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2022-07-29 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1474
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.33%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
38.8%
in alpha space · 78.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.8431.4731-20.07%1.054-42.81%0.0514✓1.971.1M2022-08-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.3933.0427-10.32%5.5537+63.68%0.7754✗0.891.0M2022-08-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.5336.5011-9.94%30.93-23.69%0.1108✗1.411.3M2022-08-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0531.876-8.62%1.36-33.76%0.0415✓1.43220k2022-08-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8330.76481-8.19%0.489-41.30%0.1569✓1.482,9182022-08-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.5211.5344-7.87%9.51-24.04%0.0451✓1.22241k2022-08-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62090.574201-7.52%0.4996-19.54%0.0888✗1.16624k2022-08-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,870.2710,054.44-7.51%8,473.37-22.05%0.1003✗1.394.0M2022-08-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.088.4347-7.11%7.2-20.70%0.1084✗1.36256k2022-08-28
ZENHorizenBase18.1316.86-7.01%14.8-18.37%0.1396✗1.38108k2022-08-28
XVSVenusEthereum7.647.1105-6.93%4.82-36.91%0.1155✓1.401.0M2022-08-28
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02552.8236-6.67%2.0034-33.78%0.0351✓1.5711k2022-08-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011340.01059-6.61%0.00825-27.25%0.0027✓1.26355k2022-08-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5122.9238-6.47%18.53-24.40%0.0996✗1.5927.5M2022-08-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.079620.074921-5.90%0.06229-21.77%0.1099✗1.50768k2022-08-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42951.3479-5.71%0.9934-30.51%0.0114✓1.506.1M2022-08-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.28132.1529-5.63%1.7152-24.81%0.0154✓1.2424k2022-08-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6313.8124-5.59%11.33-22.56%0.0855✗1.451.6M2022-08-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.9840.929426-5.55%1.201+22.05%0.4858✗1.171.2M2022-08-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.9820.929244-5.37%0.6463-34.19%0.0189✓1.76516k2022-08-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95162.7931-5.37%5.4352+84.14%0.8171✗0.77941k2022-08-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.12920.12252-5.17%0.2102+62.69%0.7558✗1.10617k2022-08-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5214.2891-5.13%5.809+28.49%0.4099✗0.542.0M2022-08-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.96780.91878-5.07%0.7842-18.97%0.1612✗1.63205k2022-08-28
UNIUniswapEthereum9.0858.6249-5.06%5.739-36.83%0.1334✓1.407.0M2022-08-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3281.2612-5.03%0.9332-29.73%0.0582✓1.241.2M2022-08-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.043.8373-5.02%2.966-26.58%0.0823✗1.743.8M2022-08-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.067.6593-4.97%6.275-22.15%0.0463✓1.255.5M2022-08-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.05208-4.96%0.0419-23.54%0.0246✓1.24263k2022-08-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52130.495476-4.95%0.32-38.62%0.2413✓1.00234k2022-08-28
METISMetisEthereum36.7234.9187-4.91%29.26-20.32%0.2019✗1.93194k2022-08-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3862.2691-4.90%1.511-36.67%0.1292✓1.42169k2022-08-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.088030.08374-4.87%0.06897-21.65%0.0675✗1.3428k2022-08-28
QNTQuantEthereum106.29101.2846-4.71%92.31-13.15%0.1060✗1.024.2M2022-08-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5290.504143-4.70%0.412-22.12%0.0227✓1.1513k2022-08-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4116.6298-4.48%16.67-4.25%0.1740✗0.882.4M2022-08-28
APEApeCoinEthereum6.676.3777-4.38%4.649-30.30%0.0144✓1.6911.5M2022-08-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010830.001036-4.33%0.001346+24.25%0.5134✗1.291.6M2022-08-28
STEEMSteemnative0.24760.23711-4.24%0.2183-11.83%0.1406✗1.14643k2022-08-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.4422.4483-4.23%37.2+58.70%0.7759✗1.38534k2022-08-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23720.22721-4.21%0.2134-10.03%0.2270✗1.4892k2022-08-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17110.7079-4.15%10.559-5.48%0.2537✗1.3715.1M2022-08-28
DIADIAEthereum0.485590.465496-4.14%0.36304-25.24%0.0965✓0.7855k2022-08-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29210.280024-4.13%0.3044+4.21%0.3056✗1.1375k2022-08-28
HIVEHivenative0.53710.515151-4.09%0.5282-1.66%0.2519✗1.161.5M2022-08-28
