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2022-08-20 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0506
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.81%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.9%
in alpha space · 84.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.56%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7982.8048+0.02%76.38-7.74%0.0385✓1.526.4M2022-09-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.156860.155314-0.99%0.15899+1.36%0.1899✗2.126672022-09-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,129.2020,886.52-1.15%19,581.40-7.33%0.0102✓0.957,5932022-09-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0694280.068448-1.41%0.05866-15.51%0.0739✓1.021.9M2022-09-19
CBKCobakEthereum0.941440.927747-1.45%0.77846-17.31%0.0991✓0.9712k2022-09-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.03971-1.46%0.0357-11.41%0.0352✓0.9111k2022-09-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.356030.350032-1.68%0.30629-13.97%0.0574✓0.9795k2022-09-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068880.067712-1.70%0.06161-10.55%0.0304✓0.819772022-09-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5961.5672-1.80%1.258-21.18%0.1254✓1.20126k2022-09-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5690.55765-1.99%0.391-31.28%0.2583✓1.232,9182022-09-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.16830.16479-2.09%0.1389-17.47%0.0916✓1.011,7442022-09-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04580.04484-2.10%0.0432-5.68%0.0392✗0.97201k2022-09-19
DODODODOEthereum0.1310.128171-2.16%0.1251-4.50%0.0533✗0.992.1M2022-09-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.78111.9971-2.42%112.05-2.38%0.0874✗1.105.0M2022-09-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.567470.553528-2.46%0.47873-15.64%0.0440✓1.2946k2022-09-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.36990.360652-2.50%0.3256-11.98%0.0033✓1.26223k2022-09-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10640.103658-2.58%0.0949-10.81%0.0321✓0.713,9702022-09-19
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38380.373778-2.61%0.3026-21.16%0.1102✓1.28190k2022-09-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1313.7589-2.63%12.27-13.16%0.0184✓1.221.4M2022-09-19
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.004034-2.78%0.00357-13.98%0.0435✓1.00152k2022-09-19
XVSVenusEthereum5.885.7157-2.79%4.59-21.94%0.1522✓0.851.6M2022-09-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.1470.142825-2.84%0.1312-10.75%0.0051✓1.01149k2022-09-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22070.214196-2.95%0.1992-9.74%0.0068✓1.0172k2022-09-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.082353-3.00%0.0828-2.47%0.0819✗0.979,9252022-09-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1090190.105711-3.03%0.111743+2.50%0.1237✗0.877.4M2022-09-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.761,526.95-3.10%1,376.17-12.67%0.0003✓1.33534.1M2022-09-19
KCSKuCoinnative9.3729.0777-3.14%9.098-2.92%0.0767✗0.951.9M2022-09-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0962.0294-3.18%1.699-18.94%0.0434✓1.71122k2022-09-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.2843-3.21%1.88-20.34%0.0983✓1.23259k2022-09-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.221.1792-3.35%1.092-10.49%0.0005✓0.982.2M2022-09-19
NANOnanopayBase0.8965170.865985-3.41%0.816606-8.91%0.0025✓0.7877k2022-09-19
DIADIAEthereum0.399830.386031-3.45%0.38968-2.54%0.0836✗0.9470k2022-09-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.007130.006882-3.47%0.00502-29.59%0.2645✓0.651.3M2022-09-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.25490.246035-3.48%0.2908+14.08%0.2418✗0.9583k2022-09-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7462.6497-3.51%2.506-8.74%0.0667✗1.565.1M2022-09-19
BANDBandEthereum1.2991.2533-3.52%1.167-10.16%0.0261✓1.24518k2022-09-19
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0364.8584-3.53%5.865+16.46%0.2942✗1.3510.9M2022-09-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0328-3.55%0.962594-10.11%0.0022✓0.8756k2022-09-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86461.7975-3.60%1.7159-7.98%0.0365✓1.0636k2022-09-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28420.273868-3.64%0.2595-8.69%0.0209✓0.953.6M2022-09-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021520.020738-3.64%0.0223+3.62%0.1436✗0.9013.9M2022-09-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,139.2320,361.18-3.68%19,540.38-7.56%0.0375✓1.00469.5M2022-09-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.041.0014-3.71%0.8565-17.64%0.0613✓1.211.1M2022-09-19
ADACardanoCardano0.45130.434483-3.73%0.4526+0.29%0.1232✗1.0542.0M2022-09-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.019.6369-3.73%9.08-9.29%0.0332✓1.18318k2022-09-19
