ARCSOL

? · · lstm_s6

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,989

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

48.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1774

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0185

actual +0.0305

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.06386	0.062478	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-21	oos	0.06335	0.061766	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.051081	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.043723	-0.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.041058	-0.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.039972	-0.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.03553	+0.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.038811	-0.02%	0.06386	+64.50%	0.5036	✗	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.037132	+0.40%	0.06335	+71.29%	0.5410	✓	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.031833	+0.91%	0.05179	+64.18%	0.4865	✓	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.059312	-0.70%	0.04402	-26.30%	0.2983	✓	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.062442	-0.82%	0.041255	-34.47%	0.4107	✓	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.061021	-0.69%	0.040095	-34.75%	0.4160	✓	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.062525	-0.71%	0.035465	-43.68%	0.5643	✓	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.060534	-0.53%	0.03882	-36.21%	0.4454	✓	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.063642	-0.64%	0.036985	-42.26%	0.5390	✓	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.071249	-0.97%	0.031545	-56.15%	0.8124	✓	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.06977	-0.82%	0.05973	-15.09%	0.1514	✓	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.072386	-0.86%	0.06296	-13.77%	0.1370	✓	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.070494	-0.90%	0.061445	-13.62%	0.1360	✓	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.070035	-0.85%	0.062975	-10.84%	0.1046	✓	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.071585	-0.91%	0.060855	-15.76%	0.1599	✓	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.069845	-0.86%	0.06405	-9.08%	0.0865	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.071955	-0.96%	0.071945	-0.97%	0.0009	✓	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.069384	-0.77%	0.070345	+0.61%	0.0129	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.072175	-0.79%	0.073015	+0.36%	0.0114	✗	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.070238	-0.64%	0.071135	+0.63%	0.0127	✗	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.071241	-0.71%	0.070635	-1.55%	0.0085	✓	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.072993	-0.74%	0.07224	-1.77%	0.0103	✓	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.077698	-1.06%	0.07045	-10.29%	0.0982	✓	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.077724	-0.63%	0.07265	-7.12%	0.0684	✓	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.077762	-0.51%	0.06992	-10.54%	0.1074	✓	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.072723	-1.27%	0.07275	-1.23%	0.0056	✓	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.063314	-0.68%	0.07069	+10.89%	0.1142	✗	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.070227	-1.05%	0.07175	+1.09%	0.0254	✗	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.06932	-1.34%	0.07354	+4.67%	0.0716	✗	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.072972	-1.68%	0.07853	+5.81%	0.0870	✗	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.077667	-2.11%	0.078215	-1.42%	0.0194	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.072047	-1.37%	0.07816	+7.00%	0.0906	✗	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.068598	-1.13%	0.073655	+6.16%	0.0766	✗	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.072146	-1.37%	0.063745	-12.86%	0.1176	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.072872	-1.40%	0.070975	-3.97%	0.0185	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.072529	-1.39%	0.07026	-4.47%	0.0322	✓	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.071307	-0.93%	0.07422	+3.12%	0.0357	✗	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.071911	-0.84%	0.07934	+9.40%	0.0924	✗	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.074172	-0.79%	0.07305	-2.29%	0.0172	✓	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.071839	-0.15%	0.06938	-3.57%	0.0411	✓	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.073862	-0.21%	0.07315	-1.17%	0.0142	✓	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.074279	-0.00%	0.07391	-0.50%	0.0088	✓	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.072522	+0.88%	0.07355	+2.31%	0.0078	✓	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.072656	-0.12%	0.071975	-1.05%	0.0070	✓	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.065346	+0.81%	0.07252	+11.88%	0.1067	✓	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.070142	+1.08%	0.07476	+7.74%	0.0655	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.068381	+1.14%	0.07195	+6.42%	0.0546	✓	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.07151	+1.33%	0.074015	+4.88%	0.0374	✓	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.070878	+1.41%	0.07428	+6.28%	