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2022-08-11 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1323
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.4%
in alpha space · 85.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,153.1024,252.46+0.41%21,732.50-10.02%0.0122✗0.9711k2022-09-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.70784.7196+0.25%4.9455+5.05%0.0594✓0.13367k2022-09-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.27e-73.26e-7-0.30%6.85e-7+109.73%0.8096✗0.66153k2022-09-10
SGBSongbirdnative0.02630.026193-0.41%0.0266+1.14%0.0633✗0.4836k2022-09-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.17010.168767-0.78%0.1491-12.35%0.0162✓1.07124k2022-09-10
PROPropyEthereum0.850.842598-0.87%0.73-14.12%0.0996✓0.4491k2022-09-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.932.9041-0.88%1.89-35.49%0.3774✓0.52102k2022-09-10
AAVEAaveEthereum107.55106.4093-1.06%92.74-13.77%0.0201✗1.578.2M2022-09-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04880.04826-1.11%0.0379-22.34%0.1441✓0.9711k2022-09-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27050.267375-1.16%0.2208-18.37%0.0879✓1.0391k2022-09-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0066180.006536-1.23%0.0063-4.79%0.0349✗0.713,4592022-09-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017870.017636-1.31%0.01306-26.92%0.2298✓0.70167k2022-09-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.224905-1.36%0.17959-21.23%0.1000✓1.24696k2022-09-10
TRXTRONTron0.0703710.069353-1.45%0.064586-8.22%0.0110✓0.60186k2022-09-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.257516-1.45%0.1307-49.98%0.6768✓0.0144k2022-09-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0708820.069706-1.66%0.064731-8.68%0.0296✗1.031.7M2022-09-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017030.001672-1.79%0.001601-5.99%0.0374✗0.819,2532022-09-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09160.089938-1.81%0.0658-28.17%0.2251✓0.87130k2022-09-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07180.070446-1.89%0.0598-16.71%0.0830✓0.80137k2022-09-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.00657-1.91%0.006228-7.02%0.0033✓0.5053k2022-09-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.541.509-2.01%1.3351-13.31%0.0073✓1.291.3M2022-09-10
XMRMoneroMonero160.49157.1646-2.07%157.51-1.86%0.1057✗1.031.1M2022-09-10
GTGateEthereum4.93724.8331-2.11%4.324-12.42%0.0397✓0.71911k2022-09-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19520.19105-2.13%0.17129-12.25%0.1164✗2.249582022-09-10
UMAUMAEthereum3.0212.9555-2.17%2.807-7.08%0.0348✗0.86587k2022-09-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000097270.000095102-2.23%0.0004348+347.00%1.6287✗1.08369k2022-09-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45910.448655-2.27%0.4204-8.43%0.0689✗1.33207k2022-09-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4561.4227-2.29%1.222-16.07%0.0419✓1.092.6M2022-09-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.92860.5109-2.29%55.236-10.81%0.0183✓0.72330k2022-09-10
XTZTezosTezos1.90221.8562-2.42%1.6664-12.40%0.0072✓1.14488k2022-09-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1340.130693-2.47%0.1036-22.69%0.1466✓0.854,5542022-09-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8890.866562-2.52%0.68-23.51%0.0945✓1.474.4M2022-09-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.083320.081209-2.53%0.06911-17.05%0.0834✓0.779772022-09-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1252830.122037-2.59%0.114707-8.44%0.0309✗0.927.2M2022-09-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.84.675-2.61%4.63-3.54%0.0311✗0.401.3M2022-09-10
XECeCashnative0.000046440.000045221-2.63%0.00004456-4.05%0.0705✗0.851.9M2022-09-10
XVGVergenative0.003930.003827-2.63%0.00322-18.07%0.0608✓1.11534k2022-09-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.00811-2.76%0.00593-28.90%0.2477✓0.651.6M2022-09-10
SOLSolanaSolana42.841.6165-2.77%35.07-18.06%0.0457✓1.2581.8M2022-09-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.009781-2.78%0.00938-6.76%0.0319✗0.735.6M2022-09-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012330.000011982-2.82%0.00001328+7.70%0.2005✗0.97827k2022-09-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22260.216257-2.85%0.1861-16.40%0.0060✓1.431,3132022-09-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0571690.055531-2.87%0.042535-25.60%0.2145✓0.5230k2022-09-10
ADACardanoCardano0.53060.515106-2.92%0.5124-3.43%0.1040✗1.0943.6M2022-09-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022120.002147-2.92%0.001548-30.02%0.2266✓1.001.1M2022-09-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0192550.018691-2.93%0.024191+25.63%0.2728✗0.15223k2022-09-10