FTTFTXEthereum26.6925.6944-3.73%24.19-9.37%0.0145✓0.958.6M2022-09-19
COMPCompoundEthereum49.2347.3931-3.73%52.16+5.95%0.1922✗1.2316k2022-09-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.2897-3.75%1.19-11.19%0.0042✓0.97182k2022-09-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1810.174192-3.76%0.145-19.89%0.0997✓1.06608k2022-09-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06590.063405-3.79%0.0609-7.59%0.0326✓0.93126k2022-09-19
DASHDashDash45.7544.0029-3.82%40.74-10.95%0.0006✓0.97521k2022-09-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.171.1252-3.83%1.0665-8.85%0.0426✗1.221.1M2022-09-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022440.021578-3.84%0.01974-12.03%0.0208✓0.87444k2022-09-19
UMAUMAEthereum2.8242.7146-3.87%2.425-14.13%0.0474✓0.83749k2022-09-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026420.025387-3.91%0.02205-16.54%0.0412✓1.273,2032022-09-19
XECeCashnative0.000038990.000037457-3.93%0.0000394+1.05%0.1197✗0.881.8M2022-09-19
FISStafiEthereum0.36660.352117-3.95%0.3044-16.97%0.0738✓0.911922022-09-19
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017260.001657-4.01%0.001532-11.24%0.0102✓0.87806k2022-09-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.742.6296-4.03%2.28-16.79%0.1037✓0.5093k2022-09-19
QNTQuantEthereum104.84100.6047-4.04%107.75+2.78%0.1345✗0.843.4M2022-09-19
STXStacksnative0.38960.373839-4.05%0.3301-15.27%0.0373✓1.11493k2022-09-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.06521.022-4.05%0.9446-11.32%0.0352✓0.554.3M2022-09-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12260.117563-4.11%0.1151-6.12%0.0235✓0.574.1M2022-09-19
XVGVergenative0.003280.003144-4.16%0.00326-0.61%0.1185✗1.04520k2022-09-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8690.832781-4.17%0.902+3.80%0.1747✗1.211.1M2022-09-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0572.9293-4.18%2.975-2.68%0.0655✗0.64803k2022-09-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3142.2165-4.21%1.8797-18.77%0.0688✓1.2213k2022-09-19
STEEMSteemnative0.23310.223161-4.26%0.2188-6.13%0.0513✗0.90550k2022-09-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.526.2406-4.29%6.05-7.21%0.0003✓0.391.3M2022-09-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0491230.046997-4.33%0.039404-19.79%0.1348✓0.5330k2022-09-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1522.0587-4.33%1.845-14.27%0.0187✓1.1660k2022-09-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9026.6026-4.34%7.3+5.77%0.1844✗1.0719.5M2022-09-19
ELAElastosEthereum1.8571.7758-4.37%1.485-20.03%0.1037✓0.96156k2022-09-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009240.008835-4.39%0.00746-19.26%0.1101✓0.756.2M2022-09-19
SOLSolanaSolana35.2933.731-4.42%32.65-7.48%0.0587✗1.1675.2M2022-09-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.18320.175043-4.45%0.2531+38.16%0.4334✗0.821.3M2022-09-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.68982-4.46%0.572-20.78%0.0788✓1.384.8M2022-09-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068290.065236-4.47%0.05812-14.89%0.0276✓1.122.4M2022-09-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.07694.8466-4.54%4.6593-8.23%0.0282✓0.14171k2022-09-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16730.159666-4.56%0.1539-8.01%0.0689✗1.341,3642022-09-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10290.098195-4.57%0.1014-1.46%0.1161✗1.073.8M2022-09-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.336.0394-4.59%5.75-9.16%0.0192✓0.381.9M2022-09-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2390.227958-4.62%0.1842-22.93%0.1059✓1.36110k2022-09-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.7990.761933-4.64%0.6251-21.76%0.0859✓1.42398k2022-09-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4086.1062-4.71%5.296-17.35%0.1323✓0.134.5M2022-09-19
METISMetisEthereum32.4530.9212-4.71%24.04-25.92%0.1056✓1.86383k2022-09-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99950.95241-4.71%0.9829-1.66%0.1458✗1.455.0M2022-09-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4874.2743-4.74%3.746-16.51%0.1040✓0.361.6M2022-09-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.000088070.000083888-4.75%0.00031125+253.41%1.3800✗0.88327k2022-09-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014460.001377-4.75%0.001428-1.24%0.0919✗0.719,7092022-09-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.151.5268-4.76%52.89-2.24%0.1043✗0.9913.1M2022-09-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058660.005586-4.78%0.005618-4.23%0.0598✗0.692,6422022-09-19
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20230.192612-4.79%0.1786-11.72%0.0031✓1.00146k2022-09-19