0.0503	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.068329	+2.24%	0.07189	+7.57%	0.0521	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.072487	+1.88%	0.07274	+2.23%	0.0016	✓	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.073394	+1.70%	0.06482	-10.18%	0.1259	✗	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.071794	+1.86%	0.06939	-1.55%	0.0346	✗	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.070407	+1.60%	0.06761	-2.44%	0.0406	✗	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.06786	+1.51%	0.07057	+5.56%	0.0409	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.069248	+1.69%	0.06989	+2.63%	0.0084	✓	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.069078	-0.41%	0.06683	-3.65%	0.0234	✓	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.068228	-1.26%	0.07115	+2.97%	0.0565	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.068266	-1.58%	0.07217	+4.05%	0.0791	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.072628	-1.88%	0.07048	-4.78%	0.0086	✓	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.070529	-1.88%	0.0693	-3.59%	0.0114	✓	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.070504	-1.90%	0.06685	-6.98%	0.0266	✓	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.075272	-2.27%	0.0681	-11.58%	0.0683	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.073989	-2.26%	0.06936	-8.38%	0.0532	✓	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.070414	-2.11%	0.0691	-3.93%	0.0028	✓	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.064792	-1.71%	0.06936	+5.22%	0.0734	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.063508	-1.66%	0.07402	+14.62%	0.1555	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.064985	-1.84%	0.07188	+8.58%	0.0915	✗	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.062325	-1.73%	0.07187	+13.32%	0.1336	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.051949	-0.78%	0.07702	+47.10%	0.3825	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.054175	-0.92%	0.0757	+38.44%	0.3298	✗	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.05094	-0.70%	0.07193	+40.21%	0.3385	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.052596	-0.76%	0.06592	+24.38%	0.2231	✗	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.050606	-0.58%	0.06458	+26.88%	0.2463	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.051003	-0.56%	0.0662	+29.07%	0.2674	✗	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.051585	-0.51%	0.06342	+22.31%	0.2174	✗	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.053142	-0.56%	0.05236	-2.02%	0.0043	✓	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.052465	-0.56%	0.05468	+3.64%	0.0390	✗	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.053424	-0.51%	0.0513	-4.47%	0.0372	✓	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.051336	-0.34%	0.053	+2.89%	0.0329	✗	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.053839	-0.37%	0.0509	-5.81%	0.0573	✓	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.055672	-0.46%	0.05129	-8.30%	0.0903	✓	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.059681	-0.57%	0.05185	-13.61%	0.1484	✓	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.06185	-0.61%	0.05344	-14.13%	0.1521	✓	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.061115	-0.55%	0.05276	-14.14%	0.1485	✓	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.064107	-0.64%	0.0537	-16.77%	0.1875	✓	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.066144	-0.68%	0.05151	-22.66%	0.2627	✓	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.069487	-0.90%	0.05404	-22.93%	0.2582	✓	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.07002	-0.95%	0.05593	-20.88%	0.2218	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.070257	-0.95%	0.06002	-15.38%	0.1595	✓	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.072295	-1.15%	0.06223	-14.92%	0.1493	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.073767	-1.31%	0.06145	-17.79%	0.1788	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.074774	-1.34%	0.06452	-14.87%	0.1425	✓	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.079104	-1.62%	0.0666	-17.17%	0.1667	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.073219	-1.31%	0.07012	-5.49%	0.0261	✓	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.076949	-1.52%	0.07069	-9.53%	0.0788	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.077562	-1.56%	0.07093	-9.98%	0.0825	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.078219	-1.56%	0.07314	-7.95%	0.0686	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.077836	-1.60%	0.07475	-5.50%	0.0367	✓	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.079728	-1.75%	0.07579	-6.61%	0.0357	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.079581	-1.69%	0.08041	-0.67%	0.0188	✗	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.080942	-1.72%	0.07419	-9.92%	0.0964	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.079979	-1.73%	0.07814	-3.99%	0.0225	✓	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.0768	-1.64%	0.07879	+0.91%	0.0289	✗	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.077696	-1.73%	0.07946	+0.51%	0.0305	✗	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.081166	-1.90%	0.0791	-4.40%	0.0178	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.081633	