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2022-08-01 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0969
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.64%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.6%
in alpha space · 83.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.86%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.3523-10.56%1.129-25.33%0.1154✗1.981.7M2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.77450.700668-9.53%0.5573-28.04%0.0550✓1.171.4M2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3210,597.56-8.73%9,021.07-22.31%0.0473✓1.404.2M2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0532-7.59%0.9023-20.84%0.0911✗1.65205k2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5921.8017-7.58%19.13-18.91%0.1074✗1.6027.5M2022-08-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4426.3113-7.48%19.03-33.09%0.1162✓1.39641k2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.383799-7.03%0.31794-22.98%0.0198✓1.39583k2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.085975-6.91%0.08149-11.77%0.0172✓0.241.1M2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0232.6027-6.90%32.41-7.45%0.2045✗1.416.9M2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-78.96e-7-6.70%8.70e-7-9.37%0.1200✗1.0025k2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.0687-6.59%6.6294+101.80%0.9035✗0.891.2M2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03150.964061-6.54%1.1394+10.46%0.3413✗1.171.1M2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.108613-6.53%0.0899-22.63%0.0048✓1.30472k2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.113012-6.37%0.1033-14.42%0.0699✗1.07352k2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.580221-6.36%0.5054-18.43%0.0343✓1.16642k2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.080417-6.27%0.0595-30.65%0.1256✓1.18137k2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.043307-6.22%0.03845-16.74%0.0244✓0.962,3002022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.895665-6.21%0.6723-29.60%0.0225✓1.77513k2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.303734-6.20%0.3041-6.08%0.1721✗1.1576k2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.2263-6.12%1.1463-12.24%0.1571✗1.515.6M2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.606697-6.08%0.515-20.28%0.0455✓1.4088k2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.034563-6.08%0.02026-44.95%0.3068✓1.5212.6M2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.2429-6.07%5.746-34.53%0.2022✓1.062.4M2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase18.1617.0597-6.06%15.53-14.48%0.1105✗1.37116k2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.7097-6.05%1.5108-16.98%0.0647✗1.26492k2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.322145-5.92%0.2885-15.74%0.0597✓1.147.7M2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0251.9061-5.87%2.072+2.32%0.2732✗1.27415k2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.3999.7915-5.84%11.825+13.71%0.3937✗1.3714.4M2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.246-5.82%0.9427-28.75%0.0938✓1.241.2M2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.7803-5.80%1.43-24.34%0.0066✓1.42234k2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum58.955.5526-5.68%47.14-19.97%0.0434✓1.3932k2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.288667-5.63%0.2325-23.99%0.0486✓1.12300k2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001602-5.63%0.00156-8.07%0.1262✗1.0211k2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.728605-5.62%0.663-14.12%0.0529✓0.99377k2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001035-5.61%0.001342+22.42%0.4517✗1.291.4M2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana41.6739.339-5.59%31.5-24.41%0.0194✓1.3681.1M2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.05779-5.57%0.0484-20.92%0.0173✓1.30799k2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.018886-5.56%0.030314+51.59%0.5500✗0.51165k2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.16245-5.55%0.1395-18.90%0.0341✓1.25491k2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1813.3939-5.54%12.5-11.85%0.1410✗1.411.9M2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum2.0221.9113-5.47%1.65-18.40%0.0437✓1.28637k2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.218.1616-5.41%17.27-10.05%0.0783✗0.862.2M2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.1504-5.39%2.03-39.04%0.3662✓0.4994k2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002299-5.37%0.001503-38.12%0.2757✓1.001.8M2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.787582-5.22%0.475-42.84%0.2838✓1.493,6872022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.1892-5.22%5.61-14.09%0.0059✓0.621.2M2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.344232-5.11%0.29809-17.83%0.0497✓1.301.0M2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.024-5.09%0.8327-22.82%0.0041✓1.411.4M2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3657.9402-5.08%6.142-26.58%0.0477✓1.408.5M2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.4237-5.03%2.959-17.92%0.1121✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.049103-5.00%0.04593-11.14%0.0678✗0.9015k2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.3127-4.99%4.761-28.34%0.0238✓1.7311.3M2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.003750.003565-4.92%0.00335-10.67%0.1329✗1.31559k2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.6341-4.88%1.275-25.79%0.0318✓1.45327k2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.064114-4.88%0.0574-14.84%0.0323✓0.96229k2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011389-4.85%0.00001208+0.92%0.2429✗1.23986k2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.318768-4.85%0.282-15.82%0.0313✓1.03959k2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.1574-4.84%0.13698-17.19%0.0912✗1.54212k2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.136886-4.81%0.1236-14.05%0.0895✗1.2859k2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