0178 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.23935 | 0.237965 | -0.58% | 0.23705 | -0.96% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2303 | 0.229109 | -0.52% | 0.23935 | +3.93% | 0.0485 | ✗ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2421 | 0.240768 | -0.55% | 0.2303 | -4.87% | 0.0488 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.25125 | 0.249806 | -0.57% | 0.2421 | -3.64% | 0.0198 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2508 | 0.249402 | -0.56% | 0.25125 | +0.18% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2821 | 0.280212 | -0.67% | 0.2508 | -11.10% | 0.0999 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.2784 | 0.276561 | -0.66% | 0.2821 | +1.33% | 0.0157 | ✗ | 0.44 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.25605 | 0.254708 | -0.52% | 0.2784 | +8.73% | 0.0870 | ✗ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.26245 | 0.260965 | -0.57% | 0.25605 | -2.44% | 0.0237 | ✓ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.27185 | 0.270152 | -0.62% | 0.26245 | -3.46% | 0.0207 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.27005 | 0.268441 | -0.60% | 0.27185 | +0.67% | 0.0243 | ✗ | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2923 | 0.290132 | -0.74% | 0.27005 | -7.61% | 0.0706 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2751 | 0.27338 | -0.63% | 0.2923 | +6.25% | 0.0716 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2819 | 0.279948 | -0.69% | 0.2751 | -2.41% | 0.0285 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2895 | 0.287259 | -0.77% | 0.2819 | -2.63% | 0.0204 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.284 | 0.281869 | -0.75% | 0.2895 | +1.94% | 0.0290 | ✗ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2786 | 0.276493 | -0.76% | 0.284 | +1.94% | 0.0187 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.27045 | 0.268467 | -0.73% | 0.2786 | +3.01% | 0.0376 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.25885 | 0.256971 | -0.73% | 0.27045 | +4.48% | 0.0501 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2513 | 0.249423 | -0.75% | 0.25885 | +3.00% | 0.0438 | ✗ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2266 | 0.225257 | -0.59% | 0.2513 | +10.90% | 0.1091 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.2494 | 0.247658 | -0.70% | 0.2266 | -9.14% | 0.0913 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2518 | 0.249884 | -0.76% | 0.2494 | -0.95% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2311 | 0.229432 | -0.72% | 0.2518 | +8.96% | 0.0930 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.2222 | 0.22056 | -0.74% | 0.2311 | +4.01% | 0.0611 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.20055 | 0.199209 | -0.67% | 0.2222 | +10.80% | 0.1130 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.19665 | 0.195283 | -0.70% | 0.20055 | +1.98% | 0.0250 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.19445 | 0.193035 | -0.73% | 0.19665 | +1.13% | 0.0193 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1914 | 0.189996 | -0.73% | 0.19445 | +1.59% | 0.0196 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1731 | 0.171978 | -0.65% | 0.1914 | +10.57% | 0.0673 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1693 | 0.168207 | -0.65% | 0.1731 | +2.24% | 0.0268 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.1623 | 0.161315 | -0.61% | 0.1693 | +4.31% | 0.0433 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.16235 | 0.161385 | -0.59% | 0.1623 | -0.03% | 0.0299 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.15375 | 0.152895 | -0.56% | 0.16235 | +5.59% | 0.0477 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.15455 | 0.153673 | -0.57% | 0.15375 | -0.52% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.1391 | 0.138488 | -0.44% | 0.15455 | +11.11% | 0.1092 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.13475 | 0.134171 | -0.43% | 0.1391 | +3.23% | 0.0300 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1473 | 0.146555 | -0.51% | 0.13475 | -8.52% | 0.0695 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1524 | 0.151543 | -0.56% | 0.1473 | -3.35% | 0.0271 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.14595 | 0.145375 | -0.39% | 0.1524 | +4.42% | 0.0526 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1413 | 0.141027 | -0.19% | 0.14595 | +3.29% | 0.0452 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1321 | 0.132028 | -0.05% | 0.1413 | +6.96% | 0.0635 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1363 | 0.136299 | -0.00% | 0.1321 | -3.08% | 0.0326 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.129 | 0.129236 | +0.18% | 0.1363 | +5.66% | 0.0680 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1263 | 0.126397 | +0.08% | 0.129 | +2.14% | 0.0172 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1232 | 0.123407 | +0.17% | 0.1263 | +2.52% | 0.0241 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.12885 | 0.129171 | +0.25% | 0.1232 | -4.38% | 0.0362 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.11945 | 0.119748 | +0.25% | 0.12885 | +7.87% | 0.0650 | ✓ | 0.72 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.12315 | 0.123488 | +0.27% | 0.11945 | -3.00% | 0.0280 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1217 | 0.122009 | +0.25% | 0.12315 | +1.19% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.132 | 0.132361 | +0.27% | 0.1217 | -7.80% | 0.0639 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1292 | 0.129482 | +0.22% | 0.132 | +2.17% | 0.0092 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.13065 | 0.130855 | +0.16% | 0.1292 | -1.11% | 0.0168 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.13355 | 0.133675 | +0.09% | 0.13065 | -2.17% | 0.0192 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.1465 | 0.146483 | -0.01% | 0.13355 | -8.84% | 0.1034 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.1243 | 0.12429 | -0.01% | 0.1465 | +17.86% | 0.1588 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.1294 | 0.129375 | -0.02% | 0.1243 | -3.94% | 0.0296 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.117 | 0.116865 | -0.12% | 0.1294 | +10.60% | 0.0751 | ✗ | 0.38 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.1163 | 0.11553 | -0.66% | 0.117 | +0.60% | 0.0068 | ✓ | 0.37 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.1134 | 0.112623 | -0.69% | 0.1163 | +2.56% | 0.0128 | ✗ | 0.28 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.1128 | 0.112068 | -0.65% | 0.1134 | +0.53% | 0.0109 | ✗ | 0.28 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.1097 | 0.109095 | -0.55% | 0.1128 | +2.83% | 0.0285 | ✗ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.10755 | 0.107039 | -0.48% | 0.1097 | +2.00% | 0.0251 | ✗ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.11125 | 0.110686 | -0.51% | 0.10755 | -3.33% | 0.0289 | ✓ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.1114 | 0.110857 | -0.49% | 0.11125 | -0.13% | 0.0050 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.1143 | 0.113739 | -0.49% | 0.1114 | -2.54% | 0.0208 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.11885 | 0.118244 | -0.51% | 0.1143 | -3.83% | 0.0335 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.1269 | 0.126179 | -0.57% | 0.11885 | -6.34% | 0.0587 | ✓ | 0.18 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.1266 | 0.125897 | -0.56% | 0.1269 | +0.24% | 0.0110 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.13015 | 0.129436 | -0.55% | 0.1266 | -2.73% | 0.0220 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.14055 | 0.139692 | -0.61% | 0.13015 | -7.40% | 0.0708 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.1461 | 0.145158 | -0.64% | 0.14055 | -3.80% | 0.0345 | ✓ | 0.23 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.15025 | 0.149239 | -0.67% | 0.1461 | -2.76% | 0.0201 | ✓ | 0.23 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.14175 | 0.140919 | -0.59% | 0.15025 | +6.00% | 0.0626 | ✗ | 0.17 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.1479 | 0.146951 | -0.64% | 0.14175 | -4.16% | 0.0378 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.1524 | 0.151353 | -0.69% | 0.1479 | -2.95% | 0.0230 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.16225 | 0.160998 | -0.77% | 0.1524 | -6.07% | 0.0578 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.15805 | 0.156883 | -0.74% | 0.16225 | +2.66% | 0.0339 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.1536 | 0.152528 | -0.70% | 0.15805 | +2.90% | 0.0477 | ✗ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.156 | 0.154888 | -0.71% | 0.1536 | -1.54% | 0.0136 | ✓ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.1527 | 0.151667 | -0.68% | 0.156 | +2.16% | 0.0279 | ✗ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.1502 | 0.149232 | -0.64% | 0.1527 | +1.66% | 0.0220 | ✗ | 0.40 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.16 | 0.15887 | -0.71% | 0.1502 | -6.12% | 0.0483 | ✓ | 0.30 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.1795 | 0.177998 | -0.84% | 0.16 | -10.86% | 0.1144 | ✓ | 0.48 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.1715 | 0.170144 | -0.79% | 0.1795 | +4.66% | 0.0520 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.17255 | 0.171232 | -0.76% | 0.1715 | -0.61% | 0.0090 | ✗ | 0.50 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.16805 | 0.166871 | -0.70% | 0.17255 | +2.68% | 0.0430 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.1516 | 0.150749 | -0.56% | 0.16805 | +10.85% | 0.1151 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.15445 | 0.153579 | -0.56% | 0.1516 | -1.85% | 0.0328 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.1477 | 0.146989 | -0.48% | 0.15445 | +4.57% | 0.0413 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.1512 | 0.15047 | -0.48% | 0.1477 | -2.31% | 0.0168 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.1625 | 0.161637 | -0.53% | 0.1512 | -6.95% | 0.0808 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.161374 | -0.51% | 0.1625 | +0.18% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.16265 | 0.161843 | -0.50% | 0.1622 | -0.28% | 0.0169 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.16555 | 0.164726 | -0.50% | 0.16265 | -1.75% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.1726 | 0.171714 | -0.51% | 0.16555 | -4.08% | 0.0794 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.1679 | 0.167089 | -0.48% | 0.1726 | +2.80% | 0.0559 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.1814 | 0.180403 | -0.55% | 0.1679 | -7.44% | 0.0713 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.1783 | 0.177355 | -0.53% | 0.1814 | +1.74% | 0.0281 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.17915 | 0.178212 | -0.52% | 0.1783 | -0.47% | 0.0145 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.18075 | 0.179842 | -0.50% | 0.17915 | -0.89% | 0.0188 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.1964 | 0.195285 | -0.57% | 0.18075 | -7.97% | 0.0601 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.2184 | 0.216978 | -0.65% | 0.1964 | -10.07% | 0.0890 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.2388 | 0.237065 | -0.73% | 0.2184 | -8.54% | 0.0886 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.2062 | 0.205078 | -0.54% | 0.2388 | +15.81% | 0.1444 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.2145 | 0.213318 | -0.55% | 0.2062 | -3.87% | 0.0430 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.224335 | -0.56% | 0.2145 | -4.92% | 0.0615 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.2228 | 0.221711 | -0.49% | 0.2256 | +1.26% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 1.00 |