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2022-08-18 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1549
188 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.68%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.3%
in alpha space · 89.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.27%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum94.8694.1696-0.73%81.44-14.15%0.0742✗1.546.4M2022-09-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.16680.165488-0.79%0.1415-15.17%0.0102✓1.03140k2022-09-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,152.4022,929.58-0.96%19,985.60-13.68%0.0010✓0.977,5932022-09-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062880.006203-1.35%0.005888-6.35%0.0477✗0.703,0362022-09-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07380.072575-1.66%0.0666-9.76%0.0328✗0.83130k2022-09-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06290.061846-1.68%0.0563-10.49%0.0369✗0.92112k2022-09-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18330.179991-1.81%0.1664-9.22%0.1255✗1.431,3972022-09-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.181330.178036-1.82%0.16418-9.46%0.2368✗2.236712022-09-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.31.2762-1.83%1.1798-9.25%0.1001✗1.261.1M2022-09-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.199278-1.83%0.1593-21.53%0.0690✓1.09657k2022-09-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40860.399727-2.17%0.357-12.63%0.0668✗1.26223k2022-09-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.041771-2.18%0.038-11.01%0.0379✗0.9311k2022-09-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11950.116898-2.18%0.0988-17.32%0.0703✓0.694,2082022-09-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0746320.072983-2.21%0.062199-16.66%0.0132✓1.031.9M2022-09-17
TRXTRONTron0.0674180.065908-2.24%0.062299-7.59%0.0305✗0.61179k2022-09-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.852.7848-2.29%2.69-5.61%0.0396✗0.5296k2022-09-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3181.2871-2.34%1.179-10.55%0.0546✗1.002.4M2022-09-17
FISStafiEthereum0.3990.38946-2.39%0.3548-11.08%0.0359✗0.911922022-09-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.18570.181198-2.42%0.1487-19.92%0.0462✓1.061,7402022-09-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24860.242491-2.46%0.21-15.53%0.0002✓1.0177k2022-09-17
XMRMoneroMonero160.98156.8832-2.54%147.56-8.34%0.0780✗0.981.2M2022-09-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00170.001656-2.57%0.001493-12.18%0.0081✓0.679,7092022-09-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.10360.100923-2.58%0.096-7.34%0.0897✗0.98430k2022-09-17
XTZTezosTezos1.78951.7422-2.64%1.5518-13.28%0.0443✗1.12470k2022-09-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017730.017249-2.71%0.01249-29.55%0.2328✓0.63153k2022-09-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.3483.2553-2.77%3.155-5.76%0.0531✗0.59853k2022-09-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00660.978378-2.80%0.9979-0.86%0.1064✗0.613.9M2022-09-17
SGBSongbirdnative0.02920.028376-2.82%0.023-21.23%0.1219✓0.6236k2022-09-17
BANDBandEthereum1.4711.4292-2.84%1.293-12.10%0.0818✗1.28518k2022-09-17
GTGateEthereum4.84824.7096-2.86%4.2761-11.80%0.0090✓0.74847k2022-09-17
NANOnanopayBase0.9901460.961743-2.87%0.865587-12.58%0.0017✓0.7577k2022-09-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13610.132185-2.88%0.1447+6.32%0.2385✗1.0441k2022-09-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1159280.112571-2.90%0.11336-2.22%0.1338✗0.897.5M2022-09-17
XVGVergenative0.003660.003553-2.92%0.00337-7.92%0.0928✗1.02508k2022-09-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09440.09164-2.92%0.0897-4.98%0.1171✗0.9712k2022-09-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.50255.8073-2.95%52.371-8.92%0.0363✗0.70354k2022-09-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7410.719081-2.96%0.617-16.73%0.0484✗1.424.6M2022-09-17
SOLSolanaSolana39.5138.3344-2.98%33.69-14.73%0.0403✗1.1975.2M2022-09-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.6457.4162-2.99%8.09+5.82%0.2407✗1.0820.0M2022-09-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3892.3157-3.07%2.022-15.36%0.0317✗1.1862k2022-09-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7711.716-3.11%1.403-20.78%0.0219✓1.26142k2022-09-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6660.645166-3.13%0.443-33.48%0.2039✓1.212,9182022-09-17
UMAUMAEthereum3.1373.0368-3.19%2.603-17.02%0.0366✓0.83719k2022-09-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007820.007567-3.23%0.00773-1.15%0.1812✗1.12420k2022-09-17
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.001920.001857-3.26%0.001621-15.57%0.0062✓1.00901k2022-09-17