XMRMoneroMonero149.22141.9786-4.85%140.37-5.93%0.0665✗0.991.2M2022-09-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.0450.454-4.88%49.657-6.38%0.0420✓0.74349k2022-09-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2495.9418-4.92%5.478-12.34%0.0144✓0.8510.1M2022-09-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2286.8721-4.92%6.385-11.66%0.0066✓1.0214.0M2022-09-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37130.352995-4.93%0.3113-16.16%0.0415✓1.07175k2022-09-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045160.04293-4.94%0.04122-8.72%0.0148✓0.7116k2022-09-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41040.390022-4.97%0.3928-4.29%0.0940✗1.1074k2022-09-19
GTGateEthereum4.43554.2135-5.01%4.2119-5.04%0.0599✗0.77836k2022-09-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.077040.07314-5.06%0.06261-18.73%0.0620✓1.1929k2022-09-19
KSMKusamaHydration48.5446.0816-5.06%40.04-17.51%0.0643✓0.97560k2022-09-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.05230.049643-5.08%0.0433-17.21%0.0577✓1.00253k2022-09-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3055.9844-5.09%6.057-3.93%0.0854✗0.935.3M2022-09-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.06170.05856-5.09%0.0498-19.29%0.0740✓1.12303k2022-09-19
ZECZcashZcash62.9259.6813-5.15%55.26-12.17%0.0116✓1.132.0M2022-09-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47420.449685-5.17%0.4467-5.80%0.0803✗1.11386k2022-09-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.34613.1695-5.28%2.9221-12.67%0.0043✓0.9848k2022-09-19
ZENHorizenBase15.8415.0016-5.29%13.84-12.63%0.0062✓1.10125k2022-09-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05030.047636-5.30%0.0393-21.87%0.1157✓0.97827k2022-09-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.48593.3009-5.31%3.5781+2.64%0.1221✗0.531.5M2022-09-19
PROPropyEthereum0.730.69126-5.31%0.66-9.59%0.0156✓0.39105k2022-09-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039560.037453-5.33%0.03487-11.86%0.0064✓0.832,6252022-09-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12230.115765-5.34%0.1327+8.50%0.2169✗1.0239k2022-09-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86170.815593-5.35%0.7721-10.40%0.0303✓1.082.2M2022-09-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033930.003211-5.36%0.002524-25.61%0.1753✓0.831.0M2022-09-19
XEMNEMnative0.0450830.042664-5.37%0.040881-9.32%0.0238✓0.8534k2022-09-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021560.020396-5.40%0.020248-6.09%0.0572✗0.8213k2022-09-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.831830.786807-5.41%0.72902-12.36%0.0034✓0.93560k2022-09-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.056906-5.47%0.0547-9.14%0.0361✓0.96112k2022-09-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012910.000012196-5.53%0.00001097-15.03%0.0346✓0.91827k2022-09-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4117.3869-5.56%15.52-15.70%0.0582✓0.701.8M2022-09-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037450.03536-5.58%0.03126-16.53%0.0450✓1.0023k2022-09-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6760.638158-5.60%0.596-11.83%0.0040✓0.92333k2022-09-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78711.6869-5.60%1.4112-21.03%0.0911✓1.11667k2022-09-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.305140.287965-5.63%0.4068+33.32%0.4166✗0.90366k2022-09-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3116-5.64%1.44+3.60%0.0904✗-0.04105k2022-09-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.861.7538-5.71%1.496-19.57%0.0866✓0.92657k2022-09-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30030.28304-5.75%0.3172+5.63%0.1867✗0.938.2M2022-09-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139090.131061-5.77%0.12606-9.37%0.0573✓1.22250k2022-09-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14930.140664-5.78%0.1384-7.30%0.0619✗0.99616k2022-09-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0146880.013829-5.85%0.011897-19.00%0.1032✓0.601.9M2022-09-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.36491.285-5.86%1.1772-13.75%0.0107✓0.981.2M2022-09-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.8330.9072-5.86%30.44-7.28%0.0966✗1.4216.5M2022-09-19
XTZTezosTezos1.56291.4706-5.90%1.4887-4.75%0.0997✗1.11494k2022-09-19
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.245792-5.93%0.1112-57.44%0.7924✓0.0181k2022-09-19
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0046.5877-5.94%5.479-21.77%0.0839✓1.2810.7M2022-09-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01770.016638-6.00%0.01128-36.27%0.3381✓0.64155k2022-09-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.060.99617-6.02%–pending––1.1112k2022-09-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007250.006812-6.04%0.0074+2.07%0.1672✗1.07435k2022-09-19
