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2022-07-23 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1364
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.86%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
38.6%
in alpha space · 59.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.69%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism0.9410.849721-9.70%1.169+24.23%0.4035✗1.761.1M2022-08-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.440650.398665-9.53%0.40324-8.49%0.0818✓1.47647k2022-08-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.39691.2831-8.15%1.0995-21.29%0.0837✓1.474.7M2022-08-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62620.580096-7.36%0.5031-19.66%0.0852✓1.19624k2022-08-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.6321.9079-7.29%22.56-4.53%0.1046✗1.5727.5M2022-08-22
GMTGMTEthereum0.9460.881399-6.83%0.784-17.12%0.0305✓1.80601k2022-08-22
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.097680.09101-6.83%0.0872-10.73%0.0052✓1.00677k2022-08-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7570.705739-6.77%0.704-7.00%0.0822✗1.765.4M2022-08-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.017650.016497-6.54%0.023564+33.51%0.3798✗0.48165k2022-08-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.830.775903-6.52%0.595-28.31%0.1909✓1.555,0122022-08-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.3719.044-6.51%45.2+121.89%0.9385✗1.54431k2022-08-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08590.080311-6.51%0.0685-20.26%0.0992✓1.25202k2022-08-22
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6436.2123-6.48%5.205-21.65%0.0933✓1.7411.7M2022-08-22
FORTFortaEthereum0.30250.283145-6.40%0.2744-9.29%0.0298✓1.27365k2022-08-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5930.555319-6.35%0.552-6.91%0.0623✓1.4284k2022-08-22
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49090.460503-6.19%0.4022-18.07%0.0825✓1.1045k2022-08-22
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.40e-78.82e-7-6.13%8.90e-7-5.32%0.0566✓1.0026k2022-08-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11960.112333-6.08%0.1106-7.53%0.0364✓1.08398k2022-08-22
API3Api3Ethereum1.7491.6444-5.98%1.89+8.06%0.2003✗1.27611k2022-08-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16090.15133-5.95%0.1493-7.21%0.0481✓1.28356k2022-08-22
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099760.000093912-5.86%0.00009153-8.25%0.0668✗1.93735k2022-08-22
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3461.2673-5.84%1.053-21.77%0.1265✓1.221.5M2022-08-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33510.315543-5.84%0.3032-9.52%0.0161✓1.177.7M2022-08-22
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.0043-5.82%2.72-14.73%0.0762✓0.4886k2022-08-22
ORCAOrcaSolana0.92080.867908-5.74%0.8216-10.77%0.0216✓1.59281k2022-08-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.611.5196-5.61%1.515-5.90%0.0669✗1.46212k2022-08-22
XTZTezosTezos1.6541.5615-5.59%1.589-3.93%0.0782✗1.26485k2022-08-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.10430.098489-5.57%0.0981-5.94%0.0594✗1.32510k2022-08-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03620.03419-5.55%0.0372+2.76%0.1436✗1.2384k2022-08-22
DIADIAEthereum0.434260.410248-5.53%0.39068-10.04%0.0137✓0.7351k2022-08-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027490.025973-5.52%0.02253-18.04%0.0649✓1.6114.2M2022-08-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.712.0067-5.46%13.67+7.64%0.2004✗1.471.2M2022-08-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.90770.85836-5.44%1.3574+49.54%0.5163✗1.211.2M2022-08-22
RADRadworksEthereum1.91.7978-5.38%2.32+22.11%0.3078✗1.10150k2022-08-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.159210.150693-5.35%0.1406-11.69%0.0064✓1.58166k2022-08-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4470.423377-5.28%0.3834-14.23%0.0259✓1.53208k2022-08-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.6724.3158-5.28%34.05+32.65%0.3982✗1.281.2M2022-08-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.1269.5948-5.25%11.09+9.52%0.2099✗1.3613.0M2022-08-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.26492.1467-5.22%6.1535+171.69%1.0914✗0.80941k2022-08-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2313.0631-5.20%3.003-7.06%0.0611✗1.693.7M2022-08-22
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.24806-5.18%0.2612-0.15%0.0522✓0.0142k2022-08-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.993.7841-5.16%6.52+63.41%0.5742✗0.63694k2022-08-22