DODODODOEthereum0.17280.165811-4.04%0.1182-31.60%0.0912✓1.262.9M2022-08-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7150.686226-4.02%0.916+28.11%0.5257✗1.21806k2022-08-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7122.606-3.91%1.828-32.60%0.0107✓1.7692k2022-08-28
XEMNEMnative0.0497230.047787-3.89%0.042995-13.53%0.1269✗1.1935k2022-08-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029960.02881-3.84%0.02162-27.84%0.0128✓1.5311.5M2022-08-28
FLOWFlownative1.8661.7948-3.82%1.692-9.32%0.1905✗1.27382k2022-08-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6030.580112-3.80%0.488-19.07%0.1012✗1.4084k2022-08-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56510.543736-3.78%0.4349-23.04%0.0005✓1.14350k2022-08-28
QTUMQtumQtum4.664.4844-3.77%2.9825-36.00%0.1935✓1.0932k2022-08-28
COMPCompoundEthereum58.6956.5136-3.71%43.85-25.29%0.0179✓1.3928k2022-08-28
STXStacksnative0.43040.414831-3.62%0.3529-18.01%0.0829✗1.25606k2022-08-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.971150.936081-3.61%0.74832-22.94%0.0358✓1.33431k2022-08-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.1730.166793-3.59%0.13172-23.86%0.0658✗1.54207k2022-08-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09350.090153-3.58%0.08638-7.61%0.0090✓0.26910k2022-08-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.622.53-3.43%2.08-20.61%0.0146✓1.07175k2022-08-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,722.251,663.12-3.43%1,426.63-17.16%0.0931✗1.26387.0M2022-08-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9665.762-3.42%5.639-5.48%0.1905✗1.082.1M2022-08-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004390.004241-3.40%0.00393-10.48%0.1817✗1.32103k2022-08-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash151.84146.6856-3.39%112.59-25.85%0.0316✓1.193.9M2022-08-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.545.3536-3.36%5.16-6.86%0.0840✗0.62786k2022-08-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12730.123064-3.33%0.0992-22.07%0.0535✗1.372.5M2022-08-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11720.113327-3.30%0.1013-13.57%0.0965✗1.07352k2022-08-28
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.19e-7-3.30%8.50e-7-10.53%0.0861✗0.845.9M2022-08-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.29e-7-3.27%8.60e-7-10.42%0.1191✗1.0025k2022-08-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3090.29903-3.23%0.2731-11.62%0.1416✗1.192.8M2022-08-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.8611.8016-3.19%1.733-6.88%0.0845✗0.63223k2022-08-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.5203-3.16%1.39-11.46%0.0417✓0.24268k2022-08-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.034050.033032-2.99%0.0242-28.93%0.0546✓1.311,3182022-08-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33680.326774-2.98%0.2823-16.18%0.0762✗1.147.7M2022-08-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150550.014607-2.98%0.013002-13.64%0.0568✗0.881.2M2022-08-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.037648-2.97%0.0345-11.08%0.1515✗1.2268k2022-08-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18350.17807-2.96%0.15977-12.93%0.3459✗2.321,1272022-08-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05580.054161-2.94%0.0455-18.46%0.0806✗1.30787k2022-08-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.32080.311463-2.91%0.2638-17.77%0.0548✗1.13309k2022-08-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.429780.417569-2.84%0.31363-27.03%0.0132✓1.39592k2022-08-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83212.7518-2.84%3.6555+29.07%0.4754✗0.98917k2022-08-28
KCSKuCoinnative10.1979.9109-2.81%8.816-13.54%0.0955✗1.092.6M2022-08-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043230.042023-2.79%0.03732-13.67%0.0688✗0.962,4262022-08-28
FTTFTXEthereum31.0930.2278-2.77%25.35-18.46%0.0108✓0.9510.8M2022-08-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16430.159789-2.75%0.1337-18.62%0.0674✗1.25411k2022-08-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011740.000011418-2.74%0.00001177+0.26%0.2726✗1.24951k2022-08-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.860015-2.71%0.84-4.98%0.1146✗0.711.3M2022-08-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8033.6998-2.71%3.998+5.13%0.2154✗0.70670k2022-08-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.320010.311362-2.70%0.29294-8.46%0.1960✗1.3111k2022-08-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029850.029045-2.70%0.03552+18.99%0.4452✗1.2514k2022-08-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021770.021185-2.69%0.02214+1.70%0.2465✗1.03149k2022-08-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