XECeCashnative0.000042850.000041452-3.26%0.00004289+0.09%0.1578✗0.871.9M2022-09-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.72.6115-3.28%1.99-26.30%0.1024✓1.19259k2022-09-17
KSMKusamaHydration51.6949.9878-3.29%44.64-13.64%0.0305✓1.01543k2022-09-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.39280.379707-3.33%0.32877-16.30%0.0024✓1.0090k2022-09-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0037480.003622-3.36%0.002846-24.07%0.1278✓0.801.0M2022-09-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.18951.1494-3.37%1.0116-14.96%0.0029✓0.8855k2022-09-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7310.7063-3.38%0.629-13.95%0.0194✓0.95333k2022-09-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4780.46184-3.38%0.464-2.93%0.1456✗0.999,5622022-09-17
ADACardanoCardano0.51210.494735-3.39%0.486-5.10%0.1290✗1.0342.0M2022-09-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.28920.279274-3.43%0.304+5.12%0.2157✗0.9281k2022-09-17
DODODODOEthereum0.14560.140518-3.49%0.1276-12.36%0.0417✗0.972.0M2022-09-17
DASHDashDash50.3648.5937-3.51%44.59-11.46%0.0522✗0.97521k2022-09-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0837.7975-3.53%7.059-12.67%0.0467✗1.0314.0M2022-09-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.285409-3.58%0.266-10.14%0.0311✓0.71972k2022-09-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.788.4654-3.58%6.96-20.73%0.0416✓1.08523k2022-09-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin6057.8446-3.59%57.82-3.63%0.1415✗1.0013.1M2022-09-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,189.4622,353.11-3.61%20,113.37-13.27%0.0367✗1.00472.7M2022-09-17
QNTQuantEthereum108.5104.5778-3.61%109.47+0.89%0.1630✗0.823.4M2022-09-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010170.009797-3.66%0.00859-15.54%0.0291✓0.725.8M2022-09-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.28980.279166-3.67%0.1876-35.27%0.2452✓1.07151k2022-09-17
QTUMQtumQtum3.76713.6288-3.67%3.0761-18.34%0.0265✓0.9848k2022-09-17
XVSVenusEthereum6.286.049-3.68%4.54-27.71%0.1649✓0.861.6M2022-09-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050350.048498-3.68%0.04315-14.30%0.0140✓0.7216k2022-09-17
PROPropyEthereum0.770.741651-3.68%0.7-9.09%0.0000✓0.4186k2022-09-17
COMPCompoundEthereum56.0553.9801-3.69%54.2-3.30%0.1813✗1.2517k2022-09-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.636040.611744-3.82%0.50943-19.91%0.0045✓1.3246k2022-09-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.90020.865475-3.86%0.8104-9.98%0.1018✗1.182.2M2022-09-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash129.12124.1303-3.86%122.08-5.45%0.1408✗1.115.1M2022-09-17
FTTFTXEthereum29.9528.7831-3.90%24.62-17.80%0.0242✓0.938.9M2022-09-17
ELAElastosEthereum2.0431.9633-3.90%1.489-27.12%0.1354✓0.99170k2022-09-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7430.713769-3.93%0.621-16.42%0.0076✓0.92274k2022-09-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074940.07198-3.95%0.0662-11.66%0.0269✓0.788802022-09-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000093180.00008949-3.96%0.00030987+232.55%1.3839✗1.00336k2022-09-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.41990.403002-4.02%0.3183-24.20%0.0374✓1.39203k2022-09-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,845.901,771.05-4.05%1,468.97-20.42%0.0025✓1.33528.6M2022-09-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.451.3911-4.06%1.33-8.28%0.0941✗0.98182k2022-09-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.007640.007327-4.10%0.00543-28.93%0.2090✓0.641.4M2022-09-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93720.89855-4.12%0.8495-9.36%0.1650✗1.55244k2022-09-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43750.419184-4.19%0.4523+3.38%0.2391✗1.1564k2022-09-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158490.15178-4.23%0.13742-13.29%0.0754✗1.23250k2022-09-17
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7715.5257-4.25%5.627-2.50%0.2121✗1.3611.8M2022-09-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.19e-7-4.28%8.50e-7-11.46%0.0317✓0.7720k2022-09-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.52950.506757-4.30%0.4774-9.84%0.1007✗1.13376k2022-09-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07610.072826-4.30%0.0594-21.94%0.0350✓1.191.4M2022-09-17
ZECZcashZcash70.0967.0578-4.33%58.71-16.24%0.0271✓1.122.0M2022-09-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04490.042953-4.34%0.03601-19.80%0.0616✓0.812,5822022-09-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13410.128283-4.34%0.1254-6.49%0.0627✗0.604.1M2022-09-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013480.000012889-4.39%0.00001197-11.20%0.0639✗0.97827k2022-09-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.76281.6854-4.39%1.9045+8.04%0.2944✗1.21598k2022-09-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.333950.319273-4.39%0.40106+20.10%0.3534✗0.88383k2022-09-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.1315.4205-4.40%13.21-18.10%0.0202✓1.231.5M2022-09-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.44610.9421-4.40%16.412+43.39%0.5693✗1.1511.4M2022-09-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11490.109821-4.42%0.1088-5.31%0.1477✗1.103.7M2022-09-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.3918.5319-4.43%16.36-15.63%0.0294✓0.672.2M2022-09-17