IMXImmutableEthereum0.92480.87749-5.12%0.85-8.09%0.0368✓1.431.3M2022-08-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8713.6748-5.07%14.607+277.34%1.4098✗0.621.3M2022-08-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09120.086608-5.04%0.1+9.65%0.1813✗0.78148k2022-08-22
SOLSolanaSolana39.9837.9752-5.01%35.43-11.38%0.0051✓1.3480.3M2022-08-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,490.006,165.20-5.00%8,930.03+37.60%0.4344✗1.334.1M2022-08-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.25.8901-5.00%7.79+25.65%0.3426✗1.31263k2022-08-22
BANDBandEthereum1.5731.4956-4.92%1.347-14.37%0.0356✓1.44349k2022-08-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05310.050495-4.91%0.0509-4.14%0.0721✗1.33800k2022-08-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.74e-73.56e-7-4.88%6.81e-7+81.91%0.6961✗0.99234k2022-08-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.308240.293244-4.87%0.305622-0.85%0.1005✗1.231.2M2022-08-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011630.000011066-4.85%0.00001316+13.16%0.2333✗1.251.2M2022-08-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1332.9823-4.81%5.285+68.69%0.6024✗0.631.6M2022-08-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.8516.042-4.80%18.19+7.95%0.1719✗0.962.1M2022-08-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.20362.0986-4.77%6.4198+191.33%1.1612✗0.90969k2022-08-22
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9656.6336-4.76%6.983+0.26%0.1165✗1.365.6M2022-08-22
FLOWFlownative1.8471.7608-4.67%2.13+15.32%0.2499✗1.24332k2022-08-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0090.008583-4.63%0.00929+3.22%0.1262✗0.984.9M2022-08-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047020.044853-4.61%0.0462-1.74%0.0734✗0.9113k2022-08-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.42471.3592-4.60%1.9268+35.24%0.4174✗1.42609k2022-08-22
MANADecentralandEthereum0.978550.934061-4.55%0.83161-15.02%0.0516✓1.35423k2022-08-22
XVGVergenative0.003660.003494-4.53%0.00321-12.30%0.0205✓1.34577k2022-08-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003190.003046-4.50%0.003502+9.78%0.1895✗1.041.0M2022-08-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218060.020825-4.50%0.021328-2.19%0.0713✗0.993,8342022-08-22
COMPCompoundEthereum55.9653.4465-4.49%50.45-9.85%0.0080✓1.3734k2022-08-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.21354.6435-4.49%55.291-3.36%0.0516✗0.83383k2022-08-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010580.00101-4.46%0.001485+40.38%0.4469✗1.291.7M2022-08-22
PROPropyEthereum0.810.773953-4.45%0.71-12.35%0.0526✓0.7095k2022-08-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29220.279214-4.44%0.3507+20.02%0.2821✗1.1353k2022-08-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.065174-4.44%0.0597-12.46%0.0406✓0.98156k2022-08-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.680.64992-4.42%0.701+3.09%0.1222✗0.97419k2022-08-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.34210.327128-4.38%0.32171-5.96%0.0427✓1.24400k2022-08-22
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.45010.430457-4.36%0.3755-16.57%0.0886✓1.00241k2022-08-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018680.017869-4.34%0.01775-4.98%0.0293✓0.75354k2022-08-22
SUSHISushiEthereum1.341.2819-4.34%1.19-11.19%0.0031✓1.48856k2022-08-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.5563.4021-4.33%3.083-13.30%0.0466✓1.08575k2022-08-22
ZENHorizenBase17.0416.3037-4.32%17.06+0.12%0.1119✗1.39105k2022-08-22
HIVEHivenative0.45620.436549-4.31%0.5535+21.33%0.2975✗1.251.4M2022-08-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40690.389405-4.30%0.3773-7.27%0.0330✓1.3483k2022-08-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04220.040391-4.29%0.03992-5.40%0.0348✓0.972,7572022-08-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2110.201972-4.28%0.184-12.80%0.0189✓1.55881k2022-08-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.756.4612-4.28%9.64+42.81%0.4238✗0.49670k2022-08-22
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7330.701699-4.27%0.713-2.73%0.0768✗1.27149k2022-08-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.863.6959-4.25%5.41+40.16%0.4179✗0.77597k2022-08-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.3453.9581-4.23%57.22+1.56%0.1132✗1.1314.0M2022-08-22
QNTQuantEthereum100.4996.2522-4.22%107.36+6.84%0.1574✗1.003.2M2022-08-22
KSMKusamaHydration67.0864.2734-4.18%50.58-24.60%0.1823✓1.19231k2022-08-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1060.101579-4.17%0.1111+4.81%0.1550✗1.362.5M2022-08-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067170.00644-4.12%0.006798+1.21%0.0822✗0.5849k2022-08-22