-1.98%	0.08115	-2.56%	0.0048	✓	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.082179	-2.05%	0.08095	-3.52%	0.0052	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.081884	-2.02%	0.08236	-1.45%	0.0221	✗	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.086168	-2.23%	0.08139	-7.65%	0.0437	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.082366	-2.12%	0.07808	-7.21%	0.0436	✓	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.082442	-2.15%	0.07906	-6.16%	0.0342	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.081921	-2.15%	0.08274	-1.17%	0.0154	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.080924	-2.06%	0.08328	+0.79%	0.0240	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.081037	-1.99%	0.0839	+1.48%	0.0192	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.08205	-1.96%	0.08357	-0.14%	0.0026	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.078656	-1.89%	0.08813	+9.93%	0.0972	✗	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.078465	-1.84%	0.08415	+5.27%	0.0505	✗	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.077406	-1.86%	0.08425	+6.82%	0.0696	✗	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.080345	-1.98%	0.08372	+2.13%	0.0274	✗	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.082911	-2.04%	0.08263	-2.37%	0.0185	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.072577	-1.64%	0.08268	+12.05%	0.1186	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.075889	-1.77%	0.08369	+8.32%	0.0850	✗	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.080349	-1.97%	0.08017	-2.18%	0.0133	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.087279	-2.38%	0.07994	-10.59%	0.0888	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.086537	-2.58%	0.07887	-11.21%	0.0931	✓	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.081571	-2.30%	0.08197	-1.82%	0.0015	✓	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.081878	-2.49%	0.08464	+0.80%	0.0483	✗	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.081031	-2.50%	0.07379	-11.21%	0.0744	✓	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.081793	-2.57%	0.07726	-7.97%	0.0407	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.081362	-2.64%	0.08196	-1.93%	0.0172	✓	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.080463	-2.80%	0.08941	+8.01%	0.1153	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.078889	-2.80%	0.08883	+9.45%	0.1247	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.073416	-2.42%	0.08349	+10.96%	0.1284	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.072406	-2.40%	0.08397	+13.18%	0.1451	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.069363	-2.17%	0.08311	+17.22%	0.1815	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.074829	-2.34%	0.08395	+9.57%	0.1095	✗	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.071837	-2.17%	0.08357	+13.81%	0.1610	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.076379	-2.52%	0.08278	+5.65%	0.1375	✗	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.072828	-2.43%	0.08116	+8.74%	0.1242	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.070103	-2.27%	0.07524	+4.89%	0.0773	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.062952	-1.58%	0.07419	+15.99%	0.1763	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.063338	-1.54%	0.0709	+10.21%	0.1416	✗	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.064008	-1.56%	0.07662	+17.84%	0.1297	✗	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.063017	-1.57%	0.07343	+14.70%	0.1230	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.0634	-1.69%	0.07835	+21.49%	0.1874	✗	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.062869	-1.78%	0.07464	+16.61%	0.1529	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.062994	-1.73%	0.07173	+11.90%	0.0932	✗	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.064043	-1.85%	0.06396	-1.98%	0.0303	✓	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.063405	-1.88%	0.06433	-0.45%	0.0058	✓	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.064597	-1.96%	0.06502	-1.32%	0.0093	✓	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.066288	-2.07%	0.06402	-5.42%	0.0387	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.060783	-1.61%	0.06449	+4.39%	0.0467	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.072097	-2.25%	0.06401	-13.22%	0.1522	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.059547	-1.18%	0.0641	+6.37%	0.0471	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.062766	-1.68%	0.06525	+2.21%	0.0278	✗	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.065963	-1.75%	0.06462	-3.75%	0.0460	✓	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.063202	-1.34%	0.06589	+2.86%	0.0133	✓	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.062195	-1.07%	0.06769	+7.67%	0.0538	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.067432	-1.67%	0.06178	-9.92%	0.1025	✓	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.068368	-1.71%	0.07376	+6.04%	0.0702	✗	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.066372	-1.54%	0.06026	-10.61%	0.0928	✓	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.068439	-1.43%	0.06384	-8.05%	0.0672	✓	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.068956	-1.55%	0.06714	-4.14%	0.0271	✓	