077660.075575-2.68%0.06712-13.57%0.0256✓0.741,2712022-08-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.2617.7742-2.66%13.16-27.93%0.0352✓1.351.3M2022-08-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,784.5023,153.91-2.65%19,554.03-17.79%0.0269✓1.00439.9M2022-08-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42260.411412-2.65%0.34-19.55%0.0714✗1.34104k2022-08-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8613.759-2.64%4.096+6.09%0.2024✗0.601.5M2022-08-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8513.7501-2.62%3.876+0.65%0.2055✗0.88754k2022-08-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1310.127573-2.62%0.0996-23.97%0.0535✓0.995,4502022-08-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7630.743497-2.56%0.631-17.30%0.0293✗0.99360k2022-08-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000990.000096578-2.45%0.0001251+26.36%0.6436✗1.96646k2022-08-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.659.4143-2.44%8.09-16.17%0.0490✓0.521.0M2022-08-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.7159.2484-2.41%53.38-12.07%0.1224✗1.1613.5M2022-08-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7710.752816-2.36%0.525-31.91%0.0670✓1.5080k2022-08-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.972.9004-2.34%1.95-34.34%0.0983✓1.53192k2022-08-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.255393-2.34%0.261-0.19%0.0239✗0.0130k2022-08-28
SOLSolanaSolana41.9440.9661-2.32%30.45-27.40%0.0300✓1.3681.8M2022-08-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61461.5774-2.31%1.6656+3.16%0.3338✗1.43609k2022-08-28
BANDBandEthereum1.6741.6356-2.29%1.192-28.79%0.0328✓1.45316k2022-08-28
KSMKusamaHydration63.8762.4094-2.29%45.4-28.92%0.0864✓1.18257k2022-08-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.315140.307982-2.27%0.36389+15.47%0.3955✗1.17407k2022-08-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408430.399433-2.20%0.32806-19.68%0.0409✗1.21118k2022-08-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3311780.323894-2.20%0.291277-12.05%0.1475✗1.291.0M2022-08-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13520.132257-2.18%0.1202-11.09%0.0991✗0.993.5M2022-08-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015070.001475-2.14%0.001503-0.27%0.2165✗1.0116k2022-08-28
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0611.0389-2.08%0.7744-27.01%0.0161✓1.421.4M2022-08-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.668590.654732-2.07%0.52437-21.57%0.0751✗1.5279k2022-08-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.8711.833-2.03%1.6-14.48%0.1130✗1.27626k2022-08-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97060.950966-2.02%0.9334-3.83%0.1570✗0.903.9M2022-08-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.019090.018704-2.02%0.022963+20.29%0.3016✗0.49165k2022-08-28
ADACardanoCardano0.52220.511728-2.01%0.4291-17.83%0.0688✗1.2543.2M2022-08-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.066057-1.99%0.0554-17.80%0.0118✓0.96183k2022-08-28
XMRMoneroMonero160.25157.1359-1.94%146.4-8.64%0.1440✗1.101.3M2022-08-28
CBKCobakEthereum1.04531.0253-1.91%0.84626-19.04%0.0238✗1.109,6842022-08-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12980.127355-1.88%0.1184-8.78%0.1786✗1.2849k2022-08-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.008753-1.87%0.00642-28.03%0.1312✓0.911.6M2022-08-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.1868.0365-1.83%6.861-16.19%0.0863✗1.259.4M2022-08-28
XECeCashnative0.000044990.000044184-1.79%0.00004676+3.93%0.2851✗1.171.8M2022-08-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06920.068092-1.60%0.0604-12.72%0.0892✗1.07308k2022-08-28
MOVRMoonriverBase14.213.9774-1.57%12.062-15.06%0.0839✗1.1870k2022-08-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.955.8574-1.56%6.04+1.51%0.1608✗0.66554k2022-08-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8877.7652-1.54%6.251-20.74%0.0302✗1.2616.2M2022-08-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047210.046486-1.53%0.04418-6.42%0.1257✗0.9015k2022-08-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11261.0957-1.51%–pending––1.0412k2022-08-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.298461-1.50%0.275-9.24%0.1218✗1.04766k2022-08-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4779-1.47%1.0043-33.05%0.1048✓1.441.0M2022-08-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4394.3759-1.42%12.382+178.94%1.1547✗0.591.2M2022-08-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.10810.106638-1.35%0.0854-21.00%0.0339✗1.31491k2022-08-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5372.503-1.34%4.106+61.84%0.6756✗0.92105k2022-08-28