MOVRMoonriverBase13.479712.9264-4.10%13.4763-0.03%0.0992✗1.2088k2022-08-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8446.5647-4.08%7.045+2.94%0.1313✗1.2617.4M2022-08-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.663320.636329-4.07%0.5697-14.11%0.0359✓1.5695k2022-08-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.990230.950478-4.01%1.0344+4.46%0.1307✗0.965,7282022-08-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6980.6701-4.00%0.623-10.74%0.0003✓1.52105k2022-08-22
XECeCashnative0.000041750.000040094-3.97%0.00003884-6.97%0.0250✓1.181.9M2022-08-22
STEEMSteemnative0.24310.233458-3.97%0.2327-4.28%0.0532✗1.18701k2022-08-22
METISMetisEthereum29.6128.4521-3.91%32.76+10.64%0.1890✗1.00135k2022-08-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.676.4102-3.90%6.382-4.32%0.0568✗1.275.0M2022-08-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.162.0764-3.87%1.719-20.42%0.1197✓1.44128k2022-08-22
ADACardanoCardano0.51710.49725-3.84%0.4615-10.75%0.0137✓1.2743.2M2022-08-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.45222.3581-3.84%4.4842+82.86%0.6899✗0.98917k2022-08-22
FTTFTXEthereum28.527.4111-3.82%27.72-2.74%0.0568✗0.9510.6M2022-08-22
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7820.752604-3.76%0.855+9.34%0.1649✗0.781.1M2022-08-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.129666-3.74%0.1283-4.75%0.0387✗1.033.3M2022-08-22
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6262.5292-3.69%2.096-20.18%0.1040✓1.7587k2022-08-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3217.053-3.66%7.401+1.09%0.1073✗1.238.6M2022-08-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30170.290735-3.63%0.2905-3.71%0.0562✗1.192.8M2022-08-22
XEMNEMnative0.0506860.048853-3.62%0.045657-9.92%0.0102✓1.2019k2022-08-22
DODODODOEthereum0.15870.153051-3.56%0.137-13.67%0.0490✓1.292.8M2022-08-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.354.1956-3.55%7.03+61.61%0.5467✗0.64504k2022-08-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7433.6107-3.53%7.119+90.20%0.7060✗0.572.2M2022-08-22
UMAUMAEthereum2.8082.7095-3.51%2.876+2.42%0.1125✗1.10621k2022-08-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006790.006554-3.47%0.00844+24.30%0.3010✗1.00359k2022-08-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020320.019615-3.47%0.02224+9.45%0.1765✗1.06123k2022-08-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001530.001477-3.46%0.001778+16.21%0.2350✗1.0317k2022-08-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.2217.5958-3.43%14.28-21.62%0.1433✓1.361.3M2022-08-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1320.127482-3.42%0.1214-8.03%0.0145✓1.3244k2022-08-22
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4199-3.41%1.6+8.84%0.1307✗0.23366k2022-08-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07240.069941-3.40%0.0655-9.53%0.0159✓1.04216k2022-08-22
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19010.183728-3.35%0.1649-13.26%0.0403✓1.411,3132022-08-22
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.80e-7-3.33%8.90e-7-2.20%0.0513✗0.826.0M2022-08-22
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5230.505889-3.27%0.439-16.06%0.0850✓1.1811k2022-08-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3792.3021-3.23%2.192-7.86%0.0186✓1.4143k2022-08-22
XMRMoneroMonero146.19141.5439-3.18%153.73+5.16%0.1362✗1.121.2M2022-08-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2870.277947-3.15%0.28-2.44%0.0580✗1.05673k2022-08-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068930.066762-3.15%0.07313+6.09%0.1537✗1.3027k2022-08-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.387660.375516-3.13%0.36185-6.66%0.0220✓1.23113k2022-08-22
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027350.026497-3.12%0.02625-4.02%0.0559✗1.361,3182022-08-22
NANOnanopayBase0.9474550.918097-3.10%0.913455-3.59%0.0434✗1.0158k2022-08-22
QTUMQtumQtum3.46233.3567-3.05%3.4703+0.23%0.0851✗1.0826k2022-08-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.009050.008776-3.03%0.00698-22.87%0.1851✓0.911.3M2022-08-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.047844-2.95%0.0461-6.49%0.0206✓1.20276k2022-08-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.310980.301871-2.93%0.29531-5.04%0.0424✗1.348,9402022-08-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4372.3657-2.92%4.77+95.73%0.7446✗0.90105k2022-08-22
XYMSymbolnative0.0542760.052715-2.88%0.04966-8.50%0.0299✓0.6217k2022-08-22
GTGateEthereum4.11363.9962-2.85%4.5685+11.06%0.1676✗0.70930k2022-08-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12350.119984-2.85%0.1051-14.90%0.0849✓0.996,9162022-08-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.824.6829-2.85%6.95+44.19%0.4271✗0.67514k2022-08-22