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.17e-7-6.09%8.00e-7-8.05%0.0418✓0.803.3M2022-09-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.7588-6.14%4.26-15.98%0.0778✓0.421.1M2022-09-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6110.573254-6.18%0.473-22.59%0.1041✓1.12103k2022-09-19
FLOWFlownative2.1241.9926-6.19%1.696-20.15%0.0582✓1.311.2M2022-09-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015070.001412-6.29%0.0011-27.02%0.1890✓0.781.6M2022-09-19
TRXTRONTron0.0658570.061681-6.34%0.060295-8.45%0.0238✓0.59179k2022-09-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.127.6025-6.37%6.52-19.70%0.0656✓1.12638k2022-09-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.09560.089439-6.44%0.0944-1.26%0.1273✗0.93430k2022-09-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5251.4264-6.47%1.365-10.49%0.0509✓1.21156k2022-09-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,539.617,986.83-6.47%8,481.63-0.68%0.1673✗1.367.3M2022-09-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3016860.282135-6.48%0.271513-10.00%0.0472✓1.09884k2022-09-19
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8430.787842-6.54%0.893+5.93%0.1604✗0.454.4M2022-09-19
HIVEHivenative0.54280.506926-6.61%0.5271-2.89%0.1093✗0.891.9M2022-09-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.825.4338-6.64%5.15-11.51%0.0254✓0.362.9M2022-09-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.290.270738-6.64%0.256-11.72%0.0013✓0.73878k2022-09-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.86120.803542-6.70%0.8509-1.20%0.1744✗1.49224k2022-09-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4630.431831-6.73%0.437-5.62%0.0910✗1.019,8012022-09-19
MOVRMoonriverBase13.707112.7829-6.74%11.4637-16.37%0.0341✓0.9544k2022-09-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.03673-6.78%0.034-13.71%0.0010✓0.9777k2022-09-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.6811.8206-6.78%13.68+7.89%0.2335✗1.112.6M2022-09-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10970.102192-6.84%0.1003-8.57%0.0486✓0.86274k2022-09-19
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.2444-6.87%2.07-14.11%0.0134✓0.86833k2022-09-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5570.518692-6.88%0.485-12.93%0.0220✓1.1390k2022-09-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.0514.703-6.89%3.728-26.19%0.2279✓0.062.1M2022-09-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068550.00638-6.93%0.006367-7.12%0.0349✓0.4757k2022-09-19
OPTIMOptimism1.1311.0521-6.98%0.955-15.56%0.0381✓1.723.7M2022-09-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7080.65784-7.08%0.598-15.54%0.0258✓0.88271k2022-09-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.2369.5082-7.11%15.618+52.58%0.5827✗1.1010.8M2022-09-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06680.06201-7.17%0.0563-15.72%0.0014✓1.211.3M2022-09-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.2524-7.17%8-10.01%0.0034✓0.442.2M2022-09-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31050.2877-7.34%0.2802-9.76%0.0631✓1.14110k2022-09-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.370190.342508-7.48%0.38357+3.61%0.1998✗1.10426k2022-09-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9193.6249-7.50%4.135+5.51%0.2043✗0.92127k2022-09-19
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana3.81153.5252-7.51%5.2403+37.49%0.4751✗1.00169k2022-09-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0224990.020787-7.61%0.027182+20.81%0.2782✗0.13240k2022-09-19
FORTFortaEthereum0.26760.246471-7.90%0.1798-32.81%0.2383✓0.98145k2022-09-19
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.10e-7-7.97%8.10e-7-7.95%0.0631✓0.8018k2022-09-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.320.507-8.04%17.28-22.51%0.0689✓1.3024.7M2022-09-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51720.475369-8.09%0.4508-12.84%0.0122✓0.83713k2022-09-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.297240.273141-8.11%0.25224-15.14%0.0032✓1.0513k2022-09-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36063.984-8.64%5.92+35.76%0.4074✗0.142.1M2022-09-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.6637.7474-9.39%14.77-64.55%0.8651✓0.931.8M2022-09-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10340.093443-9.63%0.0903-12.67%0.0222✓0.72220k2022-09-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.06e-76.36e-7-9.95%5.57e-7-21.08%0.0724✓0.76164k2022-09-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.69225.1166-10.11%5.54-2.67%0.0919✓0.162.1M2022-09-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain10.8949.6619-11.31%12.487+14.62%0.2893✗0.421.4M2022-09-19
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.091570.080042-12.59%0.0621-32.18%0.2469✓0.09959k2022-09-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.