DASHDashDash50.6149.9359-1.33%44.14-12.78%0.0947✗1.11594k2022-08-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069910.0069-1.31%0.006708-4.05%0.0762✗0.5339k2022-08-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.760.750259-1.28%0.645-15.13%0.0913✗1.24205k2022-08-28
XVGVergenative0.003660.003614-1.25%0.00289-21.04%0.0328✗1.31539k2022-08-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.694.6313-1.25%4.34-7.46%0.0747✗0.71759k2022-08-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0870.085915-1.25%0.0792-8.97%0.1563✗1.216,3652022-08-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8482.8134-1.22%1.944-31.74%0.0907✓1.4243k2022-08-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1177330.116367-1.16%0.102736-12.74%0.0704✗1.006.8M2022-08-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08870.087712-1.11%0.0619-30.21%0.1149✓1.19155k2022-08-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.6416-1.11%1.23-25.90%0.0188✓1.38114k2022-08-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV65.86965.1403-1.11%51.793-21.37%0.0634✓0.85398k2022-08-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018940.018733-1.09%0.01478-21.96%0.0893✓0.75258k2022-08-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06260.061926-1.08%0.0582-7.03%0.2126✗1.40339k2022-08-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47250.467472-1.06%0.3261-30.98%0.0717✓1.47220k2022-08-28
AAVEAaveEthereum95.694.6882-0.95%78.57-17.81%0.1388✗1.6610.0M2022-08-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.20330.201363-0.95%0.1381-32.07%0.1092✓1.371,5612022-08-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2230.220965-0.91%0.1592-28.61%0.0552✓1.391,0652022-08-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3491.3367-0.91%1.129-16.31%0.0792✗1.272.4M2022-08-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.163.1315-0.90%2.33-26.27%0.1979✓0.5082k2022-08-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49820.493779-0.89%0.3673-26.27%0.0762✓1.1242k2022-08-28
FISStafiEthereum0.40.396452-0.89%–pending––0.922142022-08-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07950.078804-0.88%0.0981+23.40%0.3811✗0.83148k2022-08-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0689470.068365-0.85%0.06175-10.44%0.1232✗1.151.7M2022-08-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009410.009339-0.75%0.00848-9.88%0.0937✗0.974.7M2022-08-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003160.003137-0.73%0.002987-5.47%0.1477✗1.00999k2022-08-28
XTZTezosTezos1.70931.6991-0.60%1.426-16.57%0.0705✗1.25492k2022-08-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.9682.9541-0.47%2.607-12.16%0.0927✗1.11619k2022-08-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.88517-0.32%0.645-27.36%0.0214✗1.735.2M2022-08-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9929390.990194-0.28%0.862501-13.14%0.0515✗0.9758k2022-08-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.155.1424-0.15%5.87+13.98%0.2520✗0.61587k2022-08-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021890.021869-0.10%0.020386-6.87%0.1217✗0.989,0542022-08-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17315.1733+0.00%5.175+0.04%0.0409✓0.21210k2022-08-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24430.244427+0.05%0.2024-17.15%0.0521✓1.23101k2022-08-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.12781.1286+0.07%1.0384-7.92%0.1253✓1.0643k2022-08-28
ZECZcashZcash63.563.6111+0.17%61.17-3.67%0.2084✓1.261.5M2022-08-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.252482+0.35%0.2362-6.12%0.1445✓1.0863k2022-08-28
TRXTRONTron0.0692960.069668+0.54%0.061392-11.41%0.0276✓0.79376k2022-08-28
GTGateEthereum4.39224.4185+0.60%4.3228-1.58%0.1198✓0.72986k2022-08-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.055344+0.81%0.0493-10.20%0.1668✓1.44119k2022-08-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,827.5024,022.68+0.82%19,646.40-17.55%0.0095✗0.9819k2022-08-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.61e-7+0.98%7.78e-7+117.71%0.9526✓0.94193k2022-08-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.217564+1.19%0.164-23.72%0.0130✓1.51786k2022-08-28
PROPropyEthereum0.790.807524+2.22%0.73-7.59%0.0176✓0.6179k2022-08-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0561280.057493+2.43%0.044396-20.90%0.1399✗0.6120k2022-08-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062090.006368+2.57%0.005519-11.11%0.0306✓0.897,2112022-08-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.04728+3.23%0.0357-22.05%0.0187✓1.347,1312022-08-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14940.154234+3.24%0.1396-6.56%0.1438✓1.2488k2022-08-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.