.472787-4.80%0.439-11.60%0.0929✗1.1247k2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000099769-4.79%0.00022156+111.43%1.0877✗1.94592k2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.805-4.76%7.8611+166.92%1.1460✗0.77978k2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.6197-4.75%7.66-4.25%0.2092✗1.37263k2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.3525-4.75%1.0347-27.13%0.0532✓1.441.1M2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.039345-4.73%0.0349-15.50%0.0633✗1.2371k2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.009728-4.72%0.00858-15.96%0.0184✓0.974.7M2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.210562-4.72%0.168-23.98%0.0002✓1.51821k2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.3872-4.70%8.84-10.25%0.0181✓0.521.7M2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.501-4.68%1.7276+9.71%0.3549✗1.44589k2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4756.6901-4.67%53.84-9.47%0.1209✗1.1613.6M2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.253312-4.66%0.2291-13.77%0.0679✗1.13768k2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000043037-4.66%0.00004452-1.37%0.2070✗1.161.9M2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero160.69153.2177-4.65%149.22-7.14%0.1394✗1.111.3M2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum33.6232.0671-4.62%31.03-7.70%0.2571✗1.94229k2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.008949-4.60%0.00799-14.82%0.0750✗1.26359k2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0307-4.56%0.91-15.74%0.0200✓0.701.5M2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.822094-4.52%0.673-21.84%0.0573✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.118097-4.45%0.1026-16.99%0.0654✗1.382.8M2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.5521-4.44%6.4+10.15%0.2332✗0.61732k2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.187.8182-4.42%7.033-14.02%0.0792✗1.2410.0M2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.758122-4.40%0.663-16.39%0.0499✗1.23218k2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.27e-7-4.40%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0716✗0.836.4M2022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.532943-4.39%0.4594-17.58%0.0216✓1.14341k2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003114-4.35%0.002994-8.05%0.1126✗1.021.0M2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.405452-4.35%0.3513-17.13%0.0548✗1.33127k2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.147398-4.35%0.1324-14.08%0.0402✓0.993.5M2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.3301-4.31%3.743+53.72%0.6111✗0.92105k2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01630.972651-4.30%0.77191-24.05%0.0338✓1.32525k2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017133-4.29%0.01358-24.13%0.1157✓0.78229k2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.143006-4.28%0.2179+45.85%0.5862✗1.11698k2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.3128-4.27%1.522-37.00%0.2077✓1.41177k2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum103.4699.0727-4.24%96.47-6.76%0.1246✗1.014.2M2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum30.7529.4465-4.24%26.73-13.07%0.0452✗0.9510.2M2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.517273-4.23%0.3203-40.70%0.2686✓1.41234k2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.46130.442023-4.18%0.365-20.88%0.0056✓1.25778k2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.250957-4.14%0.247-5.65%0.0143✓0.0128k2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.497529-4.14%0.418-19.46%0.0033✓1.1513k2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.2924-4.08%2.13-10.88%0.0861✗1.07301k2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.062172-4.06%0.0503-22.38%0.0026✓1.44154k2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.8645-4.05%4.79-5.52%0.0904✗0.711.2M2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.1872-4.05%13.005+198.01%1.2202✗0.581.2M2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.06151-4.04%0.1161+81.12%0.7563✗0.81155k2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.049379-4.02%0.043941-14.59%0.0603✗1.1938k2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.296902-3.95%0.35+13.22%0.3389✗1.17398k2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.322737-3.95%0.2809-16.40%0.0377✓1.183.1M2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.077394-3.86%0.06211-22.84%0.0038✓1.50773k2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.030828-3.78%0.03519+9.83%0.3173✗1.2414k2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.7306-3.78%2.922-24.63%0.1123✓0.88754k2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.4689-3.75%1.915-25.34%0.0077✓1.7595k2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.493626-3.74%0.4458-13.07%0.0846✗1.2541.9M2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.171045-3.69%0.1276-28.15%0.1056✓1.263.5M2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.0334-3.68%6.25-25.06%0.0653✓1.246.8M2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.020768-3.68%0.02304+6.86%0.2578✗1.03159k2022-08-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0385-3.66%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.41644.2552-3.65%4.3008-2.62%0.1195✗0.73916k2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.2981-3.64%6.628-12.49%0.0923✗1.2616.9M2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.780.751763-3.62%0.73-6.41%0.0609✗0.6179k2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.46956-3.61%0.3717-23.70%0.1166✓0.7863k2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7304-3.60%1.818+1.28%0.1447✗0.64189k2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.454108-3.59%0.3462-26.50%0.0521✓1.47273k2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8622,439.57-3.58%20,048.26-13.86%0.0365✗1.00414.2M2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134314.5996-3.53%12.38-18.20%0.0106✓1.1868k2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