NANOnanopayBase1.08621.0541-2.96%0.938309-13.62%0.0362✓0.8060k2022-09-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.39.9928-2.98%7.78-24.47%0.1364✓1.13592k2022-09-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.30780.298617-2.98%0.2299-25.31%0.1524✓1.08232k2022-09-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.25911.221-3.03%1.0696-15.05%0.0377✓0.9452k2022-09-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,944.8623,217.17-3.04%21,651.52-9.58%0.0309✗1.00482.6M2022-09-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6834.5396-3.06%12.214+160.82%1.0130✗0.231.1M2022-09-10
FTTFTXEthereum30.5229.582-3.07%27.69-9.27%0.0270✓0.9210.8M2022-09-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.968.6845-3.08%7.906-11.76%0.0192✓1.1219.3M2022-09-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.12150.117731-3.10%0.0989-18.60%0.0661✓1.07566k2022-09-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14740.142798-3.12%0.1738+17.91%0.3070✗1.1050k2022-09-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053440.051771-3.12%0.04614-13.66%0.0387✓0.7617k2022-09-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.8959.9413-3.15%63.32+2.31%0.1603✗1.0513.7M2022-09-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.85.6165-3.16%6.46+11.38%0.1746✗0.341.2M2022-09-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.72420.700822-3.23%0.55641-23.17%0.0924✓1.3769k2022-09-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.008428-3.24%0.00786-9.76%0.0428✗1.12463k2022-09-10
COMPCompoundEthereum63.1161.0636-3.24%53.06-15.92%0.0113✓1.2835k2022-09-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09880.095592-3.25%0.0995+0.71%0.1430✗1.029,1182022-09-10
DASHDashDash55.6153.8014-3.25%48.77-12.30%0.0023✓1.00552k2022-09-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4702-3.27%1.43-5.92%0.0214✓0.06150k2022-09-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.1271.0895-3.32%1.0341-8.24%0.0187✓0.704.1M2022-09-10
DODODODOEthereum0.17750.171564-3.34%0.1336-24.73%0.1452✓1.042.7M2022-09-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3210.310143-3.38%0.284-11.53%0.0039✓0.841.2M2022-09-10
XVSVenusEthereum6.616.3847-3.41%5.11-22.69%0.1119✓1.101.5M2022-09-10
KSMKusamaHydration60.9158.8272-3.42%52.32-14.10%0.0103✓1.06551k2022-09-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2018.876-3.53%7.777-15.48%0.0221✓1.0912.9M2022-09-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66431.6048-3.57%2.0477+23.04%0.3737✗1.29619k2022-09-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.46050.443946-3.59%0.35407-23.11%0.1212✓1.04118k2022-09-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.578.2609-3.61%9.02+5.25%0.1044✗0.161.8M2022-09-10
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.702-3.68%1.372-22.35%0.0811✓1.34416k2022-09-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8492.7441-3.68%2.224-21.94%0.0889✓1.2059k2022-09-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0913.9379-3.74%3.272-20.02%0.1097✓0.751.3M2022-09-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0249970.02406-3.75%0.021575-13.69%0.0229✓0.8512k2022-09-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash142.98137.5726-3.78%132.64-7.23%0.0770✗1.135.1M2022-09-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031870.03065-3.83%0.02547-20.08%0.0554✓1.291,9722022-09-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047930.046087-3.85%0.03978-17.00%0.0632✓0.832,5642022-09-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.915.6808-3.88%6.62+12.01%0.1888✗0.36894k2022-09-10
KCSKuCoinnative10.51210.1001-3.92%9.776-7.00%0.0685✗1.002.0M2022-09-10
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.70e-7-3.93%9.30e-7-7.92%0.0351✓0.776.0M2022-09-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7690.7385-3.97%0.516-32.90%0.2335✓1.242,7912022-09-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59370.570134-3.97%0.5059-14.79%0.0062✓1.13332k2022-09-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001029.79e-7-4.02%9.10e-7-10.78%0.0046✓0.7722k2022-09-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12741.0819-4.03%0.8719-22.66%0.0903✓1.252.3M2022-09-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.133.0036-4.04%2.34-25.24%0.1208✓1.28269k2022-09-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8640.8291-4.04%0.657-23.96%0.1380✓0.94377k2022-09-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,881.041,805.05-4.04%1,774.69-5.65%0.1153✗1.31509.7M2022-09-10
MOVRMoonriverBase17.087416.388-4.09%13.4676-21.18%0.0931✓1.0359k2022-09-10
API3Api3Ethereum2.1842.0929-4.17%1.789-18.09%0.0576✓0.99588k2022-09-10
