8=======>

2022-08-06 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1852
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.9%
in alpha space · 85.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9011.6886-11.17%1.199-36.93%0.0527✓1.953.1M2022-09-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43230.391314-9.48%0.3145-27.25%0.0429✓1.1880k2022-09-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.7328.7521-9.39%18.31-42.29%0.2452✓1.39949k2022-09-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.6424.3097-8.75%19.44-27.03%0.0106✓1.5827.5M2022-09-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,723.9310,711.91-8.63%9,493.61-19.02%0.0946✗1.454.9M2022-09-05
MOVRMoonriverBase18.505916.9259-8.54%12.9054-30.26%0.1038✓1.1353k2022-09-05
PROPropyEthereum0.920.845981-8.05%0.72-21.74%0.0758✓0.5878k2022-09-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08640.079671-7.79%0.07583-12.23%0.0090✓0.271.1M2022-09-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6520.602592-7.58%0.5193-20.35%0.0229✓1.16755k2022-09-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.834.9579-7.52%39.67+4.95%0.3374✗1.4213.0M2022-09-05
ZENHorizenBase19.2717.8231-7.51%16.1-16.45%0.1008✗1.36118k2022-09-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-78.98e-7-7.46%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0978✗0.7225k2022-09-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44783.1912-7.44%7.2089+109.09%0.9447✗0.871.6M2022-09-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6780.627843-7.40%0.533-21.39%0.0436✓1.4090k2022-09-05
XTZTezosTezos1.87771.7399-7.34%1.546-17.67%0.0719✓1.28530k2022-09-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.9315.6973-7.28%14.53-14.18%0.1318✗1.412.6M2022-09-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12120.1124-7.26%0.104-14.19%0.0829✗1.08370k2022-09-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.69.8365-7.20%7.53-28.96%0.0581✓1.41358k2022-09-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.11410.10593-7.16%0.0939-17.70%0.0666✓1.26505k2022-09-05
FLOWFlownative2.572.3896-7.02%1.919-25.33%0.0311✓1.27466k2022-09-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34920.324804-6.99%0.3046-12.77%0.1067✗1.158.2M2022-09-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.412090.383333-6.98%0.35378-14.15%0.1238✗1.38507k2022-09-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.09451.0182-6.97%1.1375+3.93%0.2811✗1.151.0M2022-09-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08690.080884-6.92%0.0559-35.67%0.1969✓1.16126k2022-09-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.37331.2785-6.90%1.1527-16.06%0.1236✗1.536.4M2022-09-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.6329.9095-6.80%12.633+18.82%0.4443✗1.3613.0M2022-09-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3534720.329596-6.75%0.298688-15.50%0.0897✗1.271.0M2022-09-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9230.861278-6.69%0.6925-24.97%0.0483✓1.80469k2022-09-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9931.8616-6.59%1.465-26.49%0.0321✓1.40253k2022-09-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169290.158163-6.57%0.13844-18.22%0.0968✗1.55212k2022-09-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.755584-6.49%0.662-18.07%0.0210✓1.03390k2022-09-05
API3Api3Ethereum2.1191.9816-6.48%1.69-20.25%0.0297✓1.27619k2022-09-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2743.9981-6.45%3.005-29.69%0.0264✓1.755.2M2022-09-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011170.001045-6.43%0.00133+19.14%0.4262✗1.241.3M2022-09-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17430.163182-6.38%0.1398-19.79%0.0317✓1.26529k2022-09-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.321.236-6.36%0.9577-27.45%0.0708✓1.241.1M2022-09-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06470.060599-6.34%0.0496-23.34%0.0085✓1.29803k2022-09-05
COMPCompoundEthereum65.0560.9351-6.33%48.36-25.66%0.0219✓1.4138k2022-09-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.3130.293278-6.30%0.2337-25.34%0.0643✓1.10300k2022-09-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017090.001603-6.18%0.001468-14.10%0.0646✗1.039,0932022-09-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046510.043661-6.13%0.03742-19.54%0.0155✓0.932,3002022-09-05
QNTQuantEthereum120.14112.7976-6.11%93.14-22.47%0.0469✓0.974.5M2022-09-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8350.784069-6.10%0.663-20.60%0.0125✓1.21241k2022-09-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43530.408766-6.10%0.355-18.45%0.0541✓1.31134k2022-09-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.57290.538004-6.09%0.4722-17.58%0.0401✓1.15318k2022-09-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04440.041714-6.05%0.0367-17.34%0.0552✓1.2376k2022-09-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035250.033123-6.03%0.02134-39.46%0.2243✓1.4513.9M2022-09-05