67658.5715-3.47%51.915-14.44%0.0055✓0.85345k2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.02281-3.43%0.02152-8.89%0.0875✗0.989,6292022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7014-3.41%4.0516+44.87%0.5510✗0.981.0M2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.7178-3.41%4.449+15.59%0.2682✗0.591.7M2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5076-3.36%1.52-2.56%0.0405✗0.22268k2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,576.62-3.32%1,554.00-4.71%0.1729✗1.26387.0M2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.8617-3.32%2.728-7.84%0.1190✗1.12619k2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.081407-3.31%0.07274-13.60%0.0879✗1.3429k2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.068188-3.28%0.0622-11.77%0.0686✗1.08567k2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008144-3.28%0.00619-26.48%0.1380✓0.911.6M2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.688272-3.27%0.55118-22.54%0.0035✓1.5188k2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.254664-3.21%0.2112-19.73%0.0038✓1.23101k2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.406052-3.18%0.33416-20.32%0.0140✓1.21118k2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.8537-3.17%2.012-31.73%0.1368✓1.4349k2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2072-3.11%1.0708-14.06%0.0387✗1.0643k2022-08-31
DASHDashDash49.7548.2715-2.97%44.55-10.45%0.0848✗1.11574k2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.7732-2.96%6.047+22.93%0.3188✗0.552.0M2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.0247-2.93%3.149-24.05%0.0822✓1.0939k2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration64.2362.3678-2.90%47.42-26.17%0.0972✓1.18354k2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.7784-2.85%2.15-24.83%0.0298✓1.52192k2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.067976-2.85%0.063428-9.35%0.0467✗0.78373k2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.092431-2.81%0.0821-13.67%0.0613✗1.216,7862022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash62.8761.1084-2.80%59.88-4.76%0.1664✗1.251.5M2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.014604-2.75%0.013176-12.26%0.0287✗0.881.6M2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.051738-2.75%0.044-17.29%0.0246✓1.25269k2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.913103-2.74%0.9535+1.57%0.1769✗0.903.2M2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.269482-2.71%0.2447-11.66%0.0641✗1.0867k2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2510.9487-2.68%10.1-10.22%0.1005✗1.21243k2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.058629-2.61%0.0577-4.15%0.1933✗1.40339k2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.122237-2.60%0.1003-20.08%0.0501✓0.994,9522022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.224722-2.59%0.2184-5.33%0.1927✗1.4897k2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.115251-2.58%0.104365-11.78%0.0492✗0.996.8M2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.15.9434-2.57%6.7+9.84%0.2187✗0.66623k2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.4285-2.53%14.14-20.92%0.0080✓1.351.3M2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase1.01850.993665-2.44%0.894603-12.16%0.0381✗0.9660k2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006489-2.41%0.006495-2.33%0.0813✗0.5438k2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.3894-2.36%1.205-15.32%0.0472✗1.272.5M2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004667-2.36%0.00404-15.48%0.0519✗1.32112k2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.710069-2.33%1.078+48.28%0.5986✗1.21806k2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.7314-2.32%9.001-9.66%0.0837✗1.082.1M2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.8459-2.24%4.337+10.24%0.2274✗0.721.4M2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006179-2.24%0.005668-10.32%0.0479✗0.909,1592022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.22e-7-2.20%9.25e-7+181.07%1.1988✗0.96178k2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.71605-2.05%0.528-27.77%0.0823✓1.4980k2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.222-2.03%1.7939-20.91%0.0298✓1.2329k2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.188588-2.03%0.15568-19.13%0.1535✗2.311,2222022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.0882-1.96%5.8014+11.78%0.1623✗0.21210k2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.20299-1.94%0.1824-11.88%0.1014✗1.401,1792022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7022,733.51-1.90%19,990.40-13.73%0.0177✓0.9814k2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87135.3687-1.81%115.16-16.47%0.0161✓1.194.3M2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.16212-1.57%0.1445-12.26%0.0703✗1.2494k2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.029571-1.46%0.02455-18.19%0.0088✓1.311,2932022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.056425-1.41%0.043128-24.65%0.1794✓0.6022k2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.613-1.04%1.31-19.63%0.0035✓1.37114k2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.4499-0.92%4.86-25.35%0.0742✓1.401.1M2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.209176-0.68%0.1531-27.30%0.1094✓1.361,6972022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.078543-0.55%0.06618-16.21%0.0622✓0.731,1722022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.068371-0.51%0.061277-10.83%0.0618✗1.151.7M2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5896.232-0.36%84.85-12.15%0.1221✗1.6610.2M2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1981-0.09%0.89656-25.23%0.1260✓1.1010k2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048347+0.10%0.0357-26.09%0.1027✗1.347,6872022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.347214+0.50%0.31172-9.77%0.0883✓1.3112k2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.8881+1.02%2.1594-24.47%0.0574✗1.5612k2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.