API3Api3Ethereum2.1132.0175-4.52%1.609-23.85%0.0956✓0.92680k2022-09-17
STEEMSteemnative0.26460.252522-4.56%0.2267-14.32%0.0168✓0.88550k2022-09-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3741-4.58%1.45+0.69%0.0427✓-0.08115k2022-09-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.42.2901-4.58%2.19-8.75%0.0813✗0.89726k2022-09-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4082.2967-4.62%1.805-25.04%0.0092✓1.76132k2022-09-17
DIADIAEthereum0.452120.431202-4.63%0.38033-15.88%0.0014✓0.8970k2022-09-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05440.051863-4.66%0.042-22.79%0.0653✓1.02877k2022-09-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2493.096-4.71%2.735-15.82%0.1001✗1.575.2M2022-09-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11920.11358-4.71%0.1051-11.83%0.0443✓0.86300k2022-09-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8696.5447-4.72%6.285-8.50%0.0969✗0.975.3M2022-09-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32685.0752-4.72%4.9846-6.42%0.0012✓0.14204k2022-09-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0240.02286-4.75%0.02052-14.50%0.0189✓0.89369k2022-09-17
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.14e-7-4.76%8.40e-7-12.50%0.0278✓0.794.6M2022-09-17
UNIUniswapEthereum7.5747.2117-4.78%6.014-20.60%0.0048✓1.3110.3M2022-09-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.01470.013994-4.81%0.012503-14.95%0.0270✓0.602.1M2022-09-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.956.6118-4.87%5.91-14.96%0.0558✓0.401.8M2022-09-17
RARESuperRareEthereum0.23030.219054-4.88%0.191-17.06%0.0053✓1.00111k2022-09-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8171.7281-4.89%1.46-19.65%0.0063✓1.14150k2022-09-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087920.083585-4.93%0.06678-24.04%0.0629✓1.1429k2022-09-17
XEMNEMnative0.048620.046198-4.98%0.042628-12.32%0.0462✓0.8937k2022-09-17
KCSKuCoinnative10.119.6036-5.01%9.254-8.47%0.1029✗0.981.9M2022-09-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.211.1494-5.01%–pending––1.1512k2022-09-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234780.022299-5.02%0.020559-12.43%0.0342✓0.8112k2022-09-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02860.027157-5.05%0.02341-18.15%0.0365✓1.302,9402022-09-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.11461.0582-5.06%1.0832-2.82%0.2443✗1.555.0M2022-09-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15650.148544-5.08%0.1591+1.66%0.2200✗1.06586k2022-09-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.247882-5.10%0.1166-55.36%0.7524✓0.0174k2022-09-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023490.022284-5.13%0.02103-10.47%0.0782✗0.9613.9M2022-09-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3961.3239-5.16%1.2443-10.87%0.0725✗0.951.0M2022-09-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.637.5468-5.18%34.42-13.08%0.1102✗1.3916.0M2022-09-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30550.289506-5.24%0.2704-11.49%0.0715✗0.983.6M2022-09-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.076860.072832-5.24%0.06229-18.96%0.0091✓1.162.3M2022-09-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39930.378353-5.25%0.3309-17.13%0.0251✓1.12176k2022-09-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6420.607907-5.31%0.516-19.63%0.0058✓1.19114k2022-09-17
STXStacksnative0.44530.421629-5.32%0.3564-19.96%0.0101✓1.11628k2022-09-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.0580.054908-5.33%0.0492-15.17%0.0358✓1.02253k2022-09-17
MOVRMoonriverBase14.497613.7151-5.40%11.819-18.48%0.0136✓0.9551k2022-09-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.625.314-5.45%4.45-20.82%0.1211✓0.401.1M2022-09-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.036675-5.48%0.0359-7.47%0.1130✗0.9476k2022-09-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04940.046658-5.55%0.0461-6.68%0.1254✗0.97207k2022-09-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082990.07837-5.57%0.06385-23.06%0.1696✓0.25959k2022-09-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.856.4679-5.58%6.35-7.30%0.0370✓0.391.1M2022-09-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1511.0855-5.69%0.9111-20.84%0.0013✓1.241.1M2022-09-17