BANDBandEthereum1.8281.718-6.02%1.307-28.50%0.0605✓1.43371k2022-09-05
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.2559-5.97%6.576-25.10%0.0210✓1.399.9M2022-09-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202380.01903-5.97%0.025549+26.24%0.3537✗0.40173k2022-09-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07740.072785-5.96%0.1303+68.35%0.6908✗0.73159k2022-09-05
SOLSolanaSolana40.0737.6988-5.92%32.18-19.69%0.0447✓1.3780.8M2022-09-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12911.0625-5.90%0.8473-24.96%0.0226✓1.371.5M2022-09-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.319027-5.89%0.271-20.06%0.0105✓1.031.1M2022-09-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.052005-5.84%0.0442-19.97%0.0323✓0.8816k2022-09-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56940.53619-5.83%0.4308-24.34%0.0523✓1.1246k2022-09-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2230.210041-5.81%0.173-22.42%0.0292✓1.50716k2022-09-05
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2646.8447-5.77%4.75-34.61%0.1109✓1.7111.9M2022-09-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.4234-5.74%1.2398-17.89%0.0714✗1.411.2M2022-09-05
MANADecentralandEthereum1.04720.987264-5.73%0.7895-24.61%0.0291✓1.31532k2022-09-05
STXStacksnative0.48450.456918-5.69%0.3681-24.02%0.0323✓1.24808k2022-09-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0710.066967-5.68%0.0571-19.58%0.0215✓0.93158k2022-09-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6320.4069-5.65%17.32-19.93%0.0415✓0.832.6M2022-09-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5490.518086-5.63%–pending––1.1516k2022-09-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21033.0296-5.63%7.3781+129.83%1.0026✗0.761.2M2022-09-05
METISMetisEthereum41.2338.9281-5.58%30.53-25.95%0.0338✓1.87293k2022-09-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.4458.9196-5.56%6.141-34.98%0.2190✓1.043.3M2022-09-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12780.120709-5.55%0.104-18.62%0.0593✗1.402.9M2022-09-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000011288-5.54%0.00001261+5.52%0.2950✗1.24934k2022-09-05
XVGVergenative0.00370.003495-5.53%0.00309-16.49%0.0690✗1.30551k2022-09-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008850.008361-5.53%0.00785-11.30%0.1253✗1.27392k2022-09-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.316260.298979-5.46%0.35+10.67%0.3227✗1.11366k2022-09-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.8457.5278-5.44%60.36-0.79%0.2213✗1.1713.5M2022-09-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017710.016747-5.44%0.01272-28.18%0.1525✓0.83176k2022-09-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8020.759111-5.35%0.487-39.28%0.2270✓1.462,7912022-09-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.4088-5.31%9.21+3.72%0.1619✗0.481.8M2022-09-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15840.15005-5.27%0.1447-8.65%0.1065✗0.963.6M2022-09-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.12.9366-5.27%1.97-36.45%0.3249✓0.50116k2022-09-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.5248.0749-5.27%7.368-13.56%0.0915✗1.2311.0M2022-09-05
XECeCashnative0.000044740.000042385-5.26%0.00004372-2.28%0.2042✗1.171.9M2022-09-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.3782-5.25%2.31-7.97%0.1297✗1.07507k2022-09-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.034.7687-5.20%4.72-6.16%0.0938✗0.701.3M2022-09-05
STEEMSteemnative0.25780.244477-5.17%0.222-13.89%0.0779✗1.17768k2022-09-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.452.3235-5.16%4.075+66.33%0.6943✗0.8992k2022-09-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07440.070563-5.16%0.0625-15.99%0.0419✓1.101.1M2022-09-05
HIVEHivenative0.58410.55398-5.16%0.5388-7.76%0.1469✗1.182.1M2022-09-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.009542-5.15%0.00891-11.43%0.0626✗0.885.2M2022-09-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.26450.2509-5.14%0.1562-40.95%0.2801✓1.311,5612022-09-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13850.131431-5.10%0.1229-11.26%0.1200✗1.2661k2022-09-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.938427-5.07%0.8257-16.47%0.1213✗1.68296k2022-09-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55891.4802-5.05%1.6684+7.02%0.3255✗1.39619k2022-09-05