ETHEthereumEthereum1,549.151,505.22-2.84%1,624.78+4.88%0.1354✗1.23339.7M2022-08-22
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053890.052374-2.81%0.0684+26.93%0.3372✗1.46747k2022-08-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.86660.842328-2.80%1.0364+19.59%0.2547✗0.993.5M2022-08-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029260.028447-2.78%0.03687+26.01%0.3205✗1.2719k2022-08-22
TRXTRONTron0.0669070.065074-2.74%0.065631-1.91%0.0466✗0.79369k2022-08-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23175.0895-2.72%5.1079-2.37%0.0130✓0.20219k2022-08-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,450.6921,849.11-2.68%21,398.25-4.69%0.0272✗1.00374.5M2022-08-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24020.233844-2.65%0.2183-9.12%0.0089✓1.25119k2022-08-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.08382.0291-2.63%1.918-7.96%0.0021✓1.2226k2022-08-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.462.3958-2.61%2.41-2.03%0.0784✗1.51216k2022-08-22
FISStafiEthereum0.45990.448033-2.58%–pending––1.123902022-08-22
ELAElastosEthereum1.6131.5727-2.50%1.818+12.71%0.1763✗0.65206k2022-08-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.4438-2.44%1.38-6.76%0.0238✓1.44129k2022-08-22
STXStacksnative0.42420.413885-2.43%0.387-8.77%0.0065✓1.26521k2022-08-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.11351.0865-2.43%1.1382+2.22%0.0985✗1.0845k2022-08-22
DASHDashDash47.6846.543-2.38%47.23-0.94%0.0670✗1.09594k2022-08-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.25510.249232-2.30%0.2541-0.39%0.0714✗1.0961k2022-08-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.06390.062443-2.28%0.0641+0.31%0.0931✗1.39325k2022-08-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22260.217532-2.28%0.217-2.52%0.0684✗1.48115k2022-08-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.1850.180904-2.21%0.1683-9.03%0.0043✓1.421,7812022-08-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150350.014703-2.21%0.01426-5.15%0.0136✓0.921.2M2022-08-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3941.3636-2.18%1.22-12.48%0.0487✓1.302.6M2022-08-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.10890.106534-2.17%0.2228+104.59%0.7909✗1.11647k2022-08-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.05390.052733-2.16%0.0533-1.11%0.0814✗1.47135k2022-08-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.998.7984-2.13%10.09+12.24%0.1931✗1.17263k2022-08-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5795.4602-2.13%6.323+13.34%0.1996✗1.101.9M2022-08-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50450.494396-2.00%0.4905-2.78%0.0467✗1.14333k2022-08-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2353.1702-2.00%4.978+53.88%0.4882✗0.77488k2022-08-22
ZECZcashZcash59.1457.989-1.95%65.09+10.06%0.1779✗1.301.5M2022-08-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1116330.109463-1.94%0.109492-1.92%0.0484✗1.006.8M2022-08-22
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.179610.176338-1.82%0.15772-12.19%0.0063✓2.451,0922022-08-22
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073160.071851-1.79%0.07069-3.38%0.0189✗0.731,6422022-08-22
KCSKuCoinnative9.849.6769-1.66%9.582-2.62%0.0434✗1.112.3M2022-08-22
SCSiacoinnative0.004250.004182-1.59%0.0041-3.53%0.0444✗1.34115k2022-08-22
XVSVenusEthereum5.395.3053-1.57%5.66+5.01%0.1325✗1.411.0M2022-08-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,275.9021,985.04-1.31%21,122.20-5.18%0.0069✓0.9821k2022-08-22
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08330.082223-1.29%0.0891+6.96%0.1392✗1.236,9982022-08-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058780.005806-1.22%0.005817-1.03%0.0457✗0.913,1552022-08-22
GITCOINGITCOIN2.45732.4283-1.18%2.4125-1.82%0.0685✗1.568,0962022-08-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.14260.141123-1.04%0.1467+2.88%0.0986✗1.2584k2022-08-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash122.51121.3328-0.96%122.68+0.14%0.0655✗1.134.2M2022-08-22
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6860.679898-0.89%0.9+31.20%0.3396✗1.23758k2022-08-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04340.043082-0.73%0.0406-6.45%0.0053✓1.357,6872022-08-22
CBKCobakEthereum1.06671.0646-0.19%0.93212-12.62%0.0790✓1.127,7462022-08-22
AAVEAaveEthereum89.3689.2231-0.15%88.51-0.95%0.0707✗1.649.2M2022-08-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0679810.067937-0.07%0.068381+0.59%0.0643✗1.201.9M2022-08-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.