METISMetisEthereum3835.8186-5.74%25.23-33.61%0.0712✓1.96391k2022-09-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6210.585226-5.76%0.515-17.07%0.0370✓1.1695k2022-09-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3343160.314835-5.83%0.291502-12.81%0.0795✗1.10884k2022-09-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33360.314069-5.85%0.3108-6.83%0.1217✗0.938.2M2022-09-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6413.4251-5.93%4.009+10.11%0.2780✗0.85127k2022-09-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.06830.064238-5.95%0.0511-25.18%0.0635✓1.16329k2022-09-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0530140.049827-6.01%0.040142-24.28%0.1452✓0.5030k2022-09-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4144.1473-6.04%3.983-9.76%0.0139✓0.192.1M2022-09-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0310.3527-6.14%9.64-12.60%0.0960✗1.18305k2022-09-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.923220.866057-6.19%0.7528-18.46%0.0070✓0.94574k2022-09-17
HIVEHivenative0.58580.549499-6.20%0.5649-3.57%0.1623✗0.951.9M2022-09-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36730.344296-6.26%0.2713-26.14%0.0793✓1.12105k2022-09-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.11.0307-6.30%0.8328-24.29%0.0785✓0.9512k2022-09-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23410.21922-6.36%0.201-14.14%0.1103✗1.38110k2022-09-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230530.021584-6.37%0.025798+11.91%0.2118✗0.24232k2022-09-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.829.1855-6.46%8.49-13.54%0.0171✓0.431.9M2022-09-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8810.823871-6.48%0.947+7.49%0.2036✗0.454.4M2022-09-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,215.919,553.36-6.49%9,343.58-8.54%0.1679✗1.346.8M2022-09-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1413.2157-6.54%14.56+2.97%0.2553✗1.112.6M2022-09-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.044490.041544-6.62%0.03442-22.63%0.0489✓0.9821k2022-09-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070640.00658-6.85%0.006354-10.05%0.0311✓0.4655k2022-09-17
FLOWFlownative2.5282.3542-6.87%1.839-27.25%0.0655✓1.281.0M2022-09-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.1438.3111-6.88%17.07-58.51%0.6627✓1.021.8M2022-09-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.9140.85106-6.89%0.6797-25.63%0.0234✓1.42433k2022-09-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.4786.9432-7.15%5.909-20.98%0.0456✓0.819.9M2022-09-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.1922.4527-7.18%18.48-23.60%0.0000✓1.3725.9M2022-09-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015350.001425-7.22%0.001205-21.54%0.0546✓0.791.6M2022-09-17
ZENHorizenBase17.8916.5745-7.35%14.92-16.60%0.0544✓1.12130k2022-09-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004650.004297-7.60%0.00378-18.71%0.0145✓1.00152k2022-09-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.20860.192427-7.75%0.2252+7.96%0.2781✗0.851.2M2022-09-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9220.848927-7.93%0.932+1.08%0.2678✗1.231.0M2022-09-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.340840.313648-7.98%0.27068-20.58%0.0018✓1.0513k2022-09-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.371970.342027-8.05%0.31645-14.93%0.0797✓1.11426k2022-09-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.15.59-8.36%5.4-11.48%0.0209✓0.392.6M2022-09-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6464.2459-8.61%3.989-14.14%0.0152✓0.331.5M2022-09-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68892.4523-8.80%1.9947-25.82%0.0362✓1.2013k2022-09-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.13231.9431-8.88%1.8165-14.81%0.0825✓1.0533k2022-09-17
OPTIMOptimism1.1961.0892-8.93%1.133-5.27%0.3140✗1.933.6M2022-09-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.02743.6652-8.99%6.1857+53.59%0.5736✗0.352.0M2022-09-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53970.48826-9.53%0.4808-10.91%0.1012✗0.82750k2022-09-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.55194.107-9.77%5.798+27.38%0.4175✗0.512.0M2022-09-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.883.5007-9.78%3.732-3.81%0.1400✗0.531.3M2022-09-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.18e-76.42e-7-10.65%6.21e-7-13.51%0.0591✓0.64164k2022-09-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana7.4416.6258-10.96%5.727-23.03%0.1347✓0.083.9M2022-09-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.100665-11.54%0.1045-8.17%0.1471✗0.77215k2022-09-17
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.49494.692-14.61%4.9164-10.53%0.1890✗1.00169k2022-09-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.25710.9668-17.28%11.72-11.59%0.1325✓0.461.3M2022-09-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.