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.065614	-1.44%	0.06406	-3.77%	0.0231	✓	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.067287	-1.68%	0.06287	-8.14%	0.0576	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.070414	-1.79%	0.06858	-4.35%	0.0215	✓	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.073722	-1.98%	0.06956	-7.51%	0.0536	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.073292	-2.08%	0.06741	-9.94%	0.0751	✓	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.073578	-2.12%	0.06943	-7.64%	0.0454	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.065623	-1.73%	0.07004	+4.88%	0.0701	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.077267	-2.22%	0.06657	-15.76%	0.1456	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.067551	-1.47%	0.06844	-0.18%	0.0130	✓	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.065708	-1.50%	0.0717	+7.48%	0.0884	✗	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.063705	-1.35%	0.07521	+16.46%	0.1665	✗	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.065707	-1.24%	0.07485	+12.51%	0.1291	✗	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.06443	-1.12%	0.07517	+15.36%	0.1527	✗	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.065642	-1.47%	0.06678	+0.24%	0.0172	✗	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.065518	-1.48%	0.07902	+18.83%	0.1887	✗	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.064352	-1.56%	0.06856	+4.88%	0.0742	✗	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.067375	-1.47%	0.06671	-2.44%	0.0049	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.068662	-1.31%	0.06458	-7.17%	0.0602	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.071532	-1.69%	0.06653	-8.56%	0.0640	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.068453	-1.63%	0.06516	-6.37%	0.0399	✓	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.068965	-1.73%	0.06662	-5.07%	0.0287	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.07078	-1.84%	0.0665	-7.78%	0.0578	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.072495	-2.77%	0.06537	-12.33%	0.1013	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.0744	-2.69%	0.06838	-10.57%	0.0822	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.069376	-2.29%	0.06957	-2.01%	0.0058	✓	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.069072	-2.63%	0.07276	+2.57%	0.0545	✗	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.058672	-2.15%	0.06959	+16.06%	0.1749	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.057308	-2.09%	0.07018	+19.90%	0.2051	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.05555	-2.42%	0.07211	+26.66%	0.2664	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.052285	-2.36%	0.07456	+39.23%	0.3567	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.053556	-2.68%	0.07646	+38.94%	0.3610	✗	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.053118	-2.80%	0.071	+29.92%	0.2953	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.050888	-2.76%	0.07094	+35.56%	0.3361	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.053225	-2.86%	0.05996	+9.44%	0.1223	✗	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.052196	-2.87%	0.05853	+8.91%	0.1185	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.049194	-2.87%	0.05693	+12.40%	0.1489	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.048877	-2.97%	0.05355	+6.31%	0.0961	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.050106	-3.08%	0.05503	+6.44%	0.0952	✗	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.046189	-2.66%	0.05465	+15.17%	0.1692	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.0419	-1.80%	0.05233	+22.64%	0.2205	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.043794	-1.78%	0.05479	+22.88%	0.2201	✗	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.045709	-2.02%	0.05374	+15.20%	0.1591	✗	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.046502	-2.04%	0.05065	+6.70%	0.0806	✗	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.047023	-2.30%	0.05037	+4.65%	0.0670	✗	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.04848	-2.46%	0.0517	+4.02%	0.0618	✗	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.047385	-2.22%	0.04745	-2.08%	0.0024	✓	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.043906	-1.62%	0.04267	-4.39%	0.0297	✓	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.040463	-0.87%	0.04459	+9.24%	0.0971	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.036234	-0.43%	0.04665	+28.19%	0.2533	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.042565	-1.00%	0.04747	+10.41%	0.1119	✗	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.045864	-1.47%	0.04813	+3.39%	0.0571	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.0477	-1.87%	0.0497	+2.24%	0.0441	✗	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.04212	-0.92%	0.04846	+14.00%	0.1406	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.043464	-1.10%	0.04463	+1.55%	0.0270	✗	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.041635	-0.82%	0.04082	-2.76%	0.0208	✓	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.042297	-0.87%	0.03639	-14.72%	0.1542	✓	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.038423	-0.46%	0.042995	+11.39%	0.1085	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.034747	-0.21%	