STEEMSteemnative0.26950.258207-4.19%0.2293-14.92%0.0255✓0.93629k2022-09-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9240.885239-4.19%0.686-25.76%0.1549✓0.99274k2022-09-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative42.0640.2559-4.29%39.23-6.73%0.1126✗1.3815.1M2022-09-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16460.157539-4.29%0.1391-15.49%0.0548✓0.694.4M2022-09-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3262.2258-4.31%1.615-30.57%0.2050✓1.15177k2022-09-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0343.8598-4.32%4.354+7.93%0.1468✗0.262.3M2022-09-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4517.645-4.36%14.72-20.22%0.0564✓1.241.4M2022-09-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.526617-4.43%0.516-6.35%0.0800✗1.0014k2022-09-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55220.52775-4.43%0.4434-19.70%0.0597✓1.1458k2022-09-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08190.078272-4.43%0.067-18.19%0.0421✓1.131.4M2022-09-10
ZECZcashZcash79.2675.722-4.46%65.33-17.58%0.0270✓1.202.4M2022-09-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12630.120599-4.51%0.1145-9.34%0.0357✓0.87370k2022-09-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22551.1702-4.52%–pending––1.0913k2022-09-10
QTUMQtumQtum4.21494.0244-4.52%3.3754-19.92%0.0734✓1.0253k2022-09-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.53890.514497-4.53%0.3401-36.89%0.2807✓1.32245k2022-09-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159490.015224-4.55%0.013066-18.08%0.0814✓0.712.1M2022-09-10
DIADIAEthereum0.478140.456211-4.59%0.40366-15.58%0.0720✓0.5070k2022-09-10
ELAElastosEthereum2.0891.9918-4.65%1.661-20.49%0.0807✓1.00261k2022-09-10
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9296.6061-4.66%5.052-27.09%0.1300✓1.3712.8M2022-09-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14250.13584-4.67%0.1173-17.68%0.0267✓1.193.7M2022-09-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22970.218865-4.72%0.2116-7.88%0.1044✗1.37110k2022-09-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.74911.1926-4.74%15.995+36.14%0.4798✗1.2214.7M2022-09-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087080.082939-4.76%0.07598-12.75%0.0250✓1.1229k2022-09-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1420.1269-4.79%17.96-15.04%0.0423✓0.712.4M2022-09-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.911.8184-4.79%1.49-21.99%0.0916✓1.07182k2022-09-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.25540.243079-4.82%0.1625-36.37%0.2899✓1.121,7402022-09-10
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.9543-4.83%0.902-10.04%0.1042✗1.59296k2022-09-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.178090.169416-4.87%0.14372-19.30%0.0325✓1.31236k2022-09-10
QNTQuantEthereum124.47118.353-4.91%105.47-15.26%0.0265✓0.884.1M2022-09-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8752.7336-4.92%2.048-28.77%0.1125✓1.75143k2022-09-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.30410.289126-4.92%0.2818-7.33%0.0725✗0.9867k2022-09-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.1867.7792-4.97%7.129-12.91%0.0171✓1.045.5M2022-09-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087460.083045-5.05%0.07197-17.71%0.1196✓0.231.1M2022-09-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.098330.093316-5.10%0.06588-33.00%0.2198✓1.282.0M2022-09-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.06210.058917-5.13%0.0522-15.94%0.0103✓1.10197k2022-09-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.285.0074-5.16%5.41+2.46%0.1092✗0.322.1M2022-09-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.740.701775-5.17%0.568-23.24%0.0774✓1.33137k2022-09-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.331094-5.21%0.2949-15.57%0.0110✓1.043.6M2022-09-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05490.051987-5.31%0.0479-12.75%0.0212✓1.02254k2022-09-10
XEMNEMnative0.0530860.050255-5.33%0.045736-13.85%0.0055✓0.9939k2022-09-10
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9930.939867-5.35%1.028+3.52%0.1444✗0.544.2M2022-09-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36130.341805-5.40%0.3223-10.79%0.0404✓0.988.4M2022-09-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.93372.775-5.41%4.573+55.88%0.5521✗0.521.3M2022-09-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.386890.365699-5.48%0.46503+20.20%0.3320✗0.91439k2022-09-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027180.025691-5.48%0.02106-22.52%0.1166✓0.82169k2022-09-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0383.8157-5.51%3.024-25.11%0.0694✓1.625.3M2022-09-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3241.2511-5.51%0.9875-25.42%0.1120✓1.241.1M2022-09-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