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.21e-7-5.04%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0906✗0.846.1M2022-09-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032650.031013-5.01%0.03562+9.10%0.3216✗1.2314k2022-09-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1781.1191-5.00%1.056-10.36%0.0361✓0.632.1M2022-09-05
XMRMoneroMonero160.51152.4873-5.00%157.52-1.86%0.1994✗1.121.1M2022-09-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6982.5641-4.96%1.916-28.98%0.0305✓1.76118k2022-09-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002210.002101-4.95%0.001564-29.23%0.1466✓1.001.1M2022-09-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.10841.0535-4.95%–pending––1.0413k2022-09-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.3714-4.93%5.7+0.88%0.1495✗0.611.5M2022-09-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023020.021887-4.92%0.02235-2.91%0.1710✗1.01159k2022-09-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9663.7726-4.88%2.972-25.06%0.1123✓0.85976k2022-09-05
XEMNEMnative0.0518040.049279-4.87%0.043718-15.61%0.0577✗1.2037k2022-09-05
ELAElastosEthereum2.2792.1691-4.82%1.752-23.12%0.0462✓1.13219k2022-09-05
DASHDashDash52.5750.0364-4.82%47.59-9.47%0.1144✗1.11574k2022-09-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3662.2539-4.74%1.573-33.52%0.1475✓1.43169k2022-09-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032410.003088-4.72%0.002935-9.44%0.0980✗1.001.0M2022-09-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.830009-4.71%0.676-22.39%0.0536✗1.744.4M2022-09-05
GTGateEthereum4.77754.553-4.70%4.0071-16.13%0.0164✓0.75908k2022-09-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.057568-4.69%0.0558-7.62%0.1779✗1.41350k2022-09-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085850.081825-4.69%0.06402-25.43%0.0251✓1.481.1M2022-09-05
FTTFTXEthereum30.3928.9668-4.68%26.62-12.41%0.0570✗0.959.4M2022-09-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34110.325182-4.67%0.2822-17.27%0.0313✓1.173.6M2022-09-05
ZECZcashZcash67.6564.5013-4.65%63.41-6.27%0.1711✗1.271.7M2022-09-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2857.902-4.62%6.734-18.72%0.0226✓1.236.9M2022-09-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45280.431946-4.61%0.3741-17.38%0.0759✗1.48242k2022-09-05
KSMKusamaHydration66.4163.3563-4.60%51.33-22.71%0.0376✓1.16419k2022-09-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100020.000095486-4.53%0.00040493+304.85%1.7556✗2.10480k2022-09-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.032.8931-4.52%2.34-22.77%0.0133✓1.52234k2022-09-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10140.096823-4.51%0.0818-19.33%0.0102✓1.205,6912022-09-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.42458.6605-4.50%53.71-12.56%0.0364✓0.84321k2022-09-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7947.4453-4.47%7.382-5.29%0.1785✗1.2616.9M2022-09-05
ADACardanoCardano0.51140.488848-4.41%0.4987-2.48%0.1989✗1.2140.5M2022-09-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6564.4513-4.40%13.008+179.38%1.1547✗0.551.3M2022-09-05
NANOnanopayBase1.04631.0006-4.37%0.898557-14.12%0.0321✓0.9458k2022-09-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21550.206108-4.36%0.1872-13.13%0.1139✗1.421,2762022-09-05
QTUMQtumQtum4.12753.9476-4.36%3.3484-18.88%0.0042✓1.0853k2022-09-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.06010.057495-4.34%0.0508-15.47%0.0831✗1.39179k2022-09-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0413.8665-4.32%4.501+11.38%0.2372✗0.571.9M2022-09-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56690.542433-4.32%0.307-45.85%0.3733✓1.32234k2022-09-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.5835.3423-4.31%6.361+13.94%0.2515✗0.522.6M2022-09-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.691750.661972-4.30%0.55546-19.70%0.0489✗1.5178k2022-09-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.250132-4.27%0.1628-37.70%0.4276✓0.0131k2022-09-05
UMAUMAEthereum3.0342.9046-4.26%2.722-10.28%0.1023✗1.13572k2022-09-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.97582.8494-4.25%4.9518+66.40%0.6974✗0.981.2M2022-09-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0158910.015218-4.23%0.013125-17.41%0.0139✓0.902.1M2022-09-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086090.082447-4.23%0.07261-15.66%0.0737✗1.3529k2022-09-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.762.6434-4.22%2.117-23.30%0.0088✓1.4447k2022-09-05
DIADIAEthereum0.472490.45257-4.22%0.38052-19.46%0.0611✓0.7670k2022-09-05