0.04655	+33.69%	0.2950	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.036006	-0.29%	0.04861	+34.62%	0.3020	✗	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.038323	-0.38%	0.04251	+10.50%	0.1055	✗	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.037024	-0.42%	0.04395	+18.21%	0.1713	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.039257	-0.59%	0.04198	+6.31%	0.0656	✗	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.036724	-0.37%	0.04267	+15.76%	0.1523	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.049978	-2.63%	0.0386	-24.80%	0.2590	✓	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.041669	-0.46%	0.03482	-16.82%	0.1789	✓	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.028307	+0.56%	0.03611	+28.28%	0.2435	✓	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.031012	+0.75%	0.03847	+24.98%	0.2156	✓	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.030699	+0.42%	0.03718	+21.62%	0.1917	✓	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.056783	-1.91%	0.03949	-31.78%	0.3604	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.098639	-4.44%	0.03686	-64.29%	1.0148	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.087143	-3.99%	0.05133	-43.44%	0.5581	✓	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.086704	-4.16%	0.04186	-53.73%	0.7154	✓	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.071542	-2.69%	0.02815	-61.71%	0.9251	✓	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.071199	-2.71%	0.03078	-57.94%	0.8260	✓	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.074194	-3.12%	0.03057	-60.08%	0.8898	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.075198	-3.31%	0.05789	-25.56%	0.2708	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.074596	-3.30%	0.10322	+33.81%	0.3476	✗	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.076516	-3.54%	0.09076	+14.42%	0.1990	✗	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.074272	-3.42%	0.09047	+17.65%	0.2051	✗	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.076444	-3.76%	0.07352	-7.44%	0.0270	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.078958	-4.19%	0.07318	-11.20%	0.0704	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.072368	-3.70%	0.07658	+1.90%	0.0518	✗	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.064767	-2.94%	0.07777	+16.54%	0.1870	✗	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.068747	-3.44%	0.07714	+8.34%	0.1232	✗	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.062032	-2.97%	0.07932	+24.07%	0.2535	✗	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.072321	-4.21%	0.0769	+1.85%	0.0703	✗	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.059761	-3.24%	0.07943	+28.61%	0.2818	✗	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.075639	-5.07%	0.08241	+3.43%	0.0934	✗	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.064998	-4.68%	0.07515	+10.21%	0.1402	✗	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.060645	-4.30%	0.06673	+5.30%	0.1301	✗	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.066659	-5.27%	0.0712	+1.18%	0.1046	✗	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.045497	-2.28%	0.06393	+37.31%	0.4299	✗	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.041076	-1.57%	0.0755	+80.92%	0.6640	✗	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.042414	-1.59%	0.06176	+43.29%	0.4309	✗	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.041773	-1.50%	0.07968	+87.88%	0.7345	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.047068	-1.80%	0.06819	+42.27%	0.5223	✗	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.053418	-2.09%	0.06337	+16.15%	0.2554	✗	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.050605	-1.89%	0.07037	+36.43%	0.3994	✗	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.049037	-1.75%	0.04656	-6.71%	0.0001	✓	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.049495	-1.74%	0.04173	-17.15%	0.1132	✓	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.056555	-2.10%	0.0431	-25.39%	0.2235	✓	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.059075	-2.31%	0.04241	-29.87%	0.3122	✓	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.060924	-2.57%	0.04793	-23.35%	0.2200	✓	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.067567	-3.61%	0.05456	-22.17%	0.2130	✓	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.077348	-5.04%	0.05158	-36.67%	0.4095	✓	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.064756	-3.28%	0.04991	-25.45%	0.2253	✓	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.053624	-2.09%	0.05037	-8.03%	0.0004	✓	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.048222	-1.75%	0.05777	+17.71%	0.2346	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.050692	-1.85%	0.06047	+17.08%	0.2289	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.053484	-2.08%	0.06253	+14.48%	0.2116	✗	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.055858	-2.28%	0.0701	+22.64%	0.2937	✗	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.064623	-3.93%	0.08145	+21.08%	0.3044	✗	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.047726	-2.56%	0.06695	+36.69%	0.3292	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.04757	-2.74%	0.05477	+11.98%	0.1213	✗	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.042885	