3761180.355049-5.60%0.312676-16.87%0.0141✓1.12916k2022-09-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35951.283-5.63%1.2446-8.45%0.1153✗1.456.8M2022-09-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0051.8898-5.75%1.514-24.49%0.1031✓1.18234k2022-09-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406160.382748-5.76%0.3323-18.18%0.0370✓1.04507k2022-09-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.031610.029783-5.78%0.02305-27.08%0.1536✓1.0213.8M2022-09-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.4308-5.78%2.61+1.16%0.1660✗0.94636k2022-09-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.17061.1024-5.82%0.85018-27.37%0.1617✓0.9712k2022-09-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.910021-5.89%0.7491-22.53%0.0462✓1.47462k2022-09-10
METISMetisEthereum44.842.1545-5.91%32.55-27.34%0.0667✓1.91385k2022-09-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4580.430728-5.95%0.3665-19.98%0.0452✓1.16174k2022-09-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0443.8018-5.99%4.296+6.23%0.1574✗0.351.6M2022-09-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6910.649491-6.01%0.552-20.12%0.0385✓1.23100k2022-09-10
STXStacksnative0.50320.472707-6.06%0.3846-23.57%0.0878✓1.18892k2022-09-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9648.404-6.25%6.674-25.55%0.0982✓1.3110.0M2022-09-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19490.182669-6.28%0.1533-21.34%0.0628✓1.12570k2022-09-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum36.1233.851-6.28%17.47-51.63%0.5419✓1.191.4M2022-09-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0049510.00464-6.28%0.002911-41.20%0.3757✓0.90994k2022-09-10
HIVEHivenative0.63020.590411-6.31%0.5779-8.30%0.0819✗1.032.4M2022-09-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.811.05-6.36%10.95-7.20%0.1060✗1.14313k2022-09-10
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05270.985368-6.40%0.8137-22.70%0.0835✓1.07558k2022-09-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3477.8083-6.45%6.359-23.82%0.1170✓0.886.0M2022-09-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.2565.8501-6.49%6.021-3.76%0.0458✓0.173.4M2022-09-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9110.850994-6.59%0.978+7.35%0.2595✗1.201.0M2022-09-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,294.4410,546.09-6.63%10,440.99-7.56%0.1241✗1.336.2M2022-09-10
RARESuperRareEthereum0.29290.273276-6.70%0.21-28.30%0.1627✓1.00138k2022-09-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07490.069802-6.81%0.051-31.91%0.2000✓1.13877k2022-09-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.14970.139405-6.88%0.2016+34.67%0.4582✗0.891.1M2022-09-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.20042.9775-6.97%7.4153+131.70%0.9474✗0.351.5M2022-09-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.614.5058-7.01%15.57-0.19%0.1912✗1.202.6M2022-09-10
SCSiacoinnative0.005170.004807-7.02%0.00413-20.12%0.0389✓1.12112k2022-09-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.040819-7.02%0.0394-10.25%0.0696✓1.0476k2022-09-10
FLOWFlownative2.9712.7556-7.25%2.11-28.98%0.1379✓1.28686k2022-09-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.42850.397112-7.33%0.314-26.72%0.1233✓1.1190k2022-09-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015210.00141-7.33%0.001381-9.22%0.0671✓0.871.4M2022-09-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.39723.1471-7.36%6.9782+105.41%0.8444✗0.481.9M2022-09-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.367760.339181-7.77%0.29035-21.05%0.0427✓1.1213k2022-09-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.5426.2583-7.99%20.45-28.35%0.1087✓1.4030.8M2022-09-10
ZENHorizenBase21.6319.8197-8.37%16.85-22.10%0.0415✓1.20124k2022-09-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.0780.071304-8.58%0.0508-34.87%0.2137✓1.25350k2022-09-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.48451.3565-8.62%1.325-10.74%0.0798✓1.03907k2022-09-10
GITCOINGITCOIN3.13662.8524-9.06%2.3273-25.80%0.0696✓1.3313k2022-09-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.39382.1768-9.07%1.9389-19.01%0.0060✓1.0938k2022-09-10
OPTIMOptimism1.5581.4091-9.56%1.387-10.98%0.1771✗1.923.4M2022-09-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.64870.585199-9.79%0.5249-19.08%0.0199✓0.88755k2022-09-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6113.2346-10.42%4.569+26.53%0.4315✗0.8698k2022-09-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.051950.04583-11.78%0.0382-26.47%0.0759✓1.0519k2022-09-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13040.112212-13.95%0.1274-2.30%0.2128✗0.85209k2022-09-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.