DODODODOEthereum0.18050.172892-4.22%0.1279-29.14%0.1175✓1.243.3M2022-09-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7690.737135-4.14%0.522-32.12%0.1268✓1.47135k2022-09-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.007997-4.11%0.00599-28.18%0.1533✓0.911.6M2022-09-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4673-4.10%1.45-5.23%0.0315✓0.29242k2022-09-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.27080.25981-4.06%0.2373-12.37%0.0737✗1.1165k2022-09-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12980.124546-4.05%0.1025-21.03%0.0470✓1.004,7012022-09-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.755.5184-4.03%6.64+15.48%0.2727✗0.59878k2022-09-05
TRXTRONTron0.069510.066768-3.94%0.062937-9.46%0.0463✗0.71327k2022-09-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,960.9322,081.37-3.83%19,794.58-13.79%0.0391✗1.00427.9M2022-09-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.248695-3.83%0.2097-18.91%0.0107✓1.2299k2022-09-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9417.2539-3.82%14.28-20.40%0.0091✓1.341.3M2022-09-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031370.030173-3.82%0.02511-19.96%0.0081✓1.291,3502022-09-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.24e-7-3.79%8.55e-7+153.78%1.1135✗0.97153k2022-09-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063240.006089-3.72%0.00602-4.80%0.1164✗0.864,5222022-09-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,690.811,628.41-3.69%1,618.01-4.31%0.1846✗1.29407.7M2022-09-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23530.226622-3.69%0.209-11.18%0.1371✗1.4789k2022-09-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.360270.346996-3.68%0.28593-20.63%0.0022✓1.2913k2022-09-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.430780.414933-3.68%0.34064-20.92%0.0199✓1.20124k2022-09-05
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00292.8934-3.65%2.3084-23.13%0.0055✓1.5613k2022-09-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33962.2546-3.63%1.8663-20.23%0.0089✓1.2137k2022-09-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.6311.2092-3.62%10.8-7.14%0.1422✗1.21290k2022-09-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0232040.022366-3.61%0.020653-10.99%0.0628✗0.9612k2022-09-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.14620.140936-3.60%0.2073+41.79%0.5457✗1.081.0M2022-09-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.19371.1515-3.54%1.0444-12.51%0.0589✗1.0543k2022-09-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05470.052765-3.54%0.0446-18.46%0.0222✓1.28269k2022-09-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.115.898-3.47%6.72+9.98%0.2299✗0.67754k2022-09-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1219030.117674-3.47%0.10507-13.81%0.0337✓0.997.0M2022-09-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9613.8246-3.44%4.31+8.81%0.2220✗0.691.5M2022-09-05
KCSKuCoinnative10.50110.1581-3.27%9.414-10.35%0.0876✗1.102.0M2022-09-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16681.1299-3.16%0.9784-16.15%0.0166✓0.864.1M2022-09-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.3858-3.09%1.17-18.18%0.0186✓1.272.5M2022-09-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198360.192249-3.08%0.158-20.35%0.1441✗2.291,1202022-09-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.7747-3.02%1.37-25.14%0.0620✓1.33129k2022-09-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064590.006266-2.99%0.00635-1.69%0.0868✗0.4944k2022-09-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7490.727103-2.92%1.044+39.39%0.5430✗1.22963k2022-09-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004545-2.89%0.00402-14.10%0.0716✗1.31112k2022-09-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.34137.3777-2.80%125.75-11.03%0.0909✗1.214.7M2022-09-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,221.9022,584.79-2.74%19,866.30-14.45%0.0169✓0.9812k2022-09-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.16260.158204-2.70%0.1448-10.95%0.0963✗1.25102k2022-09-05
XYMSymbolnative0.054630.053154-2.70%0.041483-24.07%0.1639✓0.5725k2022-09-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077790.075758-2.61%0.06802-12.56%0.0004✓0.739072022-09-05
XVSVenusEthereum6.626.498-1.84%4.93-25.53%0.0713✓1.381.4M2022-09-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05050.049617-1.75%0.0367-27.33%0.1097✓1.2910k2022-09-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.954.8712-1.59%5.0514+2.05%0.0621✗0.17228k2022-09-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.15881.1434-1.33%0.85582-26.15%0.1266✓1.1012k2022-09-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0686410.067859-1.14%0.062695-8.66%0.0958✗1.181.6M2022-09-05
AAVEAaveEthereum99.0898.3939-0.69%91.3-7.85%0.1718✗1.6610.0M2022-09-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.