-2.53%	0.04908	+11.55%	0.1019	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.041672	-2.52%	0.05165	+20.82%	0.1807	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.036499	-2.17%	0.05462	+46.40%	0.3725	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.031951	-1.72%	0.05716	+75.82%	0.4842	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.034592	-1.81%	0.06727	+90.95%	0.6370	✗	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.035645	-1.89%	0.04898	+34.82%	0.3653	✗	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.035259	-2.08%	0.04891	+35.82%	0.3389	✗	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.034976	-2.14%	0.044	+23.11%	0.2337	✗	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.033067	-1.99%	0.04275	+26.70%	0.2465	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.034403	-2.15%	0.03731	+6.11%	0.0380	✗	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.034562	-2.20%	0.03251	-8.01%	0.1332	✓	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.034131	-2.12%	0.03523	+1.03%	0.0696	✓	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.036178	-2.30%	0.03633	-1.89%	0.1238	✓	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.039294	-2.42%	0.03601	-10.58%	0.1559	✓	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.044234	-2.87%	0.03574	-21.52%	0.2657	✓	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.042305	-2.84%	0.03374	-22.51%	0.2757	✓	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.044688	-3.21%	0.03516	-23.85%	0.2692	✓	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.040113	-2.80%	0.03534	-14.37%	0.1246	✓	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.038977	-2.80%	0.03487	-13.04%	0.1280	✓	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.043249	-3.29%	0.03703	-17.20%	0.1305	✓	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.042836	-3.46%	0.04027	-9.24%	0.0488	✓	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.043352	-3.83%	0.04554	+1.02%	0.0584	✗	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.040703	-3.78%	0.04354	+2.93%	0.0815	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.03854	-3.70%	0.04617	+15.37%	0.1498	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.034915	-3.01%	0.04127	+14.64%	0.1416	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.046007	-4.96%	0.0401	-17.17%	0.1303	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.038485	-3.84%	0.04472	+11.74%	0.1156	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.03168	-1.98%	0.04437	+37.28%	0.3290	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.029631	-1.53%	0.04508	+49.82%	0.4530	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.031025	-1.70%	0.0423	+34.03%	0.3480	✗	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.031964	-1.86%	0.04002	+22.87%	0.3482	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.033061	-2.01%	0.036	+6.70%	0.1881	✗	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.036121	-2.64%	0.04841	+30.49%	0.3762	✗	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.037962	-3.06%	0.04002	+2.20%	0.1282	✗	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.037872	-3.04%	0.03232	-17.26%	0.1191	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.03874	-3.15%	0.03009	-24.78%	0.2704	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.03901	-3.18%	0.03156	-21.67%	0.2287	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.039276	-3.26%	0.03257	-19.78%	0.1951	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.042565	-3.57%	0.03374	-23.56%	0.2077	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.042589	-3.60%	0.0371	-16.03%	0.1628	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.040695	-3.43%	0.03916	-7.07%	0.1243	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.04849	-4.42%	0.03906	-23.00%	0.2168	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.039184	-3.63%	0.04	-1.62%	0.0485	✗	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.043324	-4.26%	0.04029	-10.96%	0.0446	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.036735	-3.78%	0.0406	+6.34%	0.0862	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.034531	-3.92%	0.04414	+22.82%	0.1918	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.034918	-4.10%	0.04418	+21.34%	0.1573	✗	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.033044	-3.97%	0.04214	+22.46%	0.2832	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.026465	-2.67%	0.05073	+86.58%	0.5834	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.035563	-4.53%	0.04066	+9.15%	0.0083	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.030416	-3.66%	0.04525	+43.33%	0.2610	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.027551	-2.92%	0.03818	+34.53%	0.2132	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.029727	-3.48%	0.03594	+16.69%	0.2136	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.031404	-3.82%	0.03641	+11.52%	0.2831	✗	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.029038	-3.46%	0.03441	+14.39%	0.2621	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.029268	-3.63%	0.02719	-10.47%	0.1043	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.028432	-3.65%	0.03725	+26.23%	0.5361	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.029766	-3.95%	0.03157	+1.87%	0.2939	✗	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.030696	-4.32%	0.02838	-11.53%	0.2515	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.028794	-3.99%	0.0308	+2.70%	0.3208	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.028215	-4.00%	0.03265	+11.09%	0.3953	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.027054	-3.93%	0.03008	+6.82%	0.4574	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.028665	-4.96%	0.03037	+0.70%	0.3273	✗	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.0279	-4.97%	0.02951	+0.51%	0.2319	✗	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.024082	-3.94%	0.03099	+23.61%	0.4853	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.02185	-3.27%	0.03208	+42.01%	0.4273	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.025153	-4.80%	0.02999	+13.51%	0.2305	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.024262	-5.11%	0.02939	+14.94%	0.1537	✗	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.02262	-4.44%	0.02816	+18.97%	0.2348	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.018679	-2.66%	0.03016	+57.17%	0.6585	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.017148	-2.34%	0.02936	+67.20%	0.7789	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.015869	-1.92%	0.02507	+54.94%	0.6500	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012936	-0.49%	0.02259	+73.77%	0.7717	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.013017	-0.56%	0.02642	+101.83%	0.8929	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.01352	-0.80%	0.02557	+87.60%	0.9878	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.014362	-1.16%	0.02367	+62.90%	0.7231	✗	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.014402	-1.22%	0.01919	+31.62%	0.4038	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.015375	-1.70%	0.01756	+12.28%	0.1833	✗	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.013034	-0.73%	0.01618	+23.23%	0.2629	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.013387	-0.84%	0.013	-3.70%	0.0282	✗	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.01192	-0.42%	0.01309	+9.36%	0.0166	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.012925	-0.65%	0.01363	+4.77%	0.0876	✓	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.013238	-0.76%	0.01453	+8.92%	0.0167	✓	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.013306	-0.70%	0.01458	+8.81%	0.0923	✓	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.013416	-0.62%	0.01564	+15.85%	0.0098	✗	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.011564	+0.13%	0.01313	+13.68%	0.0193	✗	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.011485	+0.22%	0.0135	+17.80%	0.0999	✓	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.012155	-0.04%	0.01197	-1.56%	0.0890	✗	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.012501	-0.15%	0.01301	+3.91%	0.1917	✗	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.01338	-0.37%	0.01334	-0.67%	0.1463	✗	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.012317	+0.06%	0.0134	+8.85%	0.2861	✓	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.012042	+0.69%	0.0135	+12.88%	0.2352	✓	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.011547	+0.67%	0.01155	+0.70%	0.2241	✓	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.020996	-1.52%	0.01146	-46.25%	0.3262	✓	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.022011	-1.65%	0.01216	-45.67%	0.3509	✓	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.019516	-1.24%	0.01252	-36.64%	0.2747	✓	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.021241	-1.44%	0.01343	-37.68%	0.2651	✓	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.020827	-1.43%	0.01231	-41.74%	0.3523	✓	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.022142	-1.72%	0.01196	-46.92%	0.3660	✓	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.022928	-1.89%	0.01147	-50.92%	0.4953	✓	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.022752	-2.01%	0.02132	-8.18%	0.0876	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.020677	-1.82%	0.02238	+6.27%	0.0163	✓	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.020244	-1.92%	0.01976	-4.26%	0.1858	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.019545	-1.78%	0.02155	+8.29%	0.1471	✓	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.020047	-1.97%	0.02113	+3.33%	0.2340	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.019957	-2.03%	0.02253	+10.60%	0.2110	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.020572	-2.18%	0.02337	+11.13%	0.2035	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.019909	-2.07%	0.02322	+14.22%	0.1533	✓	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.01769	-1.34%	0.02106	+17.46%	0.0073	✓	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.016688	-0.96%	0.02064	+22.49%	0.1465	✗	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.016961	-0.99%	0.0199	+16.17%	0.1091	✗	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.019207	-1.50%	0.02045	+4.87%	0.1571	✗	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.019882	-1.62%	0.02037	+0.79%	0.2161	✗	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.019572	-1.55%	0.02103	+5.78%	0.2612	✗	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.021756	-1.87%	0.02033	-8.30%	0.1848	✗	3.53

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.